Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
27-Year-Old PitcherRP
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The first thing everyone mentions with Lorenzen is his hitting, and we'll follow suit. The right-hander was a two-way player in college and clearly has retained some of those hitting skills, posting a .290/.333/.710 line with four homers in 34 at-bats. He's the rare pitcher who is used as a pinch hitter not only in extra-inning affairs, but also as a primary option. But his primary position is as a pitcher, and unfortunately in that department the Reds still aren't quite sure what they have on their hands. He was out for nearly two months with a shoulder injury, and after returning he was really wild, turning in walk rates over 10% each month until September. He made three starts in late September, with decent but not great results (four earned runs over 13.2 innings with a 5:5 K:BB). Lorenzen is hoping to impress new manager David Bell and earn a rotation spot in spring training. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $1.95 million contract with the Reds in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
More center field work
PCincinnati Reds
March 16, 2019
Lorenzen played center field Saturday against the Rangers without pitching in the game, the first time this spring that he's done that, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
The fact that the Reds feel comfortable using Lorenzen in center is yet another reason that Philip Ervin probably won't make the Opening Day roster, no matter how well he's hitting this spring. Lorenzen gives the Reds another outfielder without it costing them an extra roster spot.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .248 413 77 49 88 14 2 10
Since 2016vs Right .242 494 105 32 109 15 1 10
2018vs Left .282 149 28 22 35 5 1 3
2018vs Right .242 195 26 12 43 7 1 3
2017vs Left .246 164 33 19 35 7 1 6
2017vs Right .242 197 47 15 43 5 0 3
2016vs Left .202 100 16 8 18 2 0 1
2016vs Right .245 102 32 5 23 3 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-43%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.72 1.26 111.1 6 2 2 7.0 3.2 1.1
Since 2016Away 3.42 1.34 102.2 8 5 1 8.4 3.6 0.6
2018Home 2.95 1.27 42.2 2 1 0 5.3 3.8 1.1
2018Away 3.29 1.51 38.1 2 1 1 6.8 3.8 0.2
2017Home 4.47 1.38 44.1 3 0 2 8.5 3.9 0.6
2017Away 4.42 1.32 38.2 5 4 0 8.8 3.5 1.4
2016Home 3.70 1.03 24.1 1 1 0 7.0 1.1 1.8
2016Away 2.10 1.13 25.2 1 0 0 10.2 3.5 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Michael Lorenzen compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.59
 
K/9
6.0
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
95.1 mph
 
ERA
3.11
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.292
 
GB/FB
2.15
 
Strand %
79.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Lorenzen was the reliever that Reds manager Bryan Price trusted the most to get games to closer Raisel Iglesias, though that didn't always manifest itself in a traditional setup role. That was especially true early in the season when the Reds were off to a good start, and the games were critical enough to identify key situations early in the game -- notably once in the third inning against the Pirates. The Reds initially envisioned multiple relievers sharing in the save chances, but instead Iglesias colllected 28 of their 33 saves, with Lorenzen getting just two. He faltered badly in the second half, posting a 6.32 ERA after the All-Star break. Pitching as a starter no longer seems to be in the offing for Lorenzen, despite some musings midseason last year, so expect more of the same from him in 2018.
Rebuilding clubs often need to push prospects into big league situations sooner than they otherwise would. Lorenzen, who struggled in the majors in 2015 and missed the first two and a half months of 2016, definitely fell into that category. The Reds needed any help they could get and so the 24-year-old was sent to the majors as soon as his elbow healed up. After two years experimenting as a starter, Lorenzen was moved back to the bullpen and looked much sharper in the role. His average fastball velocity moved up to 96.2 mph, he struck out 48 batters in 50 innings and he cut his ERA nearly in half from the year before. The Reds have decided not to mess with success -- they will keep Lorenzen in the bullpen in 2017. He may see some high-leverage relief work, but Drew Storen and Raisel Iglesias will be the top candidates for save opportunities.
Most pitching prospects need to spend significant chunks of time at each minor league stop on the prospect ladder in order to be fully ready to contribute at the big league level. This is especially important if the prospect in question isn't that polished to begin with. All of this applies to Lorenzen, who was thrown into the Reds' rotation in late April, but appears to have not been ready for the task. Lorenzen played the outfield and pitched relief in college before the Reds converted him to starting. While Lorenzen had a 1.88 ERA in six Triple-A starts, his strikeout ratio was a microscopic 4.0 K/9, a harbinger for his struggles against major league hitters. Lorenzen could benefit from spending a half-season in Louisville in 2016, but it's uncertain whether he'll get it given the lack of veteran starting pitchers in the organization.
Lorenzen doesn't fit the mold of most prospects. Many organizations were interested in the Cal-State Fullerton attendee as an outfielder, but the Reds drafted him in the supplemental first round in 2013 as a relief pitcher, then converted him into a starter beginning at the Arizona Fall League. He got pounded there, but that frequently happens in a high-offense environment against many advanced hitting prospects, especially with pitchers with less experience like Lorenzen. The Reds quickly got him out of High-A Bakersfield, instead allowing him to develop at a higher level in Double-A Pensacola, albeit at a much friendlier ballpark for pitchers. He blossomed there, posting a 3.13 ERA over 120.2 innings while allowing just nine homers all season. The one question is whether Lorenzen can convert his stuff (94 mph fastball, good slider) into a better strikeout rate as he becomes more experienced. Thus, the Reds aren't likely to promote Lorenzen aggressively to the majors in order to get him to learn how to employ his range of pitches better.
More Fantasy News
Fills two-way role
PCincinnati Reds
March 12, 2019
Lorenzen struck out two in a perfect fifth inning and struck out in his lone at-bat in Monday's 5-5 exhibition tie with the Indians.
ANALYSIS
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Will get center field reps
PCincinnati Reds
March 3, 2019
Lorenzen will get some spring training game reps in center field, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Working with outfielders
PCincinnati Reds
February 21, 2019
Lorenzen was working with the outfielders Thursday for batting practice, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports. "We've put together a plan for the whole spring, knowing we can adjust it at any time," Reds manager David Bell said. "We didn't want to go into each day not knowing what he's going to do. We all felt better, he did, too. He was part of putting it together."
ANALYSIS
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Won't play OF until late spring
PCincinnati Reds
February 13, 2019
Lorenzen may see playing time in the outfield toward the end of spring training, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
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Re-signs with Reds
PCincinnati Reds
January 11, 2019
Lorenzen and the Reds reached an agreement Friday on a one-year, $1.95 million deal, avoiding arbitration, Robert Murray of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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