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The Saber's Edge: Down Goes Brown

Jeff Zimmerman

Jeff Zimmerman

Jeff Zimmerman writes about all things Baseball for RotoWire. He also handles scouting and reporting for Jeff also contributes to, and

The baseball season has just passed the season's quarter point. Generally, I try not to make too many decisions on dropping players that I thought were talented before the season started. This week, I am going to demonstrate how I dive deeper into a player's stat line to determine how much of a production change is talent, and how much is luck.

When I look at struggling players, I focus on batting average and home runs/power. Runs and RBI are both reliant upon getting on base and making consistent hard contact. Until a player solves his core hitting issues, he can't expect to just magically have more runs and RBI. A team doesn't move a struggling player to the cleanup spot.

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