Brandon Belt
Brandon Belt
30-Year-Old First Baseman1B
San Francisco Giants
2019 Fantasy Outlook
After a concussion cost Belt the final two months of the 2017 season, he missed most of the second half of 2018 with a knee injury which ultimately required surgery. Belt also missed a chunk of time following an appendectomy and fell short of 115 games for the second straight season. When on the field, Belt was once again an above-average offensive contributor, though he did most of his damage against right-handed pitching, slashing just .221/.312/.316 against lefties. Throughout much of his career, AT&T Park has dampened Belt's production -- he's topped out at 18 home runs in a season -- but he actually had better numbers all around at home in 2018. The batting eye and physical ability seem to be mostly still intact as Belt nears his 31st birthday, but the rigors of a full major-league season have proven to be too much for his body. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Agreed to a five-year extension with the Giants in April 2016.
Belts fourth homer
1BSan Francisco Giants
April 17, 2019
Belt went 2-for-4 with a home run and a pair of runs scored in Tuesday's 7-3 win over Washington.
ANALYSIS
Belt returned from a stiff neck Sunday, and Tuesday's long ball should quash any concerns regarding his injury. The 30-year-old is batting just .237 (14-for-59) early on, but he has provided eight extra-base hits (four homers) through 18 contests, resulting in a strong .288 isolated power rating. We all know the story with Belt by now; if he can stay away from the injured list, there is plenty of upside in that bat.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+76%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .665 338 30 7 34 2 .220 .311 .355
Since 2017vs Right .864 637 90 29 72 6 .261 .367 .496
2019vs Left .627 34 2 1 5 0 .200 .294 .333
2019vs Right 1.106 34 5 3 4 1 .276 .382 .724
2018vs Left .628 157 9 2 14 0 .221 .312 .316
2018vs Right .822 299 41 12 32 4 .270 .358 .464
2017vs Left .713 147 19 4 15 2 .223 .313 .400
2017vs Right .879 304 44 14 36 1 .250 .375 .504
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
2019
 
 
+23%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .795 481 64 17 50 3 .243 .347 .448
Since 2017Away .793 494 56 19 56 5 .249 .348 .445
2019Home .780 38 3 1 3 1 .219 .342 .438
2019Away .963 30 4 3 6 0 .259 .333 .630
2018Home .819 223 29 8 29 1 .265 .354 .464
2018Away .695 233 21 6 17 3 .241 .330 .365
2017Home .774 220 32 8 18 1 .225 .341 .433
2017Away .871 231 31 10 33 2 .256 .368 .503
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Stat Review
How does Brandon Belt compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.50
 
BB Rate
12.3%
 
K Rate
24.7%
 
BABIP
.275
 
ISO
.290
 
AVG
.242
 
OBP
.356
 
SLG
.532
 
OPS
.888
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Belt missed most of the final two months of the season with a concussion -- the fourth of his career -- curtailing what was likely going to be his first 20-homer season as a big-league player. The gains Belt made with his plate discipline in 2016 continued, as he kept his strikeout rate under 25 percent while walking nearly 15 percent of the time. Surprisingly, his batting average tumbled, but that may have been the result of a combination of bad luck, and a slight drop in the number of balls he hit to the opposite field. The good news on the health front is that Belt was fully cleared for offseason workouts soon after the conclusion of the regular season. There is 25-homer power in his bat, but the concerns are two fold: health leads the way, but the quality of the offense around him is another area of intrigue as the Giants attempt to reshape their roster after finishing 14th out of 15 National League teams in runs scored last season.
Belt took another step forward as a professional hitter in 2016, but it was tough to notice from a fantasy perspective. The noticeable improvement was in his plate discipline, finishing with a .394 on-base percentage, good enough for fourth among all first basemen. Unless his owners participated in leagues that count on-base percentage, then they were likely left wanting more from Belt. He'll never be the power threat many thought he would be when he broke into the league, but he will get on-base at an elite clip and provide mid-level counting stats. The only potential for improvement would be if manager Bruce Bochy elects to move him to second in the batting order (something he experimented with for seven games last season), or if he begins to steal bases again. The former would create more potential for runs if he can get on in front of Buster Posey, Hunter Pence and Brandon Crawford.
Belt turned in one of his best seasons from an offensive standpoint in 2015, though he went through a series of hot and cold streaks throughout the season, providing immense fantasy value when hot, but close to nothing during his dry spells. One can really see his polarizing value when looking at his monthly splits from 2015. In the months of April, June, and September, Belt batted .242 with just three home runs; in the months of May, July, and August, he batted .320 with 15 homers. So while his overall numbers suggest a steady, multi-category contributor (i.e. Eric Hosmer), Belt was more of a feast-or-famine asset. Looking towards 2016, Belt should continue to see the majority of the starts at first base, and the occasional start in left when Buster Posey needs a day off. In roto leagues, Belt is a mid-level first baseman to target, but for those in head-to-head leagues, it would be best to let another team draft him and deal with the ups and downs
Last year was the second consecutive season in which Belt hit at least 10 homers. That’s about the only positive that can be taken from a season in which he first missed eight weeks with a thumb injury and then had to deal with concussion symptoms in the second half. Belt had a weird season statistically in that 10 of his 12 homers came against righties, but his batting average was 30 points better against lefties. Historically, he does not have splits in terms of batting average, but 33 of his 45 career home runs have come against righties. It feels like Belt is on the verge of a career breakout as he has flashed the skills necessary to be a productive player, but injuries in 2014 derailed that progress. Perhaps that will hold down his draft value so savvy owners can pounce on a player who has .280/25/100 potential.
It was a tale of two seasons for Belt in 2013, as he got off to a slow start, while being hampered by an illness and a minor neck injury. He really turned things around after the All-Star break, though, putting together an impressive .326/.390/.525 line in 247 second-half plate appearances. Just when we thought we had Belt figured out –- a patient hitter with light power and light speed -- he showed a spike in power, with a .193 ISO this past season compared to .146 in 2012. The improvement in the power department may not be a fluke, as his HR/FB ratio in 2013 was a maintainable 10.6 percent and was actually lower than the 15.8 percent he posted when he burst onto the scene in 2011. Because of the disparity between his first and second halves, Belt will likely be a polarizing asset come draft day, but there is upside here, if he continues to build on the expanded power output that he displayed last season.
Belt improved in his second season with the Giants posting a stronger wOBA of .339 and a 116 wRC+, however his HR/FB ratio dropped from 15.8 to 6.2 percent. Additionally, his ISO dropped from .187 to .146 as his flyball rate dropped from 43.8 to 36.6 percent. The drop in flyballs was a result in his increased line drive rate (25.6 percent), which helped propel him to a .351 BABIP. Belt will finally have first base all to himself heading into 2013, but his average is likely to drop considering his swinging-strike rate (12.8 percent). It is unlikely he will keep his strikeout rate at 22.5 percent if he continues to whiff that often, leaving plenty of risk here in the batting average department barring improvement.
A slow start with the Giants last season resulted in a trip back to the minors for Belt, who once again tore up the inferior competition, posting a .320/.461/.528 line with a 47:48 BB:K ratio. After he was finally recalled, he suffered a wrist injury and was jerked around in the lineup, rarely seeing regular playing time. Belt is clearly the Giants' best prospect and would likely be the team's third-best hitter if they left him alone and gave him a full-time job in 2012, but unfortunately, that's still no guarantee. He'll enter spring training likely battling Nate Schierholtz for the right-field job, though first base (his natural position) could just as easily once again become an option if Aubrey Huff doesn't bounce back. Belt is a fantasy sleeper since the hype has mostly worn off by now.
Taken in the fifth round of the 2009 draft, Belt has quickly developed into one of the better prospects in baseball and certainly the best in the Giants organization. He hit .352/.455/.620 with a 93:99 BB:K ratio throughout the minors last season, including holding his own at Triple-A (.956 OPS) at age 22. The left-hander has more gap power than 40-homer potential, but that will play just fine at AT&T Park. While he may spend the first couple of months of 2010 in Triple-A getting more seasoning, Belt is fully expected to be given a chance to win an everyday job with San Francisco in spring training. He's the future at first base for the Giants and is a sleeper in fantasy leagues.
More Fantasy News
Hitless in return
1BSan Francisco Giants
April 15, 2019
Belt (neck) went 0-for-3 with a strikeout Sunday in the Giants' 4-0 loss to the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to action Sunday
1BSan Francisco Giants
April 14, 2019
Belt (neck) is starting at first base and batting cleanup Sunday against the Rockies, Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched with stiff neck
1BSan Francisco Giants
Neck
April 13, 2019
Belt was scratched from Saturday's lineup against the Rockies due to neck stiffness, Chris Haft of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets breather
1BSan Francisco Giants
April 10, 2019
Belt is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Padres, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
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Makes first start in left field
1BSan Francisco Giants
April 9, 2019
Belt went 1-for-3 with a walk and a run scored in Monday's 6-5 loss to San Diego.
ANALYSIS
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