Keuchel
2018 Stats
2018 Full Season Projections
W-L
9-9
ERA
3.43
WHIP
1.239
K
115
SV
0
 
 
 
 
 
2018 Fantasy Outlook
At least according to FIP (3.87 in 2016, 3.79 in 2017), Keuchel wasn’t a dramatically different pitcher last season, but he noticed far better results than the year prior. For the third time in four seasons, Keuchel finished with a sub-3.00 ERA while adding to his val... read more
At least according to FIP (3.87 in 2016, 3.79 in 2017), Keuchel wasn’t a dramatically different pitcher last season, but he noticed far better results than the year prior. For the third time in four seasons, Keuchel finished with a sub-3.00 ERA while adding to his value with a 1.12 WHIP and 14 wins. The impact of those numbers was somewhat dampened by Keuchel missing most of June and July while recovering from a neck issue, and after a brilliant first half, he was far less productive after the break, managing only a 4.24 ERA and 1.39 WHIP across 70 frames. With a fastball that tops out in the high 80s, Keuchel will never be the strikeout-per-inning pitcher that typifies most aces, but his ability to generate ample groundballs and avoid damage via the long ball are skills that have routinely helped him outperform his peripherals. Moreover, with a power-packed offense backing him again, Keuchel’s path to wins will be more favorable than most other starters of his caliber.
LEAGUE: Majors    40 MAN: Yes    BATS: L    Throws: L    HT: 6'3"    WT: 206 lbs.    DOB: 1/1/1988    College: Arkansas    Drafted: 7th Rd in 2009Show Contract
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Dallas Keuchel Contract Info:
Agreed to a one-year, $13.2 million deal with the Astros in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Whiffs five in no-decision
PHouston Astros
August 12, 2018
Keuchel threw seven innings Sunday, yielding two runs (one earned) on seven hits and a walk in the 4-3 loss to Seattle. He struck out five and allowed a homer in the no-decision.
ANALYSIS
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Dallas Keuchel MLB Stats
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Dallas Keuchel 2018 MLB Game Log
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2018 Stat Review for Dallas Keuchel
2.88 K/BB
AVERAGE
6.68 K/9
POOR
2.32 BB/9
GOOD
89.2 MPH Fastball
POOR
0.9 HR/9
GREAT
2.82 GB/FB Ratio
EXTREME GROUNDBALLER
3.43 ERA
GOOD
1.24 WHIP
AVERAGE
3.79 FIP
GOOD
0.298 BABIP
ABOVE AVERAGE
75.1 % Strand Rate
AVERAGE
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RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
  1. Dallas Keuchel 2018 Preseason Outlook
    Subscribe now to see our 2018 outlook for Dallas Keuchel
  2. Dallas Keuchel 2017 Preseason Outlook
    The league adjusted to the 2015 Cy Young winner in a big way (4.80 ERA, 2.8 K/BB first half) and while he started to adjust back in the second half (3.94 ERA, 3.6 K/BB), he then lost the final month of the season to a shoulder injury. The major change was that the opposition started swinging less often at Keuchel's pitches out of the zone, which forced him back into the zone in hitter-friendly or even counts. Additionally, his OPS-against on plate appearances ending out of the zone skyrocketed from a league-best .339 in 2015 to .530 last year -- or slightly better than the .579 average (min. 150 IP). Each one of his pitches performed worse, too, but especially his "hard" stuff. The fastball and cutter combined for an .837 OPS, up from .669 in 2015. He was cleared to resume throwing this offseason and should enter camp healthy. Keuchel is definitely far from his 2015 peak, but he's better than his 2016 bottom line. Don't pay for more than high-3.00s ERA.
  3. Dallas Keuchel 2016 Preseason Outlook
    Keuchel proved just how dominant of a pitcher he can be last season, especially when inside the confines of Minute Maid Park. The AL Cy Young Award finalist was a perfect 15-0 at home en route a 20-8 record overall, with a 2.48 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 216:51 K:BB ratio over a career-high 232 innings. His groundball rate (2.29 GO/AO) was second-best in the majors and he once again led all pitchers in assists (53) to win the AL Gold Glove award for the second consecutive year. Keuchel has clearly established himself as a reliable fantasy ace who is worth drafting among the top-10 starters in all formats.
  4. Dallas Keuchel 2015 Preseason Outlook
    After two straight seasons with an ERA above five, Keuchel came out of nowhere to establish himself as a premier pitcher in 2014. The left-hander reached 200 innings exactly, going 12-9 with a 2.93 ERA and leading the AL with five complete games. His groundball rate (2.83 GO/AO) was the best in the majors by far and he led all pitchers in total chances (66) and assists (47) to win the AL Gold Glove award. Keuchel's 3.21 FIP indicates his success was no fluke, and his remarkable season puts him in line to start Opening Day for the Astros in 2015.
  5. Dallas Keuchel 2014 Preseason Outlook
    Keuchel didn't make the Astros' roster out of camp, but he saw significant time in the majors last season due to injuries/ineffectiveness of other pitchers. In 153.2 innings (22 starts), the 26-year-old lefty compiled a 6-10 record with a 5.15 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Those numbers are nothing to write home about, but Keuchel significantly improved his strikeout rate (7.2 K/9) and walk rate (3.1 BB/9) over the year prior. The extreme groundballer (2.07 GO/AO) will have to battle for a spot in the starting rotation out of camp, but will likely make the roster in some capacity, be it as a starter or long reliever.
  6. Dallas Keuchel 2013 Preseason Outlook
    Keuchel finished 2012 with a 3-8 record and a brutal 5.27 ERA. He is not going to blow anyone away, and without an out pitch to speak of (last year he struck out just 4.0 K/9), his pitch-to-contact approach has to keep the ball on the ground to be effective. The Astros would like to see him get a little bigger and stronger, and hope he will be able to establish his sinker more by taking a few miles-per-hour off of it to allow for more movement. He will have a lot to prove this spring, but has likely shown enough to break camp with the team.
More Fantasy News
Whiffs five in no-decision
PHouston Astros
August 12, 2018
Keuchel threw seven innings Sunday, yielding two runs (one earned) on seven hits and a walk in the 4-3 loss to Seattle. He struck out five and allowed a homer in the no-decision.
ANALYSIS
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Throws another quality start
PHouston Astros
August 7, 2018
Keuchel did not factor in the decision in Tuesday's win over the Giants despite allowing one run on three hits over six innings. He recorded five strikeouts and issued two walks.
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Delivers quality start in win
PHouston Astros
August 1, 2018
Keuchel (9-9) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing three runs on eight hits and a walk over seven innings while striking out two in an 8-3 victory over the Mariners.
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Takes loss against Rangers
PHouston Astros
July 28, 2018
Keuchel (8-9) took the loss Friday, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over five innings as the Astros fell 11-2 to the Rangers.
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Wins fourth straight start
PHouston Astros
July 21, 2018
Keuchel (8-8) picked up the win against the Angels on Friday, giving up one earned run on two hits over 7.2 innings, with five strikeouts and a walk in Houston's 3-1 victory.
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