Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro

24-Year-Old GuardG
Miami Heat  NBA  
Miami Heat
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Now in his fifth season in the NBA, Herro will be looking to elevate his game to the next level. After establishing himself as a reliable scoring option in the 2021-22 season, Herro plateaued last season, basically mimicking his numbers from the previous year. He was the 79th-ranked player in nine-category leagues thanks to averages of 20.1 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 0.8 steals and 3.0 three-pointers. Looking at the roster right now, Herro should land himself a similar role. With Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry both another year older, there is even a chance Herro shoulders a little more responsibility, especially on the offensive end. With Damian Lillard failing to find his way to Milwaukee, Herro should be looked at as a solid mid-round target with potential top-50 upside. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Current Season
From Preseason
#76
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $120 million contract extension with the Heat in October of 2022.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary

Tyler Christopher Herro was born Jan. 20, 200 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He is the son of Jen and Chris Herro and has two brothers, Austin and Myles. While at Kentucky, Herro studied communications. Herro's college teammates gave him the nickname "Boy Wonder". Outside of basketball, Herro's interests include fashion and photography. He has his own charitable foundation, The T. Herro Foundation, which strives to support and inspire youth through community events, camps and other programs with the goal to cultivate the heroes of tomorrow. When Herro's playing career is over, he'd like to coach. You can follow Herro on Twitter @raf_tyler. The 2018-19 Kentucky Wildcats were a deep and talented team, but Herro was the only player who started all 37 games for the team. Coach John Calipari mixed his starting lineup and had to deal with some injuries, but Herro was a consistent scoring presence. He was second on the team with 14.0 points while also adding 4.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. The 6-foot-5 guard hit 35.5 percent of his three-pointers. Herro scored at least 20 points six times, including a season-high 29 points in a comeback win over Arkansas. He had his lone double-double game with 15 points and 13 rebounds in a win over Tennessee. The guard helped the Wildcats get to the Elite Eight. He knocked down 19 points in a win over Houston and was named to the All-Midwest Region team to go along with SEC All-Freshman and All-SEC Second Teams. After his freshman season, Herro declared for the 2019 NBA Draft. He was chosen by the Miami Heat with the 13th overall pick.

Ends season plagued by struggles
GMiami Heat
May 2, 2024
Herro ended Wednesday's 118-84 loss to the Celtics in Game 5 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs with 15 points (6-19 FG, 1-8 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds and three assists across 35 minutes.
ANALYSIS
Herro was forced to embrace a more prominent role on offense due to the absences of Jimmy Butler (knee) and Terry Rozier (neck) in the series against the Celtics. While the numbers were decent across the board, he struggled badly in terms of efficiency and shooting percentages. Over the five games of the series, Herro made just 38.5 percent of his shots from the field and 34.9 percent of his three-pointers. He averaged 16.8 points per game, but that was not enough to lift Miami to victory against the team with the best record in the NBA.
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Stat Review
How does Tyler Herro compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
  • True Shooting %
    An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
  • Effective Field Goal %
    A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
  • 3-Point Attempt Rate
    Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
  • Free Throw Rate
    Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
  • Offensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Defensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Total Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Assist %
    An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
  • Steal %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Block %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Turnover %
    An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
  • Usage %
    An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
  • Fantasy Points Per Game
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
  • Fantasy Points Per Minute
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
55.8%
 
Effective Field Goal %
53.1%
 
3-Point Attempt Rate
45.3%
 
Free Throw Rate
15.1%
 
Offensive Rebound %
1.5%
 
Defensive Rebound %
16.5%
 
Total Rebound %
8.9%
 
Assist %
22.6%
 
Steal %
1.0%
 
Block %
0.2%
 
Turnover %
8.7%
 
Usage %
27.9%
 
Fantasy Points Per Game
34.0
 
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.0
 
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How are these ratings calculated?
Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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Heat Rotation: Minutes Breakdown
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Tyler Herro was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Receives Olympic consideration
GMiami Heat
January 24, 2024
Herro is in the initial player pool to be considered for Team USA's roster in advance of the 2024 Olympics, Shams Charania of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Herro continues to produce at a consistent offensive level for Miami in his fifth season, delivering 22.0 points and 4.1 assists on 18.9 shots per game at 43.5/40.1/84.8 percent efficiency. Herro's comfort level coming off the bench could make him a viable puzzle piece for the final 12-man roster, but he faces stiff competition from Kyrie Irving, Damian Lillard and Jalen Brunson as score-first guards.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Herro made significant strides in his third season, netting him the 2021-22 Sixth Man of the Year award. He reached career highs in nearly all metrics. The 22-year-old averaged 20.7 points on 45/40/87 shooting, 5.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists in 32.6 minutes. He also set a new career-high single-game scoring performance with 35 points against the Hornets. Miami wasn't shy about leaning on him as the leader of the bench unit, as his 28.8 percent usage rate (18th in the league) would suggest. The fantasy result was Herro ranking 66th in per-game value. With Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry aging and prone to rest days and injury, fantasy managers should feel confident targeting the young and rising Herro. He'll boast a major production boost when one or both of Lowry and Butler miss games, and he's entrenched as a high-usage offensive option even when the pair are available. Combine Herro's potential for boosted stats with an assumed improvement, and he will go off the board much earlier than last season's rank. He will have trouble reaching elite levels due to his current role and lack of defensive stats, but the Kentucky product is a high-floor option in the early-to-mid rounds of drafts.
After an impressive playoff run in the bubble during the 2020 playoffs as a rookie, Herro was viewed as having plenty of upside as a sophomore last season. While he did improve, it wasn't the leap forward that fantasy managers expected. Herro ranked 131st in per-game production last season behind 15.1 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 30.3 minutes. There are encouraging signs of growth if you know where to look. He decreased his mid-range jumpers, replacing them with more shots at the rim, and he improved as a finisher at the basket. He also increased his vision significantly, jumping from 3.9 assists per 100 possessions to 5.6 assists per 100 possessions while keeping his turnovers nearly stagnant. Heading into 2021-22, Herro should practically be locked into minutes in the high-20s, and he should continue to occupy a sixth-man role. However, there are conflicting factors when considering Herro's potential production. He's 21 years old, has stepped up in the postseason and is making improvements. But, the Heat got significantly better in the offseason -- adding Kyle Lowry and retaining Victor Oladipo -- meaning Herro won't need to score 15 points every night for the Heat to win. He's someone that fantasy managers in dynasty leagues should feel good about long-term, but Herro might not be a great option this season. It's fair to expect him to be drafted inside the top 100, but that's far from a guarantee to pay off.
Herro is heading into his sophomore NBA season with considerable momentum after a rookie campaign in which he averaged 13.5 points, 2.1 threes and 4.1 rebounds despite making only eight starts. Adding to the hype, he elevated his play when the postseason rolled around, averaging 16.0 points during the Heat's run to the NBA Finals. Whether he opens games on the court or not, it's clear that the Heat will give Herro all the playing time he can handle. The Kentucky product is a natural scorer who's sharp from both three-point range (38.9 percent) and the free-throw line (87.0 percent), which should have fantasy managers salivating at the prospect of increased opportunity. His fantasy value is capped to some degree by his relative lack of secondary stats outside the shooting categories, but at just 20 years old, Herro has plenty of room to grow his game. Expect a scoring spike driven by plenty of threes, with some boards and steals as a bonus.
Herro was selected No. 13 overall in the 2019 draft after an impressive freshman season with Kentucky. He snuck into the lottery behind a strong NCAA Tournament, and he could land the starting job at shooting guard as a rookie with Miami. Herro flashed at the Las Vegas Summer League with his all-around play, averaging 19.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.5 steals in four appearances. The lanky two-guard can be impactful on both ends of the court, with his solid defense and ability to get to the rim and shoot the three-ball at a respectable clip (35.5 percent last season) on offense. The pure scorer should have no problem securing a healthy allotment of minutes in a rotation that could use help scoring outside of Jimmy Butler. He won't face much competition for playing time from the current members of the Heat backcourt outside of Dion Waiters.
More Fantasy News
Poor shooting effort in Game 3
GMiami Heat
April 27, 2024
Herro finished with 15 points (5-16 FG, 3-9 3Pt, 2-2 FT), two rebounds and two assists in 33 minutes during Saturday's 104-84 loss to the Celtics in Game 3 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs.
ANALYSIS
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Leads offensively in double-double
GMiami Heat
April 24, 2024
Herro posted 24 points (7-13 FG, 6-11 3Pt, 4-4 FT), 14 assists, five rebounds and one steal over 38 minutes in Wednesday's 111-101 win over Boston in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference first round.
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Wills team to victory
GMiami Heat
April 19, 2024
Herro accumulated 24 points (8-17 FG, 4-9 3Pt, 4-4 FT), 10 rebounds and nine assists in 33 minutes during Friday's 112-91 Play-In Game victory over the Bulls.
ANALYSIS
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Paces team in scoring in loss
GMiami Heat
April 18, 2024
Herro registered 25 points (9-27 FG, 4-14 3Pt, 3-3 FT), two rebounds and nine assists over 41 minutes during Wednesday's 105-104 Play-In Game loss to Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Stuffs stat sheet in win Sunday
GMiami Heat
April 14, 2024
Herro ended Sunday's 118-103 victory over the Raptors with 17 points (5-11 FG, 2-5 3Pt, 5-5 FT), six rebounds, eight assists and one steal across 29 minutes.
ANALYSIS
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