Dylan Bundy
Dylan Bundy
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Baltimore Orioles
2018 Fantasy Outlook
The "Verducci Effect" has been debunked, but a 60-inning spike in workload from year-to-year, as Bundy saw from 2016 to 2017, is still a bit troubling. That's especially true with a player with Bundy's injury history; he's undergone Tommy John surgery and dealt with shoulder troubles since being drafted fourth overall in 2011. He posted a 2.89 ERA over the first two months, and a 21.8 percent strikeout rate and 7.3 percent walk rate overall last season. Bundy turned in his best career start on Aug. 29 -- a one-hitter with 12 punchouts -- before ultimately succumbing to a hamstring strain. While lefties slugged .452 against Bundy, he held right-handers to a .222/.282/.392 line, and there was little difference in his home/road splits. He's lost some velocity and remains a big injury risk, but at least if he's a bust, he won't sink you given the modest cost. Read Past Outlooks
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Dealt 15th loss
PBaltimore Orioles
September 18, 2018
Bundy (8-15) gave up five runs (two earned) on seven hits and one walk while striking out six in 6.2 innings Tuesday against the Blue Jays. He took the loss.
ANALYSIS
This was the first start since June 23 where Bundy did not allow a home run -- a span of 13 starts. He lines up to start Sunday on the road against the Yankees and next Friday at home against the Astros before Baltimore's disappointing season comes to an end.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .282 927 164 73 236 52 5 38
Since 2016vs Right .232 927 258 69 195 36 1 44
2018vs Left .320 350 62 29 101 21 3 17
2018vs Right .225 332 104 20 69 14 1 21
2017vs Left .261 333 56 26 78 19 1 12
2017vs Right .222 365 96 25 74 15 0 14
2016vs Left .256 244 46 18 57 12 1 9
2016vs Right .259 230 58 24 52 7 0 9
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.40 1.22 243.1 17 15 0 8.3 2.5 1.6
Since 2016Away 4.92 1.43 191.0 14 14 0 9.3 3.5 1.8
2018Home 5.57 1.39 84.0 5 7 0 9.4 2.8 2.1
2018Away 5.38 1.42 72.0 3 7 0 9.8 2.9 2.3
2017Home 4.20 1.13 96.1 7 5 0 7.5 2.2 1.4
2017Away 4.30 1.28 73.1 6 4 0 8.8 3.3 1.4
2016Home 3.14 1.14 63.0 5 3 0 8.0 2.6 1.3
2016Away 5.21 1.69 46.2 5 3 0 9.3 4.6 1.7
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Stat Review
How does Dylan Bundy compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.44
 
K/9
9.5
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
2.1
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
5.37
 
WHIP
1.40
 
BABIP
.327
 
GB/FB
0.86
 
Strand %
68.8%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Bundy is a great reminder of why we have to be careful with prospect arms. He sped through the minors and debuted in his first professional season (2012). He then missed all of 2013 following Tommy John surgery and has been on the slow return ever since. After just 65 innings combined in 2014-15, his 2016 outlook was hazy at best. He was out of options and didn't have enough innings built up to be a full-time starter. He relieved in the first half and started in the second. His workload was managed, slowly escalating his pitch count into the 90s. His velocity as a starter dropped from July to August, but jumped back up in September. He's platoon-neutral, has a devastating hammer curve and showed flashes of what made him a top-100 prospect. The next step will be to curb the homers (1.9 HR/9 as a starter).
How the mighty have fallen. It seems like a lifetime ago when Bundy was the top pitching prospect in the game and making his debut with the Orioles as a teenager. Tommy John surgery and shoulder issues have derailed his career and held him to just 63 innings since 2012. Bundy was pretty good in limited activity at Double-A last season, never throwing more than 65 pitches in a game. He was shut down in May with the shoulder issue, then began a fall throwing program and appeared in two Arizona Fall League games before having to be shut down with a strain in his forearm. The complicated thing with Bundy is that he has to be kept on the 25-man roster on Opening Day or risk being exposed to waivers. Bundy's prospect star has fallen, but other teams would gladly vulture Bundy away if given the chance. If he can get healthy, the Orioles would probably slot him in the middle of their bullpen in an effort to keep him healthy for a full season before stretching him back out heading into 2017.
Bundy was forced to spend most of 2014 recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he was able to make nine rehab starts in the low minors down the stretch before getting shut down in August after straining a lat muscle in his throwing shoulder. At times, the young righty was brilliant and on other days he struggled in his rehab outings, but those numbers are fairly irrelevant to his long-term outlook. The Orioles will find a spot for Bundy in the major league rotation this season, but it’s not abundantly clear when or for how long, as he pitched 105.1 innings in his first professional season in 2012, and obviously hasn't approached that level since. This is not a mid-rotation starter, at least not if he avoids further setbacks, and is able to get most of his former velocity and control back. Bundy is a 6-foot-1 brick house of fine-tuned filth, and it will soon be time for him to actualize his destiny of heading up a big league rotation.
An elite prospect entering 2013, Bundy experienced elbow issues at the conclusion of spring training, which resulted in Tommy John surgery at the end of June. He'll be on the mend to begin the year but should return to minor league action around midseason. However, there is a very small chance that he contributes for the Orioles in 2014, especially considering the careful approach the organization took with his workload and development before the injury. The goal for Bundy will be to crack the big league rotation in early 2015.
Bundy should start the season as the top prospect on most boards after a season in which he made it all the way to the Orioles as a 19-year-old. Working on a 125-inning limit for the season, Bundy rifled off 30 scoreless innings to start the year at Low-A before advancing to Double-A in time to make a few appearances. The Orioles emptied the bullpen in marathon extra-inning games down the stretch and promoted Bundy, who made two September appearances. He throws three different fastballs, a curveball and a changeup. During his September callup, his fastball averaged 94 mph, his changeup registered at 86 mph, but he did not throw much in the way of the curveball. Look for Bundy to start the season in Double-A, while a late-season promotion is possible if he continues to breeze through the minors.
Bundy is the newest addition to the organization as the No. 4 overall pick in the 2011 MLB draft. He won High School Player of the Year honors from Gatorade and Baseball America after going 11-0 with a 0.25 ERA and 158:5 K:BB over 71 innings for his Oklahoma team. He owns a high-90s fastball and a big curveball and is already one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. The Orioles give him a 40-man roster spot upon signing in August, so Bundy could move through the system quickly despite being a high school product.
More Fantasy News
Picks up win in quality start
PBaltimore Orioles
September 13, 2018
Bundy (8-14) earned the win in Thursday's 5-3 victory over the Athletics. He allowed two earned runs, six hits and no walks while striking out eight over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard by Rays
PBaltimore Orioles
September 8, 2018
Bundy (7-14) took the loss Friday, coughing up six runs on four hits and five walks over four innings while striking out three as the Orioles were routed 14-2 by the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight against Royals
PBaltimore Orioles
September 1, 2018
Bundy didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 5-4 loss to the Royals, allowing three runs on eight hits and a walk over 5.1 innings while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss against Yankees
PBaltimore Orioles
August 26, 2018
Bundy (7-13) took the loss against the Yankees on Sunday, giving up four earned runs on six hits over five innings, striking out seven and walking two in Baltimore's 5-3 defeat.
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Allows seven runs to earn loss
PBaltimore Orioles
August 21, 2018
Bundy (7-12) took the loss against the Blue Jays on Tuesday, allowing seven runs on 10 hits over four innings. He struck out three and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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