Michael Fulmer
Michael Fulmer
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Fulmer had a rough go of it in 2020, closing out the year with an 8.78 ERA and 2.06 WHIP with a 20:12 K:BB over 27.2 innings. He failed to secure a victory over 10 starts, finishing with an 0-2 record. The 27-year-old was understandably handled with caution throughout the 2020 season, coming off 2019 Tommy John surgery. As a result, the Tigers didn't allow him to hurl more than three frames in any of his 10 appearances. Fulmer's fastball velocity was also noticeably down during the 60-game sprint, averaging 93.1mph compared to 95.8mph in 2018. With a disappointing return now in the rearview mirror, Fulmer will now set his sights on building up his arm strength for the 2021 season, with the hope of regaining some of his velocity and working deeper into ballgames. He'll be considered a risky selection by fantasy owners until he proves otherwise. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#569
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.1 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2021.
Avoids arbitration with Detroit
PDetroit Tigers
January 12, 2021
Fulmer agreed to a one-year, $3.1 million contract with the Tigers on Tuesday to avoid arbitration, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.
ANALYSIS
The 27-year-old struggled in 10 starts during 2020 with an 8.78 ERA and 2.06 WHIP over 27.2 innings, and he'll remain with Detroit to begin 2021. Fulmer posted a 3.45 ERA in 323.2 innings over his first two big-league seasons, but he's labored over the past two years with a 5.40 ERA across 160 frames. He may need a strong showing in spring training to earn a spot in the starting rotation.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
53
Last 10 Games
53
Last 5 Games
51
How many pitches does Michael Fulmer generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Michael Fulmer generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-50%
BAA vs LHP
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .244 379 72 35 83 22 1 16
Since 2018vs Right .317 315 58 23 90 14 1 11
2020vs Left .258 75 15 8 17 4 0 1
2020vs Right .519 61 5 4 28 1 0 7
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left .241 304 57 27 66 18 1 15
2018vs Right .270 254 53 19 62 13 1 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-53%
ERA at Home
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
-37%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.04 1.27 89.0 1 7 0 6.2 3.0 1.2
Since 2018Away 7.10 1.66 71.0 2 7 0 8.7 3.5 1.9
2020Home 5.65 1.67 14.1 0 0 0 5.7 4.4 3.1
2020Away 12.15 2.48 13.1 0 2 0 7.4 3.4 2.0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 3.74 1.19 74.2 1 7 0 6.3 2.8 0.8
2018Away 5.93 1.47 57.2 2 5 0 9.1 3.6 1.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Michael Fulmer compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.67
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
3.9
 
HR/9
2.6
 
Fastball
93.1 mph
 
ERA
8.78
 
WHIP
2.06
 
BABIP
.389
 
GB/FB
1.12
 
Left On Base
65.5%
 
Exit Velocity
85.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2108 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
33.5%
 
Swinging Strike
7.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2013
Fulmer signed a contract on Feb. 15, 2019 to avoid arbitration with Detroit, and that is essentially the last thing his right arm did in 2019. He came up with elbow pain in a late bullpen session in Lakeland, and by the end of March, had Tommy John surgery. It is not worth the roster spot to add the reclamation project to your roster in 2020. Even if Fulmer pitches this season, it will not be until late summer, and his statistics will almost certainly be unrosterable. If you are in a keeper league with a deep reserve bench, consider this: are the Tigers going to be any better in 2021?
Fulmer could have been moved at the deadline as part of the Tigers' rebuild had he not hurt his oblique before his first start after the All-Star break. Though, at that point, he was sporting a subpar 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with just 93 whiffs in 112 innings. He returned during the last week in August, starting five games before being shut down and undergoing surgery for a torn meniscus. After dipping in 2017, Fulmer's swinging-strike rate rebounded, buoying a 19.7 K%, in line with his rookie campaign but still below average. His walk rate was a career worst along with a bloated 14.5% HR/FB in tandem with a 5% increase in flyballs, explaining the high ratios. Fulmer's fastball was its usual 96 mph, though his slider dropped three mph. If he can fix his command and control, Fulmer will again be a candidate to be dealt to a contender. He's worth a speculative pick as a reserve/streamer but realize his strikeout rate and low wins potential limit his upside.
After a visit to Dr. James Andrews, Fulmer underwent ulnar transposition surgery on his throwing elbow in September. Barring setbacks, the right-hander is expected to be ready for spring training. The Tigers hope the procedure will correct the finger numbness and hand weakness Fulmer experienced, which probably hindered his shortened sophomore season. Following his 2016 Rookie of the Year win, he endured notable dips in ERA (3.06 to 3.83), K/9 (6.2, after 7.5 in his first season) and left-on-base percentage (79.0 to 65.6 percent). Fulmer, who turns 25 in March, owns an alluring combination of top-end velocity and a career 2.3 BB/9, which could become even more valuable if health brings back at least his 2016 K/9 (7.5) and possibly pushes it higher. Still, if he impresses in March, his price might climb to where the reward won’t match the risk. Fulmer may not round into peak form until later in the season.
Fulmer won the AL Rookie of the Year award after an impressive season where he would have finished second in the AL in ERA (3.09) had he enough innings to qualify. The big righty exceeded expectations with a top-30 SP finish. It's more impressive when one considers he was facing a potential demotion after four starts (6.52 ERA). His fifth start was when the team's catchers and pitching coach told him to start throwing his changeup more. It was a total game-changer. He had a 2.58 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 3.3 K/BB ratio in 139.2 frames from that point on while using his changeup 19 percent of the time. His ceiling has been raised, and while he could fall back a little bit in 2017, the future is bright.
Fulmer began 2015 as something of an afterthought among Mets pitching prospects. However, after a stellar 16-start run his value had risen to the point where he was worthy of being the top returning piece for Detroit in the Mets’ fortuitous deadline acquisition of Yoenis Cespedes. All told, the 22-year-old righty put up a 2.24 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 125 strikeouts in 124.2 innings, primarily with the two organization’s Double-A affiliates. Now, while those numbers are fairly eye-popping, Fulmer is still more of mid-rotation starter than a frontline arm, but his polish and pitchability are clearly evident. It would not be surprising to see him begin his age-23 season at Triple-A Toledo with a chance to join the big league rotation sometime this summer. While he probably won’t ever be a top-20 fantasy starter, this is the profile of a pitcher whose combination of stuff and command could transition fairly seamlessly against big league hitters.
Fulmer, drafted 44th overall in 2011 from an Oklahoma high school, had an excellent first full professional season, posting a 2.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 101:38 K:BB 138 innings for Low-A Savannah. He mixes a late-moving, mid-90s fastball with mid-80s hard slider and is working on a changeup. Fulmer should open 2012 at High-A St. Lucie and projects to be a No. 2 starter in the majors.
More Fantasy News
Hit hard in final outing
PDetroit Tigers
September 24, 2020
Fulmer allowed four earned runs on seven hits across 2.1 innings in his start Thursday against the Royals. He didn't have any walks or strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Bounces back Friday
PDetroit Tigers
September 18, 2020
Fulmer pitched three scoreless innings and did not factor into the decision in Friday's 1-0 loss to Cleveland. He allowed a hit and a walk, while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Crushed by White Sox
PDetroit Tigers
September 12, 2020
Fulmer (0-2) allowed five earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out one across 2.2 innings to take the loss Saturday against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss in short outing
PDetroit Tigers
September 7, 2020
Fulmer (0-1) allowed four runs on four hits and a walk across 2.1 innings to take the loss Monday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out six
PDetroit Tigers
September 1, 2020
Fulmer allowed three hits and two walks while striking out six across three innings Tuesday against the Brewers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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