Daniel Vogelbach Fantasy News & Stats

Daniel Vogelbach

25-Year-Old First Baseman1B

Seattle Mariners

2018 Stats

AVG

.207

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2018 Fantasy Outlook

For several years now there has been a push among fantasy owners to "Free Dan Vogelbach," but the reality that he may not fit on a big-league roster is finally starting to sink in. He simply can't play anywhere in the field, so he would need to get starts at DH, and in order for an MLB team to roster a designated hitter who can't play the field, that player would need to be a dominant hitter against big-league pitching. Vogelbach, who is entering his age-25 season, has proven to be at least 20 percent better than the average Triple-A hitter over 258 games at that level. But while he has plus power, it's not special power, and while the jolly lefty mashes righties, he is significantly worse against lefties. So we have a DH-only slugger who may need a platoon partner. That profile just isn't going to win over many modern front offices. Look for him to once again start the year at Triple-A, and keep in mind, he will be out of minor-league options after the 2018 season. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#480

ADP

Overall

First Baseman

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League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 250

DOB 12/17/1992

Drafted 2nd Rd 2011

Spearheads win with pinch-hit slam

1BSeattle Mariners

September 18, 2018

Vogelbach smacked a grand slam in a pinch-hit at-bat in the eighth inning of Monday's win over the Astros.

ANALYSIS
Vogelbach single-handedly led Seattle to a win with one swing of the bat, as his 398-foot shot to right center in the eighth with two out and the bases jammed gave the Mariners all their runs on the night. The 25-year-old has now left the yard in consecutive games, leading to six RBI during that stretch.

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Batting Stats

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MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2016

+132%

OPS vs RHP

2018

+197%

OPS vs RHP

2017

+9%

OPS vs RHP

2016

-100%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2016vs Left	.299	28	2	0	0	0	.080	.179	.120
Since 2016vs Right	.693	118	7	4	15	0	.225	.331	.363
2018vs Left	.274	23	2	0	0	0	.050	.174	.100
2018vs Right	.815	79	7	4	13	0	.254	.367	.448
2017vs Left	.500	4	0	0	0	0	.250	.250	.250
2017vs Right	.546	27	0	0	2	0	.208	.296	.250
2016vs Left	.000	1	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
2016vs Right	.258	12	0	0	0	0	.091	.167	.091
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2016

+14%

OPS on Road

2018

+33%

OPS on Road

2017

+64%

OPS at Home

2016

+25%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2016Home	.563	49	4	2	3	0	.159	.245	.318
Since 2016Away	.643	97	5	2	12	0	.217	.330	.313
2018Home	.574	39	4	2	3	0	.143	.231	.343
2018Away	.766	63	5	2	10	0	.250	.381	.385
2017Home	.800	5	0	0	0	0	.400	.400	.400
2017Away	.487	26	0	0	2	0	.174	.269	.217
2016Home	.200	5	0	0	0	0	.000	.200	.000
2016Away	.250	8	0	0	0	0	.125	.125	.125
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Stat Review

How does Daniel Vogelbach compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

BB/K

0.50

BB Rate

12.7%

K Rate

25.5%

BABIP

.246

ISO

.161

AVG

.207

OBP

.324

SLG

.368

OPS

.691

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

Opportunity is the prevailing force in rotisserie baseball, and now that he's out of Chicago, Vogelbach has a chance to work his way into fantasy prominence. Vogelbach was used sparingly down the stretch in 2016 after being traded to Seattle, but as a 23-year-old Vogelbach beat up on Triple-A pitching to the tune of a .923 OPS, 23 homers and 96 RBI while striking out just four more times (101) than he walked (97) in 563 plate appearances. Safeco Field still skews favorably for pitchers in terms of runs scored, but it was a top-six park for home runs in 2016, so even in a platoon role, Vogelbach could gain and maintain fantasy value outside of AL-only formats. He failed to earn a spot out of spring training but Vogelbach should at least be owned in most keeper leagues with a much clearer path to playing time than he had in Chicago.

Vogelbach came out of the gate on fire last year, slashing .460/.571/.780 with three home runs, 11 runs, 12 RBI, and 13 walks in his first 14 games for Double-A Tennessee. Unfortunately a couple of injuries - which may have sapped his power - slowed him down considerably, and his final line with the Smokies was rather disappointing. True, he'd be an asset in OBP leagues - he's topped 60 walks in each of his last three years - but most look at him and expect him to be a big power-hitting first baseman. He's still just 23, but with Anthony Rizzo blocking him in Chicago, we see a DH job in his future. Don't be surprised to see the Cubs trade him.

Vogelbach is the Cubs' top first baseman in the minors, but it would be a shock to see him overtake Anthony Rizzo as the starter at the big league level at any point. There are some appealing items in his skill set, as he can draw a walk and hit for some power, but he doesn't seem to have anything that truly stands out, and his defensive limitations might make him a future DH. He should spend most of the 2015 season with Double-A Tennessee as a 22-year-old, but unless Rizzo suffers a serious injury, Vogelbach could be trade bait, especially to an AL-team that values on-base percentage more than defense.

Vogelbach is not just some run-of-the-mill slugger. Last year's 73:89 BB:K ratio contributed to a .375 on-base percentage between Low-A Kane County and High-A Daytona. While he only hit 19 home runs in 483 at-bats, he's done all that as a 20-year-old, and certainly projects as a power hitter in the majors. Anthony Rizzo is blocking him at first base, but in two years, who knows? Tuck him away, especially in deep OBP leagues.

Drafted 68th overall in 2011 for his elite power, the 5-foot-11, 255-pound Vogelbach did not disappoint last year, slugging .686 in 102 rookie-ball at-bats and .608 in 143 Low-A ones. He also hit .324 and .322, respectively, at those stops and showed good plate discipline, to boot. Expect the 20-year-old Vogelbach to get a shot at High-A and perhaps Double-A this year, though so long as he remains in the Cubs organization, he's blocked by Anthony Rizzo at first base. Given Vogelbach's frame, we very much doubt a position change is an option.

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Smacks two-run blast in return

1BSeattle Mariners

September 17, 2018

Vogelbach went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in a loss to the Angels on Sunday.