Julius Randle
Julius Randle
23-Year-Old ForwardF
New Orleans Pelicans
2018 Fantasy Outlook
After a slow start to the 2017-18 season, Randle came on strong to finish the year, boosting his Fantasy stock across the board. He played in all 82 games and ended the season as the Lakers' leader in scoring and rebounding, while shooting an impressive 56 percent from the field. Despite the way he finished the season, Randle was still not assured of his role moving forward and opted to test the free agency waters. The Pelicans clearly liked what they saw from Randle, and he'll step in as Anthony Davis' new frontcourt partner following the departure of DeMarcus Cousins. Teaming with Davis, a fellow Kentucky product, could entail an adjustment process, but the Pelicans aren't overly deep up front, so Randle should see plenty of opportunity. While he'll battle Nikola Mirotic for minutes at the four, Randle is the more natural fit next to Davis, and Mirotic is more than capable of sliding down to the wing in certain lineups. Production-wise, a replication of last season's numbers seems fairly realistic, but it remains to be seen whether Randle will be able to maintain his scoring efficiency. Putting up points and rebounds are what Randle does best, and though he's flashed some improvement on the defensive end, he's not likely to be much of a contributor in blocks (0.5 per game in 2017-18) or steals (0.5 per game). Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a two-year, $17.71 million with the Pelicans in July of 2018. Contract includes $9.07 million player option for 2019-20.
Triple-doubles in high-scoring win
FNew Orleans Pelicans
November 20, 2018
Randle produced 21 points (9-13 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 3-3 FT), 14 rebounds, 10 assists and one steal across 25 minutes in the Pelicans' 140-126 win over the Spurs on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Randle continues to thrive off the bench, with Monday's effort qualifying as his third straight game with at least a double-double and as his first triple-double in a Pelicans uniform. The fifth-year veteran has shot over 60.0 percent in his last three contests as well, and his energetic work on the boards has led to double-digit rebounds in five of his last six. Considering Randle is averaging 27.4 minutes in 10 November contests and 25.6 minutes on the season overall, his second-unit role is clearly affording him ample opportunity to churn out starter-quality numbers on a frequent basis.
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Julius Randle was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
In what was effectively his second NBA season after a broken leg suffered in his NBA debut limited him to just one game as a rookie in 2014-15, Randle elevated his marks in just about every category except rebounds, averaging 13.2 points, 8.6 boards and 3.6 assists in 28.8 minutes per game while shooting 48.7 percent from the floor. It’s certainly a positive development when a young player shows year-to-year gains in both efficiency and statistical production, though Randle’s growth may have been a little flatter than some expected, particularly on the defensive end. Randle’s lack of rim-protecting skills and inability to lock down rangier power forwards may inhibit his outlook a bit in real-life terms, but he carries much more appeal for Fantasy purposes. Aside from the nearly six-point improvement he showed in field-goal percentage, Randle’s transformation into a playmaker was the most positive development of his 2016-17 campaign. For a player listed at 6-foot-9, Randle showed unusual comfort with handling the ball and finding open teammates, which translated to a nice boost in his assist totals. Among frontcourt players, only Nikola Jokic (six) and Draymond Green (five) ended up with more triple-doubles than Randle, who collected three on the season. With the Lakers adding more outside shooting to the roster this summer in veteran center Brook Lopez, swingman Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and rookie point guard Lonzo Ball, Randle is in good shape to add more assists to his ledger, though the upgraded supporting cast could have a more negative impact on his scoring. Randle must also make further strides on the defensive end to ensure he doesn’t lose out on playing time to the likes of Larry Nance and rookie Kyle Kuzma.
After missing all but 14 minutes of his rookie season with a broken leg, Randle returned to play 81 games in 2015-16, averaging 11.3 points, 10.2 points and 1.8 assists across what was an up-and-down campaign. Randle found himself in and out of former coach Byron Scott’s doghouse for much of the year and didn’t stick in a full-time starting role until February. That didn’t stop him from posting respectable counting stats, but Randle’s 42.9 percent mark from the field fell well below an acceptable level for a power forward. While Randle’s ability to handle the ball in the open court and create off the dribble is intriguing, his decision-making needs work, and it’s unclear how long of a leash new coach Luke Walton will give him. The Lakers also added Luol Deng, Yi Jianlian and Brandon Ingram this offseason to join Larry Nance, all four of whom could see time as small-ball power forwards, potentially cutting into Randle’s minutes load. That said, the 21-year-old Randle remains one of the Lakers’ three best long-term assets, and with the Lakers entering a developmental phase, he’ll likely be given every opportunity to prove he’s capable of holding on to the starting power forward spot long term.
While not technically a rookie, Randle should be considered a first-year player for all intents and purposes, as he played just 14 minutes last season, before succumbing to a fractured right tibia in the season's opening game. In his 2015 Summer League campaign, Randle played just 20 minutes per game in his four games, averaging 11.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 1.0 steals, and 0.8 blocks while shooting 40 percent from the field and 64 percent from the free-throw line. Not only is Randle recovering from his leg fracture, and may continue to be on a minutes restriction through the season's early going, but the Lakers signed Brandon Bass in free agency to compete with Randle for the minutes at power forward. With coach Byron Scott still in charge, there's a big chance that he favors the veteran option in Bass, which would render Randle as not useful in standard fantasy leagues. Looking back at Randle's stats in his last full season as a freshman at Kentucky, he averaged 15.0 points, 10.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 0.5 steals, 0.8 blocks, and 0.1 three-pointers, shooting 50 percent from the field and 71 percent from the line in 31 minutes. The lack of numbers outside of points and rebounds could limit Randle's fantasy upside for this season, and his potential in dynasty leagues.
The seventh-overall selection of the 2014 NBA Draft was the earliest selection the Lakers have had since picking James Worthy number one overall back in 1982. In fact, when they chose Randle, it marked the first time the Lakers had a first-round selection since taking Toney Douglas in 2009, and even then, Douglas was immediately traded to the New York Knicks. So, with a dearth of young talent on the team, Randle figures to be the face of the future for the storied franchise. Many thought Randle would be carrying a large load this season as the featured player down low, but the amnesty acquisition of Carlos Boozer tempered those expectations somewhat. There's no doubting Randle is the team's future. Last season, in his only season at Kentucky, Randle averaged 15.0 points, 10.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 0.5 steals, and 0.8 blocks in 31 minutes per game through 40 games. He shot 50 percent from the field on 9.8 attempts and 71 percent from the line on 7.2 attempts. Over the course of this season, the big man from Kentucky will likely play around 20-24 minutes per night, although he needs to improve his defensive statistics to become an elite fantasy option.
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Scores 21 points off the bench
FNew Orleans Pelicans
November 17, 2018
Randle managed 21 points (8-13 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 5-7 FT), 10 rebounds, three assists, three steals, and one block in 27 minutes during Saturday's 125-115 victory over Denver.
ANALYSIS
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Puts up 19 points off the bench
FNew Orleans Pelicans
November 16, 2018
Randle posted 19 points (7-10 FG, 0-2 3Pt, 5-8 FT), 11 rebounds, two assists and a steal across 30 minutes in Friday's 129-124 win over the Knicks.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles in Wednesday's loss
FNew Orleans Pelicans
November 15, 2018
Randle had three points (1-4 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 1-4 FT) and three rebounds in 14 minutes during Wednesday's 107-100 loss to the Timberwolves.
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Post double-double Monday
FNew Orleans Pelicans
November 12, 2018
Randle recorded 17 points (7-12 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 3-5 FT), 12 points and four assists in 35 minutes Monday against the Raptors.
ANALYSIS
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Double-double in win over Suns
FNew Orleans Pelicans
November 10, 2018
Randle scored 22 points (9-19 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 3-4 FT) while adding 15 rebounds, three assists and two blocks in 38 minutes during Saturday's 119-99 win over the Suns.
ANALYSIS
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