To end the pre-season ADP series in 2016 we will observe some underappreciated fantasy assets who were passed over in drafts this summer. Past alumni of this list include: Odell Beckham, CJ Anderson, Travis Kelce, Matt Jones, Tyrod Taylor, Kirk Cousins and Blake Bortles — some of them league-winners. Now that your draft is over, the real game begins. Keep these names in mind if they are available on your league’s waiver wire.
The worst nightmare for any franchise has become a reality for the Minnesota Vikings this week when Teddy Bridgewater, their young franchise signal-caller, suffered a brutal knee injury during his final preseason practice. That leaves veteran backup Shaun Hill, barring trade, as the only option to jump in for Bridgewater week 1. Hill is still going undrafted in most leagues.
Now that the exhibition season is over, let’s examine some other QB competitions and how they affect ADP entering the biggest fantasy draft weekend of the year. The data below comes from NFFC leagues, which are PPR.
Things have stayed status quo among the top tight end tiers since the beginning of training camp, but there is plenty of movement among TE2’s on down to the deep sleepers. To make sure we get a good look at those sleepers, the ADP data comes from NFFC drafts, which are super deep PPR leagues.
The first thing that jumped out when looking at the latest ADP is how many running backs are losing ground compared to the number who are climbing. It’s such a fickle position that, as noted in the preseason Top-50, has already been emphatically overtaken by wide receivers as the top priority for fantasy drafters.
Somehow running backs are being valued even less than they were a month ago, when they were at an all-time low. We know the fantasy community loves to take trends to the extreme. So, is this the year of the running back over-correction? Or is this the new norm?
Jordy Nelson’s torn ACL last preseason was a massive blow to fantasy owners unlucky enough to have selected him in the first or second round. Of course, the Packers weren’t thrilled either. There haven’t been any such shakeups involving top-end wide receivers since training camp opened in 2016. Those who drafted early this year are fine with that.
There should be a ton of movement with draft positions as hype and story lines build through week 2 of the preseason schedule this weekend. Before I start looking who is losing and gaining momentum, I want to see where the rookie class is slotting in fantasy drafts.
The long running theme with 2016 rookies, Ezekiel Elliott aside, is that the class is underwhelming and not as talented as 2014 and 2015. That theme is very much playing out in current ADP. It’s telling that Kevin White, who only this week suited up for the first time since being drafted last season, would rank second if you count him as a rookie with an ADP of 72.5.
Now that we’ve seen the influence PPR leagues have on running backs and wide receivers, it’s time to check in on the tight end position. As usual, tight ends take a hit across the board compared to standard formats. This year only two tight ends are being selected higher in PPR drafts, although that’s two more than last season.