Brad Miller
Brad Miller
28-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2018 Fantasy Outlook
After delivering an unexpected 30-homer season in 2016, Miller came crashing back to earth in 2017, slugging a career-low .337 and hitting a measly .201 thanks to a career-worst 27 percent strikeout rate. An abdominal injury in May put him on the DL for the first time last season, and he made a quick return to the shelf thanks to a groin injury he suffered after his return in early June. The Rays deployed Miller as their primary second baseman when he was healthy, causing him to lose eligibility at shortstop for 2018. It's entirely possible that the injuries are to blame for the magnitude of his decline, as it was revealed in October that he underwent core surgery. Most likely, he'll be pushed for playing time in spring training and throughout the season, and it's difficult to rely on him for anything more than a .240 batting average and low double-digit home run total given his overall body of work over five big-league campaigns. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $3.58 million contract with the Rays in January of 2017, avoiding arbitration.
Released by Brewers
2BFree Agent  
July 31, 2018
Miller was released by the Brewers on Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Miller got off to a good start with the Brewers, but he posted just a .480 OPS over his final 18 games with the club, so the team decided to remove him from the active roster, and now the two sides will part ways altogether. Miller owns a respectable .724 OPS at the big-league level this year, so now that he has cleared waivers, he figures to hook on somewhere.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .676 261 23 7 31 2 .229 .299 .377
Since 2016vs Right .753 1001 114 39 119 9 .232 .317 .436
2018vs Left .653 45 4 2 6 0 .250 .267 .386
2018vs Right .740 209 17 5 23 0 .247 .321 .419
2017vs Left .679 93 11 2 11 0 .220 .301 .378
2017vs Right .659 314 32 7 29 5 .195 .334 .324
2016vs Left .682 123 8 3 14 2 .227 .309 .373
2016vs Right .812 478 65 27 67 4 .247 .303 .509
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .799 617 67 33 87 6 .233 .327 .471
Since 2016Away .679 645 70 13 63 5 .230 .299 .380
2018Home .812 101 9 5 17 0 .244 .347 .465
2018Away .670 153 12 2 12 0 .250 .288 .382
2017Home .683 213 20 6 21 3 .201 .338 .345
2017Away .644 194 23 3 19 2 .201 .314 .329
2016Home .866 303 38 22 49 3 .249 .314 .552
2016Away .705 298 35 8 32 3 .236 .295 .410
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Stat Review
How does Brad Miller compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
8.7%
 
K Rate
32.3%
 
BABIP
.350
 
ISO
.165
 
AVG
.248
 
OBP
.311
 
SLG
.413
 
OPS
.724
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Miller exploded for a career season in 2016, posting personal bests in doubles (29), triples (six), homers (30) and RBI (81). He also handled a move away from his shortstop position graciously after the acquisition of Matt Duffy, and he heads into the spring as the starting first baseman. He saw encouraging bumps in several other metrics as well, including HR/FB (20.4 percent), which he nearly doubled over the previous season, and hard contact rate, which he raised from 30.3 percent to 35.1 percent. It will be intriguing to see if the power surge was simply an outlier or a harbinger of things to come for Miller, who'd previously topped out at 11 homers in 2015. It's notable that his strikeout rate also saw a rise in 2016, with his 24.8 percent figure last season representing a career high, so Miller has room for offering even greater fantasy production if he can make even just a slight improvement in his contact rate.
Miller still strikes out too much (20.3% rate last year) and doesn't make good contact (77 percent), but he turned in a promising year at the plate last season. His 37 extra-base hits ranked ninth among AL shortstops while his 13 stolen bases ranked sixth. Most of his damage came against right-handers as he found himself in a platoon much of the season, posting an .803 OPS against righties vs. a .513 OPS against left-handers. His biggest weakness, though, is in the field. So much so, the Mariners transitioned him to the outfield when his defense at shortstop finally became too much of a liability. He wasn't very good as an outfielder, either. Nevertheless, he gets a fresh start this season as he was shipped to Tampa Bay in November, where he'll return to shortstop. Unless he figures out lefties quickly, he could find himself in a platoon again, but the Rays will likely have more patience with his defense.
Miller entered last season with much optimism after a promising rookie campaign that saw him knock 25 XBH in 76 games. He won the starting shortstop job in spring over the since-departed Nick Franklin but couldn't carry that over to the regular season. He was under the Mendoza Line well into June until a two-week hot streak dug him out of that hole, barely. But he quickly returned to form and by late July lost his starting job to callup Chris Taylor. After a solid strikeout rate (15.5 percent) as a rookie, Miller couldn't stop whiffing last year. His strikeout rate spiked to 23.2% while his contact rate dropped to 74 percent. In 61 more at-bats than in 2013, he posted just four more extra-base hits. He will have to win the starting job in spring training again, assuming the Mariners don't upgrade at shortstop before then. Taylor has a better glove, but Miller has a much more potent bat, potentially at least.
Miller began last season at Double-A Jackson, was promoted to Triple-A Tacoma by late May and a month later found himself in Seattle for good. The quick rise was partly due to his crushing both of his minor-league stops and partly due to the Mariners' desperation for a shortstop who could produce more than the all-glove, no-bat Brendan Ryan. The left-handed Miller held his own as the team's leadoff hitter, flashing league-average power with a .153 ISO and mirroring his solid minor-league contact and strikeout rates. His walk rate dipped dramatically to 7.2 percent, which caused his OBP to take a big hit, however. He'll look for improvement in that area in 2014, as he will with his defense at shortstop, which is a work in progress.
Seattle's 2011 second-round pick, Miller has excellent plate discipline, though he does not project for much power. He handled High-A High Desert last season (.931 OPS) before a promotion to Double-A Jackson where his bat proved not to be just a product of the hitter-friendly California League. He could end up moving from shortstop where he struggled with range and errors last season. But the Mariners are getting quite a backlog at second base (Dustin Ackely, Nick Franklin), so a position switch isn't necessarily a given even though that's the conventional wisdom.
More Fantasy News
Designated for assignment
2BMilwaukee Brewers  
July 28, 2018
Miller was designated for assignment Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Benched again in series finale
2BMilwaukee Brewers  
July 15, 2018
Miller is out of the lineup Sunday against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench for Game 2
2BMilwaukee Brewers  
July 14, 2018
Miller is out of the lineup for the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Sits out Friday
2BMilwaukee Brewers  
July 13, 2018
Miller is not in the lineup Friday against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Wednesday's lineup
2BMilwaukee Brewers  
July 11, 2018
Miller is not in the lineup against Miami on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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