Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

25-Year-Old GuardG
Dallas Mavericks
GTD
Injury Ankle
Est. Return 4/21/2024
2023 Fantasy Outlook
From a fantasy perspective, Doncic's 2022-23 campaign was the best of his career, with the star playmaker ranking eighth in per-game value. He reached a career-high 32.4 points per game while also converting a career-high 49.6 percent of his shots from the field. His 1.4 steals were a career mark as well. Doncic made his fourth straight All-NBA First Team selection and finished eighth in MVP voting. Few players are as heliocentric as Doncic, whose 37.6 percent usage rate was just second behind Giannis Antetokounmpo. His 10 triple-doubles ranked third in the association. The addition of Kyrie Irving in the middle of last season didn't drastically affect Doncic's numbers. The team remains shallow, so Doncic will still need to play his heliocentric brand of basketball, even if Irving is there to carry a bit of the burden. At this point, free-throw percentage is arguably the biggest negative of his fantasy profile. He's never shot better than 75.8 percent from the stripe. Turnovers were an issue in the past, but he brought those down to 3.6 per game in 2022-23. All things considered, Doncic is a clear first-round pick in all formats. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Current Season
From Preseason
#3
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $207.06 million contract extension with the Mavericks in August of 2021.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary

Luka Doncic was born in Ljubljana, Slovenia, to Mirjam Poterbin and Sasha Doncic. His father played pro basketball in Slovenia while his godfather, Radoslav Nesterovic, played 12 seasons in the NBA and won a title with the San Antonio Spurs in 2005. Luka began playing basketball at age eight with the youth teams of Olimpija. He practiced often with Olimpija's under-14 team, but due to league rules, could not play with the squad. Instead, he played for the club's under-12 selection team. When he was only 13, Doncic signed a five-year contract with Real Madrid. He immediately began playing for the under-16 team, earning the MVP award during the under-16 Spain Championship. In the championship game, he scored 25 points in victory. The following year, Doncic moved up to Real Madrid's under-18 team and reserve team. He continued to shine, winning the MVP award at the under-18 Next Generation Tournament and claiming a championship. At 16 years, two months and two days of age, he made his professional debut, becoming the youngest player to ever play for Real Madrid. A little over three years later, Doncic became an NBA player when he was selected in the 2018 NBA Draft. He has shown an interest for charitable giving throughout his brief career, donating game-worn sneakers to raise money for meaningful causes on more than one occasion. Learn more about Doncic by following him on Twitter (@luka7doncic) and on Instagram (@lukadoncic). Luka Doncic played three seasons for the EuroLeague's Real Madrid squad before joining the Mavericks in 2018. As a 16-year-old, he appeared in 51 EuroLeague and ACB games for Real Madrid, coming off the bench to average 4.3 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists in over 12 minutes per game during the 2015-16 season. During his second year with Real Madrid, Doncic started 26 of 77 EuroLeague and ACB games, helping the squad to a fourth-place EuroLeague finish. He led the team in scoring in four of 36 EuroLeague contests. Doncic's EuroLeague career peaked in 2017-18, a season in which he led Real Madrid to their 10th EuroLeague Championship. He averaged 16.0 points, 4.8 boards and 4.3 assists over 33 EuroLeague contests. After Real Madrid defeated Fenerbahce Dogus in the EuroLeague finals, Doncic was named both EuroLeague Final Four MVP and EuroLeague MVP. At 18, he was the youngest EuroLeague player to win the MVP award.

Done for regular season
GDallas Mavericks
Ankle
April 12, 2024
Doncic (ankle), who has already been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pistons, will also miss Sunday's season finale against the Thunder, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The Mavericks have elected to rest the star point guard for the next week before the playoffs begin. Doncic turned in arguably the best regular season of his six-year NBA career in 2023-24, averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, 9.2 rebounds, 4.1 three-pointers and 1.4 steals in 37.5 minutes per game over 70 appearances while shooting 48.7 percent from the field and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line.
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Stat Review
How does Luka Doncic compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
  • True Shooting %
    An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
  • Effective Field Goal %
    A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
  • 3-Point Attempt Rate
    Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
  • Free Throw Rate
    Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
  • Offensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Defensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Total Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Assist %
    An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
  • Steal %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Block %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Turnover %
    An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
  • Usage %
    An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
  • Fantasy Points Per Game
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
  • Fantasy Points Per Minute
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
61.7%
 
Effective Field Goal %
57.3%
 
3-Point Attempt Rate
45.0%
 
Free Throw Rate
36.8%
 
Offensive Rebound %
2.5%
 
Defensive Rebound %
24.4%
 
Total Rebound %
13.5%
 
Assist %
44.3%
 
Steal %
1.6%
 
Block %
1.3%
 
Turnover %
9.7%
 
Usage %
36.0%
 
Fantasy Points Per Game
61.5
 
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.6
 
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Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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Mavericks Depth Chart
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Luka Doncic was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Eligible for massive extension
GDallas Mavericks
April 2, 2024
Doncic is eligible to sign a massive extension with the Mavericks in 2025, according to Bobby Marks of ESPN.com.
ANALYSIS
The Mavericks signed Doncic to a five-year, $215 million extension in August 2021, meaning he's slated to hit the open market in the summer of 2026. The Mavericks are against that scenario, so they could extend him in 2025 when he still has one year left on his current deal. If Doncic is selected to one of the All-NBA teams this season, he'd be eligible to sign a five-year, $346 million super-max extension in the offseason of 2025. That contract would likely be the richest in NBA history.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Doncic entered last season firmly in the discussion among the top players to select in fantasy. He came through with another monster stat line, averaging 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds, 8.7 assists, 1.2 steals and 3.1 three-pointers per game. He had a career-high 37.4 percent usage rate, which was also the highest mark in the NBA. If there was a downside, it's that his 45.7 percent shooting from the field and 74.4 percent shooting from the free-throw line are nothing to write home about. The Mavericks bolstered their frontcourt over the summer by adding Christian Wood and JaVale McGee, filling an area of significant need. However, they lost Jalen Brunson to the Knicks and didn't make any noteworthy additions at the guard spot, leaving Spencer Dinwiddie and Tim Hardaway Jr. as Doncic's top running mates. If he could improve his free-throw shooting percentage to around 80 percent, Doncic could be the top player in all of fantasy. Even if he doesn't, he's still a top target who should be gone by the end of the first round of all leagues. His floor is as high as anyone's, and his ceiling is a player who could average 30 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists and 3.0 three-pointers.
Doncic signed a five-year, $207 million extension with the Mavericks in the offseason, coming off a 2020-21 campaign in which he averaged 27.7 points, 8.6 assists, 8.0 rebounds and 1.0 steals in 34.3 minutes. He also reached career-highs in field-goal percentage (47.9) and three-point percentage (35.0). That resulted in Doncic ranking 14th in fantasy production on a per-game basis -- a marginal dip from his 2019-20 rank of 10th. Most impressively was the 22-year-old stepping his game up in the playoffs against the Clippers and the elite wing defense of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. In the seven-game, first-round series, Doncic averaged 35.7 points on 49/41/53 shooting, 10.3 assists, 7.9 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 40.2 minutes. Doncic is the betting favorite for MVP heading into 2021-22, demonstrating how much of a phenom he already is. His usage should stay stagnant, as the Mavericks didn't make any impactful additions in terms of playmakers during the offseason, and arguably the only meaningful addition they made at all was Reggie Bullock -- a much-needed 3-and-D wing. Putting aside turnovers for the purposes of most fantasy leagues, the only significant hole to poke in Doncic's game is his poor free-throw percentage. He's a 73.5 percent career shooter in the NBA and was an 80.1 percent career shooter in Europe, so there's certainly room for improvement. Even if he doesn't make strides there, Doncic is still worth a first-round selection in almost all fantasy leagues due to his pure upside as a nightly 30-10-10 threat. He also may be the most valuable player in keeper/dynasty fantasy formats.
Doncic built upon his electric rookie campaign, improving his numbers essentially across the board. The sophomore 20-year-old averaged 28.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, 8.8 assists, 2.8 threes and 1.0 steals in 33.6 minutes during 2019-20. Doncic is in complete control of the Mavericks' offense, posting the second-highest usage rate in the league (36.8 percent), trailing only Giannis Antetokounmpo and just ahead of James Harden. What resulted was the 10th-best fantasy season on a per-game basis in eight-category leagues. Doncic's big performances were historic, including a game against the Bucks in the bubble where he recorded 36 points, 19 assists, 14 rebounds and a steal with just two turnovers -- one of his 17 triple-doubles. While it doesn't seem like there's much more for him to improve in terms of raw numbers, he's just 21 years old, so improvement is practically inevitable. For Doncic, that would probably take the form of better efficiency from three (31.6 percent) and the free-throw line (75.8). All things considered, Doncic is a no-brainer first-round fantasy selection who has the upside to crack the Top 5 if things break right.
The 2018-19 Rookie of the Year, Doncic had one of the best opening campaigns in NBA history. He became the first rookie ever to average at least 20 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists and 1 steal, and he did it as a 19-year-old. Not only did Doncic record an impressive 21.2 points per game, he did it in unique fashion for a young player, with the only other rookie ever to average at least 2 made threes and 4 made free-throws being Allen Iverson. The Mavericks are already comfortable handing Doncic the keys to the offense, and his all-around skillset makes him a valuable fantasy commodity. He ranked 11th in usage rate (30.5%) last season, and Doncic recorded eight games with at least 30 points, 22 games with at least 10 rebounds, 11 performances with 10-plus assists, and nine outings with greater than three steals. It's difficult to over-emphasize how NBA-ready Doncic looked as a teenager. Heading into his second season, fantasy owners will look for the 6-foot-7 playmaker to increase his efficiency, as he shot a less-than-ideal 42.7 percent from the field, 32.7 percent from deep and 71.3 percent from the charity stripe. If Doncic can bump those percentages up while making small statistical strides elsewhere, he has a strong shot at making the All-Star team in 2019-20 and being a top-tier fantasy asset.
Doncic entered the 2018 NBA Draft as one of the more hyped international players in recent memory. He picked up EuroLeague MVP honors in his fourth season with Real Madrid and finished the year with averages of 16.0 points, 4.9 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.1 steals across 33 games. He also hit 1.7 three-pointers per contest at a 32.9 percent clip. Doncic's production earned him a selection with the third overall pick in the 2018 NBA Draft and he now heads to Dallas as another building block for the future. It seems likely that Doncic is thrust into big minutes right away and even though there may be some growing pains in terms of his fit alongside promising second-year guard Dennis Smith, his extended range at 6-foot-8 and versatility to make in impact at three different positions are all positives for his future Fantasy outlook. Doncic's numbers likely won't be overly gaudy in Year 1, but he'll enter the season as the best all-around Fantasy rookie, and he projects as a much more efficient scorer than the other guards in his draft class. Look for the rookie to be a coveted selection in dynasty leagues and he'll also be an intriguing late-round selection in standard drafts for those hoping Doncic makes a seamless transition to the NBA.
More Fantasy News
Officially out
GDallas Mavericks
Ankle
April 12, 2024
Doncic (ankle) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pistons, Grant Afseth of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Unlikely to play Friday
GDallas Mavericks
Ankle
April 12, 2024
Doncic (ankle) is expected to miss Friday's game versus the Pistons, NBA writer Marc Stein reports.
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Questionable to play Friday
GDallas Mavericks
Ankle
April 11, 2024
Doncic is questionable to play Friday against the Pistons due to left ankle soreness.
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Triple-doubles against Hornets
GDallas Mavericks
April 10, 2024
Doncic supplied 39 points (13-25 FG, 8-17 3Pt, 5-7 FT), 12 rebounds, 10 assists and one block across 35 minutes during Tuesday's 130-104 win over the Hornets.
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Near triple-double in return
GDallas Mavericks
April 8, 2024
Doncic contributed 37 points (12-21 FG, 4-10 3Pt, 9-9 FT), nine rebounds, 12 assists and two blocks across 45 minutes during Sunday's 147-136 overtime win over the Rockets.
ANALYSIS
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