Vince Carter
Vince Carter
42-Year-Old ForwardF
Atlanta Hawks
2018 Fantasy Outlook
After three years in Memphis, Carter joined Sacramento for the 2017-18 season, acting as a veteran mentor to a relatively young roster. Carter ended up seeing the floor for just 58 games and considering he was in his 20th season, his playing understandably was limited to just 17.7 minutes. He posted averages of 5.4 points, 2.6 rebounds 1.2 assists and 1.0 three-pointer, while knocking down 34.5 percent of his deep balls. Looking ahead to the upcoming campaign, Carter is set for a similar role after signing with Atlanta as a free agent. He'll act as a veteran leader to an inexperienced team and should add some solid reserve minutes when he's needed. Still, Carter is now 41 years old and his workload will likely only shrink further in order to keep his legs as fresh as possible. Go ahead and avoid Carter for Fantasy purposes once again, as he's not going to see the floor enough to be an asset in any one category. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Hawks in August of 2019.
Concluding career in Atlanta
FAtlanta Hawks
August 5, 2019
Carter agreed Monday with the Hawks on a one-year contract, Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN reports.
The 42-year-old Carter previously announced the 2019-20 season will be his last, so he'll be tasked with serving as mostly a mentor for a young Atlanta squad as he returns to the Hawks for a second consecutive campaign. The upcoming season will be Carter's NBA-record 22nd, surpassing the likes of Dirk Nowitzki, Kevin Garnett, Robert Parish and Kevin Willis. The eight-time All-Star will likely retain a small role in the Atlanta rotation after averaging 7.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, 1.6 triples and 1.1 assists in 17.5 minutes per game over his 76 appearances in 2018-19.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Carter, at 40-year-old, played a surprising 24.6 minutes per game with the Grizzlies during the 2016-17 campaign – largely as a function of Chandler Parsons, a projected starter, making just 34 appearances due to a meniscus tear. In those minutes, Carter posted 8.0 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.8. He also shot 39.4 percent from the field and made 1.5 threes per game at a 37.8 percent clip. Carter has opted to join the youthful, rebuilding Kings for next season, who are headed by his former coach, Dave Joerger. Considering Carter’s age, recent production and Sacramento’s wing depth, it seems doubtful he’ll garner a workload conducive to significant Fantasy production during the 2017-18 season. In the current situation, Carter’s value as a mentor to the Kings’ young wing prospects may be more valuable than his actual production on the floor. As a result, he can probably be avoided with relative safety in almost every Fantasy format.
The 38-year-old managed averages of 5.8 points, 2.0 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 0.7 steals, and 0.2 blocks in 17 minutes per game during 66 regular season games in 2014-15. Offseason ankle surgery and a torn tendon in his foot mid-year helped contribute to what was easily the worst season in Carter's career, as he shot 33 percent from the field, 30 percent from beyond the arc, and 79 percent from the free-throw line. His 33 percent field-goal percentage was the worst mark he has had in his 17-year career, and it's the first time Carter failed to sink 40 percent of his shots. He also produced career-lows in minutes, shot attempts, points, rebounds, and assists per game while shooting the worst three-point percentage since his rookie year. With Courtney Lee, Tony Allen, Jeff Green, Matt Barnes, and Jordan Adams in the mix for minutes, the need to play Carter heavy minutes likely won't arise barring a barrage of injuries.
Carter is entering his 17th season. Last season, he averaged 11.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 0.8 steals, and 0.4 blocks in 24 minutes per game through 81 games. He shot 41 percent from the field on 10.0 attempts per game, 39 percent from deep on 4.6 attempts per game, and 82 percent from the charity stripe on 2.4 attempts per game. During seven playoff games, he averaged 12.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 0.4 steals, and 0.3 blocks in 27 minutes per game. He shot 46 percent from the field on 9.7 attempts per game, 48 percent from beyond the arc on 4.4 attempts per game, and 79 percent from the free-throw line on 2.0 attempts per game. Carter, who turns 38 years old in January, isn't an electrifying high-wire act anymore, but he's still an effective and versatile offensive player. With Mike Miller leaving the Grizzlies in free agency, Carter is the most established three-point threat on a team that finished last in three-pointers last season, which means he's likely to play a considerable role in 2014-15. The team has plenty of depth at shooting guard (Courtney Lee, Tony Allen, Jordan Adams), but their small forward situation is questionable at best given that Tayshaun Prince is in decline and Quincy Pondexter, who has yet to hold a sufficient role, is making his return from a stress fracture that forced him to miss most of the 2013-14 season. If Carter earns as much time with the Grizzlies as he did with the Mavs, he'll likely hold solid late-round value in deeper leagues.
After seeing his scoring decline each of the previous four seasons, Carter reversed the trend in 2012-13, mostly on the strength of his best proficiency from three-point range since his heyday with the Raptors. No longer a player that willingly attacks the rim, Carter now makes his living almost entirely from the outside, with nearly half of his shot attempts coming from three-point land last season. Carter's 162 threes (2.0 per game) vaulted his scoring up from 10.1 to 13.4 points per game, while the 36-year-old also chipped in 4.1 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 0.9 steals, all of which were improvements from his averages from his first season in Dallas. As the Mavericks' sixth man, Carter doesn't receive the minutes some of the other top fantasy options at his position receive to rack up gaudy totals in most categories, but his lower turnover rate and solid three-point production helps cover for some of those deficiencies.
Carter is no longer the player he was when he entered the league but his professionalism has earned him the respect of his teammates. He yo-yoed in and out of the starting lineup and finished the year with a career low in scoring, averaging 10.1 points per game. There is a small silver lining in those numbers, however. Carter averaged more points as a sub than a starter, and with OJ Mayo aboard expect VC to join the second unit on a more permanent basis.
Carter’s status with the Suns will remain up in the air until the lockout is lifted. The Suns have the option of picking up Carter’s $18 million salary or cutting him and paying him $4 million to go away. Although he struggled with both the Magic and Suns for most of last season, both Carter and the Suns agreed to postpone the decision until whenever the lockout gets lifted and real free agency begins, giving the team an opportunity to view the value of Carter’s contract within the structure of what will be the new collective bargaining agreement. As such, it’s believed the Suns’ initial plans were to cut Carter and make him an unrestricted free agent. Whether he plays for the Suns or a contending team next season, at 34, Carter’s days as a dominant starting shooting guard are behind him.
As far as draft value goes, Carter's a player who could go either way. Some fantasy owners, still under the impression that Carter is a mortal lock for 20-plus points, six rebounds, and four assists per game, might go after him in the fourth or fifth round. Others, who've essentially written off the man formerly known as Air Canada, might not consider him an option at all. The truth, of course, lies somewhere in between. With steady declines across the board last season, Carter ultimately ended up as something like an eighth-round talent. After averaging only 30.8 minutes per game last season – and with little reason to see either that or his offensive load, in general, expanding – Carter profiles similarly this season. Of note is the guard's increase in free-throw percentage last season, up to 84.0 from his career average of 79.9. If he can keep that gain, it makes him a net plus in that category.
While he isn’t the freakishly athletic and explosive athlete he used to be, Carter still has plenty of game left to go around. Carter deserves credit for playing out last season and maintaining a high level of production while on a losing squad. Motivation should not be an issue for him this season as he chases his first NBA Championship with the Orlando Magic. The Magic won’t skip a beat as Carter will step in to fill the void at small forward previously filled by Hedo Turkoglu, who bolted for the comforts of Toronto. Although Carter won’t feel as pressured to carry the offensive burden with more than capable scorers in Dwight Howard and Rashard Lewis by his side, his usage rate should remain about the same. His scoring average will likely drop, but it will be at least somewhat offset by an increase in shooting efficiency and three-pointers made – a perk of playing alongside a dominant big man like Howard. Carter has missed just 11 games over the past four seasons, so durability is not a major concern.
Carter is coming off of his lowest scoring output (21.3 ppg) since coming to New Jersey, but he still quietly had a very good season with new personal bests in assists (5.1 apg) and rebounds (6.0 rpg) as well as one of his better shooting seasons (45.6% FG, 81.6% FT). He enters 2008-09 in an entirely different situation, though, with running mates Jason Kidd and Richard Jefferson now making their homes on other teams. Carter now finds himself as the centerpiece of a rebuilding team, which means that his scoring is likely to go up at the expense of his assists and field-goal percentage. Carter has been healthy and motivated ever since he joined the Nets, having missed only nine games over his almost four years in Jersey (after missing 23 games per year over his final three in Toronto). This is the first time since he has been there, though, that the Nets don’t look to be playoff contenders, so it bears watching to see if Carter loses interest and starts going through the motions the way he did in Toronto when they fell out of contention.
Last season may have been the best all-around performance of Carter’s storied career. He posted new career highs in rebounds (6.0) and assists (4.8) and new five-year highs in field-goal percentage and threes made. Cynics will call his performance a product of his drive for a new contract, but that would be, well, cynical – his numbers were very much in line with what he’s done since arriving in New Jersey, and probably relate more to Jason Kidd than anything else. With his shiny new contract, and with Kidd and Richard Jefferson still around to run the offense and draw defenses, it seems reasonable to expect another very solid year of “Vinsanity.”
Carter turned in another very strong fantasy performance for the Nets last season, showing that he could coexist statistically with a healthy Richard Jefferson while still posting strong numbers almost across the board. His 24.2 ppg, 5.8 rpg, and 4.3 apg put him among the elite at his position in all three categories. He also made solid defensive contributions (almost two combined steals/blocks per game), knocked down a difference-making 1.6 3-pointers game, and shot a strong 80% from the line (7.6 FTA per game). At 29 years-old Vinsanity should still be in his prime, with his explosive leaping ability and quick first step still intact. Carter has the tools and system in-place to post another strong season this year as long as his old nemeses like injuries or focus (recently publicized divorce, possible upcoming free agency) don’t sneak in to derail him.
After sleepwalking through a couple of injury-filled seasons, Carter used a midseason trade to the Nets as motivation to regain the all-world form that once earned him the “Next Jordan” mantle. In 57 games with the Nets, Carter averaged 27.5 points, 5.9 rebounds, 4.7 assists and 1.5 steals, while shooting 46.2% from the field, 42.5% from downtown (making 1.9 3s/game) and 81.7% from the line on 6.8 attempts per game. These stats would have made him the best all-around shooting guard in fantasy ahead of Kobe Bryant (FG%) and Dwyane Wade (3-pointers), both of whom have a fantasy weakness. Perhaps the most important stat of all for Carter as a member of the Nets: zero games missed due to injury, after missing an average of 23 games/year over the previous three seasons with the Raptors. If healthy and motivated, the 6-6 Carter is still arguably the most athletically gifted player in the NBA. His combination of outside shooting touch, a quick first step and insane jumping ability make him an impossible matchup. Carter could lose some offensive touches this season while playing next to a healthy Richard Jefferson, but he will still undoubtedly be the primary scoring option on a team that will depend on their wings to carry the offense. Plus, playing with arguably the best distributing point guard of this generation in Jason Kidd should help get him plenty of offensive touches in good position to score.
Carter is more injury-prone than most other marquee names in the NBA. Just on that premise alone, fantasy owners should lower Carter a notch or two on their cheat sheets. After apparently pushing for a trade to the Knicks in the offseason, Carter might become disgruntled once the Raptors fail to win games at a pace of his liking. Injuries and trade demands aside, Carter has the potential to be one of fantasy basketball’s best players on any given week. Carter is a gunslinger, in every essence of the word. When healthy, Carter can rival Pierce in terms of stats. But when he’s injured, you might regret spending such a high pick on a player sitting on your bench. Still, Carter should go somewhere between the late second to late third round in most fantasy leagues. If he falls any lower, take the chance on landing a potential stud in fourth or fifth round of your draft and hope he finds a way to stay healthy for most of the year.
Carter suffered through another injury-plagued campaign, playing in only 43 games and posting the worst averages since he was a rookie (20.6 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 3.3 APG). He's now a high risk-high reward fantasy player -- if he's healthy he'll be a steal, but if he's not you'll end up overpaying for what you get. Tread cautiously.
More Fantasy News
Next season will be his last
FAtlanta Hawks
June 5, 2019
Carter plans to retire following the 2019-20 season, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.
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Off injury report
FAtlanta Hawks
April 4, 2019
Carter (rest) is off the injury report for Friday's matchup against the Magic, Brad Rowland of Locked On Hawks reports.
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Out for rest
FAtlanta Hawks
April 3, 2019
Carter is out for rest Wednesday against the 76ers, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.
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Starting Tuesday
FAtlanta Hawks
April 2, 2019
Carter will start Tuesday's game against the Spurs, Kevin Chouinard of the Hawks' official site reports.
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Modest production in loss
FAtlanta Hawks
March 17, 2019
Carter produced eight points (3-8 FG, 2-6 3Pt), three assists and two steals over 27 minutes in the Hawks' loss to the Magic on Sunday.
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