Max Fried
Max Fried
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Fried put together a decent run with the Braves last year, but it was a small sample, and he worked primarily out of the bullpen with the big club (five starts in 14 total appearances). His larger body of work as a starter at Triple-A left something to be desired; Fried finished with a 4.61 ERA in his 13 starts for Gwinnett, though the underlying numbers were more encouraging (24.4 K%, 3.56 FIP). Even with those better peripherals, Fried was still seen as a long shot to break camp in the big-league rotation, but he did just that, beating out the likes of Touki Toussaint and Kyle Wright in spring training. The curveball is his best pitch, but Fried has also gained some steam on his fastball, now averaging 94 mph. A Tommy John survivor, Fried has maxed out at 118.2 innings and the team has made it clear that it will take measures to limit Fried's innings later in the season. How exactly the Braves go about doing that remains to be seen. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Padres in June of 2012.
Strikes out eight
PAtlanta Braves
August 18, 2019
Fried gave up three runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out eight through five innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Fried gave up a three-run homer in the first inning but settled down to deliver four scoreless innings to keep the Braves in the game. Fried generated 14 swinging strikes, including seven on his four-seam fastball. The 25-year-old has a 3.84 ERA and 134 strikeouts through 24 starts this season. Fried will make his next start Saturday against the Mets at Citi Field.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .234 209 63 18 43 10 0 4
Since 2017vs Right .283 618 137 55 156 26 2 18
2019vs Left .230 134 36 8 28 7 0 2
2019vs Right .293 430 98 33 115 21 0 14
2018vs Left .226 39 16 6 7 1 0 2
2018vs Right .224 103 28 14 19 2 1 1
2017vs Left .258 36 11 4 8 2 0 0
2017vs Right .297 85 11 8 22 3 1 3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-27%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.55 1.34 91.1 6 4 0 8.8 2.8 1.0
Since 2017Away 3.79 1.51 99.2 10 5 0 10.0 4.1 1.1
2019Home 3.67 1.31 68.2 6 3 0 8.7 2.1 1.0
2019Away 4.02 1.50 62.2 8 1 0 9.8 3.6 1.1
2018Home 2.40 1.27 15.0 0 1 0 10.2 5.4 0.6
2018Away 3.38 1.45 18.2 1 3 0 13.0 5.3 1.0
2017Home 4.70 1.70 7.2 0 0 0 7.0 3.5 1.2
2017Away 3.44 1.58 18.1 1 1 0 7.9 4.4 1.0
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Stat Review
How does Max Fried compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.27
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
3.84
 
WHIP
1.40
 
BABIP
.350
 
GB/FB
2.71
 
Left On Base
76.1%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.4%
 
Spin Rate
2304 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
40.4%
 
Swinging Strike
11.0%
 
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Defensive Stats
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14 days ago
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21 days ago
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23 days ago
Christopher Olson looks over Thursday's six-game DraftKings slate, providing his best recommendations for a winning lineup.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Fried debuted in the big-league rotation in September, but if he could have been developed on a perfect timetable, he may not have made his big-league debut until late 2018. Unfortunately, he missed significant developmental time in 2014 and 2015 recovering from Tommy John surgery, and needed to be added to the 40-man roster after 2016 -- when he spent the entire season at Low-A. This, coupled with the insane pitching depth in the Braves' system, accelerated his timetable, leading to an assignment to Double-A in 2017, skipping High-A altogether, and a brief two-start run at Triple-A before reaching the majors. Suffice to say, he is not quite ready to consistently get big-league hitters out. On the bright side, the 6-foot-4 southpaw has a two plus pitches in his fastball and curveball, and he figures to start the year at Triple-A, thanks to some veteran additions to the rotation. He still has No. 3 starter upside, but needs to improve his changeup and his command.
For the past two years, Fried has been more myth than substance, undoubtedly testing the patience of his dynasty league owners. He missed most of 2014 and all of 2015 due to Tommy John surgery. At 22, he was a couple years older than most of the high-end talent at Low-A, but that was his assignment, as he was closer to 19 or 20 in baseball years. Fried's repertoire, which features a low-to-mid-90s fastball, plus curveball and average changeup that flashes plus, proved too much for Low-A hitters to handle, leading to a 26.4 percent strikeout rate. As with most pitchers in their first year back from elbow surgery, Fried's command and feel took a while to return to form, but judging from his second half, he was back to resembling a future No. 3 starter by year's end. The 6-foot-4 southpaw notched a 3.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 52:11 K:BB in his final 38.2 innings.
Fried did not pitch in 2015 following Tommy John surgery in August of 2014. Drafted seventh overall out of high school in 2012, he was the centerpiece in the deal that sent Justin Upton to San Diego last winter. Before suffering the UCL injury, Fried mostly struggled between rookie ball and Low-A, but the results so far hardly matter as he was just 20 years old when he threw his last in-game pitch. Standing 6-foot-4 and 170 pounds, Fried features three pitches which project as average or better in time, with his low-to-mid 90s fastball and biting curveball both having the potential to be plus offerings, and he has shown a strong feel for a changeup as well. His command and control are still works in progress, and may be the last things that return to him following reconstructive elbow surgery (as is typical). The rebuilding Braves will be sure to monitor Fried's pitch counts and workload throughout the year, but if Fried can avoid any further elbow issues and even flash his potential in 2016, his prospect star will be back on the rise.
Fried experienced elbow soreness in February, and while it appeared as though he would be ready to contribute at High-A at some point during the season following rest and rehab, he tossed just 10.2 innings in 2014 before he was shut down in late July with the nagging injury. He underwent Tommy John surgery in August, which will likely table his development for the bulk of 2015, although it's possible that he will be far enough along in his rehab to log time in the Arizona Fall League or in winter ball. When the Padres drafted him ninth overall in 2012, Fried drew comps to Cole Hamels and Clayton Kershaw, boasting a low-90s fastball, a cutter, and an excellent curveball as a teenager. Traded to the Braves as part of the Justin Upton deal in December, Fried will continue his rehab with a new organization this season. The ceiling is high enough to consider stashing him away in dynasty leagues, even though it's now unlikely that he'll pitch in the big leagues before 2017.
Fried, the Padres' 2012 first-round pick, exhibited some control issues in his first full professional season at Low-A Fort Wayne, posting a 4.3 BB/9 over 23 starts (118.2 innings). Drafted out of high school, Fried is polished for his age and he offers an outstanding arsenal -- featuring an elite curveball and developing changeup as secondary offerings that he utilizes effectively off of his four-seam and two-seam fastballs. He's also a very projectable left-hander with a 6-foot-4 frame. The left-hander posted a shiny 2.09 GO/AO mark in his full-season debut, which offsets his 7.6 K/9, although he's expected to miss more bats as he continues to refine his stuff.
The seventh overall pick of the 2012 draft, Fried pitched only 17.2 innings in the Arizona Rookie League, before calling it a year. Scouts are most impressed by the lefty's command and his curveball. In 2013, expect Fried to be among the most heavily followed prospects in the Padres' system as he has the physical build and potential of an elite starting pitcher. Considering the possibility for a limited workload in his first full professional season, Fried may be held back at extended spring training before getting his first exposure to the Midwest League.
More Fantasy News
Extends winning streak to five
PAtlanta Braves
August 13, 2019
Fried (14-4) picked up the win in Tuesday's 5-3 victory over the Mets, allowing one run on six hits and three walks over six innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Captures 13th victory
PAtlanta Braves
August 7, 2019
Fried (13-4) struck out 10 while allowing three runs on six hits and a walk across 5.1 innings while earning a victory against the Twins on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Misses out on two step
PAtlanta Braves
August 5, 2019
Fried, who was listed as the Braves' probable starter for Tuesday's game against the Twins, will be pushed back in the pitching schedule with Mike Foltynewicz now on track to get the starting nod Tuesday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Posts quality start for 12th win
PAtlanta Braves
August 1, 2019
Fried (12-4) allowed just one run on four hits while striking out four over six innings to earn the win over the Reds on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up four earned runs in win
PAtlanta Braves
July 27, 2019
Fried (11-4) received the win Saturday at Philadelphia after allowing five runs (four earned) on seven hits across 5.1 innings. He struck out six and walked three.
ANALYSIS
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