There is quite a bit of noise in this early August wide receiver ADP, especially compared to the running back numbers I surveyed Tuesday. So, I broke the data into three segments to get a clearer picture. As always, the PPR draft positions come from NFCC and standard data via Yahoo.
Most of the names that benefit from points per reception won’t surprise you. These are the players that help make a receiver-heavy strategy early in drafts pay off. Ideally, you want a running back who is on the field every down, but in today’s NFL, those are unicorns.
Next up in the ADP series is a look at what’s happening in the early rounds of fantasy drafts. It feels like there’s been a big shift in positional value since I started following average draft positions for these preseason posts in 2014. So, I want to see if the numbers match that.
2016 Positional Breakdown
ADP: 9 | RB4
This is a tough one, because like everyone else, I love Zeke Elliott as a prospect. There’s very little doubt about his every-down skill set and dream draft destination in Dallas. There are just too many unknowns with any rookie to take one ahead of some other supremely talented players who have defined NFL roles. There are also lingering investigations into alleged domestic violence, which has to at least register on the worry-meter with the league’s recent history. With an NFFC ADP of No. 9 overall, and even higher in other places (No. 6 in ESPN leagues, No. 7 in Yahoo), you’re paying for a season without growing pains, not to mention something more serious than your average first-year hiccups.
It’s that time of year. Players are reporting to training camp in the best shape of their respective lives. Veterans are trying to hold off rookies. So-and-so is battling that-one-dude for a starting job in a fancy scheme that tantalizes the fantasy football community. I’m here again to monitor those things and the corresponding fluctuations in draft position as we get closer to kickoff weekend.
“The Undrafted” sounds like it could be a new post-apocalyptic television series about a group of practice squad players who survive a zombie plague. For this exercise, however, it just means the following guys are not being selected in most standard fantasy leagues, but are worth a look in the late rounds of your Labor Day drafts. Players like CJ Anderson, Travis Kelce and Odell Beckham Jr. were in this category a year ago, so don’t be afraid to stash a talented athlete who could pop when the opportunity arises.
The signal callers are up in our fourth and final installment of position by position ADP trends. Running backs, wide receivers, tight ends and all the previous ADP posts can be found here.
Much of the movement with quarterbacks is from the few open camp battles that have been settled. As is the case with all positions, injuries are also to blame for long falls, and in turn, new opportunities for former backups.