Michael Fulmer
Michael Fulmer
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Fulmer could have been moved at the deadline as part of the Tigers' rebuild had he not hurt his oblique before his first start after the All-Star break. Though, at that point, he was sporting a subpar 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with just 93 whiffs in 112 innings. He returned during the last week in August, starting five games before being shut down and undergoing surgery for a torn meniscus. After dipping in 2017, Fulmer's swinging-strike rate rebounded, buoying a 19.7 K%, in line with his rookie campaign but still below average. His walk rate was a career worst along with a bloated 14.5% HR/FB in tandem with a 5% increase in flyballs, explaining the high ratios. Fulmer's fastball was its usual 96 mph, though his slider dropped three mph. If he can fix his command and control, Fulmer will again be a candidate to be dealt to a contender. He's worth a speculative pick as a reserve/streamer but realize his strikeout rate and low wins potential limit his upside. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $2.8 million contract with the Tigers in February of 2019 after losing his arbitration case.
Back at camp
PDetroit Tigers
February 18, 2019
Fulmer (personal) returned to the Tigers' spring training facility Monday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Fulmer left camp late last week and returned to his home state of Oklahoma to be with his father, who underwent quadruple bypass surgery. The 25-year-old right-hander said his father is recuperating well, so it's not expected that Fulmer will miss much further time during spring training. He was absent for only two workouts while he was back in Oklahoma, so he won't be too far behind his fellow pitchers during camp.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
Even Split
2018
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .242 957 174 71 209 44 2 26
Since 2016vs Right .242 924 182 57 205 37 3 22
2018vs Left .241 304 57 27 66 18 1 15
2018vs Right .270 254 53 19 62 13 1 4
2017vs Left .264 315 57 18 76 13 1 5
2017vs Right .225 361 57 22 74 10 1 8
2016vs Left .222 338 60 26 67 13 0 6
2016vs Right .240 309 72 16 69 14 1 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-37%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.47 1.10 223.1 10 13 0 6.4 2.2 0.8
Since 2016Away 4.14 1.27 232.2 14 18 0 7.6 2.9 1.1
2018Home 3.74 1.19 74.2 1 7 0 6.3 2.8 0.8
2018Away 5.93 1.47 57.2 2 5 0 9.1 3.6 1.9
2017Home 3.55 1.04 88.2 6 4 0 5.8 1.8 0.6
2017Away 4.14 1.29 76.0 4 8 0 6.8 2.6 0.8
2016Home 3.00 1.08 60.0 3 2 0 7.5 2.0 0.9
2016Away 3.09 1.14 99.0 8 5 0 7.5 2.6 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Michael Fulmer compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.39
 
K/9
7.5
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
95.8 mph
 
ERA
4.69
 
WHIP
1.31
 
BABIP
.293
 
GB/FB
1.54
 
Strand %
67.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2013
After a visit to Dr. James Andrews, Fulmer underwent ulnar transposition surgery on his throwing elbow in September. Barring setbacks, the right-hander is expected to be ready for spring training. The Tigers hope the procedure will correct the finger numbness and hand weakness Fulmer experienced, which probably hindered his shortened sophomore season. Following his 2016 Rookie of the Year win, he endured notable dips in ERA (3.06 to 3.83), K/9 (6.2, after 7.5 in his first season) and left-on-base percentage (79.0 to 65.6 percent). Fulmer, who turns 25 in March, owns an alluring combination of top-end velocity and a career 2.3 BB/9, which could become even more valuable if health brings back at least his 2016 K/9 (7.5) and possibly pushes it higher. Still, if he impresses in March, his price might climb to where the reward won’t match the risk. Fulmer may not round into peak form until later in the season.
Fulmer won the AL Rookie of the Year award after an impressive season where he would have finished second in the AL in ERA (3.09) had he enough innings to qualify. The big righty exceeded expectations with a top-30 SP finish. It's more impressive when one considers he was facing a potential demotion after four starts (6.52 ERA). His fifth start was when the team's catchers and pitching coach told him to start throwing his changeup more. It was a total game-changer. He had a 2.58 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 3.3 K/BB ratio in 139.2 frames from that point on while using his changeup 19 percent of the time. His ceiling has been raised, and while he could fall back a little bit in 2017, the future is bright.
Fulmer began 2015 as something of an afterthought among Mets pitching prospects. However, after a stellar 16-start run his value had risen to the point where he was worthy of being the top returning piece for Detroit in the Mets’ fortuitous deadline acquisition of Yoenis Cespedes. All told, the 22-year-old righty put up a 2.24 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 125 strikeouts in 124.2 innings, primarily with the two organization’s Double-A affiliates. Now, while those numbers are fairly eye-popping, Fulmer is still more of mid-rotation starter than a frontline arm, but his polish and pitchability are clearly evident. It would not be surprising to see him begin his age-23 season at Triple-A Toledo with a chance to join the big league rotation sometime this summer. While he probably won’t ever be a top-20 fantasy starter, this is the profile of a pitcher whose combination of stuff and command could transition fairly seamlessly against big league hitters.
Fulmer, drafted 44th overall in 2011 from an Oklahoma high school, had an excellent first full professional season, posting a 2.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 101:38 K:BB 138 innings for Low-A Savannah. He mixes a late-moving, mid-90s fastball with mid-80s hard slider and is working on a changeup. Fulmer should open 2012 at High-A St. Lucie and projects to be a No. 2 starter in the majors.
More Fantasy News
Away from camp for personal reasons
PDetroit Tigers
Personal
February 16, 2019
Fulmer has been away from the Tigers for a few days for personal reasons, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Loses arbitration case
PDetroit Tigers
February 15, 2019
Fulmer lost his arbitration case Friday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to mound work
PDetroit Tigers
February 11, 2019
Fulmer (knee) threw off a mound Monday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
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On track for spring training
PDetroit Tigers
December 18, 2018
General manager Al Avila said last week that Fulmer has regained full range of motion in his surgically repaired right knee and remains on track to be ready for the start of spring training, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slowly recovering from knee surgery
PDetroit Tigers
Knee
December 5, 2018
Fulmer is set to meet Wednesday with Dr. James Andrews for a follow-up visit regarding his surgically repaired knee before beginning his rehab at the Tigers' spring-training complex, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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