Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
31-Year-Old First Baseman1B
St. Louis Cardinals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The impact of the humidor was felt in Arizona, but it did not affect Goldschmidt's power numbers. His 2017 and 2018 seasons were essentially identical; he had 73 extra-base hits in 2017, and repeated that number in 2018. He lost three homers that became doubles and triples. The problem for him was that the talent around him fell off so his run-producing opportunities were impacted. From 2015 to 2017, Goldschmidt had an average of 431 runners on base each season when he was at the plate. In 2018, that number dropped to 386. He also ran far less frequently, continuing a trend from 2017. Goldschmidt's year-over-year skills are stable and safe, and the counting numbers should improve following a December trade to the Cardinals. We have to wonder if the days of double-digit steals are gone for good, but this is still a skill set worthy of an early selection -- just probably not a first-round pick anymore. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $130 million contract extension with the Cardinals in March of 2019.
Stays hot in shutout win
1BSt. Louis Cardinals
July 16, 2019
Goldschmidt went 1-for-2 with a two-run double, two walks and three runs in a win over the Pirates on Monday.
The impactful hits that have largely eluded Goldschmidt for the majority of the season continued to materialize Monday. Goldschmidt has racked up three doubles and three home runs over 40 plate appearances across his first 10 games in July, giving his slugging percentage a quick 25-point boost to .430. While that remains well below his career .524 figure, his recent surge and the fact he's sporting a career-high 49.2 percent hard-contact rate hint at the possibility that Goldschmidt may be primed to continue his ascent back up.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
Since 2017vs Left .980 439 68 27 68 7 .293 .408 .573
Since 2017vs Right .880 1305 199 59 175 18 .281 .376 .504
2019vs Left .949 74 12 6 12 0 .262 .392 .557
2019vs Right .734 317 43 11 28 0 .251 .331 .403
2018vs Left .966 204 30 11 26 0 .291 .402 .564
2018vs Right .904 485 65 22 57 7 .290 .384 .520
2017vs Left 1.013 161 26 10 30 7 .311 .422 .591
2017vs Right .952 503 91 26 90 11 .293 .398 .554
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
OPS on Road
OPS on Road
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
Since 2017Home .888 871 143 40 113 10 .274 .387 .501
Since 2017Away .920 873 124 46 130 15 .294 .381 .539
2019Home .751 193 31 8 20 0 .259 .332 .420
2019Away .795 198 24 9 20 0 .247 .354 .441
2018Home .782 342 40 12 32 1 .238 .363 .420
2018Away 1.053 347 55 21 51 6 .339 .415 .638
2017Home 1.082 336 72 20 61 9 .321 .443 .639
2017Away .852 328 45 16 59 9 .275 .363 .489
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Stat Review
How does Paul Goldschmidt compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB Rate
K Rate
Exit Velocity
90.3 mph
Hard Hit Rate
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Paul Goldschmidt
The Z Files: Eight First Half Disappointments
4 days ago
Todd Zola looks into the hitters who have most failed to meet expectations in the first half and thinks Andrew Benintendi's increased launch angle should eventually start paying dividends.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Friday Picks
11 days ago
Mike Barner is targeting Dylan Bundy and the Orioles with a Blue Jays stack Friday.
Monkey Knife Fight: MLB Predictions
14 days ago
Charlie Blackmon has raked against right-handed pitchers at home all season. Juan Carlo Blanco expects the Rockies outfielder to have another big night Tuesday.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
16 days ago
Among this week's subjects, Jan Levine highlights Bryan Reynolds' proficient hitting ways that should keep him in Pittsburgh for good.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
23 days ago
With Rich Hill on the shelf indefinitely, Jan Levine sees Ross Stripling as the main beneficiary - provided he can pitch like he did for most of 2018.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Only Charlie Blackmon, Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge outearned Goldschmidt last season. The overall numbers picked up where 2015 left off after the slight power hiccup in 2016. The only thing that has held Goldschmidt back in recent years was the broken hand that ended his season in early August of 2014. As long as Goldschmidt is on the field, the production is virtually a first-round lock, although news that Chase Field will install a humidor this season adds a degree of uncertainty moving forward. To this point, the numbers have been consistent across the board and where other hitters suffer volatility from year to year -- you can practically pencil in a $30 season for Goldschmidt and see what happens in the stolen-base department. Eventually, the bonus speed from the first-base position is going to wane, but as long as he has an aggressive manager that lets him run, Goldschmidt should at least get to double digits for a couple more seasons.
If a .297/.411/.489 slash line with 24 home runs and 95 RBI can be considered a down year, then you know just how good Goldschmidt has been across his six MLB seasons. In 2015, Goldschmidt slashed an absurd .321/.435/.570 with 33 home runs and 110 RBI. Expecting a repeat of those numbers might have been unfair, but that is the standard Goldschmidt has set. On a positive note, he scored 106 runs in 2016, up from 103 in 2015. He also went from 21 stolen bases in 2015 to 32 in 2016. It is his speed and base-stealing acumen that really makes Goldschmidt a special player in fantasy. It is unclear if he will run as much under new manager Torey Lovullo, but considering he upped his success rate from 80.8 percent to 86.5 percent last season, it seems likely that he will have the green light more often than not. Coming off that "down" year, Goldschmidt is no longer a lock to go in the top-five, but he is the clear top player at his position and still has all the tools to finish the year as a top-five player in fantasy.
Simply put, Goldschmidt is the best first baseman in fantasy baseball. Few players combine batting average, power and speed the way Goldy does. In 2015, his batting average was good for third in the National League, his 33 home runs placed fifth in the circuit, the 118 RBI were second in the NL and he chipped in 21 stolen bases (14th in the NL). All of this came as Goldy played in 159 games, a year after he played in just 109 games due to a hand injury. At just 28 years old, Goldschmidt is in the early stages of his peak years, so his production should remain at this level for a while. Owners may find it hard to pass on the likes of Mike Trout and Bryce Harper with a top-two pick, but Goldschmidt deserves consideration there, and he will come off the board in the first five picks in almost all mixed league drafts.
Last season was a mirror image of 2013 for the fantasy stud in terms of his batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. That is where the good news ends. Goldschmidt missed 51 games with a broken hand and was unavailable to owners for the final two months of the season. At the point of his injury, his RBI total was just 55 percent of what it was in 2013 because the team around him was rather awful. With a full season, he would have likely matched his stolen base total from 2013 and swiped at least 10 bases for a third straight season, as a first baseman. Even for a young player, Goldschmidt’s skills are stable. His strikeout rate is slightly below league average, but he offsets that with a well-above-league-average walk rate. He doesn’t get himself into trouble chasing pitches and in a time where offense is tapering off, this guy flat out rakes. Goldschmidt is first-round material again in 2015.
The brightest star in Arizona's lineup, Goldschmidt had an MVP-worthy year, hitting 36 home runs and driving in 125 runs, while slugging .551. It was the kind of breakout year the organization knew he was capable of, and MVP voters took note, as he finished second to Andrew McCutchen for the honors during the offseason. He's the biggest constant in the batting order, and 2014 figures to be another outstanding campaign for the 26-year-old stud, as his contributions as a five-category player will make him the first player off the board at his position in many leagues this spring.
Goldschmidt entered the season as the D-Backs' uncontested starter at first base, spending most of the year hitting from the middle third of manager Kirk Gibson's lineup. Not surprisingly, Goldschmidt provided steady power, but he also delivered an unexpected 18-for-21 mark on the basepaths. After struggling against lefties in his first exposure to big league pitching in 2011, Goldschmidt hit .343/.423/.645 against them last season. He also improved his overall contact rate (from 70.1 percent to 77.9) while drawing a steady supply of free passes (10.2 percent walk rate). Goldschmidt had better numbers on the road (.315/.377/.516) than at Chase Field (.253/.339/.461) and his ISO (.204) is one indication that there's likely more than 20-homer power here.
Goldschmidt proved that his impressive power display in 2010 wasn't simply the byproduct of the hitter-friendly parks of the California League, parlaying a .306/.435/.626 line with Double-A Mobile into the opportunity to serve as the D-Backs everyday first baseman down the stretch and in the playoffs. As expected, Goldschmidt's strikeout rate jumped upon his promotion to the big leagues, but he continued to display plus power while hitting a couple of clutch homers in the team's postseason push before delivering a 7-for-16 mark with a pair of homers in the Divisional Series against the Brewers. While he may not be a .300 hitter in the big leagues, Goldschmidt should be an immediate 30-homer threat with an opportunity to lock down a spot near the middle of the D-Backs' lineup.
More Fantasy News
Clubs 17th homer
1BSt. Louis Cardinals
July 15, 2019
Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs overall in a win over the Diamondbacks on Sunday.
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Carries offense in loss
1BSt. Louis Cardinals
July 7, 2019
Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a home run and four RBI in Saturday's 8-4 loss to the Giants.
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Cranks 15th homer
1BSt. Louis Cardinals
July 5, 2019
Goldschmidt went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and two walks in Friday's 9-4 win over the Giants.
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Rare extra-base hit in win
1BSt. Louis Cardinals
July 4, 2019
Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a double and a run in a win over the Mariners on Wednesday.
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Mixed bag in loss
1BSt. Louis Cardinals
June 21, 2019
Goldschmidt went 2-for-5 with an RBI double, a walk and a run in an extra-innings loss to the Marlins on Thursday. He struck out in his other three at-bats.
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