Jose Abreu
Jose Abreu
32-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Chicago White Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
In mid-August, Abreu appeared primed to make history as just the third player ever to hit 25 homers and drive in 100 runs in five consecutive seasons to begin his big-league career (joining Albert Pujols and Joe DiMaggio). Unfortunately, a lower-abdominal/groin issue required surgery and he only made it back for six games in September before a thigh infection put him right back on the shelf. While he didn't quite reach those lofty thresholds, Abreu still had a solid season by any standard. It wasn't quite what we'd seen from Abreu in the past -- his 114 wRC+ was a career low and he lost close to 40 points of batting average -- but the production was still plenty valuable. The strikeout rate ticked up a little and it's probably unwise to expect Abreu to get back to .300, but he should still be an easy plus in that category and three others. First base as a whole fell off in 2018 and Abreu is a clear top-10 option at the position. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $16 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Launches two homers
1BChicago White Sox
March 20, 2019
Abreu started at designated hitter and went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI in Tuesday's game against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Abreu is cruising through the Cactus League with a .333 average (15-for-45) to go along with his four home runs and 14 RBI over 15 games. The 32-year-old is coming off MLB-career lows in games (128), homers (22) and RBI (78) in 2018, and the White Sox hope to coax more at-bats and production out of him this season by giving Abreu more starts as the designated hitter.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .936 423 65 23 69 1 .307 .371 .565
Since 2016vs Right .819 1500 165 57 211 4 .284 .338 .481
2018vs Left .915 115 16 5 19 1 .290 .365 .550
2018vs Right .769 438 52 17 59 1 .258 .315 .454
2017vs Left 1.033 164 30 10 28 0 .356 .402 .631
2017vs Right .866 511 65 23 74 3 .288 .339 .528
2016vs Left .840 144 19 8 22 0 .262 .340 .500
2016vs Right .816 551 48 17 78 0 .301 .356 .460
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2016
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .857 927 116 42 136 0 .290 .347 .510
Since 2016Away .833 996 114 38 144 5 .288 .343 .490
2018Home .781 266 32 11 37 0 .255 .312 .469
2018Away .815 287 36 11 41 2 .273 .338 .477
2017Home .877 326 45 16 47 0 .295 .344 .533
2017Away .934 349 50 17 55 3 .313 .364 .571
2016Home .898 335 39 15 52 0 .315 .379 .519
2016Away .750 360 28 10 48 0 .274 .328 .422
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Stat Review
How does Jose Abreu compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.34
 
BB Rate
6.7%
 
K Rate
19.7%
 
BABIP
.294
 
ISO
.208
 
AVG
.265
 
OBP
.325
 
SLG
.473
 
OPS
.798
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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White Sox Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
When the White Sox signed Abreu as an international free agent before the 2014 season, their expectation was that they had found a steady middle-of-the-order run producer to anchor their lineup for years to come. Through four seasons, he's lived up to the hype, but his 2017 campaign was his best since his debut, as he eclipsed the .900 OPS mark for the second time in his career. Across the board, he nearly matched his career slash line (.301/.359/.524), with a slight increase in his slugging percentage (.552) thanks to 33 homers and a career-high 43 doubles. In addition to driving in 100 runs for the fourth time in his career, Abreu scored a career-best 95 runs on a team that ranked in the bottom-third of the category. As the rebuilding effort continues on the south side of Chicago, Abreu will remain a cornerstone in the lineup. Another .300, 30-homer, 100-RBI season should be within reach, but he's more likely to score 80 runs than 100.
After three seasons, Abreu's name feels as if it has more value than his actual numbers. His 2014 season was outstanding, and 2015 was pretty good as well, but 2016 feels like a disappointment. Sure, he drove in 100 runs, taking advantage of the opportunities provided to him and hit .293. Yet, in a year where many were hitting 20-plus homers, Abreu hit 25 despite missing only three games all year. His Isolated Power and HR/FB ratio has declined each season he has been in the majors. His GB/FB rate has always been high, but he got away with it when he was hitting one out of every four or five flyballs out of the yard. Last season, that fell to one in every six flyballs which caps his power upside. All the pieces are there, but he has to get more distance on his batted balls to get back to the 30-homer plateau.
With a 30-home run, 101-RBI campaign in 2015, Abreu joined Albert Pujols as the only players to hit at least 30 home runs and accumulate 100 RBI in each of their first two seasons. Of course, Abreu was 27 when he made his major league debut and Pujols was 21, but the feat emphasizes the fact that Abreu landed stateside as an elite hitter in his prime. Abreu was consistent all season long, generally hitting five home runs per month and batting somewhere between .274 and .304. He struggled against lefties in 2015 (.658 OPS), but that split was 1.098 in 2014. So while perhaps a vulnerability was indeed exposed, we can still expect a slight rebound in 2016. Heading into 2016, he profiles as the team’s starting first baseman and No. 3 hitter, and as 2015 proved, he can still put up stats without a stellar supporting cast.
Things could not have gone much better for Abreu in his first MLB season. The Cuban expat entered the year with some questions about whether his swing would hold up to advanced pitching, but Abreu displayed an advanced work ethic that made the transition nearly seamless. He raced to 29 home runs before making the AL All-Star squad, and finished his Rookie of the Year campaign leading the majors with a .581 slugging percentage. He proved himself to be more than just a slugger in the second half, hitting .350 after the break. He swings more than you would like and misses more than he should, so it would not be a surprise to see his average suffer a bit in 2015 if he can not sustain his .356 BABIP. However, his power should continue to rank him in the upper echelon of AL first basemen in 2015, and he should have a spot in the heart of the White Sox's order for several years to come.
Abreu enters 2014 as one of the bigger mysteries of the season. The newest Cuban superstar to make the trek to MLB is a bit different than the other recent players to defect. He is less athletic than Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes, and he is also quite a bit older than Puig and a year older than Cespedes was upon his arrival two seasons ago. However, Abreu does come to the states with more alleged raw power. He hit 37 home runs in back-to-back Cuban seasons, and he hit .342/.457/.621 over 799 career games in that league. The scouting reports vary in terms of how those numbers will translate to the big leagues, and some question how he will fare against major league breaking balls. He excelled in the 2013 World Baseball Classic with three home runs and a 1.145 OPS in 25 at-bats. The variance on his projections will likely be great, but he should be projected to start at first and bat somewhere in the middle-third of the White Sox's lineup.
Abreu set the single-season mark for home runs at 33 in 2010-11 in the Serie Nationale - the top professional league in Cuba - and was named the league's MVP
More Fantasy News
Returns to action Friday
1BChicago White Sox
March 15, 2019
Abreu (eye) will start at first base and bat third in Friday's exhibition game against the Cubs, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Late scratch Wednesday
1BChicago White Sox
Eye
March 13, 2019
Abreu was scratched from Wednesday's spring lineup against the Dodgers after taking a grounder off his right eye.
ANALYSIS
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Blasts first spring homer
1BChicago White Sox
March 2, 2019
Abreu started at designated hitter and went 2-for-3 with a home run and two RBI in Saturday's game against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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To see more DH duty
1BChicago White Sox
January 26, 2019
Abreu will split time at first base and DH along with Yonder Alonso this season, Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune reports.
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Avoids arbitration
1BChicago White Sox
January 11, 2019
Abreu agreed to a one-year, $16 million contract with the White Sox on Friday, avoiding arbitration, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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