Best NBA Bets Today: Free Picks and Player Props for Thursday, May 15

Best NBA Bets Today: Free Picks and Player Props for Thursday, May 15

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

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Best NBA Bets Today

Nikola Jokic under 8.5 assists (-125, Caesars)

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Barutha (5:00 PM ET): I won't be surprised if the Nuggets pull off a win at home, but OKC has done well to limit Jokic from getting easy assists and forcing him to score himself. Jokic has eight total assists in the past two games, and he's averaging only 5.2 assists in the series as a whole. He hasn't gone over this number since Game 5 against the Clippers.

Aaron Gordon O6.5 REB (-120, DK)

Nuggets vs Thunder

Nick Whalen (3:23 PM ET): Gordon went under this number in Game 5, but OKC shot 50% from the floor and Gordon's TRB% was well below where it's sat for the entirely of this series. In a do-or-die setting, I expect Gordon to see heavy minutes and more rebound chances tonight.

Jamal Murray O2.5 made threes (+124, DK)

Nuggets vs Thunder

Nick Whalen (3:23 PM ET): Murray tends to run hot and cold, but he has a strong track record in elimination games, and the Nuggets will need a big performance from him in order to hang around. As long as the volume is there — it certainly was in Game 5 — I like this as a plus-money play. 

I'm taking the OVER Christian Braun scoring 11.5 points (FanDuel, -128)

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Ken Crites (11:30 AM ET): Braun plays better at home.  He's averaged 15.9 points in Denver versus 15.0 on the road this season.  He's also put up 16.3 points per contest post-All-Star break.  Yes, he's had four poor games in this series, but three of those four bad games were at OKC.  And he's still playing major minutes.  That said, the K-Train is a mediocre 12-12 this season, so by all means feel free to fade!

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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