Jose Abreu
Jose Abreu
32-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Chicago White Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
In mid-August, Abreu appeared primed to make history as just the third player ever to hit 25 homers and drive in 100 runs in five consecutive seasons to begin his big-league career (joining Albert Pujols and Joe DiMaggio). Unfortunately, a lower-abdominal/groin issue required surgery and he only made it back for six games in September before a thigh infection put him right back on the shelf. While he didn't quite reach those lofty thresholds, Abreu still had a solid season by any standard. It wasn't quite what we'd seen from Abreu in the past -- his 114 wRC+ was a career low and he lost close to 40 points of batting average -- but the production was still plenty valuable. The strikeout rate ticked up a little and it's probably unwise to expect Abreu to get back to .300, but he should still be an easy plus in that category and three others. First base as a whole fell off in 2018 and Abreu is a clear top-10 option at the position. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $16 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Drives in two
1BChicago White Sox
September 22, 2019
Abreu went 3-for-5 with with two RBI and a run scored in Saturday's 5-3 win over Detroit.
ANALYSIS
Abreu's eighth-inning, two-run single was the game-winning hit and produced his 120th and 121st RBI, the most by a White Sox player since Magglio Ordonez had 135 in 2002. He padded his RBI lead in the AL with the two runs driven in and moved to the top of MLB, one ahead of Atlanta's Freddie Freeman.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
104
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
55
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .995 461 73 24 78 1 .341 .399 .596
Since 2017vs Right .804 1460 175 64 225 6 .268 .318 .486
2019vs Left 1.009 182 27 9 31 0 .360 .418 .591
2019vs Right .772 511 58 24 92 2 .257 .299 .472
2018vs Left .915 115 16 5 19 1 .290 .365 .550
2018vs Right .769 438 52 17 59 1 .258 .315 .454
2017vs Left 1.033 164 30 10 28 0 .356 .402 .631
2017vs Right .866 511 65 23 74 3 .288 .339 .528
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .859 927 116 42 144 0 .288 .341 .518
Since 2017Away .840 994 132 46 159 7 .283 .334 .506
2019Home .905 335 39 15 60 0 .309 .361 .544
2019Away .769 358 46 18 63 2 .262 .302 .467
2018Home .781 266 32 11 37 0 .255 .312 .469
2018Away .815 287 36 11 41 2 .273 .338 .477
2017Home .877 326 45 16 47 0 .295 .344 .533
2017Away .934 349 50 17 55 3 .313 .364 .571
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Stat Review
How does Jose Abreu compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
5.2%
 
K Rate
21.9%
 
BABIP
.320
 
ISO
.219
 
AVG
.284
 
OBP
.330
 
SLG
.503
 
OPS
.834
 
wOBA
.358
 
Exit Velocity
92.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
40.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Abreu
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
3 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
Collette Calls: More Accountability
18 days ago
Jason Collette looks at his predictions for each stat category for the stretch run. Which did he nail, and which did he fail?
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
18 days ago
Erik Halterman looks at the season's biggest risers and fallers in his farewell column. Few players outperformed their ADP as much as Kansas City's Jorge Soler this year.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
21 days ago
Many playoff-bound starters are taking it easy recently, but Sasha Yodashkin tips Luis Severino to go longer on Saturday to make up for lost time.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Picks
27 days ago
Every MLB day seems to involve picking on the Tigers' weaknesses, and today's no different with Mike Barner offering a group of opposing White Sox hitters.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
When the White Sox signed Abreu as an international free agent before the 2014 season, their expectation was that they had found a steady middle-of-the-order run producer to anchor their lineup for years to come. Through four seasons, he's lived up to the hype, but his 2017 campaign was his best since his debut, as he eclipsed the .900 OPS mark for the second time in his career. Across the board, he nearly matched his career slash line (.301/.359/.524), with a slight increase in his slugging percentage (.552) thanks to 33 homers and a career-high 43 doubles. In addition to driving in 100 runs for the fourth time in his career, Abreu scored a career-best 95 runs on a team that ranked in the bottom-third of the category. As the rebuilding effort continues on the south side of Chicago, Abreu will remain a cornerstone in the lineup. Another .300, 30-homer, 100-RBI season should be within reach, but he's more likely to score 80 runs than 100.
After three seasons, Abreu's name feels as if it has more value than his actual numbers. His 2014 season was outstanding, and 2015 was pretty good as well, but 2016 feels like a disappointment. Sure, he drove in 100 runs, taking advantage of the opportunities provided to him and hit .293. Yet, in a year where many were hitting 20-plus homers, Abreu hit 25 despite missing only three games all year. His Isolated Power and HR/FB ratio has declined each season he has been in the majors. His GB/FB rate has always been high, but he got away with it when he was hitting one out of every four or five flyballs out of the yard. Last season, that fell to one in every six flyballs which caps his power upside. All the pieces are there, but he has to get more distance on his batted balls to get back to the 30-homer plateau.
With a 30-home run, 101-RBI campaign in 2015, Abreu joined Albert Pujols as the only players to hit at least 30 home runs and accumulate 100 RBI in each of their first two seasons. Of course, Abreu was 27 when he made his major league debut and Pujols was 21, but the feat emphasizes the fact that Abreu landed stateside as an elite hitter in his prime. Abreu was consistent all season long, generally hitting five home runs per month and batting somewhere between .274 and .304. He struggled against lefties in 2015 (.658 OPS), but that split was 1.098 in 2014. So while perhaps a vulnerability was indeed exposed, we can still expect a slight rebound in 2016. Heading into 2016, he profiles as the team’s starting first baseman and No. 3 hitter, and as 2015 proved, he can still put up stats without a stellar supporting cast.
Things could not have gone much better for Abreu in his first MLB season. The Cuban expat entered the year with some questions about whether his swing would hold up to advanced pitching, but Abreu displayed an advanced work ethic that made the transition nearly seamless. He raced to 29 home runs before making the AL All-Star squad, and finished his Rookie of the Year campaign leading the majors with a .581 slugging percentage. He proved himself to be more than just a slugger in the second half, hitting .350 after the break. He swings more than you would like and misses more than he should, so it would not be a surprise to see his average suffer a bit in 2015 if he can not sustain his .356 BABIP. However, his power should continue to rank him in the upper echelon of AL first basemen in 2015, and he should have a spot in the heart of the White Sox's order for several years to come.
Abreu enters 2014 as one of the bigger mysteries of the season. The newest Cuban superstar to make the trek to MLB is a bit different than the other recent players to defect. He is less athletic than Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes, and he is also quite a bit older than Puig and a year older than Cespedes was upon his arrival two seasons ago. However, Abreu does come to the states with more alleged raw power. He hit 37 home runs in back-to-back Cuban seasons, and he hit .342/.457/.621 over 799 career games in that league. The scouting reports vary in terms of how those numbers will translate to the big leagues, and some question how he will fare against major league breaking balls. He excelled in the 2013 World Baseball Classic with three home runs and a 1.145 OPS in 25 at-bats. The variance on his projections will likely be great, but he should be projected to start at first and bat somewhere in the middle-third of the White Sox's lineup.
Abreu set the single-season mark for home runs at 33 in 2010-11 in the Serie Nationale - the top professional league in Cuba - and was named the league's MVP
More Fantasy News
Goes yard in win
1BChicago White Sox
September 13, 2019
Abreu went 1-for-4 with a solo home run, two runs scored and a walk in Friday's 9-7 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Pads RBI lead
1BChicago White Sox
September 12, 2019
Abreu went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run, two RBI and two runs scored in Wednesday's 8-6 loss to Kansas City.
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Smashes solo homer
1BChicago White Sox
September 8, 2019
Abreu went 1-for-2 with a solo home run and three walks in a 5-1 victory against the Angels on Sunday.
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Reaches 30-100 club
1BChicago White Sox
September 8, 2019
Abreu went 1-for-1 with a home run and four RBI in Saturday's 8-7 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Thursday's lineup
1BChicago White Sox
September 5, 2019
Abreu is not in Thursday's lineup against the Indians.
ANALYSIS
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