Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

23-Year-Old ForwardF
Orlando Magic  NBA  
Orlando Magic
Out
Injury Oblique
Est. Return 1/5/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In 2023-24, Wagner averaged 19.7 points, 5.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists and 1.1 steals per game -- all career highs. However, his three-point shot took a turn for the worse. After shooting at least 35 percent from deep in each of his first two seasons, Wagner shot only 28.1 percent on 4.6 attempts per game last year, including an abysmal 18.8 percent over his final 27 regular-season appearances. The 22-year-old is an ascending player, and the Magic -- led by Paolo Banchero -- are emerging as a legitimate threat in the Eastern Conference, but without a competent three-point shot, Wagner's fantasy value will be limited. Given Wagner has shot at least 84 percent from the charity stripe in each of his first three NBA seasons, it's safe to say he could bounce back from deep with a mechanical adjustment. However, it'd still be a stretch to draft Wagner inside the top 50 even if it were certain he'd get back to being a league-average three-point shooter. While Wagner has restricted fantasy upside in his current situation, he has a relatively safe floor and should be drafted before the seventh round. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Current Season
From Preseason
#53
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $224 million contract extension with the Magic in July of 2024.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary

Franz Jacob Wagner was born in August 2001 in Berlin, Germany. He is the son of Beate Wagner and Axel Schulz. Wagner joined Germany's Alba Berlin side in 2018 and won the BBL Best Young Player Award. He committed to play for the University of Michigan, where his older brother, Moritz, played. The forward averaged 11.6 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.3 steals across 27 games during his 2019-20 NCAA season. He was named to the 2020 Big Ten All-Freshman team. Wagner improved during his sophomore campaign by averaging 12.5 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists across 28 games during the 2020-21 NCAA season. He was an integral member of a Wolverines team that advanced into the NCAA Tournament's Elite Eight. Wagner was named to the 2021 All-Big 10 second team by coaches and All-Big 10 third team by media members. He declared for the 2021 NBA Draft after two seasons at Michigan. Wagner was selected eighth overall by the Orlando Magic.

Suffers torn right oblique
FOrlando Magic
Oblique
December 7, 2024
Wagner (oblique) tore his right oblique during Friday's 102-94 loss to the 76ers and will be re-evaluated in four weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Wagner had carried the Magic over the last month following Paolo Banchero's own torn right oblique injury, with the former averaging 26.1 points, 6.3 assists, 6.0 rebounds and 1.8 steals over 34.9 minutes since and including Nov. 1. Wagner will be re-evaluated in mid-January, but he is considered out indefinitely. With the Magic without their two young stars in Wagner and Banchero, they will turn to Jalen Suggs, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Tristan da Silva, and Cole Anthony to take on bigger roles in the short term, though Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports that Banchero is progressing well and is aiming to resume activities in late December.
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Stat Review
How does Franz Wagner compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
  • True Shooting %
    An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
  • Effective Field Goal %
    A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
  • 3-Point Attempt Rate
    Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
  • Free Throw Rate
    Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
  • Offensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Defensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Total Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Assist %
    An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
  • Steal %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Block %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Turnover %
    An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
  • Usage %
    An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
  • Fantasy Points Per Game
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
  • Fantasy Points Per Minute
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
57.3%
 
Effective Field Goal %
51.9%
 
3-Point Attempt Rate
33.6%
 
Free Throw Rate
28.5%
 
Offensive Rebound %
3.1%
 
Defensive Rebound %
17.0%
 
Total Rebound %
9.8%
 
Assist %
31.8%
 
Steal %
2.3%
 
Block %
1.4%
 
Turnover %
8.2%
 
Usage %
30.9%
 
Fantasy Points Per Game
43.8
 
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.3
 
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How are these ratings calculated?
Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Franz Wagner was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Twenty-one-year-old Franz Wagner is heading into his third NBA season after showing solid progression through his first two years in the league. The German forward averaged an impressive 18.6 points on efficient 48.5 percent shooting. He started in all 80 appearances and put up several big performances throughout the season, including a 31-point output on 13-of-22 shooting early on against the Kings. He also poured in a season-high 34 points on lights-out 12-of-15 shooting in December against Toronto. Wagner topped 30 points three times and accumulated two double-doubles with a season-high 10 rebounds both times. Wagner has a great opportunity to continue his growth alongside an up-and-coming young core, including two first-overall picks, Markelle Fultz and Paolo Banchero. Wagner has a critical and well-carved-out role as a three-point shooter and slasher, and he is surrounded by good distributors to help him find his shot. He averaged 14.0 field-goal attempts per game last season and should be entitled to the same, if not a couple more, as an established offensive leader for the Magic. Another area Wagner can continue to grow his game is at the foul line, as he averaged 4.0 attempts per game last season, and his progressing maturity should result in some added strength and cunning heading into year three.
The eighth overall pick in 2021, Wagner had a successful season with the Magic that earned him All-Rookie First Team honors. He started all 79 appearances and averaged 15.2 points on 47/35/86 shooting, 4.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists in 30.7 minutes. He posted some big efforts along the way, most notably his performance against the Bucks on Dec. 28, when the forward posted a career-high 38 points (12-20 FG, 4-8 3Pt, 10-10 FT), seven rebounds, three assists, a steal and a block. He posted other highs of 11 rebounds, 10 assists, six steals, five three-point makes and two blocks - demonstrating a well-rounded skillset. He was also effective off the ball as a cutter and corner three-point shooter, hitting 44 percent of his 66 three-point attempts from that area. Wagner should start at forward again this season, though there will be more competition for touches. Markelle Fultz will be back in the fold, and the Magic selected Paolo Banchero with the No. 1 pick in the 2022 Draft. Banchero is also a forward, and he, like Wagner, is a capable playmaker with the ball in his hands. But the assumption should be that the organization will prioritize Banchero's development and touches over Wagner's. Wagner will still play a significant role in the offense, but fantasy managers shouldn't expect a huge leap out of him in his second year despite the promising rookie campaign. Last year, Wagner ranked 103rd in per-game fantasy production and he should be drafted earlier than that this season, but there are plenty of players with higher upside.
One of the more unique players in the class, Wagner's length and intangibles are the primary traits that made him a top-10 pick. Wagner averaged a well-rounded 12.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.0 block as a sophomore at Michigan last season. He's far from a traditional playmaker, but Wagner's passing is well-above-average for his age and size. He also profiles as a potentially elite defender capable of shadowing opposing big men and sticking with guards at the rim. Wagner will have more competition for playing time than fellow-rookie Jalen Suggs - including from his older brother, Moritz - but if the minutes are there, he could be one of the most well-rounded rookies in the class. Still, Wagner is probably a year away from warranting draft consideration in standard formats.
More Fantasy News
Hits for 30 again in Friday's loss
FOrlando Magic
December 7, 2024
Wagner chipped in 30 points (10-23 FG, 3-12 3Pt, 7-7 FT), five rebounds, five assists, one block and one steal across 38 minutes during Friday's 102-94 loss to Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Leads all scorers with 35 points
FOrlando Magic
December 4, 2024
Wagner notched 35 points (12-23 FG, 1-6 3Pt, 10-10 FT), seven rebounds, two assists and one block across 36 minutes during Wednesday's 106-102 victory over the 76ers.
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Leads Orlando in loss Tuesday
FOrlando Magic
December 4, 2024
Wagner had 30 points (10-22 FG, 1-5 3Pt, 9-9 FT), three rebounds, six assists and three steals over 39 minutes during Tuesday's 121-106 loss to the Knicks.
ANALYSIS
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Versatile showing in victory
FOrlando Magic
December 1, 2024
Wagner posted 20 points (4-17 FG, 0-6 3Pt, 12-14 FT), nine rebounds, eight assists and two blocks in 38 minutes during Sunday's 100-92 victory over the Nets.
ANALYSIS
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Elite production continues
FOrlando Magic
November 29, 2024
Wagner ended with 29 points (12-20 FG, 3-6 3Pt, 2-2 FT), eight rebounds, eight assists, one block and two steals across 35 minutes during Friday's 123-100 victory over the Nets.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
On hot streak
FOrlando Magic
November 15, 2024
Wagner is averaging 28.3 points, 6.5 rebounds and 6.0 assists on 45.9/33.3/86.8 percent shooting across his last six games.
ANALYSIS
Wagner is averaging 35.0 minutes per contest over that span while stepping up in the absence of Paolo Banchero -- who is amid a multi-week absence due to an oblique injury. Wagner continues to profile as a subpar three-point shooter, hitting just 32.9 percent of 5.3 threes per game on the season, but his 37.5 percent clip on 32 off-the-dribble threes is strong. Metrics hint at continued evolution for the 23-year-old.
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