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MLB Notes
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/20/2008 6:36:00 PM
View more posts by this author

 

Matt Cain has been dropped by 5,899 teams in Yahoo Leagues. Whaaat?! I’m as frustrated with the 23-year-old as anyone, but these leagues are either as shallow as Paris Hilton, or people are acting a bit rash, no? Cain posted a 23:17 K:BB ratio last April and a 5.28 ERA during the first month of the 2006 season. He’s going to be just fine.

Nick Blackburn is a nice story and the 4:1 K:BB ratio is very good, but few can sustain success with such a low strikeout rate (4.26 K/9 IP). The other shoe will drop.

Even though I was high on him entering last season and typically recommend targeting last year’s scrubs, Travis Hafner scared me entering 2007 and so far, he’s done nothing to ease my concerns. Maybe there wasn’t a hidden injury curtailing his power last year after all, because his slugging has dropped all the way to .394 this season. Considering his strikeouts have increased and his walks decreased, there’s plenty of reason to worry.

Like a butterface, Rickie Weeks’ stats look great until you come across his batting average.

Bengie Molina scored from second base on a single Sunday for the first time in two years. Staying with the Giants, Jonathan Sanchez has to be owned in all deep leagues. He’s likely to be inconsistent and pitches for a terrible team, but the 26 strikeouts in 20 innings means he has to be taken seriously. A career mark of 9.7 K/9 IP is no joke.

I’m going to go ahead and say it. “Forgetting Sarah Marshall” is better than both “Knocked Up” and “Superbad.”

Rafael Furcal looks fantastic this season. He’s taking the opposite approach to his walk year than Andruw Jones did. His bat speed is back, and he’s walking at a greater rate than he ever has before, also chipping in four steals already. All those injuries from last season are officially behind him, and Furcal looks like a top-40 fantasy player.

Julio Lugo, on the other hand, looks dreadful. A decent second half last season (rightfully) gave fantasy owners hope for the 2008 campaign, but he looks as lost as ever, already committing an unacceptable six errors in the field. The Red Sox can’t put up with a poor defending, sub .300 OBP shortstop who is getting caught on 50 percent of his SB attempts much longer.

I’m beginning to think the Lakers got the better end of the Pau Gasol deal.

Typically not a fan of Emo, I simply cannot get “I Will Possess Your Heart” by Death Cab For Cutie out of my head.

Sunday was a microcosm of the current state of Chipper Jones’ career; two more hits raised his MLB-leading average to .458, but he also left the game with a strained quad. Despite turning 36 years old later this week, Jones is currently one of the three best hitters in baseball. It would be interesting to see what he could do with 600 at-bats.

Is it too early to start a Conor Jackson for MVP campaign? I say no.

Top-5 Late Night Hosts: 1. David Letterman 2. Conan O’Brien 3. Jimmy Kimmel 4. Craig Ferguson 89. Jay Leno

Randy Wolf is going to be a major fantasy asset for as long as he stays healthy this season. Before an injury derailed him last year, Wolf posted a 71:19 K:BB ratio over 66 innings during April and May, with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. He still walks too many batters to be a big help in the WHIP department, but since Petco really helps his biggest weakness – allowing homers since he gives up so many flyballs – and he’s in baseball’s best division for pitchers, a big season could be in store. However, since he can’t be counted on to stay healthy, he might be an excellent sell-high in 2-3 weeks.


Comments....

Ok first the browbeat, the Pistons lost, as I said, I didn't see them and the Celts going 4-0, I could see Philly winning another one with this confidence. I tried trading Wolf for Sabathia, it didn't work, nothing in Wolf's history indicates he can sustain this pace. Thank you for calling out Leno, and I'd put Kimmel at 2 (the Fing Damon/Affleck is priceless). BTW, the MVP of just the Dbacks will be Chris Young. All I could think of all week was Chipper is on fire, a DL trip is in store. I would LOVE to see his stats 2 weeks prior to each DL stint throughout his career. Cain will turn it around, thanks for the SF commentary as always. I've got Superbad ahead of Knocked Up, where do you put the clever wit of Juno?-Maybe I'll check Sarah Marshall out. Did you see the UFC PPV? Better than the boxing fight I TiVo'd (the greatest invention since the internet). I still think they need to promote/develop the heaveyweight division.
Posted by kevinccp at 4/20/2008 7:07:00 PM
 
BTW, does anyone else have the feeling big Papi is about to go Jackie Chan on American League pitching?
Posted by kevinccp at 4/20/2008 7:29:00 PM
 
OK I'll take my medicine with the Pistons sweep. Good call Kevin. And a win on the road no less. Detroit is unimpressive. ..Leno is terrible...Chris Young will be the more valuable player in fantasy leagues, but I'll def. take CoJack over him as far as real life value to the DBacks this year, if both stay healthy...I had Juno ahead of both Knocked Up/Superbad on my end of year movie list, but I'd like to see that and Sarah Marshall again to answer your question. Comedies are best viewed twice...I unfortunately missed the UFC fights this weekend. Good stuff? I actually only caught the last few rounds of the Hopkins/Calzaghe fight too. I need to get Tivo.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/20/2008 8:39:00 PM
 
Conor Jackson for MVP? Yeah a bit early there. May as well start an Ervin Santana for AL Cy Young campaign while you're at it.

Sarah Marshall...checking that out this nexdt weekend.

Randy Wolf. Absolutely. Though I'll also say that Ben Sheets and Chipper Jones will be assets while they're healthy also.

Lugo - it's Jed Lowrie time.

Nick Blackburn is Pedro compared to Jon Garland (1.1 K/9 last time I checked).
Posted by vtadave at 4/20/2008 8:49:00 PM
 
My Conor Jackson comment was obviously hyperbole and meant as a joke since I've hyped him quite a bit, and he's off to a fast start through three weeks. Although I'm big time on Ervin's bandwagon as well. Garland's K numbers are ridiculous.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/20/2008 9:02:00 PM
 
Does "real life value" include defense? I can't countenance saying that Jackson will have more value than Young, when you factor in how excellent Young is in center.
Posted by Erickson at 4/20/2008 9:19:00 PM
 
Defense should be factored in and that's a good point. I still think Jackson beats him in OBP, SLG and strikes out around 100 fewer times, but still, that does make it much closer since Young is a center fielder and all. Should be a close call in the end.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/20/2008 9:30:00 PM
 
Triple D, you were a bit pessimistic on Greinke a couple blogs ago, but he struck out 6 in 5 innings on Saturday (despite getting knocked around a bit). What's your take now? I've also been trying to figure out Ryan Braun this year, do you think his inability to take a walk is hurting his overall production?
Posted by obzen at 4/20/2008 10:25:00 PM
 
First off, let me be clear that I'm a believer in Greinke. I liked him entering the year and think his stuff is legit. He's going to be a good pitcher for years to come. That said, his peripherals are incredibly unsustainable - .264 BABIP, .31 HR/9 IP, 90.9 strand rate - of course, no one expects him to finish the year with a 1.24 ERA, but the component numbers suggest he's been extremely lucky. He's a sell-high for sure...Ryan Braun was bound to lose 30 points on his BA from last year, but I'm not overly concerned. He's legit and will be fine.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/20/2008 10:39:00 PM
 
I'm not patting myself on the back too hard with the Pistons/Celtics call. Predicting against both 4-0 series isn't that big of a stretch, but I could see one of the series being somewhat close (i.e., 4-2, maybe 4-3). When you said Detroit was unimpressive it made me think-they're old. After looking it up, they are-all starters are at least 30 except for Prince. Conversely, the Sixers have all starters under 27, except Andre Miller (32). Could make for an interesting series, there's usually one big upset in the first round of the playoffs.
Posted by kevinccp at 4/21/2008 8:08:00 AM
 
See Liss's blog for my UFC commentary
Posted by kevinccp at 4/21/2008 8:08:00 AM
 
5 Late Night Train Wrecks: 1. Chevy Chase 2. Magic Johnson 3. Pat Sajak 4. Carson Daly 5. Alan Thicke
Posted by skinsnut at 4/21/2008 8:15:00 AM
 
Kevin - Ya I'm def. more mad I missed the UFC fights than most of the Hopkins one, which sounded like a real bore. St. Pierre would beat up anyone alive, right?
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/21/2008 4:41:00 PM
 
skinsnut - Good stuff. The Magic Hour was classic.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/21/2008 4:42:00 PM
 
I'm pretty sure St. Pierre broke a few of Serra's ribs, in the last 15 seconds of the fight. St. Pierre also agreed to fight Serra @ MSG, St. Pierre didn't want to anything standing up with Serra. If there was one PPV to miss considering the upcoming ones, this was the one. Travis Lutter/Rich Franklin were the co-main event, which is was a good fight, but co-main event?. The next one Tito Ortiz is fighting his last contractual (is that a word?) fight for the UFC, and he's not lost a fight to anyone not named Liddell-and he's an underdog according to the sportsbooks. Penn is fighting Shawn Sherk, Wanderlei Silva is fighting Keith Jardine, Soukajou vs. Nakamura. I think the card was weak for this was because they forced a Canadian on each card. I would buy the UFC before any boxing PPV, I know Liss objects but we'll see 3-4 years down the road. BTW if you want full fight coverage, 3D email me @ kcpayne26@aol.com
Posted by kevinccp at 4/21/2008 5:16:00 PM
 
Right now I'm kicking myself for taking Atkins ahead of Chipper but that injury can't be far off. Love the late night train wrecks. Don't know what world 3D is living in though. I'll reverse his order: 1.Leno 2.Ferguson 3.Kimmel 4.Conan 5.Letterman
Posted by bvg2723 at 4/21/2008 10:02:00 PM
 
I really don't care about the rest of the order, but Leno is truly awful.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 4/22/2008 12:22:00 AM
 
In case people don't remember how bad Chevy Chase was as a talk show host (I'm a huge fan otherwise) here you go.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdqMEfV-r9A&feature=related
Posted by skinsnut at 4/22/2008 5:08:00 AM
 

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