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MLB/NFL Notes
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/26/2008 6:51:00 PM
View more posts by this author

 

Shane Victorino has eight steals over the past eight games and a vastly improving approach at the plate this year (27:27 K:BB ratio). Despite a stint on the disabled list, heís still on pace to surpass 100 runs scored. And although Victorino has increased both his line-drive and flyball percentages from last year, his slugging has dropped sharply, so look for more extra base hits from here on out.

Despite the lowest K rate and highest walk rate of his career, Francisco Rodriguez has already racked up 31 saves this season, putting him on pace to shatter the major league record. A .233 BABIP and .825 strand rate are big reasons why, as are the copious amount of opportunities. Unless he starts pitching better, Rodriguezís ratios will rise, but that doesnít mean he still wonít be elite. It looks like his early season injury worries can be put to bed.

Iím beginning to think this Evan Longoria kid can play some ball. Sure, he strikes out far too often, but with 14 homers in just 245 at-bats, he possesses legit power. And this is all with a .169/.282/.373 line against left-handers.

Kevin Kouzmanoff has been hit by a pitch (10) almost as many times as heís walked (11) this season.

With an eight-inning, three baserunner, 11 K masterpiece Thursday, Rich Harden continues to tantalize. Even at just 95 pitches, the Aís smartly pulled him, since this is the first time in three years heís been able to make nine consecutive starts. His 11.2 K 9/IP mark is eye-popping. With Justin Duchscherer also leading the AL in ERA, the Aís have two talented yet extremely injury-prone starters at the front of their rotation. The team ranks second in defensive efficiency, which certainly doesnít hurt.

With the trade of T.J. Ford, how high do you take Jose Calderon in fantasy drafts next season? He doesnít score a ton, but few, if any, point guards shoot with such proficiency. Also, no one will turn the ball over less while racking up so many assists. Early third round doesnít seem too high to me.

Christian Guzman currently leads major league baseball in hits for the 2008 season. I didnít see that one coming.

Iíve got to give a shout out to the Fresno St. Bulldogs, winners of the college baseball world series. The Cinderella run was the equivalent of a 13-seed winning March Madness. In fact, they were the lowest seeded team ever to win an NCAA title. I donít call it Fresno, I call it Fresyes.

Iím positively dumbfounded by Willie Parkerís current ADP of 30. Even while leading the league in rushing, he wasnít all that valuable as a fantasy back last year and now has to deal with a more complete runner in Rashard Mendenhall. Since Parker doesnít catch the ball or get short yardage work, I see no upside, even if Pittsburgh is a good team that is run-heavy. Parkerís 4.1 YPC last season was a problem, and that was before he shattered his fibula. Iíd take Darren McFadden (ADP: 47) ahead of him eight days a week.

Brandon Marshall and Ahmad Bradshaw are two of my favorites targets this season. Unfortunately, itís tough to rack up fantasy points while incarcerated. Get your acts together, fellas!

Iím avoiding Marvin Harrison like the plague this year. The Colts remain a fantastic situation to be in, but this is someone still not practicing after coming off two very serious knee injuries, including the worst ďbruiseĒ in the history of bruises. But most concerning of all is that Harrison will enter the season as a 36-year-old. Iíd prefer Anthony Gonzalez to him.

My top-10 fantasy QBs for 2008:

1. Tom Brady
2. Peyton Manning
3. Tony Romo
4. Carson Palmer
5. Drew Brees
6. Jay Cutler
7. Ben Roethlisberger
8. Matt Schaub
9. David Garrard
10. Matt Hasselbeck


Comments....

If he stays healthy (I know that's an enormous if), Harden will be the most valuable fantasy pitcher in 2008.

Parker's ADP is a product of people chasing a name player. I guarantee he goes far lower than that in expert leagues. Same thing with Harrison - inexperienced owners will overpay due to name recognition.

No way I'd take Cutler over Big Ben. He's got to prove it on the field first (esp. with the issues surrounding Marshall).
Posted by MPStopa at 6/26/2008 7:33:00 PM
 
I'm a big Roethlisberger fan - argued he was a top-5 NFL commodity before last season began. My main reasoning for Cutler over him is team philosophy - it will not be easy repeating throwing for 32 TDs with just 404 attempts. That said, Santonio Holmes is an emerging star, and B. Marshall might spend more time in the clink than on the field. But Cutler's first two years (and considering he lost 30 LBS with an undiagnosed case of diabetes last season) have been very impressive. Love the fact he runs too.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/26/2008 9:47:00 PM
 
I'd definately bump Hasselbeck up a few spots. But I think the list looks pretty right on.
Posted by joey'scookies at 6/26/2008 11:53:00 PM
 
3rd round for Calderon? I'd take him there every time. He should average 9-11 pts and dish out 10-12 assists every night. Plus 48% from the field and 88% from the line, and 5+assist to turnover ratio. Very underappreciated.
Posted by joey'scookies at 6/26/2008 11:55:00 PM
 
9-11 points for Calderon? The man averaged about 17 a game when Ford was out.
Posted by nayfel at 6/27/2008 7:33:00 AM
 
DDD, I agree Schuab is a top ten fQB. Most have him lower. I think you can get him for value later, as well. This is a major bonus. Fissue:. I traded draft picks last night. I now get 4 and 10 in the 1st round, but give up rounds 2 and 3. I also get an extra in round 6. In Round 1, should I pick RB and WR since I will not be picking again to Round 4? THanks.
Posted by jhermann at 6/27/2008 7:40:00 AM
 
Ya, Calderon may indeed be a 2nd rounder.

jhermann - I'd personally probably go RB/RB at the 4 and 10 spots. For sure take one at #4, but if you're not in love with a back at #10, it's OK to go R. Moss. But I'd personally go back to back RBs in that situation.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/27/2008 8:26:00 AM
 
nayfel, I was trying to be a little low on projections, showing I thought was worst case scenerio. Plus, I think he shoots less with the new roster. But he's a stud either way.
Posted by joey'scookies at 6/27/2008 8:53:00 AM
 
DDD, Thanks for the sage and valuable advice. I would take Moss or Wayne over Maroney but, if Gore is available,I probably would take Gore. THis is a keeper league and the draft starts in a little over two weeks.
Posted by jhermann at 6/27/2008 9:51:00 AM
 
3D thanks for being in our AL only draft. I almost think Harrison could be a value pick. It's not really a secret to anyone that he's older, he's coming off a injury year with poor numbers. Yet he has that repoire with Manning, and is still one of the best route runners in the game. I wouldn't mind having him as a third receiver, but your right he's shouldn't be drafted before...say the 6th round.
Posted by kevinccp at 6/27/2008 1:52:00 PM
 
We need an NL-only draft, say around the ASB.
Posted by spianow at 6/27/2008 3:29:00 PM
 
jerhmann - Def. snag Gore if he slips.

kevin - I wanted to be in that AL-only draft but had stuff come up last minute. It was unavoidable. How did it go? Who has the best looking team?

Pianow - If you do an NL-only one, then I can draft Giants.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/27/2008 6:48:00 PM
 
I'm totally in for the NL-only league... though I'd feel bad winning both of them.

As a Steelers fan - I'd second the notion that Willie Parker should not be drafted that high.

What the heck is wrong with Tony LaRussa? Is he trying to kill Izzy? The dude is not a 2 inning pitcher historically and since his return from the DL, Larussa has used him for 2 or more innings 3 times now and this last 2 1/3 inning stint (which came the day after an inning of work by the way) may have contributed to a knee injury. Can't say I understand what Larussa is thinking there...

The Ryan Dumpster correction continues with today's absolute POUNDING at the hands of the Chisox... I still stand by the notion that the world is ending if he finishes with a sub 3.9 ERA.


Posted by billgoofnow at 6/27/2008 7:45:00 PM
 
Stuff=a Lincecum sighting within a 10 mile radius of your place?
Posted by kevinccp at 6/27/2008 7:46:00 PM
 
Bill, I think Dempster is a huge sell high candidate-people forgot this is a guy who pitched less than 67 innings and will be expected to throw about triple that this year. He will get tired at some point.
Posted by kevinccp at 6/27/2008 7:48:00 PM
 
billgoofnow - Totally agree about the Izzy handling. What's even worse is that their trainer came out to look at him during that outing, and he was still left in to pitch. Doesn't make much sense at all...Dempster was bound to get shelled soon enough. Next up, Joe Saunders.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/27/2008 9:23:00 PM
 
kevin - My fiance's grandpa was actually hospitalized. But if Lincecum did come within a 10 mile radius of my place, I'd probably no longer have a fiance.
Posted by Dalton Del Don at 6/27/2008 9:26:00 PM
 
DDD - Who do you think will blow Lincecum's win tonight? I'm going to go with the usual suspect

TYLER WALKER


that guy is DEATH to Lincecum wins. Though it's possible that Bochy will bring Lincecum out for the 8th even though he shouldn't, allow Timmy to put two batters on and then yank him for Yabu who will let the tying run score on a wild pitch.

Either way, another fantastic outing for Timmy (7 shutout 11K 5 hits 3 walks) - outshining Johan Santana yet again. I have to look back to see what date I said I'd take Lincecum over Santana to compare the stats since that time - but I have a feeling it's a MONSTROUS slam dunk (picture Lincecum postering Santana as he jams it home) that Lincecum is ahead so far.
Posted by billgoofnow at 6/28/2008 7:56:00 PM
 
Interestingly, it turns out it's not nearly as lopsided as I thought it was since I made that comment (on 5/28) that I would not trade Lincecum for Santana straight up. In fact it's down right identical hehe:

Since 5/28:

Santana: 39 2/3 IP 35 hits 15 BB 38 K 10 ER 2.26 ERA 1.26 WHIP 1 win

Lincecum: 40 IP 32 hits 15 BB 38 K 11 ER 2.47 ERA 1.17 WHIP 2 wins

Both pretty darn good over the past 30 days. Here's to hoping they keep that up!
Posted by billgoofnow at 6/28/2008 8:43:00 PM
 

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