Articles by Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWire Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

DFS Amateur Hour – Monday Lineup

I actually planned to take the day off until Kevin Payne messaged me that a “Happy Hour” contest was up. These have a nice overlay, in today’s case $5000 in prize money for 574 $10 entries (-$740) plus 120 tickets to a $25 Grand Slam tomorrow equals $3000, minus the rake in that contest equals about $2,550. That means it’s $2550 – $740 or about $1800 of overlay (31%). That’s significant.

Yahoo Friends and Family League Draft

On Friday, we had the annual Yahoo Friends and Family draft – a 14-team expert league where you start 1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 2-FLEX (RB/WR/TE), 1 -TE, 1-K and 1-D. Scoring is essentially normal PPR except for God knows what reason commissioner Brandon Funston prefers .75 points per reception and 4.5 points per passing TD.

Here are the results:

DFS Amateur Hour – Saturday Lineups

I set eight lineups in a rush last night, and I got what was coming to me: a single $12.50 cash on a $60 investment. That brings my bankroll down to $1,408.61. It wasn’t that I didn’t like the players or pitchers I used – I had Clayton Kershaw in three, Raisel Iglesias in two and Aaron Nola in one – it was my impatience to put together anything that fit. The problem – if you can call it that – was I had to head out to Heather’s aunt’s house in Malibu, and I didn’t get there until 3:20 PT (45 minutes before lineup lock) and occasionally had to speak to everyone (including my three-and-a-half year old, Sasha, who was earnestly showing me her artwork as though it were the seminal masterpiece of our era) while I was finalizing my choices. There are worse reasons to screw up your lineups, so I’m not especially upset about it.

DFS Amateur Hour – Friday Lineups

Another four $5 Rally lineups failed to cash Thursday, dropping my bankroll down to $1456.11. Here are the lineups for tonight:

Pos $25 GS $ $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $
P Kershaw 13000 Kershaw 13000 Scherzer 11500 Kershaw 13000
C Jaso 2300 Gomes 2600 Wieters 2200 Gomes 2600
1B Zimmerman 3300 Cron 2500 Cron 2500 Gonzalez 3100
2B Utley 2400 Rendon 3500 Utley 2400 Dozier 3200
3B Turner 3000 Urshela 2200 Urshela 2200 Headley 2600
SS Aybar 2300 Aviles 2200 Marte 3400 Tulowitzki 3800
OF Trout 4300 Trout 4300 Cruz 5000 Crawford 2200
OF Crawford 2200 Murphy 2400 Gutierrez 3300 Moss 2200
OF Moss 2200 Raburn 2300 Jackson 2500 Ethier 2300
Total 35000 Total 35000 Total 35000 Total 35000

 

Pos $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $
P Iglesias 8000 Scherzer 11500 Iglesias 8000 Nola 6000
C Martinez 2600 Martinez 2600 Vogt 2400 Gomes 2600
1B Gonzalez 3100 Cabrera 5500 Cabrera 5500 Pujols 3600
2B Utley 2400 Schoop 2600 Rendon 3500 Rendon 3500
3B Donaldson 6000 Urshela 2200 Valencia 3300 Castellanos 3400
SS Tulowitzki 3800 Mercer 2200 Tulowitzki 3800 Tulowitzki 3800
OF Trout 4300 Martinez 3900 Reddick 2600 Trout 4300
OF Crawford 2200 Moss 2200 Canha 3000 Werth 2800
OF Ethier 2300 Ethier 2300 Werth 2800 Harper 5000
Total 34700 Total 35000 Total 34900 Total 35000

I set eight lineups total, one $25 Grand Slam and seven $5 Rallys. I’m not thrilled with these – I was rushed to get them done before the deadline, so I have bits and pieces of what I wanted to do, but didn’t think them out well enough. For example, I have a Mariners stack against John Danks, but it’s only in one place and attached to Max Scherzer who was probably my third or fourth favorite choice among pitchers.

All told, I used four pitchers: Clayton Kershaw (3), Scherzer (2), Raisel Iglesias (2) and Aaron Nola. Other heavily used players include: Troy Tulowitzki (4), Mike Trout (4), Yan Gomes (3), Chase Utley (3), Anthony Rendon (3), Giovanny Urshela (3), Andre Ethier (3), Brandon Moss (3) and Carl Crawford (3).

 

DFS Amateur Hour – Thursday Lineups

I failed to cash with my $25 entry yesterday, and I also burned a $5 entry in the early games bringing my bankroll down to $1476.11. I set only three lineups tonight:

Pos $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $ $5 Rally $
P Cole 10000 de la Rosa 7300 Rodon 8300
C Flowers 2200 Hedges 2300 Ramos 2800
1B Montero 2200 Abreu 4200 Zimmerman 3400
2B Rendon 3500 Rendon 3500 Rendon 3500
3B Longoria 2500 Longoria 2500 Longoria 2500
SS Peralta 2500 Ramirez 2800 Peralta 2500
OF McCutchen 4900 McCutchen 4900 McCutchen 4900
OF Harper 4900 Harper 4900 Harper 4900
OF Moss 2200 Buxton 2600 Moss 2200
Total 34900 Total 35000 Total 35000

On the Sirius XM show, I picked out Rubby de la Rosa and a Nationals stack as my top choice for a lineup, but switched to Carlos Rodon because he’s got such electric stuff and is on a nice roll. But when I went to write this up, I realized the Mariners are better against lefties thanks to Nelson Cruz and got cold feet. So I checked the Inside Edge and RotoWire Optimizers for suggestions, and they both had Gerrit Cole in their optimal lineups. The Inside Edge one especially hated Rodon, projecting him to get shelled.

So I set one lineup with Cole, and I had to scrap a few a lot of my players as a result. But then I thought: “What if my Rodon or de la Rosa would-be lineups go off, and I switched it because I relied on an algorithm over my own instincts?” So I set an alternative lineup with each, just in case.

Incidentally, all three lineups have the following four players: Bryce Harper, Andrew McCutchen, Anthony Rendon and Evan Longoria.

 

 

 

DFS Amateur Hour – Wednesday Lineup

Last night, I bought in for $65, took back only $15 for a loss of $50, bringing my bankroll to $1506.11. Today I set one $25 Grand Slam lineup, and I probably should have just sat out as I’m not feeling it especially. My idea was the Cardinals are underdogs (D-Backs are -125), but Patrick Corbin is only $6800. Corbin got pounded the last time out, but he’s been getting Ks and turned in some strong outings since coming back from the DL.