Due to the last minute Kershaw scratch – 11 of my 16 lineups had him – I had to scramble, so I’m posting these a bit late. Here are the lineups – will add commentary later when I have time:
I did this exercise last year, and I’ll copy the intro because it still applies:
A couple caveats before I proceed to the list. First, there’s virtually no player I wouldn’t own in some format at some price, but the odds of me getting any of these in any format in which I play are close to zero. Second, had I done one of these for baseball,
Felix Hernandez [Todd Frazier] would have been on it. I think it’s important to remember and publicize your misses in these exercises because we all have them every year, and it’s easy to pose as a voice of expert authority when really you’re just another experienced fantasy owner doing his best to make sense of the available evidence. That out of the way, here are the guys I [probably] won’t own:
Is this good?
I was on quite a heater starting in Vegas two weeks ago where I won money in blackjack and craps, split the purse for the RotoWire staff poker tournament, saw my GOOG and AMZN shares take huge leaps after earnings and posted my best win on FanDuel. Even when I lost money on a given night, I typically got most of my investment back. Not so Tuesday where I put down $100 on two $25 contests and 10 $5 ones and cashed in zero. It was going to happen sooner or later – every hot shooter rolls a seven eventually – but winning zero out of 12 is hard to do.
Let’s take a look at what went wrong:
I’ll be setting Tuesday’s lineups in a subsequent post but need to catch up on Friday’s results. I bought in for $80 (two $25 contests and six $5 ones) and cashed for $97.50 for a profit of $17.50. My bankroll was 1310.10, now it’s $1327.60. I also won my $25 heads up against csuram88, putting me at 5-2 against the pros. Unfortunately, it was my highest score of the day, and I wasted it on a heads up.
I played a rare Thursday night slate yesterday only because Clayton Kershaw was going, and it was the right call – at least insofar as he was concerned. My hitting wasn’t great, so I wound up taking in $57.50 on $65 worth of lineups for a net of minus $7.50. My bankoll was 1317.60, now it’s $1310.10.
Normally I only play Tuesdays and Fridays, but Clayton Kershaw’s on the mound, so I made an exception. I set six lineups, two $5 MLB Rallys, two $10 MLB Line Drives and two head to head lineups, one for $10 (an accident) and one for $25.