Marvin Bagley
Marvin Bagley
22-Year-Old ForwardF
Sacramento Kings
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Bagley endured thumb and foot injuries that cost him the better part of his second NBA season. The 2018 first-round pick (second overall) has rightfully earned an injury-prone tag as a result since he's suited up in just 75 games over two seasons in the Association. Considering he hasn't played in a game since Jan. 20, Bagley should enter the 2020-21 season at full health, walking into a starting gig at power forward immediately. If that's the case, he could push for 30 minutes per game, a sizable uptick from the 25.7 he averaged last year. The 21-year-old has evident upside if that comes to fruition. Through 13 games last year, he posted 14.2 points and 7.5 rebounds per contest while hitting 46.7 percent of his field goals, and an increase in playing time would be a blessing for his fantasy upside. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a two-year, $15.86 million contract with the Kings in July of 2018. Kings exercised $8.96 million team option for 2020-21 in October of 2019. Kings exercised $11.31 million team option for 2021-22 in December of 2020.
Personal Bio

Marvin Bagley III was born in 1999 in Tempe, Arizona. He is the son of Marvin Bagley Jr. and Tracy Bagley and has two brothers. His father played college football at North Carolina A&T and went on to play professionally in the Arena Football League. Bagley's grandfather, Joe Caldwell, played six seasons in the NBA from 1964-70 and five seasons in the American Basketball Association from 1970-75. Caldwell is one of 20 players to make an All-Star team in both the NBA and ABA, and he won a gold medal as a member of Team USA at the 1964 Summer Olympics in Japan. Bagley III played high school ball first at Corona del Sol in Tempe as a freshman, then at Hillcrest Prep Academy in Phoenix as a sophomore. At Hillcrest, Bagley was teammates with fellow NBA big man Deandre Ayton. He transferred again, this time to Sierra Canyon School in Chatsworth, California, which cost him a year of eligibility. Bagley averaged 24.9 points and 10.1 rebounds per game during his 2016-17 season at Sierra Canyon. Bagley won the 2017 Gatorade California Player of the Year and John R. Wooden CIF Southern Section Player of the Year awards while maintaining a 3.4 grade-point average. Bagley loves to write and record music. While living in Los Angeles, he volunteered at Hoops with Heart, a non-profit benefiting underprivileged youth. Fans can follow him on Twitter (@MB3FIVE) and Instagram (mb3five).

College/International Summary

After reclassifying from the 2018 class to the high school 2017 class, Marvin Bagley landed at Duke University as the consensus top recruit in the country. Bagley averaged 21.0 points, 11.1 rebounds, 0.9 blocks and 0.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 61.4 percent from the field in his lone season (2017-18) at Duke. The season was filled with notable performances such as a 32-point, 21-rebound outburst against Florida State, just the eighth 30-20 game in Duke history. In an ACC Tournament matchup with Notre Dame, Bagley posted 33 points, the third most by a freshman in the tournament history. He also recorded 17 rebounds, one short of tying Ralph Sampson's freshman tournament mark. Bagley's freshman campaign came to an end with an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight loss to the Kansas Jayhawks. His season culminated in consensus first-team All-American honors, first-team All-ACC honors, as well as both the ACC Rookie of the Year and ACC Player of the Year awards. At the end of his freshman season, Bagley declared himself eligible for the 2018 NBA Draft and was chosen by the Sacramento Kings with the second overall pick.

Downplays groin injury
FSacramento Kings
May 17, 2021
Bagley said Monday that he feels "fine" after missing the Kings' final four games of the season due to a sore right groin, Jason Jones of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Fortunately for Bagley, the groin issue is mild in comparison to the numerous other injuries that have contributed to derailing his development over his first three seasons in the NBA. Bagley looks like he'll be in store for a normal offseason, but his long-term future in Sacramento appears murky. With career averages of 14.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game across 118 appearances, Bagley has often been a double-double threat when he's been able to play, but he hasn't been an especially efficient shooter (55.3 true shooting percentage) and has offered little in the peripheral categories (1.4 assists, 1.1 blocks, 0.8 three-pointers and 0.7 steals per game). Frontcourt mate Richaun Holmes is set to become a free agent this offseason, and if Sacramento can't retain him, Bagley could shift over from power forward to center, which may be a more natural fit for the 22-year-old's skill set.
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Past Season Summaries
2019

Bagley appeared in 13 games (six starts) for Sacramento during the pandemic-shortened 2019-20 season. The second-year big man started and played 28 minutes during the season opener on Oct. 23, posting a 14-point, 10-rebounds double-double against Phoenix. A thumb fracture then kept him out of action until Dec. 11, when he returned with 11 points, six boards and a block during a home win over the Thunder. On Dec. 21, Bagley again double-doubled with 11 points, 11 rebounds, two dimes and two steals in a loss at Memphis. Five nights later, he scored a season-high 18 points with four boards in a close loss to the Timberwolves. A foot sprain then forced an eight-game absence. Bagley returned Jan. 13 and matched his season best with another 18 points versus the Magic. That effort was part of a four-game run in which Bagley averaged 15.5 points, 8.8 rebounds and 1.0 blocks per contest. A 15-point, 15-rebound double-double against the Heat on Jan. 20 ended up being his last game of the season, as a recurrence of his foot injury kept him out for the remainder of the campaign. Bagley finished with averages of 14.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 0.9 blocks per game while shooting a much-improved 80.6 percent from the free-throw line.

2018

Taken second overall in the 2018 NBA Draft, Bagley enjoyed a successful debut season with Sacramento. He finished with 14.9 points and 7.6 rebounds across 25.3 minutes per game, but it really was a story of two seasons for the Duke product. Injuries limited Bagley early in the year, and he averaged 12.9 points and 6.6 rebounds in 23.6 minutes per game between October and January. However, from February on, he averaged 17.8 points and 9.1 rebounds in 27.8 minutes per game. Bagley put up his solid numbers as a reserve, starting four times in 62 games played. In those four starts, he made the case for staying in the lineup with 20.0 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Bagley's best scoring game of the season -- 32 points on 10-of-15 shooting against Phoenix on Feb. 10 -- came in a contest he did not start. His season high of 17 rebounds also came in a bench appearance on Nov. 24 against Golden State. Bagley put up his scoring numbers on 50.4 percent shooting from the field, 31.3 percent shooting from 3-point range and 69.1 percent shooting from the free-throw line. He also added a block per game to round out a productive rookie campaign.

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Transaction History
  • June 21, 2018
    Selected by the Sacramento Kings in the first round (second overall pick) of the 2018 NBA Draft.
  • July 1, 2018
    Signed a two-year, $15.86 million contract with the Sacramento Kings.
  • October 30, 2019
    Sacramento Kings exercised $8.96 million team option for 2020-21.
  • December 4, 2020
    Sacramento Kings exercised $11.31 million team option for 2021-22.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
Prior to February, Bagley dealt with injury issues and was eased into a role, seeing just 23.5 minutes per game across 37 appearances. Things opened up for the rookie once February hit, however. Across the final three months of the season, the Duke product averaged 17.8 points on 14.0 shots, 9.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists in 27.7 minutes. He kept up the great production during his four starts, averaging 20.0 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists. At the age of 19, Bagley has already demonstrated upside as one of the league's better offensive rebounders, ranking 17th in offensive rebound percentage (10.4). Heading into his second season, Bagley's role as the Kings' starting power forward seems cemented, and it would be surprising if he saw much fewer than 30 minutes per contest. While his three-pointer (30-for-96, 31.3%) and free-throw shooting (181-for-262, 69.1%) need some work, he was able to shoot an impressive 50.4 percent from the field overall. As is the case with many promising second-year players, he'll likely have an aggressive ADP come draft season, and fantasy owners may have to take on some risk if they want land Bagley for certain.
Bagley spent last season at Duke as a freshman, where he won ACC Player of the year by averaging 21.0 points and 11.1 rebounds per game. He also shot 61.4 percent from the field and 39.7 percent from deep, though took only 1.8 threes per contest. That resume was strong enough for the Kings to draft Bagley No. 2 overall during the 2018 Draft. He appeared in four summer league tilts with the team, but was underwhelming, posting averages of 10.3 points on 33.3 percent shooting, 5.8 rebounds and 1.8 blocks across 26.1 minutes. Still, Bagley, who is 6-foot-11 and 234 pounds, is expected to start at power forward to begin the season and should see significant run in the frontcourt, and maybe even some at small forward. He should be a nightly double-double threat, though it’s not clear if he'll be a dynamic enough of a scorer during Year 1 to make big impact at the NBA level. All things considered, Bagley’s pedigree and projected usage alone is probably enough to be worth a late-round flyer at the very least in most standard formats.
More Fantasy News
Unavailable Sunday
FSacramento Kings
Groin
May 14, 2021
Bagley (groin) won't play in Sunday's game against Utah, Jason Anderson of The Sacramento Bee reports.
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Out Friday
FSacramento Kings
Groin
May 14, 2021
Bagley (groin) will remain out Friday against Memphis.
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Doubtful Friday
FSacramento Kings
Groin
May 14, 2021
Bagley (groin) is doubtful for Friday's game Grizzlies.
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Ruled out Thursday
FSacramento Kings
Groin
May 13, 2021
Bagley (groin) will not play Thursday against Memphis, Evan Barnes of The Memphis Commercial Appeal reports.
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Doubtful Thursday
FSacramento Kings
Groin
May 12, 2021
Bagley (groin) is doubtful for Thursday's matchup against the Grizzlies.
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