Marwin Gonzalez
Marwin Gonzalez
30-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Minnesota Twins
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Gonzalez was unable to follow up on his monstrous 2017 season, which was to be expected as the leading indicators foretold a collapse coming as there was a 54-point gap between his actual wOBA and his expected wOBA based on contact in 2017. A late-season surge salvaged Gonzalez's season to finish just above the league average offensively. The power surge in 2017 looks like the outlier against the backdrop of the past five seasons, and was fueled by an abnormally high HR/FB (18.1% vs. a 12.3% career rate). The switch-hitting Gonzalez historically hits for a better average from the right side of the plate, but his overall offensive production is rather split neutral. His average exit velocity year over year was identical, but the regression of the HR/FB ultimately brought him back to Earth. He qualifies at four positions on draft day, which certainly helps his appeal. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#231
ADP
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$Signed a two-year, $21 million contract with the Twins in February of 2019.
Sitting Sunday
SSMinnesota Twins
April 21, 2019
Gonzalez is not in Sunday's lineup against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
Gonzalez got off to a rough start to the season, but is hitting .292 with a home run and five strikeouts over his last 24 at-bats. Ehire Adrianza will start at third base, hitting eighth.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
2
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .750 319 29 10 45 1 .256 .313 .437
Since 2017vs Right .815 816 103 30 117 9 .273 .355 .460
2019vs Left .000 8 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2019vs Right .561 60 4 1 4 0 .204 .283 .278
2018vs Left .753 177 12 5 29 1 .273 .316 .436
2018vs Right .722 375 49 11 39 1 .235 .327 .395
2017vs Left .795 134 17 5 16 0 .250 .328 .467
2017vs Right .946 381 50 18 74 8 .322 .394 .552
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+137%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .770 548 63 21 75 5 .255 .325 .446
Since 2017Away .821 587 69 19 87 5 .281 .361 .461
2019Home .745 29 3 1 4 0 .240 .345 .400
2019Away .315 39 1 0 0 0 .135 .179 .135
2018Home .659 260 25 5 24 1 .228 .309 .351
2018Away .797 292 36 11 44 1 .264 .337 .460
2017Home .881 259 35 15 47 4 .282 .339 .543
2017Away .932 256 32 8 43 4 .326 .416 .516
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Stat Review
How does Marwin Gonzalez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.35
 
BB Rate
8.5%
 
K Rate
23.9%
 
BABIP
.213
 
ISO
.062
 
AVG
.169
 
OBP
.239
 
SLG
.231
 
OPS
.470
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Twins Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Gonzalez, the former Rule 5 pick, had a breakout year in 2017 for the World Series champs. 2016 was a sign of things to come when the versatile fielder went for double-double homers and steals, but he took his game to another level in 2017, doubling his walk rate (to 9.5 percent) and launching nearly as many homers as he had the previous two seasons combined. That increased walk rate came from more selectivity as Gonzalez improved his chase rate by six full percentage points as he instead went hunting for fastballs to elevate and drive. Although a switch hitter, he does a majority of his damage from the left side as 18 of his 23 homers came off righties. Gonzalez has the rare 1B/2B/SS/OF eligibility for 2018 and should once again have no problem finding playing time in this high-octane offense.
Gonzalez offered some fantasy viability as a utilityman with eligibility at upwards of five positions, depending on league rules, while offering a double-double (10-plus HR and SB), though that obfuscates the fact that all three of his rate stats dropped and it was actually his worst season since 2013 by OPS. He hit just one more homer than 2015 despite 148 more plate appearances. He was much worse against fastballs and changeups, which drove his rise in strikeouts and drop in power. Gonzalez has seen his strikeout rate rise yearly while his walk rate has held at a weak four-to-five percent. He will also enter 2017 with just first base and third base eligibility, which certainly curbs his draft day value. His utility role, modest power offerings and career 47 percent success rate on the basepaths make it hard to envision a repeat of his 2016. Without middle infield eligibility, he is an AL-only end-gamer at best.
After spending a good chunk of 2014 as the Astros' starting shortstop, Gonzalez filled a super-utility role for the club last season, playing all over the diamond while adding 15 appearances from left field as a bonus to his fantasy owners in deeper leagues. The 26-year-old logged career highs in games played, plate appearances, batting average, home runs and RBI. Gonzalez didn't display much patience at the dish (4.3-percent walk rate) and he struck out at a 20 percent clip, but his .759 OPS far exceeded expectations. The Astros certainly value his versatility, and he should see plenty of action at third base and first base while the team awaits the arrival of prospects A.J. Reed and Colin Moran to take over at the infield corners.
Gonzalez played all over the diamond in 2014, logging starts at every position except pitcher, catcher, and center field for the Astros. Most of them came as the team's primary shortstop, however, as he took over the position upon Jonathan Villar's demotion to Triple-A. Gonzalez delivered a solid, yet unspectacular .277/.327/.400 batting line with six homers and 23 RBI in 285 at-bats (103 games) for the Astros. With the return of Jed Lowrie via free agency, Gonzalez may face an uphill battle to match his 2014 workload, as the front office found a veteran shortstop capable of holding the job until Carlos Correa is ready for the call.
Gonzalez opened the season in a timeshare with veteran shortstop Ronny Cedeno, but a hot-hitting April (.297/.388/.516) earned him enough starts (19) that it looked like he was separating himself from Cedeno as the clear-cut starter. When the calendar flipped to May, Gonzalez disappeared at the plate (.179/.188/.209) and was subsequently demoted to the minors when his struggles continued into June. Gonzalez was recalled later in the season, but he was relegated to a bench role with Jonathan Villar taking over as the Astros' starting shortstop. Should he return to that role, Gonzalez's fantasy upside is limited. That is, of course, assuming he makes the roster out of spring training, which is no guarantee.
In his first taste of big league action, the 23-year-old Gonzalez found his way into 80 games, filling in for an injured Jed Lowrie and spelling Jose Altuve at second. His numbers were far from overwhelming, but it looks like Gonzalez could be a decent role player across the infield, or in a pinch, fill in for longer stretches at short or second. With the burden of being a Rule 5 pick lifted, Gonzalez can start the year in Triple-A if need be. Even if he doesn't break camp with the team, he will likely wind up coming off the bench for the Astros at some point this season.
More Fantasy News
Belts first homer
SSMinnesota Twins
April 16, 2019
Gonzalez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in an 6-5 loss to the Blue Jays on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Monday's lineup
SSMinnesota Twins
April 15, 2019
Gonzalez is not starting Monday against Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench
SSMinnesota Twins
April 10, 2019
Gonzalez will not start Wednesday against the Mets.
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Hitting cleanup Sunday
SSMinnesota Twins
April 7, 2019
Gonzalez will start at third base and bat cleanup Sunday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Saturday
SSMinnesota Twins
April 6, 2019
Gonzalez is not in the lineup Saturday against the Phillies, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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