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MLB Notes
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 7/19/2007 10:07:00 AM
View more posts by this author

 

For all the Ervin Santana home/road splits talk, Wandy Rodriguez actually puts him to shame. On the road this year, Rodriguez has a 7.45 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. At home, he posts a 1.81 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He’s obviously more valuable in daily leagues.

Do you realize David DeJesus is on pace to score 120 runs this season? Also, Billy Butler looks awfully good hitting in the middle of that lineup. The opposite is true when he’s holding a glove, however. As bad as Kansas City is perceived, their current lineup is probably better than 75 percent of the N.L. teams.

I’ve underrated Aaron Harang long enough. He’ll always give up too many homers to post a sub-3.50 ERA, but his WHIP is solid because he limits base on balls, his strikeout rate is very strong and he pitches deep enough into games to usually finish with nice win totals. Not only was Harang the only pitcher in MLB history to lead his league in wins and Ks and not win the Cy Young award last year, he didn’t even receive a single vote.

Remember when all of those ESPN pundits picked Bobby Crosby as their MVP choice for the 2006 season? Good times. At least he had injury excuses in the past. This year, he’s stayed relatively healthy but simply can’t hit. A .272 OBP? Are you kidding me? His OPS is nearly in the 500s. Speaking of talented players failing to live up to expectations – Daniel Cabrera, you’re on deck.

I would be willing to bet Adrian Beltre’s 2004 season is one of the greatest outliers of someone’s career in the history of major league baseball. Let’s take a closer look by comparing numbers from that season with the second highest totals throughout the rest of his 10-year career: he had 23 more homers, 32 more RBI, hit .44 points higher and slugged .152 points better than his second best marks during his decade of playing. We can all thank Beltre for perpetuating the “contract-year” theory more than it’s true significance.

This just in: Chase Utley is very, very good. Since May ended, he’s batting .380 in 163 at-bats. After previously struggling a bit against lefties, Utley has posted a 1.014 OPS against southpaws this year, terrible news for the rest of the league.

A funny thing happened to Dontrelle Willis on the way to stardom – he never got there. He’s basically unusable in fantasy leagues right now. In 95 innings against right-handed hitters this season, Willis has walked 47 batters and served up 15 homers. That simply won’t get it done.

Watching Andrew Miller pitch, it’s clear he’s going to be special. Like all young hurlers, there will be ups and downs (specifically control with Miller), but he’s a highly coveted commodity in keeper leagues right now. Lefties are a combined 2-for-34 with 16 strikeouts against him. The Tigers are going to have one of the very best front ends of a starting rotation for many years to come.

If you’re not watching “Flight of the Conchords,” you’re missing out on the next great comedy. “Scott Baio is 45 and Single” is terrific as well, but for totally different reasons.


Comments....

I remember the Crosby predictions and being like, huh? Where did that come from? I guess they wanted to go out on a limb.
Posted by cwitt at 7/19/2007 12:52:00 PM
 
You think the Mets would give up Milledge straight up for Dontrelle now? No sarcasm, real question.
Posted by nayfel at 7/19/2007 1:23:00 PM
 
2 minutes in heaven is better than 1 minute in heaven

Posted by Jason Thornbury at 7/19/2007 2:00:00 PM
 
The show I'm waiting for is "The Two Coreys" staring 80s stalwarts Corey Feldman and Corey Haim. Actually, maybe Haim should get top billing there. Not sure.

A few comments:

- I was actually in a Diamond Mind league with Andrew Miller three or so years ago. He quit though as I guess he had better things to do.

- In my NL-only league I have Willis, Wolf, and Sheets. Traded Ethier a couple weeks ago for Sheets and Wickman because I needed to fill some holes. Oops. Still have a 13-point lead over the 2nd place team though so not all is lost.

- When thinking about Beltre's 2004 and outliers, Brady Anderson came to mind immediately. In 1996, Anderson's 50-homer season, he had a 1.033 OPS, 246 points above his career mark. For what it's worth, Beltre's 1.017 OPS in 2004 is 231 points above his career mark.

- Didn't Peter Gammons pick Crosby as MVP before the 2006 season? Oops.

- Please Kansas City, get some pitching. You have the offense.

- Maybe Rick Peterson can "fix" D-Train, but with Carlos Gomez hurt, don't see the Mets doing that deal in-season.

- I just traded Nick Markakis for Aaron Harang in a very deep mixed league. Slotted Randy Winn in for Markakis and have Justin Upton waiting in the wings. Lovin' Harang.
Posted by vtadave at 7/19/2007 3:06:00 PM
 
VTA, shame shame, think again Brady Anderson? Let's go to another current player-Luis Gonzalez 57 HOMERUNS 1.116 OPS in his best season, nothing close since and surprise, surprise Zona let's him go. Hmm did they know Benoit's Doc?
Posted by kevinccp at 7/19/2007 6:31:00 PM
 
nayfel - The Mets are probably more inclined to deal Milledge nowadays with all the off the field stuff, and they probably think Peterson could straighten Willis out, but I wouldn't if I were them.

Thorn - Nice.

David - I have the date of "The Two Coreys" premiere circled on my calender. I'm serious. Good call with Brady. Leadoff hitter all of a sudden blasting 50? At least you can point to some change (a needle) there, with Beltre, it's just dumbfounding.

Kevin - Gonzo's is a pretty good argument too.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 7/19/2007 8:15:00 PM
 
Gonzo's 2001 was certainly an outlier, and that year's OPS is 266 points below his career number. Still, I'm more stunned by Anderson's 50 bombs. At least Gonzo had three 20+ HR seasons since that year of 57.

Ok, gotta go move "Dream a Little Dream" to the top of my Netflix queue.
Posted by vtadave at 7/19/2007 10:39:00 PM
 
Didn't SI tout Nick Swisher as a Future Batting Champ a few years back as well, when Swisher's ONE weakness IN THE MINORS was his batting average?
Posted by djbrown at 7/20/2007 7:44:00 AM
 
I wouldn't doubt it.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 7/20/2007 8:42:00 AM
 
"Business time is over..."
Posted by Erickson at 7/20/2007 2:35:00 PM
 

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