MLB Barometer: There's Always Next Year

MLB Barometer: There's Always Next Year

This article is part of our MLB Barometer series.

After the dust settles on the 2015 baseball season and we begin prep for 2016 fantasy drafts, there will be but one friendly reminder - that elite starting pitchers are the most stable and reliable position. The league's best SP are safer than the hitter options, and you'd better get two of them within the first seven rounds. Injuries and the occasional shutdown via Tommy John will inevitably strike a few from this group per year. The group of top 25 starters will always have newcomers and dropouts. But for the most part, the best starting pitchers are your best bet at stability and having value returned or exceeded.

Among the group of 22 starters selected in the first 100 picks in post-March 1 NFBC leagues, over 70 percent of them will likely return or exceed their ADP slot, or fall within two rounds (24 picks: 12-teamers). Most starters will have about five or six starts remaining, but we are at a late enough point in the season to assume the range where most end-of-season numbers will end. Some of the pitchers on the list could have rough outings, get hurt, or shut down, but it shouldn't affect 2016 ADP too drastically.

In the chart below, the two columns on the right are the round and overall pick I would project these pitchers to fall come next March. Several factors may skew these projections by the end of the season and next March (offseason trade / new home park, upgraded/downgraded

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Vlad Sedler
Vlad Sedler covers baseball and football for RotoWire. He is a veteran NFBC player and CDM Hall of Famer, winning the Football Super Challenge in 2013. A native Angeleno, Vlad loves the Dodgers and Kings and is quite possibly the world's only Packers/Raiders fan. You can follow him @RotoGut.
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