Daniel Vogelbach
Daniel Vogelbach
26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Seattle Mariners
Injury Elbow
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Vogelbach broke camp with the Mariners thanks to an impressive spring training, and he saw regular playing time between first base and DH over the first month of the season while Nelson Cruz and Ryon Healy dealt with injuries. The 26-year-old failed to capitalize, hitting just .204/.317/.352 with a 33% strikeout rate in 63 plate appearances, and was sent back to the minors at the end of April. Vogelbach spent the rest of the season shuttling between Triple-A and the majors, excelling with Tacoma but struggling during his limited opportunities with the big club despite an improved approach (6:5 BB:K in his final 39 plate appearances). He continued to show platoon splits, posting a .274 OPS vs. lefties (.745 OPS against LHP at Triple-A). He's out of options and should finally get an extended look against big-league pitching this year, assuming the Mariners can unload Edwin Encarnacion to a contender. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2019.
Hurts elbow in season opener
1BSeattle Mariners
March 20, 2019
Vogelbach is considered day-to-day after his left elbow stiffened up when he was hit by a pitch during his plate appearance in Wednesday's 9-7 win over the Athletics in Japan.
Vogelbach entered the game in the bottom of the fourth inning, checking in at first base while Ichiro Suzuki moved to the bench. The 26-year-old was then plunked in the next half inning, but took his base and resumed duties in the field until his next turn in the batting order came up in the bottom of the seventh. It doesn't sound like Vogelbach is in danger of missing meaningful time due to the injury, but the Mariners could opt to withhold him from action for their final game in Tokyo on Thursday as a precaution.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
Since 2017vs Left .339 28 2 0 0 0 .083 .214 .125
Since 2017vs Right .745 106 7 4 15 0 .242 .349 .396
2019vs Left 1.000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 1.000 .000
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left .274 23 2 0 0 0 .050 .174 .100
2018vs Right .815 79 7 4 13 0 .254 .367 .448
2017vs Left .500 4 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250
2017vs Right .546 27 0 0 2 0 .208 .296 .250
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
OPS on Road
OPS on Road
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
Since 2017Home .600 44 4 2 3 0 .175 .250 .350
Since 2017Away .689 90 5 2 12 0 .227 .356 .333
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 1.000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 1.000 .000
2018Home .574 39 4 2 3 0 .143 .231 .343
2018Away .766 63 5 2 10 0 .250 .381 .385
2017Home .800 5 0 0 0 0 .400 .400 .400
2017Away .487 26 0 0 2 0 .174 .269 .217
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Stat Review
How does Daniel Vogelbach compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Daniel Vogelbach
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
For several years now there has been a push among fantasy owners to "Free Dan Vogelbach," but the reality that he may not fit on a big-league roster is finally starting to sink in. He simply can't play anywhere in the field, so he would need to get starts at DH, and in order for an MLB team to roster a designated hitter who can't play the field, that player would need to be a dominant hitter against big-league pitching. Vogelbach, who is entering his age-25 season, has proven to be at least 20 percent better than the average Triple-A hitter over 258 games at that level. But while he has plus power, it's not special power, and while the jolly lefty mashes righties, he is significantly worse against lefties. So we have a DH-only slugger who may need a platoon partner. That profile just isn't going to win over many modern front offices. Look for him to once again start the year at Triple-A, and keep in mind, he will be out of minor-league options after the 2018 season.
Opportunity is the prevailing force in rotisserie baseball, and now that he's out of Chicago, Vogelbach has a chance to work his way into fantasy prominence. Vogelbach was used sparingly down the stretch in 2016 after being traded to Seattle, but as a 23-year-old Vogelbach beat up on Triple-A pitching to the tune of a .923 OPS, 23 homers and 96 RBI while striking out just four more times (101) than he walked (97) in 563 plate appearances. Safeco Field still skews favorably for pitchers in terms of runs scored, but it was a top-six park for home runs in 2016, so even in a platoon role, Vogelbach could gain and maintain fantasy value outside of AL-only formats. He failed to earn a spot out of spring training but Vogelbach should at least be owned in most keeper leagues with a much clearer path to playing time than he had in Chicago.
Vogelbach came out of the gate on fire last year, slashing .460/.571/.780 with three home runs, 11 runs, 12 RBI, and 13 walks in his first 14 games for Double-A Tennessee. Unfortunately a couple of injuries - which may have sapped his power - slowed him down considerably, and his final line with the Smokies was rather disappointing. True, he'd be an asset in OBP leagues - he's topped 60 walks in each of his last three years - but most look at him and expect him to be a big power-hitting first baseman. He's still just 23, but with Anthony Rizzo blocking him in Chicago, we see a DH job in his future. Don't be surprised to see the Cubs trade him.
Vogelbach is the Cubs' top first baseman in the minors, but it would be a shock to see him overtake Anthony Rizzo as the starter at the big league level at any point. There are some appealing items in his skill set, as he can draw a walk and hit for some power, but he doesn't seem to have anything that truly stands out, and his defensive limitations might make him a future DH. He should spend most of the 2015 season with Double-A Tennessee as a 22-year-old, but unless Rizzo suffers a serious injury, Vogelbach could be trade bait, especially to an AL-team that values on-base percentage more than defense.
Vogelbach is not just some run-of-the-mill slugger. Last year's 73:89 BB:K ratio contributed to a .375 on-base percentage between Low-A Kane County and High-A Daytona. While he only hit 19 home runs in 483 at-bats, he's done all that as a 20-year-old, and certainly projects as a power hitter in the majors. Anthony Rizzo is blocking him at first base, but in two years, who knows? Tuck him away, especially in deep OBP leagues.
Drafted 68th overall in 2011 for his elite power, the 5-foot-11, 255-pound Vogelbach did not disappoint last year, slugging .686 in 102 rookie-ball at-bats and .608 in 143 Low-A ones. He also hit .324 and .322, respectively, at those stops and showed good plate discipline, to boot. Expect the 20-year-old Vogelbach to get a shot at High-A and perhaps Double-A this year, though so long as he remains in the Cubs organization, he's blocked by Anthony Rizzo at first base. Given Vogelbach's frame, we very much doubt a position change is an option.
More Fantasy News
Will join team for Japan series
1BSeattle Mariners
March 13, 2019
The Mariners have informed Vogelbach that he'll be included on the roster next week for the team's two-game, season-opening series with the Athletics in Tokyo, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
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Connects for first spring homer
1BSeattle Mariners
February 27, 2019
Vogelbach went 1-for-1 with a solo homer and two walks in Wednesday's game against the Indians.
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Slims down over offseason
1BSeattle Mariners
February 19, 2019
Vogelbach reported to camp noticeably trimmer Monday and will compete with Ryon Healy for starting first-base duties during camp, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
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Spearheads win with pinch-hit slam
1BSeattle Mariners
September 18, 2018
Vogelbach smacked a grand slam in a pinch-hit at-bat in the eighth inning of Monday's win over the Astros.
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Smacks two-run blast in return
1BSeattle Mariners
September 17, 2018
Vogelbach went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in a loss to the Angels on Sunday.
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