Brad Miller
Brad Miller
30-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Miller opened the 2018 season on the strong side of a platoon at first base, but he was designated for assignment by the Rays in June after hitting .256/.322/.429 with five homers across 48 games. The 29-year-old was subsequently traded to Milwaukee, where he hit just .230/.288/.378 with two homers in 27 games before being cut loose at the end of July. Miller failed to latch on elsewhere after parting ways with the Brewers, finishing the year with a .248/.311/.413 line and career-worst 32.7% strikeout rate in just 75 games. He's now been a below-average hitter in each of the past two seasons as measured by wRC+, and while he was an above-average defender at second base in 2018 (7.3 UZR/150), he isn't known for his glove. As such, it's difficult to imagine the veteran will find steady work in the majors in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Yankees in April of 2019. Traded to the Phillies in June of 2019.
Goes deep twice
3BPhiladelphia Phillies  
September 29, 2019
Miller went 4-for-5 with two home runs and three RBI in a 4-3 loss against the Marlins on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
While he didn't reach base a lot, Miller posted a .305 ISO in limited opportunities during 2019. He's recorded 20 extra-base hits in just 154 at-bats this season, including seven home runs in his final nine contests. In three of those nine games, Miller had multiple homers. He finished the season hitting .260 with 13 home runs, 25 RBI, 26 runs and two steals in 79 games.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
4
9
7
6
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .660 160 18 5 22 0 .221 .288 .372
Since 2017vs Right .750 671 72 24 72 7 .231 .331 .419
2019vs Left .589 22 3 1 5 0 .158 .273 .316
2019vs Right .938 148 23 12 20 2 .274 .338 .600
2018vs Left .653 45 4 2 6 0 .250 .267 .386
2018vs Right .740 209 17 5 23 0 .247 .321 .419
2017vs Left .679 93 11 2 11 0 .220 .301 .378
2017vs Right .659 314 32 7 29 5 .195 .334 .324
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .764 380 39 17 50 4 .219 .345 .419
Since 2017Away .707 451 51 12 44 3 .236 .304 .403
2019Home .945 66 10 6 12 1 .236 .364 .582
2019Away .863 104 16 7 13 1 .273 .308 .556
2018Home .812 101 9 5 17 0 .244 .347 .465
2018Away .670 153 12 2 12 0 .250 .288 .382
2017Home .683 213 20 6 21 3 .201 .338 .345
2017Away .644 194 23 3 19 2 .201 .314 .329
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Stat Review
How does Brad Miller compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.33
 
BB Rate
8.8%
 
K Rate
26.5%
 
BABIP
.281
 
ISO
.305
 
AVG
.260
 
OBP
.329
 
SLG
.565
 
OPS
.894
 
wOBA
.385
 
Exit Velocity
92.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
42.2%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brad Miller
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
37 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Breakdown
56 days ago
Adam Zdroik makes his best recommendations for Friday’s FanDuel offering.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
89 days ago
Despite some offensive hiccups this season, Jan Levine believes Harrison Bader's recent form will keep him seeing plenty of action.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
103 days ago
Jan Levine and Paul Martinez join forces to provide the latest and greatest pickup candidates, including a Braves' starter possibly returning to his earlier strong form.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Breakdown
125 days ago
Inexpensive Pirate Bryan Reynolds is set up for success against Phillies pitcher Zach Eflin, who has allowed 22 runs in his last four starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
After delivering an unexpected 30-homer season in 2016, Miller came crashing back to earth in 2017, slugging a career-low .337 and hitting a measly .201 thanks to a career-worst 27 percent strikeout rate. An abdominal injury in May put him on the DL for the first time last season, and he made a quick return to the shelf thanks to a groin injury he suffered after his return in early June. The Rays deployed Miller as their primary second baseman when he was healthy, causing him to lose eligibility at shortstop for 2018. It's entirely possible that the injuries are to blame for the magnitude of his decline, as it was revealed in October that he underwent core surgery. Most likely, he'll be pushed for playing time in spring training and throughout the season, and it's difficult to rely on him for anything more than a .240 batting average and low double-digit home run total given his overall body of work over five big-league campaigns.
Miller exploded for a career season in 2016, posting personal bests in doubles (29), triples (six), homers (30) and RBI (81). He also handled a move away from his shortstop position graciously after the acquisition of Matt Duffy, and he heads into the spring as the starting first baseman. He saw encouraging bumps in several other metrics as well, including HR/FB (20.4 percent), which he nearly doubled over the previous season, and hard contact rate, which he raised from 30.3 percent to 35.1 percent. It will be intriguing to see if the power surge was simply an outlier or a harbinger of things to come for Miller, who'd previously topped out at 11 homers in 2015. It's notable that his strikeout rate also saw a rise in 2016, with his 24.8 percent figure last season representing a career high, so Miller has room for offering even greater fantasy production if he can make even just a slight improvement in his contact rate.
Miller still strikes out too much (20.3% rate last year) and doesn't make good contact (77 percent), but he turned in a promising year at the plate last season. His 37 extra-base hits ranked ninth among AL shortstops while his 13 stolen bases ranked sixth. Most of his damage came against right-handers as he found himself in a platoon much of the season, posting an .803 OPS against righties vs. a .513 OPS against left-handers. His biggest weakness, though, is in the field. So much so, the Mariners transitioned him to the outfield when his defense at shortstop finally became too much of a liability. He wasn't very good as an outfielder, either. Nevertheless, he gets a fresh start this season as he was shipped to Tampa Bay in November, where he'll return to shortstop. Unless he figures out lefties quickly, he could find himself in a platoon again, but the Rays will likely have more patience with his defense.
Miller entered last season with much optimism after a promising rookie campaign that saw him knock 25 XBH in 76 games. He won the starting shortstop job in spring over the since-departed Nick Franklin but couldn't carry that over to the regular season. He was under the Mendoza Line well into June until a two-week hot streak dug him out of that hole, barely. But he quickly returned to form and by late July lost his starting job to callup Chris Taylor. After a solid strikeout rate (15.5 percent) as a rookie, Miller couldn't stop whiffing last year. His strikeout rate spiked to 23.2% while his contact rate dropped to 74 percent. In 61 more at-bats than in 2013, he posted just four more extra-base hits. He will have to win the starting job in spring training again, assuming the Mariners don't upgrade at shortstop before then. Taylor has a better glove, but Miller has a much more potent bat, potentially at least.
Miller began last season at Double-A Jackson, was promoted to Triple-A Tacoma by late May and a month later found himself in Seattle for good. The quick rise was partly due to his crushing both of his minor-league stops and partly due to the Mariners' desperation for a shortstop who could produce more than the all-glove, no-bat Brendan Ryan. The left-handed Miller held his own as the team's leadoff hitter, flashing league-average power with a .153 ISO and mirroring his solid minor-league contact and strikeout rates. His walk rate dipped dramatically to 7.2 percent, which caused his OBP to take a big hit, however. He'll look for improvement in that area in 2014, as he will with his defense at shortstop, which is a work in progress.
Seattle's 2011 second-round pick, Miller has excellent plate discipline, though he does not project for much power. He handled High-A High Desert last season (.931 OPS) before a promotion to Double-A Jackson where his bat proved not to be just a product of the hitter-friendly California League. He could end up moving from shortstop where he struggled with range and errors last season. But the Mariners are getting quite a backlog at second base (Dustin Ackely, Nick Franklin), so a position switch isn't necessarily a given even though that's the conventional wisdom.
More Fantasy News
Not starting Saturday
3BPhiladelphia Phillies  
September 28, 2019
Miller is not in the lineup Saturday against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Clubs two homers
3BPhiladelphia Phillies  
September 24, 2019
Miller went 3-for-7 with two home runs and four RBI across both games of the team's doubleheader Tuesday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Monday
3BPhiladelphia Phillies  
September 23, 2019
Miller is not in the lineup Monday against Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep twice
3BPhiladelphia Phillies  
September 21, 2019
Miller went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs Saturday against the Indians.
ANALYSIS
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Blasts solo homer
3BPhiladelphia Phillies  
September 2, 2019
Miller went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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