After the Steak League auction two years ago, I wrote a post of the same name, but wound up leading the 16-team league in total points. Last year, I wrote “How I Dominated the Steak League Auction” and once again led that 14-team league in total points by year’s end. But this year, I botched it, and I’m pretty sure it’s for real.
The second “Beat Chris Liss” league took place last night. It’s part of the $100-K grand prize, RotoWire Online championship offered by the NFFC. It’s a 12-team full PPR format that has 1-QB, 2-RB, 3-WR, 1-TE, 1-FLEX, 1-K, 1-D and 10 bench spots. It also has third-round reversal whereby if you pick last in the first round, you pick not only first in the second but also the third, and last in the fourth. I drew the 11th pick.
Here are the results:
There was a lot to like about the Dolphins offense this offseason with DeVante Parker looking like a new man, and Jay Ajayi having locked down the tailback job. But Ryan Tannehill hurt his knee on a scramble Thursday morning, and there’s a good chance he’ll miss significant time – perhaps the entire year. Matt Moore was good down the stretch last year (8.3 YPA), but that was only three games, and the 32-year old journeyman is likely to be a significant downgrade from Tannehill who managed 7.7 YPA over 12 games in 2016.
I’m reprising this exercise from last year because I think it’s useful to identify potential breakouts and upside plays.
There are essentially four variables that determine a player’s value: (1) Health; (2) Skills; (3) Team Context; and (4) Role. Of the four, (1) and (4) are most subject to dramatic change, so I’ve eliminated them for the purposes of these rankings.
In the first table, I assume every player were guaranteed 16 games. In the second, I’ve ranked the top-20 QB, RB, WR and TE irrespective of roles, i.e., assuming everyone had an equal number of basic opportunities. For QBs, that’s 550 passing attempts, for RBs, that’s 250 carries, for WRs and TEs, that’s 130 targets. (I’m assuming a full PPR format.)
Last night, I did my first FFPC contest, a “Pros vs. Joes” format with six drafters who work in the industry and six non-industry ones who know the format well and presumably have had success in the past. It’s a full PPR, best-ball league with a few quirks. For starters, active lineups consist of 1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 2-FLEX, 1-TE, 1-K and 1-D, but TE get 1.5 PPR. It’s also 28 rounds, so it goes deeper than your typical MFL. I drafted out of the seven spot, same place as for my NFFC Beat Chris Liss league. First prize is a free entry into their Main Event, worth $1700.
The first $100K NFFC “Beat Chris Liss” league of the summer took place Tuesday night. It’s part of the RotoWire Online Championship the NFFC offers, wherein you compete both for a smaller ($1,500) league prize as well as the overall one. It’s a 12-team, full PPR league with 1-QB, 2-RB, 3-WR, 1-FLEX (RB/WR/TE), 1-TE, 1-K, 1-D and 10 bench spots. There’s also third-round reversal (3RR), meaning the team that picked last in Round 1, picks first in Round 3 and last in Round 4. I drew the seven-slot, so 3RR hardly affected me.
Here are the results: