J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
27-Year-Old CatcherC
Miami Marlins
2018 Fantasy Outlook
During another year of catcher volatility, Realmuto was a rock, chipping in across the board while setting career highs in games played, home runs, RBI, runs scored and OPS. Realmuto's 28 stolen bases over the past three seasons lead backstops, significantly boosting him in a landscape with diminishing speed. Though his HR/FB has climbed in each of the last two seasons, he'll likely struggle to top last year's power production given his career 47.8 percent groundball rate. The backstop remains a safe bet to at least stay afloat in batting average, however. Despite less than desirable walk rates, he rarely strikes out (81 percent career contact rate) and has improved his BB/K in each full season. The team was stripped down this offseason, but Realmuto may also be on the move, so it's too early to say what the context ramifications will be. He turns 27 in March and does enough overall to comfortably profile as a top-five option at the position. Read Past Outlooks
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$Lost his arbitration case and will make $2.9 million in 2018.
Day off Sunday
CMiami Marlins
September 23, 2018
Realmuto is not starting Sunday against the Reds, Andre Fernandez of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Realmuto will sit for the first time in a week. He's kept up his high level of performance as the season draws to a close, hitting .296 with a .941 OPS and five homers in his last 21 games. Chad Wallach will start behind the plate Sunday.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .718 341 47 9 27 5 .239 .305 .413
Since 2016vs Right .820 1289 152 40 159 18 .301 .350 .470
2018vs Left .675 114 16 3 8 0 .212 .281 .394
2018vs Right .897 392 55 18 65 3 .305 .367 .530
2017vs Left .837 128 20 4 14 3 .283 .359 .478
2017vs Right .768 451 48 13 51 5 .277 .324 .444
2016vs Left .617 99 11 2 5 2 .215 .263 .355
2016vs Right .806 446 49 9 43 10 .322 .361 .445
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+42%
OPS on Road
2016
 
 
+39%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .680 758 78 16 72 14 .248 .301 .380
Since 2016Away .901 872 121 33 114 9 .323 .375 .526
2018Home .772 241 28 8 29 3 .269 .328 .444
2018Away .914 265 43 13 44 0 .297 .366 .548
2017Home .633 253 25 5 20 5 .227 .292 .341
2017Away .897 326 43 12 45 3 .317 .362 .535
2016Home .643 264 25 3 23 6 .250 .284 .359
2016Away .893 281 35 8 25 6 .352 .399 .494
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Stat Review
How does J.T. Realmuto compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.39
 
BB Rate
7.4%
 
K Rate
19.1%
 
BABIP
.317
 
ISO
.214
 
AVG
.284
 
OBP
.348
 
SLG
.498
 
OPS
.846
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2012
The stats haven't been flashy, but Realmuto's inspiring performance from 2016 was right in line with his offensive numbers in the minors. He gets extra fantasy pub for the dozen steals he accumulated last season, an asset that gets highlighted given the dearth of steals available at the catcher position. Still, the crux of Realmuto's future value is with the stick, not his legs. Counting on that speed from a player that has to get in a crouch 150 times a game sets buyers up for disappointment, particularly for one whose propensity for triples in 2015 dried up completely last season. Still, his pull-heavy tendencies could morph some doubles into home runs as he matures. As promising as last season was, however, Realmuto's lack of walks could very well come back to bite him as his unsustainable BABIP (.357 in 2016) comes back to earth, with the downside for a sub-.300 on-base percentage if the walks don't materialize. Be careful.
After an 11-game stint last year, Realmuto earned his first significant major league playing time with the Marlins and hit .259/.290/.406 in 126 plate appearances. Realmuto has posted a professional OBP above .350 just once and shouldn’t be expected to be an on-base machine — he walked just 4.1 percent of the time. But he makes contact at about a league average rate (15 percent strikeout rate) and showed plus power even with the cavernous walls of Marlins Park keeping him down. Realmuto managed 10 home runs and a shocking seven triples. The last catcher to muster seven triples was Darrell Porter in 1979, and it has happened just five times since 1970. Realmuto also stole eight bases and has attained double-digit stolen base totals in the minors, making him the rare speedster to play the catcher position. With full-time duty next year, he could put up a 10-10 season.
Since being drafted in the third round of the 2010 draft, Realmuto has progressed steadily through the Marlins' system. He struggled in his first taste of Double-A in 2013, batting .239/.310/.353 over 106 games before improving to a .299/.369/.461 line last season over 97 minor league contests. The strong season earned Realmuto a brief stretch in the majors in mid-June and a handful of September games as well, highlighted by a 3-for-5 effort with a double and a triple during the final week of the season. The 23-year-old backstop stands 6-foot-1 and offers a steady line-drive stroke with a strong contact rate (13.9 K% in the 2014 at Double-A) and patient approach at the dish. Realmuto also offers plus defense behind the plate, gunning down 22-of-58 would-be base stealers last season between the majors and the minors. Jarrod Saltalamacchia remains the Marlins’ primary option behind the dish, so Realmuto is most likely headed to Triple-A to further develop his craft and play every day. He could, however, push veteran Jeff Mathis for at-bats down the line and remains locked in among the team’s top prospects as the heir apparent behind the dish.
While Kyle Skipworth's prospect status is fading fast, Realmuto, a converted shortstop, did enough last season to inherit the Marlins' Catcher of the Future tag. He's still raw behind the plate, but the arm that could have made him a highly recruited quarterback is already gunning down basestealers at a nice clip, and his bat showed signs of progress as well at Low-A (12 homers and 13 steals from a kid spending most of his free time doing catching drills isn't bad at all). While Buster Posey comps are inevitable and misguided given the position switch, he is smart and athletic enough to develop into a solid major league backstop down the road if Miami is patient with him, or maybe switch the misguided comps from Posey to Craig Biggio if his new position doesn't take. He's still a few years from the majors, but Realmuto's athleticism and skill set make him an intriguing prospect at fantasy's thinnest spot.
More Fantasy News
Rides pine Sunday
CMiami Marlins
September 16, 2018
Realmuto is not in the lineup Sunday against the Phillies, Clark Spencer of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Game 2 of twin bill
CMiami Marlins
September 13, 2018
Realmuto is not in the lineup for Game 2 of Thursday's doubleheader against the Mets, Andre Fernandez of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Day off Saturday
CMiami Marlins
September 8, 2018
Realmuto is out of the lineup versus the Pirates on Saturday, Clark Spencer of the Miami Herald reports.
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Reaches 20-homer plateau
CMiami Marlins
September 4, 2018
Realmuto went 2-for-3 with two solo home runs and two walks Tuesday against the Phillies.
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Stays hot
CMiami Marlins
September 1, 2018
Realmuto went 2-for-3, including his 18th homer of the season, against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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