Eduardo Rodriguez

30-Year-Old PitcherSP

Detroit Tigers

2023 Stats

W-L

12-9

ERA

3.40

WHIP

1.17

138

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Rodriguez had a rather interesting debut sesaon in Detroit as one of their big ticket free agents which failed to delivered expected outcomes. Not only did Rodriguez struggle with an early injury, he then needed an extended mental timeout and went AWOL from the club until finally returning to the mound in late August. He pitched about as well as one would expect someone in his headspace to do after his return but it was a second consecutive disappointing seasons after great 2019 performance and missing the 2020 season with myocarditis. His stuff these days looks more like a mid-rotation innings eater yet Rodriguez has but one season above 160 innings of work. Detroit wants him, nee, needs him to work 180+ innings but your fantasy squad should look to mix and match his starts unless Rodriguez comes out of the gate showing better stuff than he did in 2022. Detroit had him throwing more cutters and sinkers than he did with Boston while phasing out the slider and cutting back on his changeup. The latter point may be an anomaly as the pitch was an effective one for him in earlier seasons but was impacted by the 2020 layoff. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#324

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 231

DOB 4/7/1993

Born Valencia, Venezuela

College None

Drafted 2010 BAL

Tosses seven shutout frames

PDetroit Tigers

September 24, 2023

Rodriguez (12-9) allowed five hits and four walks over seven scoreless innings Sunday, striking out five and earning a win over Oakland.

ANALYSIS
Rodriguez found himself in trouble a few times but was able to put out fires all afternoon in the scoreless outing. He rebounded well after being tagged with nine runs over his previous two starts. The veteran lefty owns a 3.40 ERA on the year and a 4.08 ERA in 10 starts since the beginning of August. Rodriguez's next start is currently lined up to be at home against the Guardians.

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Pitching Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Eduardo Rodriguez generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Eduardo Rodriguez generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-7%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-25%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-21%

BAA vs RHP

2021

-9%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2021vs Left	.239	347	96	27	75	19	1	10
Since 2021vs Right	.257	1312	299	100	308	63	3	35
2023vs Left	.183	127	34	11	21	5	1	2
2023vs Right	.244	466	104	35	103	19	1	12
2022vs Left	.299	80	15	11	20	5	0	3
2022vs Right	.235	311	57	23	67	12	1	9
2021vs Left	.258	140	47	5	34	9	0	5
2021vs Right	.282	535	138	42	138	32	1	14
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-16%

ERA on Road

2023

-7%

ERA on Road

2022

-12%

ERA at Home

2021

-34%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2021Home	4.51	1.34	167.2	11	11	0	9.2	3.4	1.0
Since 2021Away	3.77	1.26	226.2	19	11	0	8.9	2.6	1.1
2023Home	3.55	1.18	58.1	4	4	0	8.6	3.4	0.9
2023Away	3.30	1.17	87.1	8	5	0	8.5	2.6	0.8
2022Home	3.80	1.42	47.1	3	3	0	7.0	4.2	0.8
2022Away	4.33	1.24	43.2	2	2	0	7.2	2.5	1.6
2021Home	5.95	1.44	62.0	4	4	0	11.3	2.8	1.2
2021Away	3.95	1.36	95.2	9	4	0	10.1	2.6	1.0
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Stat Review

How does Eduardo Rodriguez compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.94

K/9

8.5

BB/9

2.9

HR/9

0.9

Fastball

92.2 mph

ERA

3.40

WHIP

1.17

BABIP

.287

GB/FB

1.28

Left On Base

75.3%

Exit Velocity

80.7 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.4%

Spin Rate

2106 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

21.1%

Swinging Strike

10.7%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

Coming off a career-best season in 2019 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 203.1 innings, Rodriguez missed the 2020 season with myocarditis. In 2021, Rodriguez tossed his second-highest innings total (157.2) with a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. However, the BABIP boomed to .363 with a career rate of .311, plus the LOB% dipped to 68.9% versus 74% in his career. If the BABIP and LOB% regress to the career norms, the ratios should improve. Meanwhile, Rodriguez posted the best K-BB% (20.4%) in his career, with the four-seamer reaching a career-best 13.9% SwStr% in 2021. The changeup remained effective with a 15.3% SwStr% but lower than the career SwStr% of 18.2%. Look for Rodriguez to bounce back in a pitcher-friendly ballpark with at least two quality pitches, plus the BABIP and strand rate regressing. A fair expectation involves an ERA around 3.80 with a healthy chunk of strikeouts in 2022 as the Tigers' ace.

Rodriguez did not pitch in 2020 after testing positive for COVID-19 in July. He was later diagnosed with myocarditis, an inflammation of the heart muscle which was a result of the coronavirus. It was not until months later that Rodriguez was cleared for walking and other light exercises. Despite the lack of activity throughout the summer months, the Red Sox expressed optimism that Rodriguez would be able to have a "normal" offseason. He seemed to be finally blossoming into one of the top left-handed starters in the AL before the lost season, racking up 213 strikeouts in 2019 with his four-seamer-changeup-cutter-sinker mix, with a better O-Swing% than the likes of Yu Darvish, Luis Castillo and Aaron Nola that year. He's always been a WHIP liability, but Rodriguez has created some distance from his past knee issues and should be a top Comeback Player of the Year candidate if he's able to stay on the field.

The way you hear this much-maligned pitcher described, you would be stunned to see he won 19 games with a sub-4.00 ERA. The WHIP was high, and a 78% strand rate kept those runners from scoring. The 16.1 K-BB% is a decent number, but it represented a backslide from 2018. The problem with Rodriguez is inconsistency; he allowed 10 of his 24 home runs the first time through the lineup last year. He has a history of right knee injuries but did not miss a start last year and worked a career high in innings. Seeing his workload jump so much from one year to the next is a bit of a concern given his health issues in the past. Last year looked a lot like the previous two seasons at a skill level, but staying healthy for the first time was the noticeable difference that led to him realizing the potential he has flashed for three-plus seasons. As long as he is healthy, he is good, just not elite.

The signs are pointing up for Rodriquez with the dreaded caveat: if he can stay healthy. While the lefty has started at least 20 games the past four seasons, 24 is his career high, posted in 2017, accruing a career-best 137.1 innings. The optimist insists most of the time lost was from a knee issue surgically repaired last spring. The pessimist notes he lost around six weeks after spraining his ankle in a collision while covering first. The optimist emphasizes he hasn’t had a major arm injury. On the mound, Rodriguez’s strikeout rate has increased each season of his career while his walk rate has dropped the last two, the root of the glass-half-full outlook. Other than staying healthy, Rodriguez needs to be better the third time through the order if he wants to take the next step. Rodriguez enters 2019 entrenched in the Red Sox rotation. His wins and whiffs project to be fantasy friendly. Accept the injury discount and hope his DL visits are over.

Rodriguez again teased top-of-the-rotation skills, but fell short of a breakout season. Unfortunately, if 2018 is going to be the year, he'll have to overcome a late start as he's out until May or June after undergoing reconstructive surgery on the patellofemoral ligament in his right knee in October. Knee woes are not new to Rodriguez -- he made a 45-day visit to the disabled list after hurting his right knee while warming up for his June 1 start. When he returned, he admittedly altered his mechanics, helping explain a 2.77 ERA and 1.12 WHIP pre-June 1 compared to 5.16/1.39 after. Rodriguez will be just 25 when he returns next season, and his plus changeup is a great weapon against right-handers. He has the stuff to whiff a hitter an inning, so if Rodriguez can shave off a couple walks and do a better job of keeping the ball in the yard, he could pay off handsomely as a stash.

A spring training knee injury kept Rodriguez on the disabled list to start the season, then his recovery took longer than anyone expected. It took him some time to develop confidence in the knee, and once he did, the left-hander was hit hard, wasn't throwing breaking balls, and experienced yet another bout of pitch-tipping. After spending some time at Triple-A Pawtucket mid-summer eliminating the pitch-tipping, Rodriguez was summoned back to Boston after the All-Star break. In 14 second-half starts, he posted a 3.24 ERA and 1.13 WHIP while striking out 9.15 batters per nine innings. While the overall numbers weren't pretty, overcoming the first-half adversity was a real positive. He's expected to open the season in the rotation, though he tweaked his knee during winter ball and will not pitch again until the spring. Make sure to keep tabs on his availability during drafts, as this was the same knee that delayed his debut last season.

Boston's plan to go with a starting rotation that didn't feature a true "ace" was fraught with problems and those problems showed up early. Starters got hit hard, they weren't going deep into games, and relievers were getting taxed. The organization reached into its minor leagues, where they had three prospect left-handers pitching at Triple-A Pawtucket, including Rodriguez. He got a spot start late in May when Boston went to a temporary six-man rotation and he pitched so well, that he stayed in the rotation for the rest of the season. Rodriguez is poised on the mound, and used an above-average three-pitch mix in allowing just one run in his first three starts. In his fourth start, Rodriguez had problems tipping his pitches - something that recurred a few more times during the season, but overall it was a good first season. He finished up allowing just one earned run in five of his last seven starts. He dislocated his kneecap early in camp, and appears unlikely to make his regular season debut until late April, so he should be slightly discounted on draft day.

Rodriguez entered the 2014 season ranked as a top prospect in the Orioles' organization, so expectations were high when he was Double-A Bowie's Opening Day starter. However, the smooth lefty was roughed up early on and he suffered a sprained knee that kept him out until late May. He had some spotty success after his return, but issued too many walks overall and wasn't getting deep into games. His fortunes changed when he was dealt to Boston for left-handed reliever Andrew Miller. Rodriguez credited advice from Double-A Portland's pitching coach, Bob Kipper, for his strong finish. Kipper encouraged Rodriguez to use his changeup and slider to both sides of the plate as well as administering some mechanical adjustments. The end result was a 3-1 record with a microscopic 0.96 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 37.1 innings. The Red Sox may have gotten the steal of the trade deadline, landing a potential ace for a three-month rental on a reliever. Rodriguez should open the 2015 season at Triple-A Pawtucket, where he finished up the 2014 season, pitching one game in the playoffs.

Rodriguez continues to shoot up Baltimore's prospect chart after a year in which he topped out at Double-A as a 20-year-old. He throws three pitches and missed more bats after moving from High-A (7.0 K/9, 2.6 BB/9) to Double-A (8.9 K/9, 3.6 BB/9). The Orioles are stocked with aging pitching prospects and Rodriguez is the only starter who might have a shot of making his MLB debut this season. Look for Rodriguez to begin the season in Double-A Bowie and possibly debut before the end of the season if he continues to pitch well in his ascent through the Orioles' system.

More Fantasy News

Lined up for Sunday

PDetroit Tigers

Back

September 22, 2023

Rodriguez (back) threw a bullpen session Friday without issue and has been cleared to start Sunday at Oakland, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.

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Throwing Friday

PDetroit Tigers

Back

September 21, 2023

Rodriguez (back) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Pressreports.

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Tending to back spasms

PDetroit Tigers

Back

September 19, 2023

Tigers manager A.J. Hinch revealed after Monday's 8-3 loss to the Dodgers that Rodriguez was lifted in the fourth inning of the contest due to back spasms, ESPN.com reports.

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Tagged for five runs

PDetroit Tigers

September 18, 2023

Rodriguez (11-9) allowed five runs on five hits and a walk while striking out one over three innings to take the loss Monday versus the Dodgers.

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Earns 11th win Thursday

PDetroit Tigers

September 7, 2023

Rodriguez (11-7) allowed three runs on four hits across six innings to earn the win Thursday against the Yankees. He walked four and struck out four.

ANALYSIS
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