Articles by Brian Peacock

Brian covers MLB, NFL and Pac-12 for RotoWire. All you need to know about Brian is he once left his Community College baseball team to go on tour with his band. So he is both extremely dedicated and completely unreliable. He roots for the San Francisco Giants and 49ers.

ADP Trends: Wide Receiver

Jordy Nelson’s torn ACL last preseason was a massive blow to fantasy owners unlucky enough to have selected him in the first or second round. Of course, the Packers weren’t thrilled either. There haven’t been any such shakeups involving top-end wide receivers since training camp opened in 2016. Those who drafted early this year are fine with that. 

ADP Trends: Rookies

There should be a ton of movement with draft positions as hype and story lines build through week 2 of the preseason schedule this weekend. Before I start looking who is losing and gaining momentum, I want to see where the rookie class is slotting in fantasy drafts.

The long running theme with 2016 rookies, Ezekiel Elliott aside, is that the class is underwhelming and not as talented as 2014 and 2015. That theme is very much playing out in current ADP. It’s telling that Kevin White, who only this week suited up for the first time since being drafted last season, would rank second if you count him as a rookie with an ADP of 72.5.

PPR vs Standard ADP: Running Backs

Most of the names that benefit from points per reception won’t surprise you. These are the players that help make a receiver-heavy strategy early in drafts pay off. Ideally, you want a running back who is on the field every down, but in today’s NFL, those are unicorns.

The table below shows the differential between 2016 running back ADP in standard drafts compared to PPR formats. All PPR data is courtesy NFFC. Standard ADP comes from Yahoo! leagues.

ADP Trends: WR Dominated Top-50

Next up in the ADP series is a look at what’s happening in the early rounds of fantasy drafts. It feels like there’s been a big shift in positional value since I started following average draft positions for these preseason posts in 2014. So, I want to see if the numbers match that.

2016 Positional Breakdown

QB: 3 (6%)
RB: 15 (30%)
WR: 30 (60%)
TE: 2 (4%)

2016 Fantasy Football ADP: Overvalued

Friday we took a look at draft bargains heading into training camp. Today, it’s the players to avoid at their current ADP. The draft data is provided from our friends at NFFC, which is always PPR.

Ezekiel Elliott
ADP: 9 | RB4
This is a tough one, because like everyone else, I love Zeke Elliott as a prospect. There’s very little doubt about his every-down skill set and dream draft destination in Dallas. There are just too many unknowns with any rookie to take one ahead of some other supremely talented players who have defined NFL roles. There are also lingering investigations into alleged domestic violence, which has to at least register on the worry-meter with the league’s recent history. With an NFFC ADP of No. 9 overall, and even higher in other places (No. 6 in ESPN leagues, No. 7 in Yahoo), you’re paying for a season without growing pains, not to mention something more serious than your average first-year hiccups.