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Zito - overpaid?
Posted by Jan Levine at 12/28/2006 9:58:00 AM
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Zito signs a seven-year, $126-million contract, with an option for an eighth year at $18 million, with the Giants. With rumors of a seven-year, $100 million offer expected to be enough to sign him, I guess Zito should be extremely thankful that he is a lefty and that Scott Boras is his agent. With an aging team around him and not many top shelf prospects coming up the pipeline for SF, how long before Zito thinks he made a mistake staying by the Bay or will it be the Giants who think they overpaid when they realize that Zito is not a true ace but more of a #2 starter?


Comments....

This just makes me wonder how much Johan Santana would command in this market and with inflation, what his contract will look like if he makes it to free agency after 2008. Eight years, $200 million? Maybe...

As a Dodgers fan, I'm much more comfortable with having "overpaid" Schmidt to accept a three-year deal. Zito has been highly durable, but he's nowhere near the pitcher he was in his Cy Young season (2002). Then there's the decline in his K/9 and K/BB rates in each of the last two seasons. Then again, if Jeff Suppan is worth $42 million, isn't Zito worth exactly three times as much?

I wonder what sort of deal Mark Redman will get now. He's left-handed too.
Posted by vtadave at 12/28/2006 10:12:00 AM
 
It's just a sign of the times, when average bums like JD Drew sign 70 million dollar contracts, it just over inflates everything. Zito is 28 years old and At & T park is a lefty's dream in those cold May and June nights also, and true he is the #2 starter ,thus making the Giants the best starting pitching staff in the NL West. I think it was a great move.
Posted by giant1s at 12/28/2006 12:25:00 PM
 
Will you think it's a great move when Zito is 32 and still making $18M with another three years to go on the contract? It's not really the money that's a problem, it's the length of the deal. Seven years is an absolute disaster to give a pitcher. Unless Zito is the missing World Series ingredient for the Giants. But who believes that? I know pitchers are supposed to peak in the 30-32 range, but Zito, by the looks of it, has already peaked. His fastball is as ordinary as they come these days. His numbers are declining. His fielding independent ERA last year was a career-high 4.94. I'd much rather have the one-year deals of Pettitte, Maddux or Wolf. I'd rather have Schmidt's three-year deal despite his age. Or Mussina's two-year deal.

Posted by Jason Thornbury at 12/28/2006 1:14:00 PM
 
what do the mets do now? i know that's a lot of money, but they really dont have much of a rotation at this point. I think they really needed to add him.
Posted by otismyman at 12/28/2006 3:29:00 PM
 
The Mets will have to hope guys like Glavine and El Duque have a little left in the tank and young guys like Pelfrey and Humber grow up quickly.
Posted by vtadave at 12/28/2006 3:40:00 PM
 
The Mets are going to have to trade Milledge. There is no other way around it. They can either REALLY overpay and hope they can put a package together for Dontrelle, or they can get ripped off in a deal like Milledge for Javier Vasquez. Now that every team knows they need pitching so bad, Minaya is dealing from a position of weakness. Not to mention the Mets have enough money that they can always buy an outfielder if they need to, which means they can afford to trade Milledge (Not to mention the development of Fernando Martinez and Carlos Gomez).
Posted by JLitterine at 12/28/2006 5:09:00 PM
 
I figured the Marlins would wait until midseason to auction off Dontrelle, just to ensure a kid was ready to step into his rotation spot, but I wonder how much his little 'incident' changes that timetable... he isn't quite the happy-go-lucky poster boy for the franchise any more.

But in theory they wouldn't deal him straight up for Baldelli or BJ Upton -- will they deal him for Milledge?
Posted by ESiegrist at 12/28/2006 11:33:00 PM
 
Willis is going to take something like Milledge, Humber, and Heilman. Maybe even Pelfrey instead of Humber. Don't see that going down.

Mets will probably offer a deal to Jeff Weaver which would be interesting seeing as how he was a complete dud in his last NY stint.

Another possibility is a deal involving Milledge and others for Brad Penny.
Posted by vtadave at 12/29/2006 8:25:00 AM
 
As a Mets fan, realize the organization is down on Milledge and one of the major issues - other than the maturity one - is whether his bat speed will result in power as he matures. That being said, no way I deal him for Penny, who stunk the second half of the season and also has his injury questions.

To give up young pitchers like Pelfrey and Humber somewhat defeats the purpose of drafting young pitchers since you will then need to sign other starters to make up the gaps when Glavine, El Duque and Pedro are gone or unavailable.

Would rather see them sign Weaver, just reading the columns on him and his quotes about being back in New York should be worth the price of admission, or trade for someone like Rodrigo Lopez and see if his skills translate to the NL. If not, see if some of the kids can step up and fill the open spots.
Posted by airjan23 at 12/29/2006 10:38:00 AM
 

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