Buster Posey
Buster Posey
31-Year-Old CatcherC
San Francisco Giants
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Posey was again one of the sport’s most disciplined hitters in 2018 and trailed only Wilson Ramos in batting average among all catchers with at least 400 plate appearances, but the 31-year-old was a huge disappointment for those that paid top dollar for him. The reasons behind Posey’s downfall weren’t too surprising. He played only 105 games before getting shut down for good after late-August hip surgery and saw his power tail off when he was healthy, continuing a trend that’s persisted since 2015. More troubling was the fact that the power loss was even more acute than usual, as his ISO plummeted from .142 in 2017 all the way to .098, limiting him to just five homers. With Posey's status for Opening Day in peril and his home-run output unlikely to dramatically recover, he's not a comfortable top-five draft pick among fantasy catchers, even though his name brand will probably keep him in that range in more casual leagues. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a nine-year, $167.4 million contract extension with the Giants in March of 2013. Contract includes $22 million team option ($3 million buyout) for 2022.
Makes second start behind dish
CSan Francisco Giants
March 4, 2019
Posey (hip) started Sunday's exhibition against the Rockies, going 1-for-2 in the loss.
Posey has now started two spring training games behind the dish after undergoing hip surgery this past offseason. There was a bit of concern regarding the All-Star catcher's availability to begin the season given how long the team delayed surgery last year, but his early presence this spring bodes well for his availability on Opening Day. Posey saw his production dip to career lows in 2018, but the hip injury may have contributed to the decline. Assuming he is truly back to full strength, it wouldn't be shocking to see his numbers trend back up to his career norms.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Since 2016vs Left .917 499 68 16 52 6 .324 .417 .500
Since 2016vs Right .754 1131 123 15 136 9 .287 .355 .399
2018vs Left .829 151 19 3 11 2 .300 .391 .438
2018vs Right .698 297 28 2 30 1 .276 .343 .354
2017vs Left 1.019 162 22 7 21 3 .360 .451 .568
2017vs Right .799 406 40 5 46 3 .304 .379 .420
2016vs Left .899 186 27 6 20 1 .312 .409 .490
2016vs Right .752 428 55 8 60 5 .277 .341 .411
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
Since 2016Home .866 777 103 14 108 9 .327 .409 .457
Since 2016Away .747 853 88 17 80 6 .272 .342 .405
2018Home .893 212 29 4 29 1 .337 .420 .473
2018Away .609 236 18 1 12 2 .238 .305 .304
2017Home .884 266 30 3 39 3 .345 .421 .463
2017Away .841 302 32 9 28 3 .298 .381 .460
2016Home .831 299 44 7 40 5 .304 .391 .440
2016Away .762 315 38 7 40 1 .273 .333 .429
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Stat Review
How does Buster Posey compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Posey remains the best pure-hitting catcher in the major leagues, but his fantasy appeal has been dinged in recent seasons by steadily declining power and a depletion of talent around him in San Francisco. In a season that saw record home-run totals, Posey managed 12 long balls 568 plate appearances, marking his third consecutive season of decline in that department. He hit just three homers at home and now has a total of 16 homers at AT&T Park over the past three seasons. His strikeout and walk rates were nearly identical from 2016, with Posey posting stellar marks of 11.6 percent and 10.7 percent, respectively, but the counting totals suffered as the Giants posted the second-lowest run total in the National League. He's still worthy of a lofty investment, but Posey is now clearly behind Gary Sanchez at the catcher position, and the likes of Willson Contreras and J.T. Realmuto are closing the gap behind Posey.
Posey had an underwhelming season -- by his standards -- in 2016. While his production was still good enough to rank in the top five among all catchers, he produced below the standard he set from 2012 to 2015. His home runs, RBI and OPS all decreased from 2015, but he did hit more doubles (33) and stole a career-high six bases. The lack of RBI can be attributed to the Giants' struggles at the top of the order in the first half of the season. Missing Hunter Pence to injury for the majority of the season also removed the All-Star catcher's protection in the lineup. Posey's swing and contact rates were right in line with his career percentages, so there is no sign of a significant decline in his approach at the plate. His numbers only seem disappointing when considering his draft day price. On the bright side, his down year may result in a reduced cost heading into next year's drafts. Posey will likely see his numbers bounce this season to his previous elite levels.
Another year, another All-Star performance from Posey. He ranked first among all catchers in batting average (.318), RBI (95), OBP (.379), SLG (.470), OPS (.849) and WAR (6.1). Those who paid the steep price for him on draft day were rewarded with the best fantasy catcher in the game, especially in leagues that factor in OBP and SLG. He is able to sustain his elite performance with a less-than-intimidating supporting cast due to his patience at the plate (47.9 swing%) and high contact rate (88.0 contact%) when he does decide to swing. The knock on drafting top-tier catchers is the fact that they need a certain number of off days for rest. That isn't necessarily the case for Posey, who receives his "off days" playing first base, allowing manager Bruce Bochy to keep his legs fresh and his bat in the lineup. At age 28, there are no signs of him slowing down, and Posey should be treated as the top catcher in fantasy yet again.
While Posey did not quite rebound to an MVP level in 2014, he returned more rotisserie value than any catcher and finished sixth in the NL MVP voting. Posey has displayed remarkable durability since his freak injury in 2011, appearing in at least 147 games each of the last three seasons, and he didn't hit below .250 in any month of the 2014 campaign. He struggled in the postseason (.558 OPS) and especially in the World Series (4-for-26), but Posey was one of the main reasons why the Giants earned a wild card birth in the first place, and of course San Francisco won it all regardless. Against right-handers, Posey hit .314/.366/.478, up from .283/.362/.431 a year before, and he was red-hot down the stretch in the regular season, finishing with a .978 OPS in the second half. Sure, his walk rate was down more than two percent (from 10.1% to 7.8%), but Posey again improved his strikeout rate (to 11.4%) and has proven to be an extremely consistent offensive contributor. He'll be just 28 at the start of the 2015 campaign and is still the clear choice for first catcher off the board.
Posey didn't put up numbers close to his MVP season in 2012, but he still produced at an elite level for catchers in 2013. After posting a .325 average coupled with 13 homers and 56 RBI in the first half, many thought he could repeat his numbers from 2012. But that wasn't the case as Posey completely disappeared in the second half, hitting just .244 with just two home runs and 16 RBI after the All-Star break. There was no apparent injury to report with Posey, and he actually improved his BB/K (0.96) in the second half, so it is tough to pinpoint what exactly went wrong with the All-Star catcher. Despite his second-half struggles, Posey will remain one of the most consistent options at catcher in 2014.
The 25-year-old catcher won the NL MVP award after missing most of 2011 with a leg injury, and vastly improved his overall offensive production. His 162 wRC+ was tied for second best in baseball, and there is no significant flaw in his offensive game despite lacking speed. Posey made more contact (6.0 percent swinging-strike rate), improved his plate discipline (career best 11.3 percent walk rate) and posted a career-best .213 ISO and 18.8 percent HR/FB rate at a premium position. Behind the plate, Posey is still considered above average with a good arm, and looks as if he has slightly improved at first base.
Posey suffered a season-ending leg injury in May thanks to a brutal collision at the plate, so his follow up to his Rookie of the Year campaign came to a premature end. He wasn't playing as well as he did in 2010 before going down, and while the big drop came in slugging percentage (.505 compared to .389), his OBP was actually up (.357 to .368). The injury was gruesome (broken fibula and severely strained ligaments), and there's concern about his long-term ability to catch, but he suffered it early enough in the season for him to be expected to be fully ready for 2012. Posey has terrific work ethic, and his bat is for real, so he should be one of the first five catchers off the board during fantasy drafts.
After Posey showed he had nothing left to prove in the minors by hitting .349/.442/.552 over 172 at-bats in Triple-A last season, the Giants finally promoted him in late May, and he stayed with the big club for good. He posted an .862 OPS with strong plate discipline, winning National League Rookie of the Year honors in the process. Posey's 18 homers were the second most by a catcher in the NL, and he did it in just 406 at-bats. He also got rave reviews for his work behind the plate, and don't forget he's still just 24. Posey doesn't have the benefit of the DH during his off days catching, and his home park typically suppresses homers, but he's one of the best young hitters in the game and is locked in the middle of San Francisco's lineup. With his natural ability to hit for average combined with his developing power, there's an argument Posey should be the first catcher off the board in fantasy leagues.
Posey hit .325 with 18 homers, 84 runs scored and 80 RBI over 422 at-bats during his first real stint in the minors last year. He also showed good plate discipline (68:62 K:BB ratio) and more than held his own as a 22-year-old in Triple-A (.902 OPS), as he’s been put on the fast track. Since he was given just 17 at-bats with the Giants, it’s unclear why the team called him up at all, other than to prematurely start his arbitration clock. Posey is clearly one of the best prospects in all of baseball, but he’s not ready for a full-time gig behind the plate in the majors. He could enter 2010 with the Giants with a big spring training, but Posey will likely share catching duties with a veteran in San Francisco if he’s not getting more seasoning in the minors.
Posey was awarded the Golden Spikes Award as the top amateur player in 2008. He led the nation in batting average (.472), on-base percentage (.572) and slugging percentage (.908) in his junior season at Florida State. The fifth overall pick in last year’s draft, Posey immediately became one of baseball’s best prospects. The former shortstop should be able to handle catching duties, and his bat is for real. Posey is worthy of a high pick in keeper leagues and should be starting in San Francisco by 2010.
More Fantasy News
Set to debut Friday
CSan Francisco Giants
February 27, 2019
Posey will make his Cactus League debut Friday against the Reds, Maria I. Guardado of MLB.com reports.
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Easing into game action at catcher
CSan Francisco Giants
February 20, 2019
Posey isn't expected to play catcher in a spring training game until March 1, Kerry Crowley of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
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Expects to be ready for Opening Day
CSan Francisco Giants
February 8, 2019
Posey (hip) expects to be ready for Opening Day, Kerry Crowley of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
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Set to resume running in January
CSan Francisco Giants
December 12, 2018
The Giants expect Posey (hip) to begin running sprints in mid-January, Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
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Could see less work come April
CSan Francisco Giants
December 10, 2018
Posey (hip) is making considerable progress, although he may take on a lighter workload to start the 2019 season, Kerry Crowley of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
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