Nick Castellanos
Nick Castellanos
26-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Detroit Tigers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Lost in a sea of disappointing performances for the Tigers in 2017, Castellanos was quietly a bright spot for the organization as he set new career-high totals in home runs (26), runs (73) and RBI (101), while lowering his strikeout rate to 21.4 percent. As the season progressed, he showed increasing power, slugging .553 in the second half while putting the ball in the air more frequently (43.6 percent flyball rate). Interestingly, Castellanos showed good power to all fields, pulling 10 homers, hitting seven to center field and nine the opposite way. As the Tigers reshape their roster for a possible long-term rebuild, the supporting cast may continue to erode, but the opportunity for a more favorable spot in the batting order could help offset that, as he hit third or fourth throughout September after Justin Upton was traded to Anaheim. He'll likely move to the outfield again with Jeimer Candelario positioned to play third regularly, but Castellanos should have every opportunity to settle in as a heart-of-the-order run producer in 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Agreed to a one-year, $6.05 million deal with the Tigers in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Adds to hot stretch with three hits
3BDetroit Tigers
September 22, 2018
Castellanos went 3-for-4 with a double and a run scored during Saturday's victory over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old has peppered opposing pitching in the past six games, delivering a 13-for-23 run (.565 average). Castellanos now boasts career-best paces in all three pieces of his .303/.360/.507 triple slash, accompanied by 22 homers, 85 RBI, 82 runs scored and an impressive .366 wOBA. He projects to help anchor the heart/middle of this Tigers order for the next few years, especially with Victor Martinez appearing to have retired after Saturday's game.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+36%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .890 423 64 22 63 0 .303 .348 .542
Since 2016vs Right .808 1324 143 43 178 7 .278 .332 .476
2018vs Left 1.037 153 30 6 22 0 .393 .444 .593
2018vs Right .785 482 50 15 60 2 .267 .326 .459
2017vs Left .934 146 20 11 28 0 .292 .336 .599
2017vs Right .775 519 53 15 73 4 .266 .316 .459
2016vs Left .656 124 14 5 13 0 .207 .242 .414
2016vs Right .894 323 40 13 45 1 .315 .365 .529
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .854 856 102 28 118 3 .296 .349 .504
Since 2016Away .803 891 105 37 123 4 .273 .322 .481
2018Home .862 314 35 9 45 0 .300 .357 .505
2018Away .830 321 45 12 37 2 .295 .352 .478
2017Home .871 339 42 14 54 2 .300 .348 .523
2017Away .749 326 31 12 47 2 .243 .291 .457
2016Home .813 203 25 5 19 1 .285 .340 .473
2016Away .839 244 29 13 39 0 .284 .324 .516
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Stat Review
How does Nick Castellanos compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.33
 
BB Rate
7.3%
 
K Rate
22.2%
 
BABIP
.368
 
ISO
.204
 
AVG
.303
 
OBP
.360
 
SLG
.507
 
OPS
.866
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Castellanos has three full seasons in the majors before the age of 25, but it wasn't until last season that he returned plus value at the plate. His strikeout rate and walk rates are both remarkably stable for someone of his age, but the batting average and power both jumped in 2016. His isolated power metric has improved each of the past three seasons as he continues to hit flyballs at a higher rate each season and mostly of the pull variety. He was an odd hitter in 2016 in that he was much better against righties, as a righty, than was against lefties. He hit .315 against right-handers (.207 against lefties) and had 13 of his 18 homers against righties. For his career, he has been rather split neutral but last year could be a side-effect of him working on pulling more baseballs. He's entrenched as Detroit's third baseman and could continue to improve at age 25.
Castellanos failed to take the expected step forward last season. He continued to boot balls at third base and delivered decidedly mediocre offensive numbers (.255 with 15 home runs, 73 RBI and a .721 OPS). He struck out about once a game, just like he did in his rookie year. Still, criticism of his offensive future seems a bit premature — the guy will be barely 24 on Opening Day and still has a number of years to fulfill his potential as a middle-of-the-order hitter. Castellanos' game picked up after the All-Star break and he had his best month in August (.286 with a .900 OPS), but don't expect dramatic growth in his game in 2016. He'll bat down the order and focus on incremental improvement on both offense and defense.
As the Tigers’ top positional prospect heading into the 2014 season, many pundits had high hopes for Castellanos. On the surface, Castellanos had a mediocre first full season in the majors, hitting .259/.306/.394 with 11 home runs, 66 RBI and 54 runs in 533 at-bats while serving as the Tigers’ full-time third baseman. Similar to his results in the minors, Castellanos had trouble with his plate discipline, finishing with 24.2% strikeout rate and 6.2% walk rate. He also struggled defensively, ranking last in the majors at UZR for third basemen. The defensive struggles can partially be chalked up to the Tigers juggling Castellanos between the outfield and third base in 2013. With a full-year of playing third base at the major league level under his belt, Castellanos should show improvement on defense. And some of the advanced metrics behind Castellanos’ performance at the plate during his rookie campaign hint at further growth to come. Castellanos did a great job limiting infield flyballs (2.1% IFFB) and he ranked second among qualified hitters with a 28.5% line-drive rate. The Tigers appear to be committed to Castellanos as the team’s third baseman of the present and future, so he will have a long leash to work through the issues that arose throughout his rookie campaign. The 23-year-old showed consistent improvements in both plate discipline and power as he made his way through the minors, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see similar improvements as he becomes acclimated to the majors.
Castellanos is the Tigers' top prospect and widely considered a top-25 prospect league-wide. He validated the high praise from scouts in 2013 by putting together a solid campaign during his first taste of Triple-A ball. In 533 at-bats with the Mud Hens, Castellanos hit .276/.343/.450 with 18 homers and 76 RBI. While his batting average dipped below .300 for the first time in his minor league career, Castellanos made great strides in the power department, as his 18 homers topped the 17 total home runs he had racked up through 1,068 at-bats the previous three seasons. He also flashed improved plate discipline, raising his BB/K ratio to 0.54 and his contact rate to 81 percent. The 22-year-old had his first exposure with the Tigers during a September callup. Castellanos was primarily deployed against left-handed pitchers, finishing with a .278 batting average in 18 at-bats. Despite the lack of playing time during his initial promotion, Castellanos is expected to battle for a full-time role in spring training. Following the trade of Prince Fielder to Texas in November, Castellanos is expected to be converted back to third base after spending the past season and half in the minors learning the outfield. While he initially projects to be more of a gap hitter in the majors, Castellanos' frame (6-foot-4, 210 pounds) and swing hint at 20-25 home-run power as he develops. Perspective owners will want to watch Castellanos closely during spring training to see if he can earn a full-time role with the Tigers. If he nabs the gig, Castellanos will be considered a preseason candidate for AL Rookie of the Year honors.
Castellanos, the Tigers' 2010 sandwich pick rocketed up the prospect rankings last season. He started off the season with High-A Lakeland, where he slashed his way to a .405/.461/.553 line in 215 at-bats before getting bumped up a level. At Double-A Erie, Castellanos saw his line drop to .264/.296/.382 in 322 at-bats. His production in Erie was obviously a step back, but it's still solid production for a 20-year-old seeing his first action in the higher levels of the minor leagues. One big boost in value that came from his promotion was a position change from third base to the outfield. At the hot corner, Castellanos was blocked by Miguel Cabrera for years to come, but a move to the outfield has sped up his clock. Now, Castellanos could factor into the roster mix for the Tigers as soon as this season. With just 17 homers in 1,068 at-bats in the minors, Castellanos has not fully flashed his power stroke yet, but his large frame (6-foot-4, 210 pounds) and extra-base power (32 and 36 doubles the past two seasons) hint at power that will develop down the line. He might not make much of a fantasy impact this season, but Castellanos' potential should have dynasty owners salivating at his potential a few years from now.
The Tigers selected Castellanos in the supplemental first round of the 2010 draft. Ranked as one of the best high school hitters in his draft class, Castellanos has quickly lived up to the hype. During his first full season of pro ball, Castellanos hit .312/.367/.436 with 46 extra-base hits in 507 at-bats for Low-A West Michigan. Castellanos struggled a bit with his plate discipline (45:130 BB:K), but his batting eye should improve with more time in the minors. He's also considered a solid defender at the hot corner, so his defense won't hold him back from moving through Detroit's system. In fact, Detroit already believes in Castellanos enough to have traded fellow third base prospect Francisco Martinez prior to the 2011 deadline, so his path to the majors is wide open. At 20, Castellanos could still use some extra time to develop, but he appears on track to make a splash in Detroit as soon as 2013.
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Drives in two in loss to Royals
3BDetroit Tigers
September 22, 2018
Castellanos went 2-for-4 with two doubles and two RBI in Friday's 4-3 loss to the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Blasts home run in win
3BDetroit Tigers
September 20, 2018
Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a walk, a solo home run and two runs scored in Thursday's 11-8 win over the Royals.
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Collects two more hits in loss
3BDetroit Tigers
September 19, 2018
Castellanos went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Wednesday's 8-2 loss to the Twins.
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Collects three hits in loss to Twins
3BDetroit Tigers
September 17, 2018
Castellanos went 3-for-3 with a double, a walk and a run scored in Monday's 6-1 loss to the Twins.
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Blasts two-run home run
3BDetroit Tigers
September 12, 2018
Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 5-4 loss to the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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