Jordan Lyles
Jordan Lyles
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
10-Day IL
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 6/20/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Lyles opened the 2018 season in a relief role for the Padres, posting a 3.66 ERA and 16:7 K:BB across 19.2 innings before replacing Robbie Erlin in the starting rotation in May. The right-hander was wildly inconsistent as a starter, allowing four or more runs in four of his eight starts while allowing just four total runs in his other four starts. Forearm tightness sent Lyles to the disabled list at the end of June and forced him to miss more than a month. Once activated, he was sent to the bullpen, where he made a trio of appearances before being traded to the Brewers in August. He increased the usage of his curveball and fastball with Milwaukee, which resulted in an improved ERA and strikeout rate. Lyles signed with Pittsburgh after the Brewers declined his option. He'll compete for a rotation spot, and both Lyles and the Pirates believe his changes can translate to success as a starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.05 million contract with the Pirates in December of 2018.
Expected back next week
PPittsburgh Pirates
Hamstring
June 12, 2019
Lyles (hamstring) is expected to rejoin the Pirates' rotation next week, John Perrotto of DKPittsburghSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Lyles landed on the injured list earlier in the week, but it sounds like his stay on the shelf will be a short one. Assuming everything goes off without a hitch during his scheduled bullpen session this weekend, Lyles could be cleared to return when first eligible (June 20).
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-31%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .272 425 85 40 103 20 1 17
Since 2017vs Right .267 535 120 34 131 25 5 18
2019vs Left .281 109 27 13 27 4 1 5
2019vs Right .194 156 39 11 28 8 1 2
2018vs Left .185 167 36 15 27 5 0 4
2018vs Right .299 204 48 13 56 8 2 8
2017vs Left .360 149 22 12 49 11 0 8
2017vs Right .296 175 33 10 47 9 2 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.19 1.26 118.0 5 5 0 7.9 2.5 1.1
Since 2017Away 6.16 1.53 103.2 4 7 0 8.8 3.6 1.8
2019Home 3.93 1.28 34.1 2 2 0 6.6 2.4 0.8
2019Away 3.30 1.17 30.0 3 1 0 12.3 4.5 1.2
2018Home 3.11 1.12 46.1 3 2 0 9.9 2.5 0.8
2018Away 5.23 1.43 41.1 0 2 0 7.2 3.3 1.7
2017Home 5.79 1.42 37.1 0 1 0 6.8 2.7 1.7
2017Away 10.02 2.01 32.1 1 4 0 7.5 3.1 2.5
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Stat Review
How does Jordan Lyles compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.75
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
92.6 mph
 
ERA
3.64
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.294
 
GB/FB
1.29
 
Left On Base
75.5%
 
Exit Velocity
90.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.9%
 
Spin Rate
2228 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
42.8%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Despite a lackluster spring showing, Lyles managed to crack the Rockies' Opening Day roster in a long-relief role. He found little success in this role however, as he struck out just 6.4 batters per nine innings and gave up 11 homers in 46.2 frames. The Rockies finally cut ties with the right-hander and designated him for assignment in late July. Lyles found a new home shortly thereafter, with the Padres picking him up on a minor-league deal. A decent performance in the minors allowed him to return to the big leagues for a handful of starts down the stretch. His ERA wound up rising to 9.39, although an extremely high .412 BABIP played a part in that. The Padres brought him back and he figures to compete for a rotation spot in camp, but Lyles' profile and body of work should keep him off most fantasy radars heading into 2018.
Lyles' 2016 campaign was up-and-down. The 26-year-old started the season on a high note by landing a spot in the Rockies' rotation. Things went south quickly, however, as he was shelled in his first few starts and was promptly sent down to Triple-A Albuquerque for more seasoning. Following a bit of time shuttling between the majors and the minors, Lyles found his stride as a reliever over the summer with Colorado, posting a solid 2.88 ERA and a stellar 0.5 HR/9. The right-hander scuffled at the end of the season to bring his season ERA up to 5.83, but he did manage to show that he could pitch effectively at the major league level. That being said, his strikeout ability still didn't come to fruition (4.91 K/9), which hurts his already low value. To make matters worse, many Rockies pitching prospects are knocking on the door of the major league rotation, which could force Lyles into the bullpen for good, and given his low K rate, it will be tough for him to carve out a high-leverage role if that is his fate.
Lyles was poised to be a frontline starter for the Rockies in 2015, but a toe injury that required surgery cut his campaign short in June. Prior to the injury, Lyles performed with mixed results. The 25-year-old held a 2.92 ERA through late April, but the wheels began to fall off afterward, which was reflected in his final line. He continued to be a groundball pitcher in 2015 (2.32 groundball/flyball ratio), which should translate to some success while pitching in an environment like Coors Field. However, he'll have to improve his 1.58 K/BB and .325 BABIP to have much value going forward.
The main get for the Rockies in the deal last winter that sent Dexter Fowler to the Astros, Lyles was expected to open 2014 at Triple-A after languishing in the majors a season earlier. Not only did Lyles surprisingly crack the Rockies’ rotation out of spring training, but he became one of the team’s more reliable starters through the first two months. The 24-year-old covered at least six innings in seven of his first 11 outings, going 5-1 with 3.46 ERA over 65 innings during that span. That would represent the peak of the season for the right-hander, who broke his non-throwing hand in a June 4 start, resulting in a two-month absence. Lyles’ productivity tailed off upon returning in August, but he finished with an acceptable 4.33 ERA, with his FIP (4.22), BABIP (.295) and strand rate (71.3%) suggesting it wasn’t a byproduct of an inordinate amount of luck. He looks poised to develop into a sturdy mid-rotation arm for Colorado, though a weak strikeout rate (6.3 K/9) may never make him an especially enticing fantasy option.
Lyles, 23, endured another rough season in the Astros' starting rotation, posting numbers that were nearly identical to the year prior. In 27 appearances (25 starts), the right-hander pitched to a 7-9 record with a 93:49 K:BB ratio in 141.2 innings. His 5.59 ERA and 1.51 WHIP ranked among the worst in baseball and he had five outings during which he allowed seven earned runs or more. Lyles, like most young pitchers, has experienced growing pains early in his career. He has been very hittable, allowing opposing batters to hit .283 against him, but if he can bring that number down this season, he's likely to take a step forward in his development. Acquired by the Rockies as part of the Dexter Fowler trade in December, Lyles now faces the challenge of minimizing the damage of the contact he surrenders in the most hitter-friendly home park in baseball.
One has to wonder why Lyles has not emerged as the star the 2008 supplemental draft pick was expected to become to this point. Through 235.1 career innings, Lyles sports a stomach-turning 5.20 ERA, allowing far too many home runs and turning average hitters into All-Stars with a career .281 batting average against. Part of the problem may be that Lyles was pushed too aggressively through the minors, and perhaps he should have spent a little more time at Triple-A. Still, he's too good of a prospect for the Astros to cut bait, so the Astros will in all likelihood keep him in the rotation. The problem is the Astros need a proven innings eater, which Lyles has not been thus far.
The young righty received on-the-job training in Houston last season, landing in the starting rotation probably a bit before he was ready to do so. He faded in the final two months with a 7.76 ERA after Aug. 1 but overall the results weren't all that terrible: 4.41 ERA, 1.292 WHIP and a 2.72 K/BB. In fairness, Lyles was overhyped a bit in years past, mainly because as he was the lone true prospect in a bereft Astros farm system. He'll need to work on keeping the ball in the park better next year, but the potential is there. With the glimmer of "impact rookie" now lifted, he is seen better for his true ceiling as a competent No. 3 and likely Astros regular for years to come.
Lyles had a nice 2010 season at the upper levels of the minor leagues, combining for a 3.57 ERA and 137 strikeouts between Double-A and Triple-A. He swooned a bit in September at Round Rock, but he probably just ran out of gas in an otherwise amazingly steady year. Lyles has clean and easy mechanics, hitting 93-94 mph on his best days and usually working right around 90-91. There has been some talk that the Astros will give Lyles a shot to break camp with the team as their No. 5 starter, but the more likely scenario is a midseason callup after some additional Triple-A seasoning.
Despite starting off the season very shaky (5.00 ERA and .280 BAA through his first five starts), Lyles showed his dominance in 2009, racking up a 3.24 ERA, 1.189 WHIP and a 10.4 K/9IP. He is just 19 years old, yet he exhibits the polish of someone three years his senior. Lyles projects as a No. 3 starter, and is probably at least a few years away from a debut in Houston, although he could move very quickly through an organization that remains thin on promising talent.
More Fantasy News
Placed on injured list
PPittsburgh Pirates
Hamstring
June 10, 2019
Lyles was placed on the injured list Monday with left hamstring tightness.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts just three innings
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 8, 2019
Lyles allowed three runs on five hits with five strikeouts and four walks across three innings in a no-decision against the Brewers on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Yields four runs in loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 2, 2019
Lyles (5-3) allowed four runs on eight hits with five strikeouts and one walk across six innings while taking the loss against the Brewers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to start Sunday
PPittsburgh Pirates
May 31, 2019
Lyles (hamstring) will start Sunday against the Brewers, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expects to make next start
PPittsburgh Pirates
Hamstring
May 29, 2019
Lyles (hamstring) said he expects to make his next scheduled start Sunday against the Brewers, Jason Mackey of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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