Paul Goldschmidt Fantasy News & Stats

Paul Goldschmidt

31-Year-Old First Baseman1B

Arizona Diamondbacks

2018 Stats

AVG

.290

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2018 Fantasy Outlook

Only Charlie Blackmon, Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge outearned Goldschmidt last season. The overall numbers picked up where 2015 left off after the slight power hiccup in 2016. The only thing that has held Goldschmidt back in recent years was the broken hand that ended his season in early August of 2014. As long as Goldschmidt is on the field, the production is virtually a first-round lock, although news that Chase Field will install a humidor this season adds a degree of uncertainty moving forward. To this point, the numbers have been consistent across the board and where other hitters suffer volatility from year to year -- you can practically pencil in a $30 season for Goldschmidt and see what happens in the stolen-base department. Eventually, the bonus speed from the first-base position is going to wane, but as long as he has an aggressive manager that lets him run, Goldschmidt should at least get to double digits for a couple more seasons. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

ADP

Overall

First Baseman

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League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 225

DOB 9/10/1987

Born Wilmington, DE

College Texas State

Drafted 8th Rd 2009 ARI

Hits bench Saturday

1BArizona Diamondbacks

September 29, 2018

Goldschmidt is not in the lineup Saturday against San Diego.

ANALYSIS
Goldschmidt will get his third day off in the last nine games with the Diamondbacks having missed out on the playoffs. Daniel Descalso starts at first base.

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Batting Stats

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MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2016

+12%

OPS vs LHP

2018

+7%

OPS vs LHP

2017

+6%

OPS vs LHP

2016

+26%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2016vs Left	1.012	527	84	27	80	19	.315	.436	.576
Since 2016vs Right	.901	1530	234	66	218	38	.288	.389	.512
2018vs Left	.966	204	30	11	26	0	.291	.402	.564
2018vs Right	.904	485	65	22	57	7	.290	.384	.520
2017vs Left	1.013	161	26	10	30	7	.311	.422	.591
2017vs Right	.952	503	91	26	90	11	.293	.398	.554
2016vs Left	1.070	162	28	6	24	12	.352	.494	.576
2016vs Right	.850	542	78	18	71	20	.282	.386	.465
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2016

Even Split

2018

+35%

OPS on Road

2017

+27%

OPS at Home

2016

+7%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2016Home	.929	1029	177	47	143	27	.285	.403	.526
Since 2016Away	.928	1028	141	46	155	30	.304	.399	.530
2018Home	.782	342	40	12	32	1	.238	.363	.420
2018Away	1.053	347	55	21	51	6	.339	.415	.638
2017Home	1.082	336	72	20	61	9	.321	.443	.639
2017Away	.852	328	45	16	59	9	.275	.363	.489
2016Home	.929	351	65	15	50	17	.298	.405	.524
2016Away	.869	353	41	9	45	15	.296	.416	.453
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Stat Review

How does Paul Goldschmidt compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

BB/K

0.52

BB Rate

13.1%

K Rate

25.1%

BABIP

.359

ISO

.243

AVG

.290

OBP

.389

SLG

.533

OPS

.922

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Diamondbacks Depth Chart

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

If a .297/.411/.489 slash line with 24 home runs and 95 RBI can be considered a down year, then you know just how good Goldschmidt has been across his six MLB seasons. In 2015, Goldschmidt slashed an absurd .321/.435/.570 with 33 home runs and 110 RBI. Expecting a repeat of those numbers might have been unfair, but that is the standard Goldschmidt has set. On a positive note, he scored 106 runs in 2016, up from 103 in 2015. He also went from 21 stolen bases in 2015 to 32 in 2016. It is his speed and base-stealing acumen that really makes Goldschmidt a special player in fantasy. It is unclear if he will run as much under new manager Torey Lovullo, but considering he upped his success rate from 80.8 percent to 86.5 percent last season, it seems likely that he will have the green light more often than not. Coming off that "down" year, Goldschmidt is no longer a lock to go in the top-five, but he is the clear top player at his position and still has all the tools to finish the year as a top-five player in fantasy.

Simply put, Goldschmidt is the best first baseman in fantasy baseball. Few players combine batting average, power and speed the way Goldy does. In 2015, his batting average was good for third in the National League, his 33 home runs placed fifth in the circuit, the 118 RBI were second in the NL and he chipped in 21 stolen bases (14th in the NL). All of this came as Goldy played in 159 games, a year after he played in just 109 games due to a hand injury. At just 28 years old, Goldschmidt is in the early stages of his peak years, so his production should remain at this level for a while. Owners may find it hard to pass on the likes of Mike Trout and Bryce Harper with a top-two pick, but Goldschmidt deserves consideration there, and he will come off the board in the first five picks in almost all mixed league drafts.

Last season was a mirror image of 2013 for the fantasy stud in terms of his batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. That is where the good news ends. Goldschmidt missed 51 games with a broken hand and was unavailable to owners for the final two months of the season. At the point of his injury, his RBI total was just 55 percent of what it was in 2013 because the team around him was rather awful. With a full season, he would have likely matched his stolen base total from 2013 and swiped at least 10 bases for a third straight season, as a first baseman. Even for a young player, Goldschmidt’s skills are stable. His strikeout rate is slightly below league average, but he offsets that with a well-above-league-average walk rate. He doesn’t get himself into trouble chasing pitches and in a time where offense is tapering off, this guy flat out rakes. Goldschmidt is first-round material again in 2015.

The brightest star in Arizona's lineup, Goldschmidt had an MVP-worthy year, hitting 36 home runs and driving in 125 runs, while slugging .551. It was the kind of breakout year the organization knew he was capable of, and MVP voters took note, as he finished second to Andrew McCutchen for the honors during the offseason. He's the biggest constant in the batting order, and 2014 figures to be another outstanding campaign for the 26-year-old stud, as his contributions as a five-category player will make him the first player off the board at his position in many leagues this spring.

Goldschmidt entered the season as the D-Backs' uncontested starter at first base, spending most of the year hitting from the middle third of manager Kirk Gibson's lineup. Not surprisingly, Goldschmidt provided steady power, but he also delivered an unexpected 18-for-21 mark on the basepaths. After struggling against lefties in his first exposure to big league pitching in 2011, Goldschmidt hit .343/.423/.645 against them last season. He also improved his overall contact rate (from 70.1 percent to 77.9) while drawing a steady supply of free passes (10.2 percent walk rate). Goldschmidt had better numbers on the road (.315/.377/.516) than at Chase Field (.253/.339/.461) and his ISO (.204) is one indication that there's likely more than 20-homer power here.

Goldschmidt proved that his impressive power display in 2010 wasn't simply the byproduct of the hitter-friendly parks of the California League, parlaying a .306/.435/.626 line with Double-A Mobile into the opportunity to serve as the D-Backs everyday first baseman down the stretch and in the playoffs. As expected, Goldschmidt's strikeout rate jumped upon his promotion to the big leagues, but he continued to display plus power while hitting a couple of clutch homers in the team's postseason push before delivering a 7-for-16 mark with a pair of homers in the Divisional Series against the Brewers. While he may not be a .300 hitter in the big leagues, Goldschmidt should be an immediate 30-homer threat with an opportunity to lock down a spot near the middle of the D-Backs' lineup.

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