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I Should Have Traded the King
Posted by Chris Liss at 4/18/2007 9:55:00 PM
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There's little doubt in my mind that Hernandez is done for the year. A 21-year old pitcher can't find the plate, throwing violent 92 mph sliders into the ground before calling for the trainer with a sore elbow? He's done. Enjoy him in the second half of 2008 when he's back from Tommy John surgery.

Of course, that will destroy my LABR team - which entering today was in first place by 10 points despite not having Chone Figgins or Roger Clemens. But it serves me right. I should have bought Roy Halladay or Mark Buehrle or some other soft tosser who can pitch 240 innings a year and be no worse for the wear (well, Halladay's got to dodge line drives better). Even Johan Santana's average fastball is slower than Chien Ming Wang's (this we know courtesy of Steve Moyer's Bill James' Handbook). Those soft tossers give up more hits because they depend on balls in play, but they have lower pitch counts, and you don't have to worry about them going deep into games.

No one else agreed with me, but Felix looked like he was laboring late in the one-hitter against the Sox, and you have to wonder if those 111 pitches, most of which were above 95 mph damaged his arm. I know it was great for him to get the one-hitter, but when he goes down for the count this year, it will seem obvious in hindsight that a 21-year old with that much upside should be persuaded to throw more fastballs, less breaking stuff and be put on a lower pitch count.

But Mariners management is a disaster in all phases, and especially with their track record of blowing out young arms: Rafael Soriano and Ryan Anderson are two other prominent ones that went down.

But as I said, it serves me right - drafting a 21-year old power pitcher on the Mariners was asking for it. I should have traded him when I had the chance. I'd take Mark Buehrle for him at this instant.


Good thing you found a sucker to take him off your hands! ;-)
Posted by joneseyjones at 4/19/2007 12:02:00 AM
Just what I suspected - Joneseyjones = Liss' trading partner in LABR.
Posted by Erickson at 4/19/2007 12:10:00 AM
You're dead wrong. You don't throw 96 mph with 90 mph sliders with ligament damage. Probably an awkward tweak, he'll be fine.
Posted by at 4/19/2007 6:38:00 AM
"I'd take Mark Buehrle for him at this instant. " . . . Liss is trying to Jedi Mind Trick me in the Yahoo Friends and Family League. On GP, no deal. (That's my first and last Star Wars reference, ever. Eek. I think I need a shower.)

Posted by spianow at 4/19/2007 7:42:00 AM are correct. Liss was goading me into making the deal if for no other reason than he and I could spend two segments of his XM show today discussing how we both got hosed in the trade.

My poor wife had to listen to me haggle until after 3 am and I'm now a zombie today. Felix better be worth it! (or Matt Kata/Jason Davis better become superstars, either way)
Posted by joneseyjones at 4/19/2007 8:28:00 AM
I think you know something about Kata that I don't.
Posted by cliss at 4/19/2007 8:33:00 AM
My poor wife had to listen to me haggle until after 3 am and I'm now a zombie today.

Replace "haggle" with "type" and welcome to my world.
Posted by spianow at 4/19/2007 9:00:00 AM

I think you are jumping the gun on felix big time here from what I understand about his strain.....Selling felix at a low and getting buerhle at a high isn't a good move imho.....I do like buerhle this year though....contract year....just think you could of gotten much more......maybe not???? Injuries kill your fantasy team faster than anything so I don't blame you for cutting ties....we shall see....
Posted by Zenguerrilla at 4/19/2007 4:14:00 PM
I wrote this last night before it was known that he just had a strain. Of course, I feel much better about him now, though he's still a risk.
Posted by cliss at 4/19/2007 4:37:00 PM

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