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Let's Talk Baseball
Posted by Mark Stopa at 6/3/2008 6:12:00 AM
View more posts by this author

 

It's time to trade for Alex Gordon, especially in keeper leagues. After an abysmal year last year, his K:BB rate is down to 2:1. He's starting to "get it." Then you factor in that third base is getting shallower (Miguel Cabrera and Ryan Braun won't be 3B eligible next year in most leagues, Atkins could get traded out of Coors, and Ryan Zimmerman is falling through the floor), and Gordon's looking more appealing to me each day.

I think Smoltz is done. Does he really expect he can just change his arm angle and succeed? If I owned him (which I don't), I'd be sellling, and fast. And in medium to deep leagues, I wouldn't give up on Soriano, Boyer, and Acosta.

Brandon Morrow is looking like a good speculative closer pick. Putz is really struggling and I think a DL stint is in his immediate future. I'd rather have Morrow than Scott Downs, for example.

Hanley Ramirez hasn't stolen a base in nearly a month. Does he have a lower body injury? Is he saving himself for a long season? I'm starting to get concerned.

Ben Francisco has really cemented himself in the Indians' lineup. He should be owned in most all leagues.

Ian Stewart is going to be 2B eligible soon. And it's not like the Rockies are making the playoffs this year, so if he hits at all, he should get PT.

Carlos Gomez's speed hasn't surprised me. But who would have thought he'd be hitting .280 on June 3? Not me. (No, you didn't think so, either.) But his BB:K rate suggests a slump is coming. Though it's hard to replace his speed, in yearly leagues, I'd sell high.

If you own Brian Fuentes and don't own Taylor Buchholz, then you are going to have a problem at some point, perhaps soon. Handcuffs are tough in shallow leagues, but if you can afford stashing Buchholz on the bench, do so.

I bet you didn't know that Jason Bergmann's K:BB rate is more than five to one. Chances are that he's the only starting pitcher who's available in shallow to medium leagues who you can say that about.

I don't think Delmon Young forgot how to hit. The recent doubles are a good sign.

Let me say it again: the time to buy Prince Fielder at less than full value is about to expire, if it hasn't already. Yesterday he even stole a base. (BTW, how sweet is it when a player hits a HR and steals a base in the same game? Love that.)

The more Ks he racks up this year, the more Carlos Pena's 2007 looks like that year Adrian Beltre went crazy for the Dodgers. He's still serviceable, but, just as Beltre never came close to duplicating that season, it doesn't look like Pena will, either.

Don't go overboard bidding on Russell Branyan. He's been down this road before.

I'm exhausted speculating on potential closers in Oakland. Devine, Casilla, Foulke, Brown, Embree, and now Calero pitched the eighth inning recently.

What's the fallout from Big Papi's injury in Boston? My gut reaction is that Coco Crisp stands the most to gain. He's worth thinking about, depending on the size of your league.


Comments....

Good to see you writing again. I just traded Fuentes yesterday, fearing a trade to the Yankees. Bergmann is amazing, but he will not help if you need Wins. I will look into Gordon. Quickly, if you had an extremely strong OF, would you trade Ichiro for J. Santana straight up? I am talking it is strong at the expense of pitching.
Posted by jhermann at 6/3/2008 7:06:00 AM
 
Gordon's stats won't jump out at you. You have to take into account his age and improving plate discipline. He's getting better and should continue to do so. If only he ran a little more and/or didn't play on the Royals.
Posted by MPStopa at 6/3/2008 8:06:00 AM
 
But is Gordon enough now. Seems like he is mostly empty batting average for non-keeper leagues.
Posted by IRA at 6/3/2008 9:00:00 AM
 
IRA, that's how you sell it to the other owner when you get him, knowing in your mind that power usually comes after improved plate discipline, especially for young players. But I agree it doesn't apply as much for yearly leagues.
Posted by MPStopa at 6/3/2008 9:18:00 AM
 
I have Pena in my Strat league so loving his 2007 card, but let's just say that I'm already trying to deal for a 2B for next year.

Bergmann is the Jeremy Hellickson of the big leagues, agree.

Good to see Chris Carter in the bigs (as a result of the Ortiz injury). I wondered what he was up to after X-Files went off the air.

Gomez's .280 avg isn't a surprise, just as his 57:8 K;BB and .311 OBP aren't surprises.

Trying to deal for Alex Gordon in Tout Wars. Last week I offered King Felix and E. Encarnacion for Jacobs and Gordon. Thought I had that one done but it was rejected.


Posted by vtadave at 6/3/2008 8:17:00 PM
 
Dave, I think Gomez's .280 AVG is a surprise. I thought he'd struggle enough with his AVG that he might not stay in the leadoff spot or even in the majors. You really thought, back in the preseason, that he'd be hitting .280 right now? I don't think anybody in Staff League 2 thought that or they would have picked him in the first round of the reserve draft.
Posted by MPStopa at 6/4/2008 7:48:00 AM
 

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