Dylan Bundy
Dylan Bundy
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Baltimore Orioles
2019 Fantasy Outlook
There isn't a clearer example of control (throwing strikes) versus command (throwing where you want) than Bundy. He has good control as exhibited by 7.2% and 7.3% walk rates the past two seasons, below the 8.5% league average. His stuff is good as evidenced by an above-average 12.7% swinging-strike rate, fueling a solid 24.5% strikeout rate despite a 92 mph average fastball. Then there's the homers: 41 of them in just 171.2 innings. While a flyball pitcher of Bundy's ilk is prone to homers, and an 17.8% HR/FB likely includes some bad luck, Bundy's poor command was the primary reason for extreme gopheritis. A .316 BABIP for a flyball pitcher is another example of too many meatballs. So long as he remains in Camden Yards, Bundy will sport a high home-run rate. To be fantasy relevant, especially in mixed formats, he needs to counter the launch angle era with better command. He has the stuff, so if the price is right, he's worth a stash. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.8 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Eight punchouts
PBaltimore Orioles
September 18, 2019
Bundy allowed one earned run on five hits and five walks while striking out eight across five innings Wednesday against the Blue Jays. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Bundy struggled with his control early, walking four batters through the first two innings. However, he avoided major damage and also racked up eight punchouts, backed by 18 called strikes and 13 swinging strikes. Bundy has largely proven to be effective in preventing runs of late, as he's now allowed three or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts. He's likely to draw a rematch against the Blue Jays in his next start, currently projected to come Monday.
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Dylan Bundy generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Bundy generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .287 1040 180 82 269 60 4 40
Since 2017vs Right .233 1082 312 79 229 52 2 55
2019vs Left .276 327 56 23 82 18 0 11
2019vs Right .248 347 100 33 76 21 1 17
2018vs Left .319 380 68 33 109 23 3 17
2018vs Right .230 370 116 21 79 16 1 24
2017vs Left .261 333 56 26 78 19 1 12
2017vs Right .222 365 96 25 74 15 0 14
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.81 1.31 282.2 14 22 0 8.5 2.5 1.7
Since 2017Away 4.94 1.35 213.1 13 17 0 9.5 3.5 1.8
2019Home 4.92 1.45 89.2 2 9 0 8.6 2.7 1.6
2019Away 4.85 1.29 65.0 4 5 0 9.7 4.0 1.7
2018Home 5.31 1.37 96.2 5 8 0 9.4 2.6 2.0
2018Away 5.64 1.47 75.0 3 8 0 10.0 3.1 2.3
2017Home 4.20 1.13 96.1 7 5 0 7.5 2.2 1.4
2017Away 4.30 1.28 73.1 6 4 0 8.8 3.3 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dylan Bundy compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.79
 
K/9
9.1
 
BB/9
3.3
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
91.2 mph
 
ERA
4.89
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.317
 
GB/FB
1.28
 
Left On Base
69.2%
 
Exit Velocity
88.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.4%
 
Spin Rate
2234 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.2%
 
Swinging Strike
12.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Bundy
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2 days ago
Christopher Olson suggests looking at an Orioles stack Wednesday against Clay Buchholz and the Jays.
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FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
3 days ago
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AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
5 days ago
Erik Siegrist looks over the remaining talent on AL waiver wires and thinks Rangers prospect Nick Solak can offer some useful production down the stretch even in the shallowest of formats.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Nationals, Astros Dominate Top-5
6 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching has the Astros and Nationals have separated themselves from the pack.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
The "Verducci Effect" has been debunked, but a 60-inning spike in workload from year-to-year, as Bundy saw from 2016 to 2017, is still a bit troubling. That's especially true with a player with Bundy's injury history; he's undergone Tommy John surgery and dealt with shoulder troubles since being drafted fourth overall in 2011. He posted a 2.89 ERA over the first two months, and a 21.8 percent strikeout rate and 7.3 percent walk rate overall last season. Bundy turned in his best career start on Aug. 29 -- a one-hitter with 12 punchouts -- before ultimately succumbing to a hamstring strain. While lefties slugged .452 against Bundy, he held right-handers to a .222/.282/.392 line, and there was little difference in his home/road splits. He's lost some velocity and remains a big injury risk, but at least if he's a bust, he won't sink you given the modest cost.
Bundy is a great reminder of why we have to be careful with prospect arms. He sped through the minors and debuted in his first professional season (2012). He then missed all of 2013 following Tommy John surgery and has been on the slow return ever since. After just 65 innings combined in 2014-15, his 2016 outlook was hazy at best. He was out of options and didn't have enough innings built up to be a full-time starter. He relieved in the first half and started in the second. His workload was managed, slowly escalating his pitch count into the 90s. His velocity as a starter dropped from July to August, but jumped back up in September. He's platoon-neutral, has a devastating hammer curve and showed flashes of what made him a top-100 prospect. The next step will be to curb the homers (1.9 HR/9 as a starter).
How the mighty have fallen. It seems like a lifetime ago when Bundy was the top pitching prospect in the game and making his debut with the Orioles as a teenager. Tommy John surgery and shoulder issues have derailed his career and held him to just 63 innings since 2012. Bundy was pretty good in limited activity at Double-A last season, never throwing more than 65 pitches in a game. He was shut down in May with the shoulder issue, then began a fall throwing program and appeared in two Arizona Fall League games before having to be shut down with a strain in his forearm. The complicated thing with Bundy is that he has to be kept on the 25-man roster on Opening Day or risk being exposed to waivers. Bundy's prospect star has fallen, but other teams would gladly vulture Bundy away if given the chance. If he can get healthy, the Orioles would probably slot him in the middle of their bullpen in an effort to keep him healthy for a full season before stretching him back out heading into 2017.
Bundy was forced to spend most of 2014 recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he was able to make nine rehab starts in the low minors down the stretch before getting shut down in August after straining a lat muscle in his throwing shoulder. At times, the young righty was brilliant and on other days he struggled in his rehab outings, but those numbers are fairly irrelevant to his long-term outlook. The Orioles will find a spot for Bundy in the major league rotation this season, but it’s not abundantly clear when or for how long, as he pitched 105.1 innings in his first professional season in 2012, and obviously hasn't approached that level since. This is not a mid-rotation starter, at least not if he avoids further setbacks, and is able to get most of his former velocity and control back. Bundy is a 6-foot-1 brick house of fine-tuned filth, and it will soon be time for him to actualize his destiny of heading up a big league rotation.
An elite prospect entering 2013, Bundy experienced elbow issues at the conclusion of spring training, which resulted in Tommy John surgery at the end of June. He'll be on the mend to begin the year but should return to minor league action around midseason. However, there is a very small chance that he contributes for the Orioles in 2014, especially considering the careful approach the organization took with his workload and development before the injury. The goal for Bundy will be to crack the big league rotation in early 2015.
Bundy should start the season as the top prospect on most boards after a season in which he made it all the way to the Orioles as a 19-year-old. Working on a 125-inning limit for the season, Bundy rifled off 30 scoreless innings to start the year at Low-A before advancing to Double-A in time to make a few appearances. The Orioles emptied the bullpen in marathon extra-inning games down the stretch and promoted Bundy, who made two September appearances. He throws three different fastballs, a curveball and a changeup. During his September callup, his fastball averaged 94 mph, his changeup registered at 86 mph, but he did not throw much in the way of the curveball. Look for Bundy to start the season in Double-A, while a late-season promotion is possible if he continues to breeze through the minors.
Bundy is the newest addition to the organization as the No. 4 overall pick in the 2011 MLB draft. He won High School Player of the Year honors from Gatorade and Baseball America after going 11-0 with a 0.25 ERA and 158:5 K:BB over 71 innings for his Oklahoma team. He owns a high-90s fastball and a big curveball and is already one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. The Orioles give him a 40-man roster spot upon signing in August, so Bundy could move through the system quickly despite being a high school product.
More Fantasy News
Falls to 6-14
PBaltimore Orioles
September 12, 2019
Bundy (6-14) took the loss against the Dodgers on Thursday, giving up four runs (two earned) on six hits over 5.2 innings, striking out six and walking two as the Orioles fell 4-2.
ANALYSIS
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Start pushed to Thursday
PBaltimore Orioles
September 8, 2019
Bundy will start Thursday's game against the Dodgers, Nathan Ruiz of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Yields five runs in no-decision
PBaltimore Orioles
September 6, 2019
Bundy allowed five runs on eight hits with one walk and four strikeouts across six innings during a no-decision against the Rangers on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in quality start
PBaltimore Orioles
September 1, 2019
Bundy didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 7-5 loss to the Royals, giving up four runs (three earned) on six hits and three walks over six innings while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Turns in another solid outing
PBaltimore Orioles
August 25, 2019
Bundy (6-13) picked up the win after surrendering three runs (two earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings Sunday against Tampa Bay.
ANALYSIS
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