Articles by Jeff Erickson

Jeff Erickson is a co-founder of RotoWire.com and the only two-time winner of Baseball Writer of the Year from the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He roots for the Reds, Bengals, Red Wings, Pacers and Northwestern University (the real NU).

Week 7 Quick FAAB Report

It was a relatively quiet week for me, as I didn’t find many appealing options on the waiver wire.

NFBC Main Event

Team Player Bid Runner-Up
Ozville Flying Monkeys Matt Andriese (SP) 238 221
Money 2 Rajai Davis (CF) 106 99
Money 2 Sam Dyson (MR) 106 6
Money 2 Brandon Guyer (LF) 76
Team Keikoan Jesse Hahn (SP) 46 15
HARRY CRUMB Steven Moya (RF) 44
Money 2 Yunel Escobar (3B) 38 17
CC’s Desperados Danny Duffy (MR) 34 13
Ozville Flying Monkeys Mike Foltynewicz (SP) 28 16
Ozville Flying Monkeys Kevin Siegrist (MR) 28 24
HARRY CRUMB Chris Iannetta (C) 28 12
Canadian Beavers Jhonny Peralta (SS) 28
El Scorchos Main Tom Koehler (SP) 17
Team enfield Justin Nicolino (SP) 11
Doctor Who Dillon Gee (MR) 8 5
Doctor Who Logan Verrett (MR) 8
Doctor Who Juan Centeno (C) 3
HARRY CRUMB Jason Motte (MR) 2
El Scorchos Main Ryan Buchter (MR) 1
Arthur Digby Sellers Trayce Thompson (RF) 1

My starting pitching remains tragic (and got worse Monday with Jose Berrios!), so my focus was trained more on the subsequent week for two-start starters, and even that wasn’t very inspiring. Koehler kind of stinks, but he has three pretty good matchups the next two weeks. With my ratios in tatters, I need to max out starts to at least compete in K’s and W’s.

Buchter is a saves stash – Fernando Rodney isn’t in trouble, but with him it always seems to lurk, and Buchter has been excellent, and picked up the save when Rodney wasn’t available last week. He’ll be the guy if and when there’s a change. It’s only a question of whether I’ll be able to wait it out.

Week 6 FAAB Results

Despite a lack of high-profile names available in most leagues, I was fairly active in FAAB bidding this week. Here are the results from my NFBC and industry leagues.

NFBC Main Event

Team Player Bid Runner-Up
Canadian Beavers Adam Duvall (LF) 157 74
Arthur Digby Sellers Colin Rea (SP) 87 30
Las Vegas Blvd. Aaron Hicks (CF) 47 6
Ninja squirrel Dan Straily (SP) 44 23
HARRY CRUMB Alex Presley (LF) 34
Team Keikoan Wade Miley (SP) 33 7
Doctor Who Aaron Hill (3B) 27 24
Canadian Beavers Chris Young (SP) 26 6
HARRY CRUMB Dustin Garneau (C) 24
Las Vegas Blvd. Ivan Nova (SP) 23
HARRY CRUMB Marwin Gonzalez (SS) 18
Ozville Flying Monkeys David Phelps (MR) 18
Ozville Flying Monkeys Doug Fister (SP) 18 2
Ozville Flying Monkeys Kyle Barraclough (MR) 18
Money 2 Ross Ohlendorf (MR) 18
Ninja squirrel Archie Bradley (SP) 15 13
Team enfield Daniel Norris (SP) 15 13
El Scorchos Main Justin Smoak (1B) 13
El Scorchos Main Adam Morgan (SP) 13
Doctor Who Curt Casali (C) 7 6
Money 2 Henderson Alvarez (SP) 6
Doctor Who Chris Devenski (MR) 6 1
Strike Force ME Bobby Wilson (C) 4
Team Keikoan Juan Uribe (3B) 3
Team Keikoan Tony Wolters (C) 2
El Scorchos Main Ubaldo Jimenez (SP) 1
Money 2 Steve Pearce (LF) 1

My starting pitching is reaching Threat-Level Midnight status (4.688 ERA, 1.376 WHIP, tied for 11/15 in K’s), so I need to maximize SP’s, including taking a chance on Morgan, who in his brief turn this time around has displayed increased velocity over last year. He gets a start at Atlanta and home against the Reds this week.

Get Your Week 5 FAAB Results Here

Derek Dietrich

It was a very active bidding week, and I felt better in touch with the available player pool because I wrote the NL FAAB Factor this week. Let’s get after it:

NFBC Main Event

Team Player Bid Runner-Up
El Scorchos Main Joe Smith (MR) 225 189
Las Vegas Blvd. Brandon Drury (LF) 187 135
CC’s Desperados Derek Dietrich (3B) 117 64
Money 2 Nathan Eovaldi (SP) 111 35
Ozville Flying Monkeys Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF) 96 47
Doctor Who Danny Santana (RF) 77 64
Doctor Who Anibal Sanchez (SP) 58 19
Doctor Who Aaron Blair (SP) 48
Team enfield Michael Fulmer (SP) 45
HARRY CRUMB Tyler Duffey (SP) 44
Las Vegas Blvd. Alex Meyer (MR) 43
CC’s Desperados Dioner Navarro (C) 32 31
El Scorchos Main Rubby De La Rosa (SP) 29 26
HARRY CRUMB Orlando Arcia (SS) 28
Team enfield Tyler Chatwood (SP) 27 10
Doctor Who Seth Smith (LF) 27 11
Strike Force ME Kevin Plawecki (C) 21
Ozville Flying Monkeys John Jaso (1B) 18 1
Ozville Flying Monkeys Yonder Alonso (1B) 18
Team Keikoan Justin Nicolino (SP) 16
Team Keikoan Matt Wisler (SP) 16 5
Ninja squirrel Mallex Smith (CF) 12
Ninja squirrel Kurt Suzuki (C) 11
Strike Force ME Jeremy Hellickson (SP) 10 8
Ninja squirrel Jason Castro (C) 5
Ozville Flying Monkeys Mychal Givens (MR) 4
Arthur Digby Sellers Hector Neris (MR) 2
El Scorchos Main Tucker Barnhart (C) 1
Strike Force ME Martin Perez (SP) 1
Money 2 Gregor Blanco (CF) 1
Money 2 Ichiro Suzuki (RF) 1

My pitching is in crisis mode. My ace is Chris Archer, and I only got one ace due to my draft position. My #2 starter is Adam Wainwright. Making matters worse, I have two closers – Zach Britton and Huston Street! So getting Smith was pretty much an imperative for me, even though I have some misgivings about his skills. As Liss likes to say, possession 9/10ths of the law. Now go watch Fernando “You Don’t Win Friends With” Salas (and yes, I stole that joke from Scott Pianowski – but don’t blame him, I use it and variations thereof all the time).

Sunday Night FAAB

Nomar Mazara

I have seven leagues that bid on Free Agents each Sunday night. It’s exhausting to stay on top of all leagues, let alone relay all the results from those leagues. But I’m going to try to relay the results of those bids late each Sunday night to give you an idea of what I’m bidding on and what it will take to get those players.

Those seven leagues are:

NFBC Main Event – 15-team mixed, no trading, $1,000 FAAB budget
NFBC Online (x2) – 12-team mixed, no trading, $1,000 FAAB budget
Mixed LABR – 15-team mixed, $100 FAAB budget
AL Tout Wars – 12-team AL-only, $1,000 FAAB budget, $0 bids allowed
FSTA – 13-team mixed, $1,000 FAAB budget
RotoWire Staff Keeper – 18-team mixed keeper, $100 budget, no $0 bids allowed

Those are the main details. I’ll discuss nuances of the various leagues as it becomes relevant. Without further ado, here are the results from tonight.

Sell High For What?

Even before Trevor Story hit four homers in his first three major league games, he was the subject of a lot of draft buzz in the last week of spring training. Now that he’s hit four homers, three of them over 400 feet, he’s obviously one of the more interesting players of this early season. The “sharp” but somewhat predictable advice on Story is to sell-high, not buy-in if you’re still to draft, etc… And there are readily apparent risk factors.

  • Job Security – Jose Reyes remains away from the team on administrative league while MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred continues his investigation into Reyes’ domestic abuse allegations (“… take your time, Rob…” – All of Story’s owners). We’re still awaiting word on whether there will be a suspension and how long, and he’ll need some time to ramp up to speed after the suspension is served. But it seems likely that he’ll return at some point, though it’s by no means a done deal that the job is his once he returns.
  • League Adjustments – Many times when a rookie starts well, the league needs a bit of time to adjust, get film and/or scouting reports on him and adjust accordingly. Sometimes it can take a couple of months, and with other players it can happen a lot more rapidly. I have to imagine that adjustment phase occurs sooner with all the resources available to teams – though so do the counter-adjustments by that player.
  • Player Flaws – Story burst on the scene in 2012, when he hit .277/.367/.505 with 18 homers and 15 stolen bases as a 19-year old at Low-A Asheville. But he fell apart the following year at High-A Modesto, striking out a whopping 183 times, or 33 percent of the time. His contact woes didn’t go away in 2014 either, as he struck out 34.6% of the time in 237 plate appearances in Double-A. He improved last year, but at 24% he still had a pretty high whiff rate, and that is a pretty reliable indicator of future batting average struggles.

We can all put on our Captain Obvious hat and say that he’s going to come back to earth, and that his trade value is unlikely to be higher in the next few months than it is now. But just as saying that a player will regress is not a mic-drop, neither is saying to sell-high on that player. We need to ask, “what is the right price?”

Sharing a Brain – Beat Jeff Erickson2

Last week I did the second of two “Beat Jeff Erickson” leagues in the NFBC’s RotoWire Online Championship. Like last year, in this second league I paired up with Vlad Sedler. As you may have read, Vlad had a pretty good 2015 NFBC campaign. Alas, I dragged him down on the one team we shared – and it was my worst team too. We weren’t totally in sync with our draft strategy or even the players that we liked as much.

This year felt a lot different. It started with our draft prep, where we had the exact same KDS preference (4-1, 12-5), and had a lot more players in common that we liked. We are both fans of landing two aces if possible. And we actually drafted against each other in a slow draft – not planned, I didn’t know that he was already in the league when I signed up.