Jorge Alfaro
Jorge Alfaro
27-Year-Old CatcherC
Miami Marlins
10-Day IL
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 5/11/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Alfaro had settled in as a solid mid-tier catcher through the end of 2019, with his strong exit velocities generally offsetting his high whiff rates, leading to a .266/.320/.423 slash line, a perfectly adequate mark for a backstop. His 2020 campaign was a very disappointing one. Limited to just 31 games in part due to a battle with COVID-19, he struggled to a .226/.280/.344 line while hitting just three homers. Small-sample caveats apply, but his struggles appear to have been deserved rather than mere reflections of bad luck. His typically high K% jumped back up to an untenable 36.0%, and he seemingly forgot how to lift the ball, with his launch angle falling to just 2.8 degrees. Toss in some poor framing and you get a rather unimpressive year. Alfaro could certainly turn things around in his age-28 season, but a career .262 hitter who's topped out at 18 homers isn't a hot commodity even at catcher. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#254
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.05 million contract with the Marlins in January of 2020.
Continues making progress
CMiami Marlins
Hamstring
May 7, 2021
Alfaro (hamstring) has been catching bullpen sessions and is scheduled to run and hit live pitching over the weekend, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Alfaro has been out since April 20 with a strained left hamstring. It's not clear exactly when he's supposed to return, but he's trending in the right direction and shouldn't be out for too much longer, barring setbacks.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .762 159 19 7 27 2 .276 .308 .454
Since 2019vs Right .692 431 38 14 49 5 .249 .304 .388
2021vs Left .500 10 1 0 3 0 .200 .200 .300
2021vs Right .509 26 0 0 0 1 .240 .269 .240
2020vs Left .657 31 5 1 4 0 .267 .290 .367
2020vs Right .670 58 7 2 12 2 .226 .293 .377
2019vs Left .813 118 13 6 20 2 .286 .322 .491
2019vs Right .710 347 31 12 37 2 .254 .308 .401
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+172%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .729 291 30 9 36 3 .273 .320 .410
Since 2019Away .679 310 27 12 40 4 .236 .287 .392
2021Home .604 27 1 0 3 1 .269 .296 .308
2021Away .222 9 0 0 0 0 .111 .111 .111
2020Home .582 39 4 2 9 0 .189 .231 .351
2020Away .651 61 8 1 7 2 .250 .311 .339
2019Home .770 225 25 7 24 2 .288 .338 .433
2019Away .705 240 19 11 33 2 .238 .288 .417
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jorge Alfaro compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.08
 
BB Rate
2.8%
 
K Rate
33.3%
 
BABIP
.348
 
ISO
.029
 
AVG
.229
 
OBP
.250
 
SLG
.257
 
OPS
.507
 
wOBA
.228
 
Exit Velocity
85.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.5%
 
Barrels/PA
11.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jorge Alfaro
Collette Calls: Hiurastics
2 days ago
Jason Collette looks at the shortcomings of Keston Hiura and whether fantasy managers should have given them more credence entering the season.
Week 5 FAAB Results
Week 5 FAAB Results
12 days ago
12 days ago
Sometimes the player you drop is the toughest decision of the FAAB process. Jeff Erickson made the tough decision to release Sixto Sanchez this week.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
13 days ago
With many positional battles across the league, Jan Levine figures Nico Hoerner could win the Cubs' job at second.
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
28 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
Tuesday Night Observations
31 days ago
Sandy Alcantara once again looked the part of an ace Tuesday night for the Marlins.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
Alfaro didn't appear to be hurt by the tougher home park in his first season in Miami, posting the same .262 batting average and 95 wRC+ that he recorded the season prior. His growth in his second full season showed up in his home run total, which increased from 10 to 18, and in his strikeout rate, which fell from 36.6% to a still-high 33.1%. It's fair to wonder if he can keep recording respectable batting averages while striking out that much, especially given that it took a .364 BABIP to get him there last season. He's always been a high-BABIP player due to his hard contact, though, with a .385 mark for his career. Statcast does suggest he overachieved a bit, but not as much as one might think, giving him an xBA of .246. Alfaro isn't an elite catcher, but he'll have no competition for starts next year and easily clears low offensive bar at the position, making him a fine fantasy option.
Alfaro couldn’t repeat the impressive offensive performance from his 29-game rookie season, but he still produced a solid .262/.324/.407 line with 10 homers in 377 plate appearances, totally acceptable for a catcher. Combined with strong framing numbers, the 25-year-old appears to be well on his way to being an average or better starting catcher. The underlying stats provide reason to be cautious in the near term. His strikeout rate of 36.6% ranked third-worst among all hitters who came to the plate at least 350 times, beating only Chris Davis and Mike Zunino, and his batting line was propped up by a clearly unsustainable .406 BABIP (the highest among the same group). Alfaro does hit the ball very hard, but no one can keep up a BABIP that high. According to Statcast’s xBA, he deserved to hit closer to .220. He has room to keep growing, but it may be a gradual process with only incremental improvement in 2019.
While he is reminiscent of Gary Sanchez in terms of prospect fatigue and raw power, the red flags in Alfaro's offensive profile are much more significant than anything attached to Sanchez in his final offseason on prospect lists. If Alfaro were not on the 40-man roster and out of minor-league options, he would be in line to repeat Triple-A this season. Those roster-management issues will force the Phillies to keep him in the majors in 2018, where his pitch recognition issues and lack of patience should lead to below-replacement-level production. Throw out his impressive numbers in the majors -- his .420 BABIP and 33:3 K:BB illustrate that he was operating at a completely unsustainable level. He still possesses plus-plus raw power, but his ceiling is likely what Mike Zunino did last year (.251/.331/.509 with 25 home runs in 124 games). Unfortunately, like with Zunino, there will be a few years where his average and OBP are unpalatable before he reaches that level, so rostering him in dynasty leagues during the lean years will require extreme patience.
The Phillies sent Alfaro back to Double-A Reading at the start of last season after he missed a significant amount of time in 2015 with an ankle injury. Alfaro was able to stay mostly healthy (outside of an oblique issue) and put together a solid season. Like many of the hitters playing for Reading, Alfaro's overall stat line was buoyed by his hitter-friendly home park. He hit .318 with nine home runs and an .855 OPS in 211 at-bats at home, but just .249 with six home runs and a .705 OPS in 193 at-bats on the road. He also struggled against lefties, hitting just .213 with one homer and a .585 OPS in 80 at-bats last season. The Phillies gave Alfaro a cup of coffee in September, but he doesn't appear to be part of their plans behind the plate in 2017. He needs more time in the minors to continue to refine his offensive game.
Acquired as part of the deal that sent Cole Hamels to the Rangers last season, Alfaro was limited to 194 at-bats due to an ankle injury that he suffered in June. He projects to have plus power with above average speed for a catcher, but there is a lot of risk associated with the profile. Last season, before getting hurt, Alfaro struck out 61 times in 49 games with just nine walks, illustrating his flawed approach. Despite having an elite arm behind the plate, Alfaro has some work to do as a receiver, which could keep him in the minors longer than anticipated. He made a late-season appearance with the Gulf Coast League Phillies and then picked up extra at-bats playing in the Venezuelan Winter League. Look for Alfaro to return to Double-A to start the year, with the chance to reach Triple-A by midseason if he gets off to a good start. The shine is not as bright as it once was with Alfaro, but he is still a top-10 prospect at his position.
The hype around the toolsy backstop has been building for a few seasons, yet he did not advance to Double-A Frisco until the final month of 2014. Coming off a 18-homer/18-steal 2013 season (primarily at Low-A Hickory), there seemed to be no limit to what Alfaro could eventually accomplish at the big league level. His power continued to show in games last season, and he belted 13 home runs with a .261/.318/.440 slash line in 437 plate appearances at High-A Myrtle Beach and he added another four big flies in 99 plate appearances after a late season promotion to Double-A. However, the speed that had some dreaming of a 30/20 season some day, was nowhere to be found last season. He had six steals in 11 attempts at High-A and did not attempt a steal with Frisco. Alfaro, who is still just 21 years old, should join the Rangers in 2016 and has the potential to hit .265 with 25 home runs and 10 steals in his prime, making him an elite prospect at a scarce position.
Alfaro enters 2014 as one of the best fantasy prospects in all of baseball behind the plate, though there are still plenty of areas where Alfaro needs to improve to realize his vast potential. He spent most of the year at Low-A Hickory, hitting .258/.338/.452 but drawing just 28 walks against 111 strikeouts. Alfaro did play better in a brief stint against advanced competition in the Arizona Fall League (.386/.438/.500 in 19 games), and he's expected to begin the year at High-A Myrtle Beach before a promotion mid-year to Double-A Frisco if his production warrants it. There's a 25-homer, 15-steal skill set at his peak if things go well, but 2014 will be a major test for him.
Alfaro's short-season debut went well when you consider he was playing against players three years his elder in some cases. His .300/.345/.481 line looks good on paper, but there are still some troubling plate discipline issues. He'll make his full-season debut in 2012.
More Fantasy News
Performs defensive work
CMiami Marlins
Hamstring
May 4, 2021
Alfaro (hamstring) has been cleared to take part in agility work and catching drills this week, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Placed on 10-day IL
CMiami Marlins
Hamstring
April 21, 2021
Alfaro was placed on the 10-day injured list Wednesday due to a left hamstring strain.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Exits Tuesday's game
CMiami Marlins
Hamstring
April 20, 2021
Alfaro was removed from Tuesday's game against the Orioles with a left hamstring issue, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Resting in series finale
CMiami Marlins
April 18, 2021
Alfaro is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Giants, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Hits walkoff double
CMiami Marlins
April 17, 2021
Alfaro went 2-for-6 with a double and three RBI in Saturday's 7-6 win over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.