This article is part of our MLB Barometer series.
Among the group of 22 starters selected in the first 100 picks in post-March 1 NFBC leagues, over 70 percent of them will likely return or exceed their ADP slot, or fall within two rounds (24 picks: 12-teamers). Most starters will have about five or six starts remaining, but we are at a late enough point in the season to assume the range where most end-of-season numbers will end. Some of the pitchers on the list could have rough outings, get hurt, or shut down, but it shouldn't affect 2016 ADP too drastically.
In the chart below, the two columns on the right are the round and overall pick I would project these pitchers to fall come next March. Several factors may skew these projections by the end of the season and next March (offseason trade / new home park, upgraded/downgraded