Doug Fister
Doug Fister
34-Year-Old PitcherSP
Texas Rangers
60-Day DL
Injury Knee
Est. Return 3/1/2019
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Just as fantasy owners scrambled to find quality pitching throughout the season, MLB teams were searching for arms to fill vacancies. The Red Sox swooped in and claimed Fister off waivers in June, and while the surface numbers were uninspiring (4.88 ERA, 1.38 WHIP), the peripherals featured a career-high 8.3 K/9. It came at the expense of control, as Fister uncharacteristically issued a lot of walks (3.8 BB/9, also a career high), but at times he looked like a successful late-career restoration project for the Red Sox. In addition to changing his position on the pitching rubber, Fister started getting more whiffs with his cutter, giving him another pitch (along with his curveball) to put hitters away. Given the league-wide need for depth arms, Fister signed with the Rangers and will join the Texas rotation. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $3.5 million contract with the Rangers in November of 2017. Contract includes a $4.5 million option for the 2019 season and a $500,000 buyout if option isn't exercised.
Shut down for season
PTexas Rangers
Knee
August 13, 2018
Fister (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of the season, Levi Weaver of The Athletic Dallas reports.
ANALYSIS
Fister, who has been sidelined since June 10 with a strained right knee, was recently shut down after it was determined that he would be unlikely to pitch again this season. He'll continue rehabbing at home as he looks to get back to full health ahead of spring training next year. The 34-year-old posted a 4.50 ERA across 12 starts (66 innings) with the Rangers before injuring himself.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-31%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .302 752 113 71 201 43 5 29
Since 2016vs Right .238 708 125 48 154 33 0 15
2018vs Left .246 131 18 11 29 8 0 4
2018vs Right .303 158 22 8 44 6 0 7
2017vs Left .300 199 40 23 51 8 2 6
2017vs Right .208 193 43 15 36 10 0 3
2016vs Left .321 422 55 37 121 27 3 19
2016vs Right .225 357 60 25 74 17 0 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-63%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 5.14 1.47 171.2 7 17 0 6.3 3.3 1.1
Since 2016Away 4.20 1.34 164.0 11 12 0 6.4 3.1 1.3
2018Home 6.82 1.68 30.1 1 3 0 5.9 3.3 2.4
2018Away 2.52 1.15 35.2 0 4 0 5.0 2.0 0.8
2017Home 4.94 1.45 54.2 3 7 0 8.6 3.6 0.8
2017Away 4.79 1.29 35.2 2 2 0 7.8 4.0 1.0
2016Home 4.67 1.42 86.2 3 7 0 5.1 3.1 0.8
2016Away 4.61 1.43 93.2 9 6 0 6.3 3.1 1.5
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Stat Review
How does Doug Fister compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.11
 
K/9
5.5
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
88.4 mph
 
ERA
4.50
 
WHIP
1.39
 
BABIP
.298
 
GB/FB
2.13
 
Strand %
72.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Fister turned the trick of surviving with a sub-90 mph fastball for several years, but it appears the jig is up, as the right-hander is coming off a 32-start campaign with career-worst numbers in the fantasy-relevant categories of ERA and WHIP. He hasn't carried a strikeout rate higher than 5.7 K/9 since 2013, but the escalated homer rate of the past few years was joined by a sudden proclivity for the free pass, as Fister's walk frequency jumped more than two full percentage points from his previous high (set in his rookie year) to 8.0 percent. He has morphed his delivery over the years but has been known to employ some weird angles, so perhaps he can correct the walk issue with an adjustment, but his theoretical upside is fading quickly into the rearview mirror. Rostering a subpar strikeout pitcher who eats innings carries a heavy cost in the modern game of high strikeouts, and Fister is unlikely to make up the difference with impeccable ratios.
Fister suffered through an injury-marred campaign in 2015, throwing just 103 innings and posting the worst ERA and WHIP of his career. The lanky right-hander missed a month of action in the first half with a forearm injury, and after struggling upon his return got bumped to the bullpen in late August, where the lone bright spot in his relief stint came when he earned his first career save. The 32-year-old heads into free agency with little fanfare, but could prove to be a bargain signing for someone if he can return to form, as his success is based on his ability to locate down in the zone and generate groundballs with his mid-80s sinker rather than on overpowering hitters and racking up strikeouts. In the right home park, and with the right infield defense behind him, a healthy Fister could well become a reliable arm at the back of the rotation once again.
Stolen from the Tigers by Mike Rizzo in an offseason heist of a trade, Fister would likely have taken a run at his first 20-win season if not for a spring training lat strain that delayed his Nationals debut until early May. As it were, the sinkerballer still won a career-high 16 games while recording a career-low 2.41 ERA, and he proved to be an effective counterpart to the younger flamethrowers in the club's rotation. Surprisingly, for a pitcher moving from the AL to the NL, his strikeout rate dropped, but working in front of an infield defense Fister could actually trust allowed him to pitch to contact with confidence, and his BABIP dropped an incredible 70 points from 2013, while his 1.3 BB/9 was also a career-best mark. Some of those gains are unsustainable, but if he remains in Washington (his pending free agent status after 2015 combined with the Nats' minor league pitching depth could make him expendable), he should be able to produce another solid campaign.
The 30-year-old control maestro solidified his status as a mid-rotation option with a strong showing in 2013. No longer having to deal with a lack of run support, Fister was able to go 14-9, which marked a career high in wins and the first time he finished with a record above .500. His ERA (3.67) and WHIP (1.31) both clocked in higher than his career norms, but both of those increases can be at least partially attributed to his BABIP jumping from .307 in 2012 to .334 last season. For the most part, Fister remained a very similar pitcher compared to what we’ve seen from him over the past few seasons. His strikeout rate (6.9 K/9) dipped closer to his career norm, but Fister remained an extreme groundball pitcher (2.17 GB/FB), who limits free passes (1.9 BB/9) with his pinpoint control. With a fastball that settles in the high-80s, Fister is not overpowering, but he could see an uptick in his strikeout rate with the move to the National League after being acquired by the Nationals in December.
Pitching in his first full season with Detroit, Fister did his best to prove his second-half surge in 2011, while exaggerated, was not a complete fluke. The tall (6-foot-8, 210-pound) righty went just 10-10 for the season, but he was able to post a solid 3.45 ERA and career-best 7.6 K/9. His fastball remained in the 89 mph range, but Fister was able to efficiently keep hitters off-balance with a much-improved curveball and steady changeup. He also remained a control artist (2.8 BB/9) while limiting the long ball (0.8 HR/9). Fister dealt with a costochondral strain early in the year and a concussion scare in the World Series, but all signs point to him being healthy when pitchers and catchers report to spring training. His lack of overpowering stuff might cap his overall upside, but Fister has proven over the past season and a half to be a decent addition to most fantasy rotations.
Fister started the 2011 season with mild success in Seattle, posting 3.33 ERA, 1.171 WHIP and 89:32 K:BB ratio in 146 innings, but he flipped a switched into overdrive after midseason trade from the Mariners to the Tigers. In 10 starts with Detroit, Fister went 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA, 0.839 WHIP and 57:5 K:BB ratio in 70.1 innings. He'll never be mistaken for overpowering, but Fister is able to keep hitters off balance by mixing four quality pitches (low-90s fastball, slider, curve and changeup) with pinpoint control. His .261 BABIP against after joining the Tigers hints at some luck, but a 2.75 xFIP shows Fister's success with Detroit was somewhat sustainable. Fister might not be able to continue striking out hitters at the increased rate we saw with the Tigers last season, but his low walk rate (1.54 B/9IP) and ability to induce groundballs will help him post good peripherals and pick up wins while pitching for a team that actually gives him offensive support.
Fister is a control artist (1.68 BB/9IP last season) who pitches to contact and therefore always needs some good defense and a bit of luck. He posted a 2.45 ERA in the season's first two months last year, but after a June DL stint, posted a 5.24 ERA the rest of the way. He was the same pitcher in both circumstances, though. The difference was his .236 BABIP in the first two months ballooned to .345 in the second half. In a perfect world, he's a No. 5 starter. In the Mariners' world, he could be the No. 2 starter depending on how the offseason works out.
Fister filled in admirably when the Seattle rotation needed assistance late in 2009, but he's not a top prospect and nothing more than a fifth starter. As a non-strikeout pitcher, Fister lives on stellar control (0.96 BB/9IP in the minors). Throw out his four-walk aberration in his first start and he clocked in with a 1.76 BB/9IP for the Mariners. He also needs some luck as an extreme strike-throwing, put-the-ball-in-play pitcher, which his .277 BABIP certainly provided last season. He could compete for the fifth spot in the rotation this year but will probably start the year back at Triple-A absent landing a bullpen spot in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Shifts to 60-day DL
PTexas Rangers
Knee
June 17, 2018
The Rangers transferred Fister (knee) to the 60-day disabled list Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Set to miss more than minimum time
PTexas Rangers
Knee
June 10, 2018
Rangers manager Jeff Banister said that Fister (knee), who was placed on the disabled list Sunday, would be sidelined for longer than the minimum 10 days, T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes to DL with knee strain
PTexas Rangers
Knee
June 10, 2018
Fister was placed on the 10-day disabled list Sunday with a strained right knee.
ANALYSIS
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Team awaits MRI results
PTexas Rangers
Undisclosed
June 10, 2018
The Rangers are still waiting on the results of an MRI on Fister's right knee, Adam Grosbard of the Dallas Morning News reports.
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Falls to 1-7 with loss Friday
PTexas Rangers
Undisclosed
June 8, 2018
Fister (1-7) allowed five runs on six hits in a loss to the Astros on Friday, striking out two and walking two in five innings.
ANALYSIS
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