Jose Berrios
Jose Berrios
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Berrios became an All-Star in his second full season and enters 2019 as Minnesota's unquestioned ace. He boosted his K/9 from 8.6 to 9.5 while maintaining roughly league-average walk (2.8 BB/9) and groundball rates (41.5%). Unfortunately his strikeout gains were offset by a spike in HR/FB rate (9.1% to 12.8%), so his WHIP (1.14) moved into a top-20 range, while his ERA (3.84) ranked 32nd among qualified starters. In addition to limiting baserunners and missing bats, Berrios stood out for his durability, ranking 18th in MLB with 192.1 innings while logging seven-plus innings in 13 starts. He did appear to run out of gas late in the season with a 4.56 ERA and 4.7 BB/9 over the last two months, but still had a 10.1 K/9 over that stretch. Berrios has also had a troubling home-away split in his career, with a 4.85 road ERA last season. With good health, the 24-year-old righty should repeat his 2018 and with good luck and/or skills growth, he could surpass it. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $620,000 contract with the Twins in March of 2019.
Another rough outing
PMinnesota Twins
August 24, 2019
Berrios (10-7) took the loss Friday, giving up five runs on 10 hits and two walks over 5.1 innings while striking out five as the Twins dropped a 9-6 decision to the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
A sixth-inning grand slam by the unheralded Ronny Rodriguez accounted for most of the damage off Berrios. The right-hander has been fading badly in August, posting an 8.44 ERA, 1.97 WHIP, 22:10 K:BB and 2.5 HR/9 through four starts and 21.1 innings, and that doesn't factor in four unearned runs. He'll try to turn things around in his next outing Thursday, on the road against the White Sox.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .241 1048 243 95 224 48 3 33
Since 2017vs Right .231 1052 253 54 224 38 2 29
2019vs Left .258 346 75 19 82 17 1 11
2019vs Right .241 341 80 21 76 10 1 11
2018vs Left .213 415 110 42 78 19 1 13
2018vs Right .231 382 92 19 81 12 0 12
2017vs Left .260 287 58 34 64 12 1 9
2017vs Right .222 329 81 14 67 16 1 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-53%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.04 1.07 251.1 23 9 0 9.3 2.1 0.6
Since 2017Away 4.47 1.32 249.2 13 17 0 8.5 3.2 1.6
2019Home 3.62 1.30 77.0 5 4 0 8.5 2.0 1.1
2019Away 3.45 1.14 86.0 5 3 0 8.6 2.4 1.4
2018Home 3.03 0.97 107.0 9 4 0 9.9 2.2 0.5
2018Away 4.85 1.36 85.1 3 7 0 8.9 3.7 2.0
2017Home 2.41 0.95 67.1 9 1 0 9.2 2.1 0.4
2017Away 5.17 1.47 78.1 5 7 0 8.0 3.7 1.4
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Stat Review
How does Jose Berrios compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.88
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
92.6 mph
 
ERA
3.53
 
WHIP
1.21
 
BABIP
.309
 
GB/FB
1.20
 
Left On Base
73.0%
 
Exit Velocity
87.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.8%
 
Spin Rate
2143 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
33.0%
 
Swinging Strike
10.7%
 
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8 days ago
Chris Bennett notes that after watching the Dodgers launch bombs Friday in Suntrust Park, it's hard not to expect more fireworks against Braves pitcher Mike Foltynewicz.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Those who held firm in the belief that Berrios was the pitcher we saw in the minors and not the pitcher we saw in the majors in 2016 were handsomely rewarded last season. Berrios struggled so mightily in his big-league debut (8.02 ERA, 5.4 BB/9) it put into question his minor-league success, high pedigree (No. 32 overall pick in 2012) and prominent placement on prospect rankings from 2014 to 2016. He put those concerns to rest once called up to the majors in May by vastly reducing his walks (3.0 BB/9) while maintaining a solid strikeout rate (8.6 K/9) thanks largely to a 94 mph sinker with excellent late movement. He also heavily utilizes his four-seam fastball and hard 82 mph curveball, while occasionally mixing in a changeup, which is clearly his worst pitch. He'll need to improve his performance on the road (5.17 ERA and 12 homers allowed in 15 away starts), but otherwise looks set to take the mantle as Minnesota's ace at age 23.
Berrios entered last year as Minnesota's top pitching prospect, but his first tour of the majors went so poorly it raised questions about his viability to make an impact with the Twins. Berrios began the season at Triple-A and was spectacular at Rochester with a 2.51 ERA and 10.1 K/9 along with the good control he displayed in minors (2.9 BB/9). It was a different story in the majors, as he was hit hard across three stints. Berrios had an 8.02 ERA, gave up 12 home runs in 14 starts and was uncharacteristically wild with a 5.4 BB/9. Successful major league pitchers frequently struggle in their first trip to the majors, but few performed as poorly as Berrios. He did have a respectable 7.5 K/9 and 93.3 mph average fastball in the majors and earned a win with a decent final start (one earned run in five innings). He'll likely need to regroup at Triple-A at the start of the season before he gets another chance in the majors.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, is Minnesota's top pitching prospect and could win a spot in the starting rotation this spring. He began last season at Double-A Chattanooga and was dominant with a 3.08 ERA and 9.2 K/9. He then was even better after being promoted to Triple-A with a 2.62 ERA and 9.9 K/9. Minnesota decided not to call him up in September over concerns about his workload. People once questioned his upside given his smaller frame (6-feet, 187 pounds), but he's put most of those issues to rest after dominating at the higher levels of the minors. It's possible the Twins could keep Berrios at Triple-A for a couple weeks to gain an extra year of control, but he has proven all he can in the minors, and should be a mainstay in the Twins' rotation at some point in the early going.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, jumped three levels in 2014 and has staked his claim to be considered Minnesota's top pitching prospect. He began the season at High-A, but was promoted to Double-A in July after going 9-3 with a 1.96 ERA and 109:23 K:BB ratio in 96.1 innings. His numbers were not as impressive at Double-A as he had a 3.54 ERA and just a 6.2 K/9, but he held his own as a younger player age 20 at the level. Berrios then made one appearance in September at Triple-A. He has a mid-90s fastball and showed strong strikeout rates before Double-A (10.2 K/9 at High-A) with good control. While some analysts question his upside given his smaller frame (6-feet, 187 pounds), he's also seen as athletic with strong secondary pitches. Berrios will likely begin the season at Double-A, but a strong first few months could push him to the majors by the end of the summer.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, was impressive in his first full season as a professional. He had a 3.99 ERA, 8.7 K/9 and 100:40 K:BB ratio with Low-A Cedar Rapids at just 19 years old. He did give up 10 runs in 10 innings in his final two starts, after missing time with a right elbow contusion, but he's expected to be fully healthy by spring training. The high school draft pick out of Puerto Rico is not huge at 6-0, 190, but he's able to hit the mid-90s with his fastball and is seen as athletic. A strong season at High-A could put him in position to join the Minnesota rotation in 2015.
Berrios, the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 draft, had an impressive professional debut as he had a 1.17 ERA and 49:4 K:BB in 30.2 innings between two levels of rookie ball. The high school draft pick out of Puerto Rico is not huge at six-feet and 190 pounds, but he is able to hit the mid-90s with his fastball and is seen as athletic. He could quickly rise to among Minnesota's top pitching prospects with a strong showing in his first full season.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out seven in no-decision
PMinnesota Twins
August 17, 2019
Berrios allowed seven runs (three earned) off seven hits and three walks while recording six strikeouts over 4.1 innings in Saturday's win over the Rangers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Yields three runs in no-decision
PMinnesota Twins
August 11, 2019
Berrios allowed three runs on six hits and a walk over six innings Sunday, striking out four in the loss to Cleveland. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Torched by Atlanta
PMinnesota Twins
August 7, 2019
Berrios (10-6) took the loss Tuesday as the Twins fell 12-7 to Atlanta, surrendering nine runs on nine hits and four walks over 5.2 innings while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out 11 in win
PMinnesota Twins
July 31, 2019
Berrios (10-5) struck out 11 and allowed two hits through seven scoreless innings to take the win over the Marlins on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in win
PMinnesota Twins
July 25, 2019
Berrios (9-5) earned the win Thursday after holding the White Sox to three runs (two earned) on six hits and a walk while striking out eight over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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