Max Fried

Max Fried

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Fried slid seamlessly into the ace role for Atlanta after Mike Soroka went down with an Achilles tear in early August. The lefty was a perfect 7-0 during the regular season, allowing a mere two homers in 56 innings (4.9% HR/FB). He does not throw his fastball particularly hard or with much spin, but it's effective nonetheless and does its job setting up one of the best curveballs in the game. Fried's curveball had a 31.2 Whiff% in 2020, with opponents combining to hit just .175 against the pitch. While his third pitch is another variation of the breaker -- a slider -- it's good enough and distinct enough that it gives him a third unique look, compensating for the lack of a fully developed changeup. His O-Swing% and SwStr% portend a better strikeout rate than his 22.3% mark from last season and the team context is favorable, so expect the 27-year-old to be a popular SP2 target during draft season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#72
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.5 million contract with the Braves in January of 2021.
Burned by homers
PAtlanta Braves
October 21, 2021
Fried (0-1) allowed five earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three across 4.2 innings to take the loss in Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
Fried was handed a 2-0 lead prior to taking the mound, but he allowed two home runs in the second inning to quickly surrender the support. He had pitched well in his two prior starts this postseason, combining to allow only two earned runs across 12 innings entering Thursday's outing. Fried almost certainly won't be available for the rest of the NLCS, so he'll hope to have the chance to bounce back with starts in the World Series.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Max Fried generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Max Fried generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .234 376 97 25 79 21 2 9
Since 2019vs Right .247 1217 284 82 276 56 1 29
2021vs Left .240 170 45 12 37 7 2 5
2021vs Right .223 497 113 29 102 21 0 10
2020vs Left .220 48 7 3 9 7 0 0
2020vs Right .209 176 43 16 33 9 1 2
2019vs Left .231 158 45 10 33 7 0 4
2019vs Right .281 544 128 37 141 26 0 17
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-37%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.03 1.12 199.1 20 6 0 8.5 2.2 0.7
Since 2019Away 3.69 1.27 188.0 18 7 0 9.2 2.8 1.1
2021Home 2.94 1.09 82.2 7 3 0 8.3 2.5 0.5
2021Away 3.14 1.08 83.0 7 4 0 8.9 2.0 1.1
2020Home 2.73 1.11 29.2 4 0 0 7.3 2.7 0.6
2020Away 1.71 1.06 26.1 3 0 0 8.9 3.4 0.0
2019Home 3.21 1.16 87.0 9 3 0 9.1 1.8 0.8
2019Away 4.92 1.53 78.2 8 3 0 9.7 3.4 1.5
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Stat Review
How does Max Fried compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.85
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
3.04
 
WHIP
1.09
 
BABIP
.286
 
GB/FB
2.02
 
Left On Base
74.8%
 
Exit Velocity
79.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.6%
 
Spin Rate
2272 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.6%
 
Swinging Strike
11.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Max Fried
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Yesterday
Juan Carlos Blanco offers up his best bets for Game 2 of the World Series with the Astros looking to avoid going down 0-2 to the Braves.
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Yesterday
Chris Morgan checks out the slate for Game 2 of the World Series as Eddie Rosario looks to continue his postseason tear and send Atlanta home with a commanding 2-0 lead.
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Mike Barner looks over Wednesday’s Game 2 World Series offering, providing some recommendations to help you build a winning lineup.
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2 days ago
Jeff Zimmerman offers a simple rule of thumb for determining pitchers who have lost some talent versus those who have simply been unlucky.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
A strong spring coupled with injuries to Atlanta's rotation allowed Fried to break camp as the team's fifth starter and the lefty never looked back. He wound up making 30 starts and three relief appearances, finishing with 17 wins -- good for second most in the NL -- and 173 strikeouts across a career-high 165.2 innings. Much of Fried's success can be attributed to his improved control (2.6 BB/9) and updated repertoire; he ditched his changeup in favor of a slider that held opponents to a .240 wOBA, which he paired with his solid fastball and a curve which is one of the best in baseball. While his 4.02 ERA was unremarkable, the underlying numbers suggest Fried deserved better (3.72 FIP, 3.42 xFIP), as his batted-ball profile (53.6 GB% and 4.4 Barrel%) did not support his high home-run rate (1.1 HR/9). His team context is favorable and his rotation spot is safe; you're justified in getting aggressive.
Fried put together a decent run with the Braves last year, but it was a small sample, and he worked primarily out of the bullpen with the big club (five starts in 14 total appearances). His larger body of work as a starter at Triple-A left something to be desired; Fried finished with a 4.61 ERA in his 13 starts for Gwinnett, though the underlying numbers were more encouraging (24.4 K%, 3.56 FIP). Even with those better peripherals, Fried was still seen as a long shot to break camp in the big-league rotation, but he did just that, beating out the likes of Touki Toussaint and Kyle Wright in spring training. The curveball is his best pitch, but Fried has also gained some steam on his fastball, now averaging 94 mph. A Tommy John survivor, Fried has maxed out at 118.2 innings and the team has made it clear that it will take measures to limit Fried's innings later in the season. How exactly the Braves go about doing that remains to be seen.
Fried debuted in the big-league rotation in September, but if he could have been developed on a perfect timetable, he may not have made his big-league debut until late 2018. Unfortunately, he missed significant developmental time in 2014 and 2015 recovering from Tommy John surgery, and needed to be added to the 40-man roster after 2016 -- when he spent the entire season at Low-A. This, coupled with the insane pitching depth in the Braves' system, accelerated his timetable, leading to an assignment to Double-A in 2017, skipping High-A altogether, and a brief two-start run at Triple-A before reaching the majors. Suffice to say, he is not quite ready to consistently get big-league hitters out. On the bright side, the 6-foot-4 southpaw has a two plus pitches in his fastball and curveball, and he figures to start the year at Triple-A, thanks to some veteran additions to the rotation. He still has No. 3 starter upside, but needs to improve his changeup and his command.
For the past two years, Fried has been more myth than substance, undoubtedly testing the patience of his dynasty league owners. He missed most of 2014 and all of 2015 due to Tommy John surgery. At 22, he was a couple years older than most of the high-end talent at Low-A, but that was his assignment, as he was closer to 19 or 20 in baseball years. Fried's repertoire, which features a low-to-mid-90s fastball, plus curveball and average changeup that flashes plus, proved too much for Low-A hitters to handle, leading to a 26.4 percent strikeout rate. As with most pitchers in their first year back from elbow surgery, Fried's command and feel took a while to return to form, but judging from his second half, he was back to resembling a future No. 3 starter by year's end. The 6-foot-4 southpaw notched a 3.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 52:11 K:BB in his final 38.2 innings.
Fried did not pitch in 2015 following Tommy John surgery in August of 2014. Drafted seventh overall out of high school in 2012, he was the centerpiece in the deal that sent Justin Upton to San Diego last winter. Before suffering the UCL injury, Fried mostly struggled between rookie ball and Low-A, but the results so far hardly matter as he was just 20 years old when he threw his last in-game pitch. Standing 6-foot-4 and 170 pounds, Fried features three pitches which project as average or better in time, with his low-to-mid 90s fastball and biting curveball both having the potential to be plus offerings, and he has shown a strong feel for a changeup as well. His command and control are still works in progress, and may be the last things that return to him following reconstructive elbow surgery (as is typical). The rebuilding Braves will be sure to monitor Fried's pitch counts and workload throughout the year, but if Fried can avoid any further elbow issues and even flash his potential in 2016, his prospect star will be back on the rise.
Fried experienced elbow soreness in February, and while it appeared as though he would be ready to contribute at High-A at some point during the season following rest and rehab, he tossed just 10.2 innings in 2014 before he was shut down in late July with the nagging injury. He underwent Tommy John surgery in August, which will likely table his development for the bulk of 2015, although it's possible that he will be far enough along in his rehab to log time in the Arizona Fall League or in winter ball. When the Padres drafted him ninth overall in 2012, Fried drew comps to Cole Hamels and Clayton Kershaw, boasting a low-90s fastball, a cutter, and an excellent curveball as a teenager. Traded to the Braves as part of the Justin Upton deal in December, Fried will continue his rehab with a new organization this season. The ceiling is high enough to consider stashing him away in dynasty leagues, even though it's now unlikely that he'll pitch in the big leagues before 2017.
Fried, the Padres' 2012 first-round pick, exhibited some control issues in his first full professional season at Low-A Fort Wayne, posting a 4.3 BB/9 over 23 starts (118.2 innings). Drafted out of high school, Fried is polished for his age and he offers an outstanding arsenal -- featuring an elite curveball and developing changeup as secondary offerings that he utilizes effectively off of his four-seam and two-seam fastballs. He's also a very projectable left-hander with a 6-foot-4 frame. The left-hander posted a shiny 2.09 GO/AO mark in his full-season debut, which offsets his 7.6 K/9, although he's expected to miss more bats as he continues to refine his stuff.
The seventh overall pick of the 2012 draft, Fried pitched only 17.2 innings in the Arizona Rookie League, before calling it a year. Scouts are most impressed by the lefty's command and his curveball. In 2013, expect Fried to be among the most heavily followed prospects in the Padres' system as he has the physical build and potential of an elite starting pitcher. Considering the possibility for a limited workload in his first full professional season, Fried may be held back at extended spring training before getting his first exposure to the Midwest League.
More Fantasy News
Gives up two in six frames
PAtlanta Braves
October 16, 2021
Fried allowed two runs on eight hits in six innings of work in Saturday's ALCS Game 1 win over the Dodgers. He did not factor into the decision.
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Confirmed as Game 1 starter
PAtlanta Braves
October 15, 2021
Fried will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Saturday, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Electric in Game 2 start
PAtlanta Braves
October 9, 2021
Fried (1-0) tossed six scoreless innings, allowing three hits while striking out nine in a win over the Brewers in Game 2 of the NLDS on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Wins third straight
PAtlanta Braves
September 29, 2021
Fried (14-7) went seven innings and picked up the win Wednesday against the Phillies, allowing two runs (one earned) on four hits while striking out six.
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Spins shutout
PAtlanta Braves
September 24, 2021
Fried (13-7) got the win in Friday's 4-0 victory over San Diego, surrendering just three hits with four strikeouts and zero walks over nine scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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