That was a lot of lineup setting to lose $2.50, bringing my bankroll down to $913.10. (I invested $40 over eight $5 entries, and three of them cashed for $12.50 apiece. So I took back $37.50.) I also did poorly in the RotoWire and Tout Wars Contests – remind me not to stack Braves in a contest that counts cumulatively next time. That was pretty dumb and probably will cost me a chance at the $2,000 prize later this year.
I went a little crazy today with the two free-rolls (RotoWire and Tout Wars) and eight other entries into the $5, $115K MLB Rally. There are a lot of high-end pitching options tonight, and I used three of them (Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke and Gerrit Cole) spread out over nine of my 10 entries, varying the hitting stacks around them. The one exception was Henderson Alvarez in whom I have zero faith, but he was the cheapest of the pitchers who was likely to have a decent game and get a win, so I rolled him out, using an expensive, hybrid Cubs/Indians stack. I don’t expect much from that entry, but it’s got uniqueness on its side.
In any event, here are the lineups:
$115K MLB Rally
I have a lot of Mariners in Toronto against Marco Estrada. I expect they’ll be heavily owned, but it was hard to pass up all those cheap lefties hitting high in the lineup against a pitcher who gives up a lot of home runs. If he deals today, I could easily lose my entire investment. The other team I bankrolled was the Brewers, facing a left-handed Eric Stultz (I won’t repeat the Fast Times at Ridgemont High/Pulp Fiction joke, but know that I’m thinking it.) I actually preferred the original starter, Alex Wood, who was scratched due to an illness, because I expect that stack to be much more heavily used now.
I had more time today but still didn’t bother with any 50/50s or Double Ups. Maybe if I hit a cold streak and need some wins, I’ll go back to it, but for now I want to invest my time, energy and bankroll into hitting a big score. As such, I placed eight $5 entries into one large-field tournament.
I set six lineups yesterday, not including the RotoWire and Tout Wars contests – more on those below, for an outlay of of $20 (five $3 ones and a $5 one.) I cashed in two for a total of $14, meaning I had a net loss of $6. My bankroll was at $961.60, now it’s down to $955.60 (following this blog is like sweating a 2/4 limit game, I know.)
I was running low on time, so the Double Ups had to go. I usually like having 2-3 of them to increase my chances of a win, and tonight would have been a good time for them given I like Kershaw, but I’m aiming for a bigger score. So it’s just the RotoWire and Tout Wars tournaments, for which I submitted the same lineups and which don’t count toward my bankroll, five $3 large-field tournament entries and one $5 because the $3 one filled up before I could get my last lineup in, and I got superstitious that it would be “the one” if I didn’t play it.
Here are the lineups:
*$5 Tournament Entry.
My strategy was pretty simple: Kershaw everywhere, a cheap David Phelps in a couple places and one Carlos Rodon even though he’s likely to be heavily owned. And then just stack against pitchers that could blow up, but who people won’t necessarily attack. In the Rodon one, for example, I stacked right-handed Blue Jays in the event of a big Dallas Keuchel correction. I also stacked Brewers (a terrible offensive team thus far) against Bartolo Colon, again, on the chance he has a correction to his monster start.
More conventional stacks include the Astros against R.A. Dickey, the Rangers against Bruce Chen and the Cardinals against Shane Greene.