Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Cincinnati Reds
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Lorenzen has earned a lot of acclaim for his ability as a two-way player, but that doesn't do justice to how much he improved as a pitcher in 2019. The fifth year player turned in his best season under the tutelage of pitching coach Derek Johnson (a common refrain). He added velocity, and saw his K% rate spike from 15.7 to 24.8, while lowering his BB% from 9.9 to 8.2. Barring a big offseason acquisition for the bullpen, Lorenzen is the best in-house alternative if the Reds decide to move away from Raisel Iglesias as the closer, and was successful when used in the role, converting seven save chances. As they continue to improve their offense, they might use Lorenzen less as a hitter, however. As he had more at-bats, he became less effective, turning in a good-for-a-pitcher line of .208/.283/.313 in 53 plate appearances, although he trailed only Aaron Judge in average exit velocity (95.7 mph). Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#476
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$Agreed to a one-year, $3.725 million deal with the Reds in January of 2020.
Struggles continue
PCincinnati Reds
August 9, 2020
Lorenzen did not retire any of the four batters he faced in Sunday's loss to the Brewers. He was charged with three runs on a hit and three walks.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander has now given up at least one run in six of his seven appearances this season, resulting in a 16.88 ERA. Reds players and coaches backed Lorenzen in postgame interviews, though manager David Bell suggested the team will discuss Lorenzen's role. "Looking forward, we will re-evaluate what we can do to get him back to where he needs to be," Bell told Mark Sheldon of MLB.com. "We'll be thinking about that. At this point, for the team and for Michael, we've just got to do whatever's best for him." It would not be a surprise to see Lorenzen move down a few rungs in the bullpen until he gets right. With Pedro Strop (groin) out, that leaves the Reds with Nate Jones, Lucas Sims and maybe even Tyler Mahle to handle key spots in the middle innings against righty-heavy portions of the opposing lineup.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
17
Last 10 Games
17
Last 5 Games
18
How many pitches does Michael Lorenzen generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Michael Lorenzen generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
Even Split
2020
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .244 313 70 38 65 12 2 7
Since 2018vs Right .245 404 75 29 90 13 1 11
2020vs Left .357 18 3 3 5 1 0 0
2020vs Right .400 12 3 2 4 0 0 3
2019vs Left .195 146 39 13 25 6 1 4
2019vs Right .240 197 46 15 43 6 0 5
2018vs Left .282 149 28 22 35 5 1 3
2018vs Right .242 195 26 12 43 7 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-29%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-64%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.04 1.29 84.2 3 4 4 7.5 3.5 1.5
Since 2018Away 2.86 1.33 85.0 2 3 4 7.8 3.6 0.4
2020Home 12.27 1.36 3.2 0 1 0 12.3 2.5 7.4
2020Away 27.00 5.40 1.2 0 0 0 5.4 21.6 0.0
2019Home 4.46 1.30 38.1 1 2 4 9.6 3.3 1.4
2019Away 1.60 1.02 45.0 0 2 3 8.8 2.8 0.6
2018Home 2.95 1.27 42.2 2 1 0 5.3 3.8 1.1
2018Away 3.29 1.51 38.1 2 1 1 6.8 3.8 0.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Michael Lorenzen compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.20
 
K/9
10.1
 
BB/9
8.4
 
HR/9
5.1
 
Fastball
97.6 mph
 
ERA
16.88
 
WHIP
2.63
 
BABIP
.399
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
40.8%
 
Exit Velocity
84.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
9.4%
 
Spin Rate
2574 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.9%
 
Swinging Strike
13.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Michael Lorenzen
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34 days ago
Brad Johnson predicts top Houston prospect Forrest Whitley could slide into the Astros lineup toward the end of the year if he’s needed.
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43 days ago
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104 days ago
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117 days ago
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Collette Calls: The Changing Pitcher Market
134 days ago
Jason Collette looks at how the market has changed for pitchers in the latest NFBC auctions. Yu Darvish's price is spiking.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
The first thing everyone mentions with Lorenzen is his hitting, and we'll follow suit. The right-hander was a two-way player in college and clearly has retained some of those hitting skills, posting a .290/.333/.710 line with four homers in 34 at-bats. He's the rare pitcher who is used as a pinch hitter not only in extra-inning affairs, but also as a primary option. But his primary position is as a pitcher, and unfortunately in that department the Reds still aren't quite sure what they have on their hands. He was out for nearly two months with a shoulder injury, and after returning he was really wild, turning in walk rates over 10% each month until September. He made three starts in late September, with decent but not great results (four earned runs over 13.2 innings with a 5:5 K:BB). Lorenzen is hoping to impress new manager David Bell and earn a rotation spot in spring training.
Lorenzen was the reliever that Reds manager Bryan Price trusted the most to get games to closer Raisel Iglesias, though that didn't always manifest itself in a traditional setup role. That was especially true early in the season when the Reds were off to a good start, and the games were critical enough to identify key situations early in the game -- notably once in the third inning against the Pirates. The Reds initially envisioned multiple relievers sharing in the save chances, but instead Iglesias colllected 28 of their 33 saves, with Lorenzen getting just two. He faltered badly in the second half, posting a 6.32 ERA after the All-Star break. Pitching as a starter no longer seems to be in the offing for Lorenzen, despite some musings midseason last year, so expect more of the same from him in 2018.
Rebuilding clubs often need to push prospects into big league situations sooner than they otherwise would. Lorenzen, who struggled in the majors in 2015 and missed the first two and a half months of 2016, definitely fell into that category. The Reds needed any help they could get and so the 24-year-old was sent to the majors as soon as his elbow healed up. After two years experimenting as a starter, Lorenzen was moved back to the bullpen and looked much sharper in the role. His average fastball velocity moved up to 96.2 mph, he struck out 48 batters in 50 innings and he cut his ERA nearly in half from the year before. The Reds have decided not to mess with success -- they will keep Lorenzen in the bullpen in 2017. He may see some high-leverage relief work, but Drew Storen and Raisel Iglesias will be the top candidates for save opportunities.
Most pitching prospects need to spend significant chunks of time at each minor league stop on the prospect ladder in order to be fully ready to contribute at the big league level. This is especially important if the prospect in question isn't that polished to begin with. All of this applies to Lorenzen, who was thrown into the Reds' rotation in late April, but appears to have not been ready for the task. Lorenzen played the outfield and pitched relief in college before the Reds converted him to starting. While Lorenzen had a 1.88 ERA in six Triple-A starts, his strikeout ratio was a microscopic 4.0 K/9, a harbinger for his struggles against major league hitters. Lorenzen could benefit from spending a half-season in Louisville in 2016, but it's uncertain whether he'll get it given the lack of veteran starting pitchers in the organization.
Lorenzen doesn't fit the mold of most prospects. Many organizations were interested in the Cal-State Fullerton attendee as an outfielder, but the Reds drafted him in the supplemental first round in 2013 as a relief pitcher, then converted him into a starter beginning at the Arizona Fall League. He got pounded there, but that frequently happens in a high-offense environment against many advanced hitting prospects, especially with pitchers with less experience like Lorenzen. The Reds quickly got him out of High-A Bakersfield, instead allowing him to develop at a higher level in Double-A Pensacola, albeit at a much friendlier ballpark for pitchers. He blossomed there, posting a 3.13 ERA over 120.2 innings while allowing just nine homers all season. The one question is whether Lorenzen can convert his stuff (94 mph fastball, good slider) into a better strikeout rate as he becomes more experienced. Thus, the Reds aren't likely to promote Lorenzen aggressively to the majors in order to get him to learn how to employ his range of pitches better.
More Fantasy News
Another homer allowed
PCincinnati Reds
July 28, 2020
Lorenzen allowed a two-run homer to Javier Baez in Tuesday's loss to the Cubs, giving him three homers allowed in three games. His ERA has now climbed to 16.88.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles again Sunday
PCincinnati Reds
July 26, 2020
Lorenzen (0-1) allowed two runs on one hit and one walk without a strikeout in one inning as he was charged with the loss Sunday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Allows homer in loss
PCincinnati Reds
July 25, 2020
Lorenzen, who had been nursing a sore forearm, gave up a go-ahead homer to Miguel Cabrera in Saturday's loss to the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Managing forearm soreness
PCincinnati Reds
Forearm
July 19, 2020
Lorenezen is dealing with some soreness in his right forearm, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing live batting practice
PCincinnati Reds
June 27, 2020
Lorenzen has been throwing live batting practice and simulated games for about six weeks, sometimes throwing up to 90 pitches in an outing, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. "I don't even need a spring training, to be honest," Lorenzen said. "My whole thing was no matter how much I throw right now, it's never going to be close to what I would normally throw in the season during this time or at the intensity just because of adrenaline and stuff like that."
ANALYSIS
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