Johnson Wagner
39-Year-Old Golfer
2018–19 Fantasy Outlook
The 38-year-old Wagner ran into a buzzsaw this season as he failed to record a top-10 for the first time in a full season on the PGA Tour. It's now been consecutive seasons of less than $700,000 in earnings for Wagner, who has breached $1M in six of his 12 years on tour. It's hard to say what his 2018-19 season will look like, but it's most likely somewhere between $600,000 and $1,000,000 if he can tee it up in at least 20 events. Read Past Outlooks
Notches top-25 in MN
July 8, 2019
Wagner scored a tie for 23rd place at the 3M Open after shooting a two-under 69 in the final round.
Wagner had an up and down day on Sunday, carding six birdies to four bogeys. While he ranked T6 in driving accuracy, Wagner was 64th in SG: Approach. He was top-10 in both SG: Putting and scrambling, however. Wagner now has three top-25 finishes in 15 starts this season. He will be teeing it up at the John Deere Classic.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Wagner started with his best foot forward by notching a top-3 at the Safeway Open to begin the 2016-17 season, but extreme inconsistency followed in what turned into his worst season since 2014. Wagner is typically good for one or two top-5 efforts, but cherry-picking those events alongside a slew of missed cuts is a fool's errand. Wagner's inconsistency is a nightmare in salary cap leagues, and in draft leagues it will be worth waiting at least until the 10th round to solicit his services.
Wagner might be the most obscure three-time winner on the PGA Tour right now. Yes, he parlayed those wins into a Geico commercial, but starring with the Geico Caveman isn't exactly hitting it big. As far as his game, he hasn't won since 2012, but he's improved on his consistency. Unfortunately, he hasn't been able to win and show consistency at the same time and until he does, he holds little value in salary cap leagues. In draft leagues, he should go near the 10th-round.
Wagner has made a living on the PGA Tour by showing up a couple times each season and giving everything he has. Okay, so we can't judge his effort, but it's strange how a guy can look so good one week and then disappear for months at a time. Wagner has multiple wins on the PGA Tour, so we know he's got the talent, but he'll never get to the next level unless he finds some consistency. There's no reason to think he'll find that consistency this year though and as such, he's not a good option for salary cap leagues. Since he knows how to win, he is worth a look in draft leagues, probably in the 90-100 range.
Wagner started the 2012 season on fire with a win at the Sony Open and a runner-up finish the following week at the Humana Challenge. Johnson's play started to decline thereafter, though. At first, the decline was gradual, but after a top-30 at the Shell Houston Open in early April, he completely fell off the map. How bad did it get? Not a single top-30 in 17 events after the Shell. That's not uncommon for Wagner, though; his is how he operates and this is probably what he'll do this year again. The problem, of course is, what happens if he doesn't find a win this season? In any case, he's not a reliable option in salary cap leagues. In draft leagues, he's a fifth-round pick.
Give credit to Wagner, he's missed more than 40 percent of his cuts since joining the PGA Tour in 2008, but he's somehow managed to miss Q-School following all but one of those seasons. He does it by playing well a week or two each season. He's actually won twice on the PGA Tour, one of which came last year at the Mayakoba Golf Classic. The Mayakoba Classic isn't exactly a hotbed of talented golfers, but a win is a win. The fact that he'll be defending that title this year instead of battling the Top-64 players in the world at the WGC Match-play event is a little disheartening, but at least Wagner can play the entire season without having to worry about retaining his card for 2013. Does that mean he'll play more consistently throughout the season? If history is any indication, no. Wagner is what he is - a golfer who comes up big every so often, but rarely shows consistency.
Wagner has full playing privledges from his win in 2008 and has a chance to be a sleeper. He hits it good enough to make a comeback. Wagner would like to forget 2009, but keep a close eye on him early in the year.
Wagner appeared to be on the right track when he captured his first victory at the Shell Houston Open last year, but his season took a turn for the worse after that weekend and he failed to show that form again the rest of the year. Wagner has a lot of potential, but you have to wonder about his mental state after falling flat for the last seven months of the season.
Wagner was perhaps the most highly touted rookie coming into the 2007 season, but while other rookies were flourishing, Wagner was struggling. The low point came in the middle of the season when he hit a stretch of 13 missed cuts out of 14 events. He gathered himself during the fall season and made enough money to secure his card for the 2008 season. Wagner had so much trouble last season that he may have fallen off the radar of most people. This might be a good time to swoop in and get him at a great price.
More Fantasy News
Playing RBC Canadian Open
June 4, 2019
Wagner will be in the field for the RBC Canadian Open this week.
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T2 at Puerto Rico Open
February 25, 2019
Wagner closed with a three-under 69 on Sunday at the Puerto Rico Open to finish 12-under and tied for second.
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Falls 22 positions in final round
July 30, 2018
Wagner dropped into a tie for 29th place at the RBC Canadian Open after his final round of one-over-par 73.
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Ties for 41st at Quicken Loans National
July 3, 2018
Wagner could only manage a one-over 71 in the final round of the Quicken Loans National and finished in a tie for 41st place.
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T32 at AT&T Byron Nelson
May 22, 2018
Wagner shot a final round two-under 69 to finish in a tie for 32nd place at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
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