Daniel Vogelbach
Daniel Vogelbach
26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Seattle Mariners
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Vogelbach broke camp with the Mariners thanks to an impressive spring training, and he saw regular playing time between first base and DH over the first month of the season while Nelson Cruz and Ryon Healy dealt with injuries. The 26-year-old failed to capitalize, hitting just .204/.317/.352 with a 33% strikeout rate in 63 plate appearances, and was sent back to the minors at the end of April. Vogelbach spent the rest of the season shuttling between Triple-A and the majors, excelling with Tacoma but struggling during his limited opportunities with the big club despite an improved approach (6:5 BB:K in his final 39 plate appearances). He continued to show platoon splits, posting a .274 OPS vs. lefties (.745 OPS against LHP at Triple-A). He's out of options and should finally get an extended look against big-league pitching this year, assuming the Mariners can unload Edwin Encarnacion to a contender. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2019.
Slugs 18th homer
1BSeattle Mariners
June 19, 2019
Vogelbach went 1-for-2 with a walk, a home run and two RBI in Wednesday's 8-2 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
He launched a solo shot in the first inning, going back-to-back with Domingo Santana. Vogelbach continues to get on base at an impressive clip -- he's got an 18:15 BB:K through 18 games in June -- and on the year, the 26-year-old is slashing .256/.396/.543 with 18 homers and 42 RBI in 69 contests.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
13
22
8
1
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
3
1
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+109%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+104%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+197%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .450 92 10 2 9 0 .123 .228 .222
Since 2017vs Right .939 332 43 20 50 0 .271 .404 .535
2019vs Left .509 65 8 2 9 0 .140 .246 .263
2019vs Right 1.036 226 36 16 35 0 .287 .429 .607
2018vs Left .274 23 2 0 0 0 .050 .174 .100
2018vs Right .815 79 7 4 13 0 .254 .367 .448
2017vs Left .500 4 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250
2017vs Right .546 27 0 0 2 0 .208 .296 .250
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+64%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .784 179 21 9 25 0 .225 .341 .444
Since 2017Away .861 245 32 13 34 0 .246 .384 .477
2019Home .848 135 17 7 22 0 .243 .370 .477
2019Away .968 156 27 11 22 0 .258 .404 .565
2018Home .574 39 4 2 3 0 .143 .231 .343
2018Away .766 63 5 2 10 0 .250 .381 .385
2017Home .800 5 0 0 0 0 .400 .400 .400
2017Away .487 26 0 0 2 0 .174 .269 .217
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Stat Review
How does Daniel Vogelbach compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.82
 
BB Rate
18.2%
 
K Rate
22.3%
 
BABIP
.266
 
ISO
.272
 
AVG
.251
 
OBP
.388
 
SLG
.523
 
OPS
.912
 
wOBA
.395
 
Exit Velocity
89.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.3%
 
Barrels/PA
7.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
For several years now there has been a push among fantasy owners to "Free Dan Vogelbach," but the reality that he may not fit on a big-league roster is finally starting to sink in. He simply can't play anywhere in the field, so he would need to get starts at DH, and in order for an MLB team to roster a designated hitter who can't play the field, that player would need to be a dominant hitter against big-league pitching. Vogelbach, who is entering his age-25 season, has proven to be at least 20 percent better than the average Triple-A hitter over 258 games at that level. But while he has plus power, it's not special power, and while the jolly lefty mashes righties, he is significantly worse against lefties. So we have a DH-only slugger who may need a platoon partner. That profile just isn't going to win over many modern front offices. Look for him to once again start the year at Triple-A, and keep in mind, he will be out of minor-league options after the 2018 season.
Opportunity is the prevailing force in rotisserie baseball, and now that he's out of Chicago, Vogelbach has a chance to work his way into fantasy prominence. Vogelbach was used sparingly down the stretch in 2016 after being traded to Seattle, but as a 23-year-old Vogelbach beat up on Triple-A pitching to the tune of a .923 OPS, 23 homers and 96 RBI while striking out just four more times (101) than he walked (97) in 563 plate appearances. Safeco Field still skews favorably for pitchers in terms of runs scored, but it was a top-six park for home runs in 2016, so even in a platoon role, Vogelbach could gain and maintain fantasy value outside of AL-only formats. He failed to earn a spot out of spring training but Vogelbach should at least be owned in most keeper leagues with a much clearer path to playing time than he had in Chicago.
Vogelbach came out of the gate on fire last year, slashing .460/.571/.780 with three home runs, 11 runs, 12 RBI, and 13 walks in his first 14 games for Double-A Tennessee. Unfortunately a couple of injuries - which may have sapped his power - slowed him down considerably, and his final line with the Smokies was rather disappointing. True, he'd be an asset in OBP leagues - he's topped 60 walks in each of his last three years - but most look at him and expect him to be a big power-hitting first baseman. He's still just 23, but with Anthony Rizzo blocking him in Chicago, we see a DH job in his future. Don't be surprised to see the Cubs trade him.
Vogelbach is the Cubs' top first baseman in the minors, but it would be a shock to see him overtake Anthony Rizzo as the starter at the big league level at any point. There are some appealing items in his skill set, as he can draw a walk and hit for some power, but he doesn't seem to have anything that truly stands out, and his defensive limitations might make him a future DH. He should spend most of the 2015 season with Double-A Tennessee as a 22-year-old, but unless Rizzo suffers a serious injury, Vogelbach could be trade bait, especially to an AL-team that values on-base percentage more than defense.
Vogelbach is not just some run-of-the-mill slugger. Last year's 73:89 BB:K ratio contributed to a .375 on-base percentage between Low-A Kane County and High-A Daytona. While he only hit 19 home runs in 483 at-bats, he's done all that as a 20-year-old, and certainly projects as a power hitter in the majors. Anthony Rizzo is blocking him at first base, but in two years, who knows? Tuck him away, especially in deep OBP leagues.
Drafted 68th overall in 2011 for his elite power, the 5-foot-11, 255-pound Vogelbach did not disappoint last year, slugging .686 in 102 rookie-ball at-bats and .608 in 143 Low-A ones. He also hit .324 and .322, respectively, at those stops and showed good plate discipline, to boot. Expect the 20-year-old Vogelbach to get a shot at High-A and perhaps Double-A this year, though so long as he remains in the Cubs organization, he's blocked by Anthony Rizzo at first base. Given Vogelbach's frame, we very much doubt a position change is an option.
More Fantasy News
Reaches base three times
1BSeattle Mariners
June 13, 2019
Vogelbach went 2-for-4 with a walk and an RBI on Thursday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Stellar night in victory
1BSeattle Mariners
June 13, 2019
Vogelbach went 4-for-5 with a solo home run, a walk and two runs in a win over the Twins on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves yard in win
1BSeattle Mariners
June 10, 2019
Vogelbach went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk in a win over the Angels on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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On base three times
1BSeattle Mariners
June 8, 2019
Vogelbach went 2-for-4 with a walk and a run in a win over the Angels on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Plates three in loss
1BSeattle Mariners
June 5, 2019
Vogelbach entered Tuesday's loss to the Astros as a pinch hitter in the sixth inning and belted a three-run double in two at-bats.
ANALYSIS
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