Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
26-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Bogaerts benefited from improved health in 2018, though he ended up playing the fewest games in any of his full seasons in the majors. The ankle injury that shelved him for most of April didn’t inhibit him at the plate once he returned, unlike the hand issue that sapped his power in the second half of 2017. While Bogaerts may have scaled back his aggressiveness on the bases, he made up for it by setting new personal bests in home runs and RBI, with the increased slugging output supported by major rises in both his barrel (7.1%) and hard-hit (41.5%) rates. The improved batted-ball profile should provide further reason to invest in Bogaerts with confidence as he enters his age-26 campaign. Even if last year's power gains are more of an outlier, Bogaerts will retain a high floor thanks to his strong contact skills and his slotting in a Boston lineup that brings back most of the core pieces from an offense that led MLB in runs in 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a six-year, $120 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2019. Contract includes $20 million vesting option for 2026 (based on 535 plate appearances in 2025) and opt-out clause after 2022.
Goes yard twice
SSBoston Red Sox
August 14, 2019
Bogaerts went 3-for-4 with a walk, two home runs and four RBI Wednesday against the Indians.
ANALYSIS
Bogarts delivered his first home run of the game in the third inning by taking Shane Bieber deep for a solo shot. He followed that up with a three-run homer in the seventh inning, bringing his total for the season to 27. The two long balls were his first since Aug. 1, when he also managed a two-homer game. Despite the lack of power recently, Bogaerts is hitting .305/.382/.561 across 539 plate appearances for the season.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
32
12
36
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
22
8
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .826 399 60 11 51 6 .277 .371 .455
Since 2017vs Right .860 1368 201 49 208 21 .293 .359 .501
2019vs Left .880 141 25 8 26 2 .270 .340 .540
2019vs Right .968 411 70 19 68 2 .322 .399 .569
2018vs Left .809 132 16 1 15 1 .269 .402 .407
2018vs Right .901 448 56 22 88 7 .294 .348 .553
2017vs Left .777 126 19 2 10 3 .294 .373 .404
2017vs Right .739 509 75 8 52 12 .268 .336 .403
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .926 895 144 35 146 12 .319 .383 .543
Since 2017Away .776 872 117 25 113 15 .258 .339 .437
2019Home 1.076 285 56 16 55 2 .356 .428 .648
2019Away .807 267 39 11 39 2 .258 .337 .470
2018Home .967 283 37 15 63 3 .314 .375 .592
2018Away .800 297 35 8 40 5 .264 .347 .453
2017Home .765 327 51 4 28 7 .293 .352 .413
2017Away .726 308 43 6 34 8 .251 .334 .391
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Stat Review
How does Xander Bogaerts compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.61
 
BB Rate
11.1%
 
K Rate
18.1%
 
BABIP
.339
 
ISO
.253
 
AVG
.309
 
OBP
.384
 
SLG
.562
 
OPS
.946
 
wOBA
.406
 
Exit Velocity
90.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.6%
 
Barrels/PA
6.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Xander Bogaerts
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Breakdown
2 days ago
With Joey Lucchesi failing to find his form of late, Sasha Yodashkin believes a few Phillies' hitters will be able to punish the lefty.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Breakdown
4 days ago
Adam Zdroik recommends a Rays stack -- featuring Tommy Pham -- against Daniel Norris and the Tigers on Friday.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
9 days ago
Chris Morgan made the effort to get Asher Wojciechowski's name correct, so it's your duty to select Yordan Alvarez against the struggling Orioles' pitcher.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Breakdown
11 days ago
Adam Zdroik is targeting Tyler Beede and the Giants with a Phillies stack of hitters Friday.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Picks
11 days ago
Chris Bennett suggests a Brewers stack featuring Ryan Braun against Rangers pitcher Kolby Allard.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Bogaerts' batted-ball profile raised concerns heading into the 2017 season, and those concerns proved to be justified as he produced at a below-league-average level at the plate (96 wRC+) in his age-25 season. Granted, Bogaerts was playing through a hand injury for most of the second half and may have altered his swing mechanics. He continued to put the ball on the ground at a high rate -- roughly half the time -- and his flyball rate fell to just over 30 percent, leading to a precipitous drop in power from his career-high mark of 21 homers in 2016. He walks at a good clip and doesn't strike out much, and there is value in a 10-15 player at shortstop in any format, but right now Bogaerts is more of a second- or third-tier option at the position rather than the fantasy building block many thought he'd be already at this stage of his career.
The progression of Bogaerts took another step forward in 2016. In 2015, he earned a Silver Slugger award in the American League, but he'd hit just seven homers and had an unsustainable BABIP (.372). The expected power hadn't yet developed and we were curious to see what his numbers would look like when BABIP corrected, which it did in 2016 (.335). The results were encouraging. The 24-year-old's power bat arrived, belting 21 homers with a .152 ISO and he bumped his walk rate to 8.1 percent. Slashing a respectable .294/.356/.446, Bogaerts was a first-time All-Star and earned a second Silver Slugger award. The advanced metrics indicate more runs created and better plate discipline, but it wasn't all good in 2016. There was a continuous fall from his season high .529 slugging and .934 OPS on June 11, to .392/.717 from that point on. Bogaerts is getting closer to a breakout year, which will come when he eliminates the prolonged slumps.
Ever since Bogaerts made his debut in 2013, the baseball world has been waiting for a breakout star to emerge. It didn’t happen in 2014 — he struggled for much of the season, and was moved between shortstop and third base as questions about his defense arose. But a strong finish in September suggested his full potential could be realized in 2015. As it turned out, Bogaerts only tapped into his potential last season, hitting .320/.355/.421 in 156 games while going from a -2.7 UZR in 2014 to 1.0 in 2015 in a full season at shortstop, suggesting he can stick at the position for the foreseeable future. Some of his hitting success was due to an elevated BABIP (.372, sixth in MLB), but even with a little regression cooked in he projects to hit for a high average again this season. The big question is what his power ceiling is, and when he will be ready to reach it. He certainly won’t come cheap for owners who gamble on the power surge coming in 2016.
Bogaerts entered the 2014 season with high expectations coming off his preternatural contributions to Boston's championship team in 2013. The organization's top prospect opened the season as the team's starting shortstop, but questions about his defense emerged early. Despite that, he was one of the few players hitting in a sorry lineup through April and May. With the Red Sox needing any kind of a spark, they signed Stephen Drew and forced Bogaerts to shift to third base. This chain of events was followed by a summer stretch in which Bogaerts' offense went idle. He hit just .161 from June through August and struck out in 26.5% of his plate appearances, compared to 20.5% the rest of the season. The position change was cited by some as the trigger for the drop-off, but it was more likely a result of pitchers catching up to him and feeding him a steady diet of sliders. He eventually made adjustments and had a strong September, but is still unclear what happened to his ability to work the count -- his walk rate dropped from 11.2% in April/May to 3.8% his plate appearances after June. The plan calls for Bogaerts to start at shortstop in 2015 and he should stay there all season with free-agent addition Pablo Sandoval manning the hot corner.
Bogaerts played at three levels of the organization in 2013, including the final few months in Boston, where he earned regular playing time in the playoffs and World Series. He's the unquestioned top prospect in the organization and will have a full-time role when the upcoming campaign opens. Up until last season, Bogaerts was exclusively a shortstop, but the Red Sox had him train at third base next to Stephen Drew. It's presumed that he'll be the everyday shortstop with Drew out of the picture this year, though the Red Sox are interested in adding an infielder to the left side. His growth as a hitter in 2013 was displayed by increased patience and a knack for making in-game adjustments at the plate. The one knock on Bogaerts as a hitter was his aggressiveness, but he incorporated patience as part of his hitting plan last season, boosting his walk rate from 0.34 per game in 2012 to last year's 0.53. As we saw in the postseason, he drew some big walks in Boston's World Series run.
Bogaerts moves to the head of the organization's prospect class after a two-level year, in which he bashed 20 homers and hit .307/.373/.523 at High-A Salem and Double-A Portland. The adjustments in approach he put into practice at Low-A helped prepare him for Double-A, where he did not experience the typical struggles of a young hitter facing advanced-level pitching. He is on the fast track to Boston and will work at the major league camp during spring training. The one thing that may alter his trajectory is a position shift. Bogaerts is currently a shortstop, but he is young and his body is still developing. A position switch is not out of the question, especially if Bogaerts' power stroke continues to develop. It is not hard to envision a start at Double-A; a mid-year promotion to Triple-A; followed by a September callup.
Bogaerts made a significant splash into professional baseball in 2011, bypassing short-season ball and getting a mid-season placement at Low-A Greenville, where he hit 16 homers in 265 at-bats. The power stroke is there; he just needs to learn how to better manage his plate appearances. He's playing shortstop, and at just 19, the organization will leave him where he is for now, but his body projects to add more mass and he could find a position switch somewhere down the line. Look for him to continue to develop a plate approach at Greenville with a promotion to High-A Salem likely. He's a good name to stash away on your prospect charts.
Bogaerts, 18, was signed as an international free agent in 2009 and played in the Dominican Summer League in 2010. He's a shortstop now, but projects to add more muscle and may find himself moving to third base. He's very raw in terms of pitch recognition and plate discipline, but the Red Sox like his swing mechanics. He'll likely stay behind in extended spring training before getting a peek at Short-Season Lowell in June.
More Fantasy News
Receives rare day off
SSBoston Red Sox
August 6, 2019
Bogaerts will head to the bench for Tuesday's game against Kansas City, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cranks two homers
SSBoston Red Sox
August 2, 2019
Bogaerts went 4-for-4 with two home runs, a double and three RBI in Thursday's 9-4 loss to the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Collects three hits in loss
SSBoston Red Sox
July 28, 2019
Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a double and two runs scored in Sunday's loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Homers twice in win
SSBoston Red Sox
July 25, 2019
Bogaerts went 4-for-6 with two home runs, four RBI and four runs scored in Thursday's 19-3 rout of the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks 21st homer
SSBoston Red Sox
July 16, 2019
Bogaerts went 3-for-4 with a home run, two RBI and a run scored Tuesday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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