I’ve just completed the first-draft of our NFL projections – minus the rookies – and I wanted to share a few thoughts on my process. It’s quite a bit different than what you’ll see on most other sites – at least as far as I can tell.
The offseason couldn’t have started much better for Pat Mahomes, as the Chiefs announced that they were shipping Alex Smith off to the Redskins and handing the starting QB job to their young signal caller. As great as his opportunity appeared to be, it got a whole lot better on the first day of free agency.
I lost some cash on this game, but enjoyed it nonetheless. There weren’t too many penalties, they got the catch rule right for once, it was well coached and for the most part well played. I was actually planning to watch the 40-minute version of it this morning, but took an afternoon nap and powered through until 3:30 am in real time. I’m a little sluggish today, but I don’t regret it.
It’s axiomatic there’s no point in watching the Super Bowl unless you have something riding on it. The line in the game is Patriots minus 4.5 as of this writing, and I’ll make my pick in Beating the Book during the middle of the week. But in the meantime, let’s take a look at some of the roughly 400 prop bets offered for the game.
I don’t even remember what happened Saturday. The Jags-Steelers was an insane game, and then the Vikings-Saints possibly the most insane I’ve ever watched. It also knocked me out of all my playoff pools and cost me against the spread. I couldn’t fall asleep after it, I was so stunned. It helped to imagine the outcome would have been the same had Drew Brees simply failed to complete the 4th-and-10 pass to Willie Snead, three drives – an eternity – earlier.
It was the first time I saw commercials all year as I had been on the red-zone channel during the regular season and watching the condensed version of standalone games. I’ll just say once you’ve watched commercial and stoppage free, it’s hard to go back to the old way of consuming the product.