Jose Abreu
Jose Abreu
32-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Chicago White Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
In mid-August, Abreu appeared primed to make history as just the third player ever to hit 25 homers and drive in 100 runs in five consecutive seasons to begin his big-league career (joining Albert Pujols and Joe DiMaggio). Unfortunately, a lower-abdominal/groin issue required surgery and he only made it back for six games in September before a thigh infection put him right back on the shelf. While he didn't quite reach those lofty thresholds, Abreu still had a solid season by any standard. It wasn't quite what we'd seen from Abreu in the past -- his 114 wRC+ was a career low and he lost close to 40 points of batting average -- but the production was still plenty valuable. The strikeout rate ticked up a little and it's probably unwise to expect Abreu to get back to .300, but he should still be an easy plus in that category and three others. First base as a whole fell off in 2018 and Abreu is a clear top-10 option at the position. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $16 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Clocks 21st homer
1BChicago White Sox
July 7, 2019
Abreu went 3-for-4 with a solo homer in Sunday's 3-1 win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Abreu gave his squad some insurance, putting the Pale Hose up 3-0 with his fifth-inning blast. The 32-year-old enjoyed a terrific first week of July heading into the All-Star break. He went 10-for-24 (.417 average) with two homers and six RBI. Abreu has collected multiple hits in four of his five games this month.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
62
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
29
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .978 374 61 19 62 1 .336 .388 .590
Since 2017vs Right .806 1245 146 57 184 6 .267 .316 .490
2019vs Left .956 95 15 4 15 0 .356 .389 .567
2019vs Right .759 296 29 17 51 2 .243 .280 .478
2018vs Left .915 115 16 5 19 1 .290 .365 .550
2018vs Right .769 438 52 17 59 1 .258 .315 .454
2017vs Left 1.033 164 30 10 28 0 .356 .402 .631
2017vs Right .866 511 65 23 74 3 .288 .339 .528
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .843 785 100 38 120 0 .282 .331 .512
Since 2017Away .848 834 107 38 126 7 .283 .335 .514
2019Home .870 193 23 11 36 0 .298 .337 .534
2019Away .746 198 21 10 30 2 .245 .278 .468
2018Home .781 266 32 11 37 0 .255 .312 .469
2018Away .815 287 36 11 41 2 .273 .338 .477
2017Home .877 326 45 16 47 0 .295 .344 .533
2017Away .934 349 50 17 55 3 .313 .364 .571
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Stat Review
How does Jose Abreu compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.20
 
BB Rate
4.6%
 
K Rate
22.5%
 
BABIP
.299
 
ISO
.230
 
AVG
.270
 
OBP
.307
 
SLG
.500
 
OPS
.807
 
wOBA
.346
 
Exit Velocity
91.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.9%
 
Barrels/PA
10.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Abreu
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
3 days ago
Erik Siegrist sifts through a pitching-rich waiver wire in the American League and notes a number of players getting ready to return from the IL, including Rangers outfielder Hunter Pence.
Oak's Corner: Fading Into the Second Half
5 days ago
Scott Jenstad looks at second-half fades, including Yankees first baseman Luke Voit, whose hard hit rate has dropped nine percent since 2018.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Breakdown
11 days ago
Chris Bennett likes Jose Altuve batting against Andrew Heaney as Altuve has a .391 ISO, .454 wOBA and 194 wRC+ against southpaws.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks
11 days ago
Despite a less-than-spectacular 2019 pitching line, Mike Barner likes Kenta Maeda as a money-saving starter due to decent home numbers and a recent history of success against the Padres.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
11 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin says D-Backs' starter Robbie Ray hasn't produced decent stats this season, so picking a couple opposing Rockies' hitters - even on the road - should help your lineups.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
When the White Sox signed Abreu as an international free agent before the 2014 season, their expectation was that they had found a steady middle-of-the-order run producer to anchor their lineup for years to come. Through four seasons, he's lived up to the hype, but his 2017 campaign was his best since his debut, as he eclipsed the .900 OPS mark for the second time in his career. Across the board, he nearly matched his career slash line (.301/.359/.524), with a slight increase in his slugging percentage (.552) thanks to 33 homers and a career-high 43 doubles. In addition to driving in 100 runs for the fourth time in his career, Abreu scored a career-best 95 runs on a team that ranked in the bottom-third of the category. As the rebuilding effort continues on the south side of Chicago, Abreu will remain a cornerstone in the lineup. Another .300, 30-homer, 100-RBI season should be within reach, but he's more likely to score 80 runs than 100.
After three seasons, Abreu's name feels as if it has more value than his actual numbers. His 2014 season was outstanding, and 2015 was pretty good as well, but 2016 feels like a disappointment. Sure, he drove in 100 runs, taking advantage of the opportunities provided to him and hit .293. Yet, in a year where many were hitting 20-plus homers, Abreu hit 25 despite missing only three games all year. His Isolated Power and HR/FB ratio has declined each season he has been in the majors. His GB/FB rate has always been high, but he got away with it when he was hitting one out of every four or five flyballs out of the yard. Last season, that fell to one in every six flyballs which caps his power upside. All the pieces are there, but he has to get more distance on his batted balls to get back to the 30-homer plateau.
With a 30-home run, 101-RBI campaign in 2015, Abreu joined Albert Pujols as the only players to hit at least 30 home runs and accumulate 100 RBI in each of their first two seasons. Of course, Abreu was 27 when he made his major league debut and Pujols was 21, but the feat emphasizes the fact that Abreu landed stateside as an elite hitter in his prime. Abreu was consistent all season long, generally hitting five home runs per month and batting somewhere between .274 and .304. He struggled against lefties in 2015 (.658 OPS), but that split was 1.098 in 2014. So while perhaps a vulnerability was indeed exposed, we can still expect a slight rebound in 2016. Heading into 2016, he profiles as the team’s starting first baseman and No. 3 hitter, and as 2015 proved, he can still put up stats without a stellar supporting cast.
Things could not have gone much better for Abreu in his first MLB season. The Cuban expat entered the year with some questions about whether his swing would hold up to advanced pitching, but Abreu displayed an advanced work ethic that made the transition nearly seamless. He raced to 29 home runs before making the AL All-Star squad, and finished his Rookie of the Year campaign leading the majors with a .581 slugging percentage. He proved himself to be more than just a slugger in the second half, hitting .350 after the break. He swings more than you would like and misses more than he should, so it would not be a surprise to see his average suffer a bit in 2015 if he can not sustain his .356 BABIP. However, his power should continue to rank him in the upper echelon of AL first basemen in 2015, and he should have a spot in the heart of the White Sox's order for several years to come.
Abreu enters 2014 as one of the bigger mysteries of the season. The newest Cuban superstar to make the trek to MLB is a bit different than the other recent players to defect. He is less athletic than Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes, and he is also quite a bit older than Puig and a year older than Cespedes was upon his arrival two seasons ago. However, Abreu does come to the states with more alleged raw power. He hit 37 home runs in back-to-back Cuban seasons, and he hit .342/.457/.621 over 799 career games in that league. The scouting reports vary in terms of how those numbers will translate to the big leagues, and some question how he will fare against major league breaking balls. He excelled in the 2013 World Baseball Classic with three home runs and a 1.145 OPS in 25 at-bats. The variance on his projections will likely be great, but he should be projected to start at first and bat somewhere in the middle-third of the White Sox's lineup.
Abreu set the single-season mark for home runs at 33 in 2010-11 in the Serie Nationale - the top professional league in Cuba - and was named the league's MVP
More Fantasy News
Walks off the Tigers
1BChicago White Sox
July 4, 2019
Abreu went 2-for-6 with a walkoff, three-run home run in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Goes 3-for-5 with homer
1BChicago White Sox
June 26, 2019
Abreu went 3-for-5 with a two-run home run, four RBI and two runs in an 8-7 victory against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Three-hit day
1BChicago White Sox
June 17, 2019
Abreu went 3-for-4 with a solo home run Sunday in the White Sox's 10-3 loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Collects two hits in win
1BChicago White Sox
June 14, 2019
Abreu went 2-for-4 with a double in Thursday's 5-4 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Hits 16th homer
1BChicago White Sox
June 5, 2019
Abreu went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in a 6-4 loss to the Nationals on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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