Jorge Alfaro
Jorge Alfaro
25-Year-Old CatcherC
Miami Marlins
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Alfaro couldn’t repeat the impressive offensive performance from his 29-game rookie season, but he still produced a solid .262/.324/.407 line with 10 homers in 377 plate appearances, totally acceptable for a catcher. Combined with strong framing numbers, the 25-year-old appears to be well on his way to being an average or better starting catcher. The underlying stats provide reason to be cautious in the near term. His strikeout rate of 36.6% ranked third-worst among all hitters who came to the plate at least 350 times, beating only Chris Davis and Mike Zunino, and his batting line was propped up by a clearly unsustainable .406 BABIP (the highest among the same group). Alfaro does hit the ball very hard, but no one can keep up a BABIP that high. According to Statcast’s xBA, he deserved to hit closer to .220. He has room to keep growing, but it may be a gradual process with only incremental improvement in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2018. Traded to the Marlins in February of 2019.
Headed to Miami
CMiami Marlins
February 7, 2019
Alfaro was traded from the Phillies to the Marlins on Thursday along with Sixto Sanchez, Will Stewart and international bonus slot money in exchange for J.T. Realmuto, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Alfaro will immediately take over behind the dish for Realmuto, and the Marlins are hoping the 25-year-old can be a mainstay at that spot for the organization for years to come. He graded out well as a pitch framer while hitting a solid .262/.324/.407 with 10 homers in 377 plate appearances in 2018, though it's worth noting that he benefitted from a .406 BABIP and struggled mightily with strikeouts (36.6 percent strikeout rate).
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+111%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .656 134 9 2 5 1 .236 .299 .358
Since 2016vs Right .782 374 38 13 46 2 .282 .337 .445
2018vs Left .726 94 8 2 4 1 .256 .319 .407
2018vs Right .732 283 27 8 33 2 .264 .325 .407
2017vs Left .500 37 1 0 1 0 .200 .243 .257
2017vs Right 1.054 77 11 5 13 0 .375 .416 .639
2016vs Left .333 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .333 .000
2016vs Right .286 14 0 0 0 0 .143 .143 .143
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+126%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .739 258 27 11 29 3 .252 .310 .429
Since 2016Away .759 250 20 4 22 0 .288 .344 .415
2018Home .708 187 20 8 20 3 .240 .305 .404
2018Away .753 190 15 2 17 0 .283 .342 .410
2017Home .922 61 7 3 9 0 .316 .361 .561
2017Away .818 53 5 2 5 0 .320 .358 .460
2016Home .200 10 0 0 0 0 .100 .100 .100
2016Away .452 7 0 0 0 0 .167 .286 .167
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Stat Review
How does Jorge Alfaro compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.13
 
BB Rate
4.8%
 
K Rate
36.6%
 
BABIP
.406
 
ISO
.145
 
AVG
.262
 
OBP
.324
 
SLG
.407
 
OPS
.731
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Marlins Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jorge Alfaro
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45 days ago
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146 days ago
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154 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
181 days ago
Jan Levine highlights Harrison Bader's boost in value and other quality contributors on the late-season NL wire.
Regan’s Rumblings: Trade Deadline Fallout
197 days ago
Dave Regan analyzes some of the more important trades that happened on July 31. Will going from the Al to the NL help former Rays starting pitcher Chris Archer?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
While he is reminiscent of Gary Sanchez in terms of prospect fatigue and raw power, the red flags in Alfaro's offensive profile are much more significant than anything attached to Sanchez in his final offseason on prospect lists. If Alfaro were not on the 40-man roster and out of minor-league options, he would be in line to repeat Triple-A this season. Those roster-management issues will force the Phillies to keep him in the majors in 2018, where his pitch recognition issues and lack of patience should lead to below-replacement-level production. Throw out his impressive numbers in the majors -- his .420 BABIP and 33:3 K:BB illustrate that he was operating at a completely unsustainable level. He still possesses plus-plus raw power, but his ceiling is likely what Mike Zunino did last year (.251/.331/.509 with 25 home runs in 124 games). Unfortunately, like with Zunino, there will be a few years where his average and OBP are unpalatable before he reaches that level, so rostering him in dynasty leagues during the lean years will require extreme patience.
The Phillies sent Alfaro back to Double-A Reading at the start of last season after he missed a significant amount of time in 2015 with an ankle injury. Alfaro was able to stay mostly healthy (outside of an oblique issue) and put together a solid season. Like many of the hitters playing for Reading, Alfaro's overall stat line was buoyed by his hitter-friendly home park. He hit .318 with nine home runs and an .855 OPS in 211 at-bats at home, but just .249 with six home runs and a .705 OPS in 193 at-bats on the road. He also struggled against lefties, hitting just .213 with one homer and a .585 OPS in 80 at-bats last season. The Phillies gave Alfaro a cup of coffee in September, but he doesn't appear to be part of their plans behind the plate in 2017. He needs more time in the minors to continue to refine his offensive game.
Acquired as part of the deal that sent Cole Hamels to the Rangers last season, Alfaro was limited to 194 at-bats due to an ankle injury that he suffered in June. He projects to have plus power with above average speed for a catcher, but there is a lot of risk associated with the profile. Last season, before getting hurt, Alfaro struck out 61 times in 49 games with just nine walks, illustrating his flawed approach. Despite having an elite arm behind the plate, Alfaro has some work to do as a receiver, which could keep him in the minors longer than anticipated. He made a late-season appearance with the Gulf Coast League Phillies and then picked up extra at-bats playing in the Venezuelan Winter League. Look for Alfaro to return to Double-A to start the year, with the chance to reach Triple-A by midseason if he gets off to a good start. The shine is not as bright as it once was with Alfaro, but he is still a top-10 prospect at his position.
The hype around the toolsy backstop has been building for a few seasons, yet he did not advance to Double-A Frisco until the final month of 2014. Coming off a 18-homer/18-steal 2013 season (primarily at Low-A Hickory), there seemed to be no limit to what Alfaro could eventually accomplish at the big league level. His power continued to show in games last season, and he belted 13 home runs with a .261/.318/.440 slash line in 437 plate appearances at High-A Myrtle Beach and he added another four big flies in 99 plate appearances after a late season promotion to Double-A. However, the speed that had some dreaming of a 30/20 season some day, was nowhere to be found last season. He had six steals in 11 attempts at High-A and did not attempt a steal with Frisco. Alfaro, who is still just 21 years old, should join the Rangers in 2016 and has the potential to hit .265 with 25 home runs and 10 steals in his prime, making him an elite prospect at a scarce position.
Alfaro enters 2014 as one of the best fantasy prospects in all of baseball behind the plate, though there are still plenty of areas where Alfaro needs to improve to realize his vast potential. He spent most of the year at Low-A Hickory, hitting .258/.338/.452 but drawing just 28 walks against 111 strikeouts. Alfaro did play better in a brief stint against advanced competition in the Arizona Fall League (.386/.438/.500 in 19 games), and he's expected to begin the year at High-A Myrtle Beach before a promotion mid-year to Double-A Frisco if his production warrants it. There's a 25-homer, 15-steal skill set at his peak if things go well, but 2014 will be a major test for him.
Alfaro's short-season debut went well when you consider he was playing against players three years his elder in some cases. His .300/.345/.481 line looks good on paper, but there are still some troubling plate discipline issues. He'll make his full-season debut in 2012.
More Fantasy News
Returns to lineup Saturday
CPhiladelphia Phillies
September 29, 2018
Alfaro (quad) is back in the lineup Saturday after missing five straight games against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Sits again with quad strain
CPhiladelphia Phillies
Quadriceps
September 28, 2018
Alfaro missed his fifth consecutive game Friday due to a right quad strain, but Phillies manager Gabe Kapler is confident that he will be able to catch one of the team's final two regular-season games this weekend, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits decisive home run
CPhiladelphia Phillies
September 18, 2018
Alfaro went 2-for-3 with a three-run home run and a stolen base in Tuesday's 5-2 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits in loss to Marlins
CPhiladelphia Phillies
September 5, 2018
Alfaro went 3-for-3 in Wednesday's 2-1 loss to the Marlins.
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Doubles, drives in run
CPhiladelphia Phillies
September 2, 2018
Alfaro went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Sunday's 8-1 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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