J.J. Nelson
J.J. Nelson
27-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Oakland Raiders
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Combining his 2016 and 2017 campaigns, Nelson racked up 1,076 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 63 catches in 31 games before Arizona's collective offensive struggles in 2018 proved especially detrimental to Nelson's big-play upside. Although he appeared in 14 games last season, Nelson logged more than 25 offensive snaps in just one game en route to seven receptions for 64 yards on 19 targets. He'll be welcomed in Oakland on a one-year, prove-it deal as the Raiders have overhauled their wide receiver corps by adding a slew of newcomers such as Antonio Brown, Tyrell Williams and Ryan Grant in addition to rookie Hunter Renfrow. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Raiders in March of 2019.
Finds home in Oakland
WROakland Raiders
March 15, 2019
The Raiders signed Nelson on Friday.
ANALYSIS
Nelson thrived under the eye of coach Bruce Arians between 2015 and 2017, averaging 18.6 yards per catch and 8.5 yards per target. As a big-play threat, five of his 11 career touchdowns have gone for 30-plus yards. He experienced a downswing last year with two offensive coordinators -- seven catches (on 19 targets) for 64 yards -- on a Steve Wilks-directed coaching staff. Joining a Raiders offense with Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams in tow, Nelson is a good bet to experience a return to the form of his first three pro seasons.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do J.J. Nelson's 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
25.3
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.66
 
% Team Air Yards
9.3%
 
% Team Targets
4.0%
 
Avg Depth of Target
18.6 Yds
 
Catch Rate
36.8%
 
Drop Rate
0.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
3.0
 
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Scoring
Standard
PPR
Half PPR
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Oakland RaidersRaiders 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

845
0
571
0
369
0
325
0
233
0
219
0
71
0
16
0
6
0
5
0
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where J.J. Nelson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
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Side
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2018 J.J. Nelson Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do J.J. Nelson's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
5' 10"
 
Weight
160 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.28 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.15 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.02 sec
 
Vertical Jump
36.0 in
 
Broad Jump
127 in
 
Hand Length
8.25 in
 
Arm Length
31.13 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
With a contract year dangling like a carrot in front of him, Nelson may finally put together his immense gifts and have a true breakout season. Boasting 4.28 speed from the 2015 combine, his field-stretching ability has translated to 22 receptions of 20 or more yards in 42 career appearances. Moreover, he's posted back-to-back 500-yard seasons and has a seven-touchdown campaign (2016) on his resume. While his catch rate has also improved each year, Nelson managed to haul in just 47.5 percent of his 61 targets in 2017. Making matters worse, he's among the smallest players in the league at 5-10 and 160 pounds. The Cardinals' passing attack in the coming season will be dominated by the ever-reliable Larry Fitzgerald and elite receiving back David Johnson. Beyond the duo, Nelson is the best bet to take the top off defenses, but the presence of 2018 second-round selection Christian Kirk is a barrier to Nelson getting consistent work on short and intermediate routes.
Nelson's job is to stretch the field, and that he did last year with 16.7 YPC, four catches of 40-plus yards and six touchdowns on only 74 targets. Nelson added a 56-yard rushing TD for good measure in Week 14. At 5-10, 156, Nelson might be the NFL's lightest player, but he's also on the short list for its fastest with 4.28 40 speed. He'll never be a red-zone threat no matter how thinned out the depth chart is, so any damage he does will have to be from long range, and that will make his week-to-week performance more erratic than WRs who catch short throws. With Larry Fitzgerald turning 34 in August, Michael Floyd gone, John Brown recovering from an illness-driven down year and no tight ends of which to speak, Nelson could see more opportunities in 2017, though his slight frame means he'll likely never be a high-volume receiver.
As a rookie last season, Nelson recorded 11 receptions for 299 yards and two touchdowns in 11 games. The 24-year-old could experience an increase in production in 2016, but in a receiving corps loaded with talent -- namely Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, and John Brown -- it will be tough for Nelson to receive enough reps to make him a consistent fantasy contributor. Nonetheless, in a Cardinals offense under the playcalling of head coach Bruce Arians, Nelson will surely be utilized as a deep threat due to his burner status.
A fifth-round selection of the 2015 NFL Draft, Nelson enters the professional ranks as one of the smallest (5-foot-10, 156 pounds) players in the league, which will likely hurt his chances to contribute in a loaded Cardinals wide receiver corps that includes a player, John Brown, of similar stature (5-foot-11, 179 pounds). Nelson offsets his diminutive frame with noted speed, namely a 4.28 40-yard dash from the combine, meaning he'll likely be considered as a return specialist to start his career. In addition to 19.6 YPC and 20 touchdown receptions during four seasons at UAB, he blazed a trail in the return game, dashing for 25.4 yards per kickoff return and taking five such returns to the house.
More Fantasy News
Healthy scratch Week 17
WRArizona Cardinals
Coach's Decision
December 30, 2018
Nelson (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game at Seattle, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids injury report
WRArizona Cardinals
December 26, 2018
Nelson (illness/personal) isn't listed on the Cardinals' injury report Wednesday, Scott Bordow of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits sideline Week 16
WRArizona Cardinals
Illness
December 23, 2018
Nelson (illness) is listed as inactive Sunday against the Rams, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Questionable for Week 16
WRArizona Cardinals
Illness
December 21, 2018
Nelson (illness) is officially listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Rams, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Comes down with illness
WRArizona Cardinals
Illness
December 19, 2018
Nelson didn't practice Wednesday due to an illness, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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