2017 SiriusXM-FSTA experts baseball draft – Recap and early ADP/strategy observations

For the fourth consecutive year, I joined CDM Sports co-founder and FSTA Hall of Famer Charlie Wiegert  at the annual SiriusXM-FSTA experts baseball draft in Nashville. As always, the FSTA conference, and specifically this draft, provides an opportunity to rub elbows with many of the top baseball minds and a few of fantasy baseball’s forefathers.

Charlie and I drew the fifth spot among 13 teams and came up with a rough plan on how we were going to attack. The ‘projections game’ is typically a futile one, especially this early in the year. But we still set category targets to attain (ie, 300 HR, 160 SB), reviewed the player tier drop-offs and identified a few players at each position that we wanted to draft.

You can find the full draft results here.

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Conference Championship Observations

I watched both games on my laptop from a hotel in Comporta, Portugal, about 50 miles south of Lisbon. Heather and Sasha were asleep in the bed, so I had to sit in the bathroom for most of it. (It was a very nice large bathroom with comfortable stools and plenty of sink space, but still.) I bowed out at 1:30 am, during halftime of the Pats-Steelers game and caught the second half in the morning on Rewind.

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NL Central fantasy division preview

We’re spinning around every division in baseball for their biggest fantasy baseball stories and players.

AL East  | Central | West … NL East | Central | West

Arrivals

RP Wade Davis, Cubs: Health woes last year notwithstanding, Davis heads into 2017 replacing Aroldis Chapman and as a top-10 closer. The former Royal will again enjoy a ridiculous talented bridge to the ninth with Carl Edwards Jr., Hector Rondon, Pedro Strop and Koji Uehara.

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What Went Wrong – AL Tout Wars

It’s often said that you learn more from your mistakes and defeats than in your victories. 2016 was not one of my best fantasy baseball seasons. I won one league and finished in money spots in three others (not all were $ leagues), but all in all I came in short of expectations. Winning one league is a baseline expectation when you play in 10+ leagues every year. Even worse, I finished last in AL Tout Wars, was never competitive in the NFBC Main Event and had a couple of other bottom-division leagues. So I’ll have plenty of opportunities to learn, I suppose!

I’m going to try to break down each of my leagues to determine what went wrong and what I (and hopefully, you!) can learn from it. Mistakes clearly were made, but was there a consistent theme? Do I make strategy errors more often than not? Was I overlooking a particular category? Or was it simply a case of player evaluation error?

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Divisional Round Observations

I grudgingly admit the Cowboys-Packers game was a great one, and I say “grudgingly” because it was nearly derailed by poor officiating, worse announcing and even worse coaching. The reason I know it was great is I was so exhilarated afterwards I wasted time watching the first quarter of the Steelers-Chiefs live – at 1:00 – 2:00 am Portugal time before catching the last three in half an hour via the condensed version Monday morning.

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AL West fantasy division preview

We’re spinning around every division in baseball for their biggest fantasy baseball stories and players.

AL East  | Central | West … NL East | Central | West

Arrivals

SS Jean Segura, Mariners: A brighter on- and off-field year helped him sizzle for Arizona. Seattle’s park will hinder his power, but he’ll must double-digit homers, and a 25-steal, .270-average season is in the cards again. This top-10 fantasy shortstop will come at a bigger discount than the wave of early-round blue-chippers.

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