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A-Rod: Where Does He End Up?
Posted by Jeff Erickson at 10/29/2007 1:58:00 AM
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Now that A-Rod has apparently exercised his contractual right to become a free agent, the offseason free agent market looks to be a lot more interesting.

Be on the lookout for the following storylines:

  • "A-Rod is great, but we can't afford him/are a bad fit."
  • "His teams never win anyhow/he chokes in the playoffs (see also pre-2002 Barry Bonds)"
  • "He's greedy/Boras is the devil ..."

Where do you predict he'll end up? Angels? Red Sox? Cubs? Dodgers? Mets or Yankees? Giants? None of the above/other?


This is a long shot but they brought up on ESPN possibly Miami also (Arod is from there). Another interesting question that no one has brought up-does he end up going back to playing shortstop no that he's out of Jeterville? I think the Giants will make a serious run just because they are going to have no draw losing Bonds, they need someone to sell tickets for them.
Posted by kevinccp at 10/29/2007 6:04:00 AM
Posted by spianow at 10/29/2007 7:23:00 AM
Boston has to be the front-runner, though I know A-Rod supposedly really wanted to be a Dodger when the Mariners took him #1 overall and the Dodgers ended up with the infamous Darren Dreifort at #2. I'd say the odds are probably 2:1 he winds up in Boston with the Cubs as the second-likliest possibility.
Posted by vtadave at 10/29/2007 8:52:00 AM
How about this one? Move him to SS and have the Cubs sign him.

I'm sure A-Rod could still be an above-average fielding shortstop. He has more value there than 3B.
Posted by schoenke at 10/29/2007 9:46:00 AM
Do the Cubs have the payroll availability for that? Also, what's the status of the purchase? Prospective buyers might be turned off if the team adds that massive salary to Soriano, Zambrano, Lee, Ramirez, et al.
Posted by bscwik at 10/29/2007 9:55:00 AM
Oh, and what's the over/under on A-Rod's contract?

I'm setting it at $275 million.

I'd say he get's $300 million. He's the best player in the game, relatively young, a thin free agent market and has the most aggressive agent in sports. Someone is going to fork over the cash.

And it may be the Yankees because I'm not buying that he's technically opted out yet. I think Boras wanted to just increase the pressure on the Yankees who already have their fan base up in arms over Torre and the Red Sox winning it all. Perfect timing. Saying you're going to opt out and actually doing it (he has 10 days now) are not the same thing. So there's still room for the Yankees to sign him and for Cashman to technically not go back on his word (of not signing him if he opts out).
Posted by schoenke at 10/29/2007 10:01:00 AM
His decision to opt out is very interesting. This time around, it was definately not about the money. The Yanks were about to offer him a record deal and he didn't even go to the negotiating table to hear the offer.
I think Boras is lying. He didn't opt out because of uncertainty as to whether Posada, Pettitte, and Rivera were coming back. I'm sure he has their phone number. He could have asked them. And he had 10 more days before he needed to make this decision. He could have waited to see if Posada-Pettitte-Rivera committed by then.
And I doubt Torre leaving was a factor either. If he cared who the manager was, he could have waited 48 hours to find out.
I think he left because he didn't want to deal with the bright lights of New York anymore. He was never comfortable dealing with that pressure.
Posted by bvg2723 at 10/29/2007 10:03:00 AM
Boras may have screwed ARod a bit with the timing of the announcement. Boston can't be too happy that Boras created a distraction in the middle of their clinching game.

I think he ends up with either the Angels - which would be a great fit for both him and the team (much less pressure on him) or Boston (despite what I just wrote about them being pissed at the announcement). Theo is a Boras fan and they have money. However if ARod didn't like the pressure in NY he won't like Boston since it might actually be worse.
Posted by sirnig at 10/29/2007 10:15:00 AM
I'm already hearing the kvetching from the baseball media about the timing of the announcement - listen to "Baseball Beat" with Charlie Steiner (with Buster Olney on as his guest). If there's something out there that better defines the conventional wisdom among the various baseball media outlets, I haven't found it.
Posted by Erickson at 10/29/2007 11:09:00 AM
Peter Gammons on ESPN last night pretty much threw the book at Boras for his timing. And I kind of agree. But I guess Boras wanted the full 10 days of leverage.
Posted by schoenke at 10/29/2007 12:33:00 PM
I'd be flabbergasted if he wound up in Boston. I think that's very unlikely.
Posted by spianow at 10/29/2007 3:24:00 PM
In this order: Dodgers, Angels, Cubs, Cardinals, Redsox, Mets, Giants, Royals (kind of like someone picking the Lions to win the Superbowl)
Posted by lvtdude at 10/29/2007 9:55:00 PM
Oh yeah, 10 years, $360 million.
Posted by lvtdude at 10/29/2007 9:56:00 PM
Hey, they won the Gil Meche sweepstakes - anything can happen...
Posted by Erickson at 10/29/2007 11:34:00 PM
In order of likelihood:

Giants -- Need a superstar with no Barry and sucky players
Angels -- Vlad doesn't want to play second fiddle
Red Sox -- doubtful even they would be that cutthroat
Cardinals -- doubtful they can afford him
Dodgers -- Colletti hates Boras
Cubs -- won't hand out big contract with ownership in flux
Mets -- where would he play?
Royals -- yeah right

Posted by Jason Thornbury at 10/30/2007 6:50:00 AM
Would A-Rod really want to sign with a sad sack of a team like the Giants? Who would they surround him with in the batting order, Ray Durham and Randy Winn? With the wealth of young talent in all four other NL West teams, the Giants are going to have a hard time being competitive in the near future. Not sure A-Rod would go there unless a 12/400 type contract was floated his way.
Posted by vtadave at 10/30/2007 6:27:00 PM
All you guys talking about where he might want to play are cute...

He'll go to whichever team offers him the most money. That is his only consideration.
Posted by czegers at 10/30/2007 6:56:00 PM
So if the Red Sox offered $350 million and Florida $350 million plus a penny, A-Rod would don Marlins gear? I say the only way he doesn't wind up in a big market is if another team overpays significantly. That's how he wound up in Texas after the Braves and Mets fell WAAAAY short in their offers back in 2000.
Posted by vtadave at 11/5/2007 11:22:00 AM

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