Nick Williams
Nick Williams
25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
On the surface, Williams appeared to take a step back in his sophomore campaign, with his slash line dropping across the board from .288/.338/.344 to .256/.324/.425. Most of that drop can be chalked up to a regression to the mean by his BABIP, however, which fell from .375 to .312. The 25-year-old made important improvements to his shaky plate discipline which were hidden by that BABIP drop, cutting his strikeout rate from 28.3% to 24.8% while raising his walk rate from 5.8% to a respectable 7.1%. Even the improved version of Williams is hardly a league winner, especially as he’s stolen a total of just four bases thus far in his big-league career, but he’s a capable four-category contributor with the chance to take another step forward in his third season. Williams took on a full-time starting role as the season progressed, though there’s some risk his role could be reduced depending on Philadelphia’s offseason acquisitions. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2018.
Decent start to camp
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
March 16, 2019
Williams is hitting .297 with a homer and three doubles in 12 Grapefruit League games.
ANALYSIS
It's been a fairly good performance, though Williams' role this season is set to decrease regardless of what he does this spring with Andrew McCutchen and Bryce Harper unlikely to cede many at-bats in the outfield corners. Odubel Herrera's grip on the center-field job appears to be less firm, but none of Williams, Harper or McCutchen fits well there, so any at-bats lost by Herrera are unlikely to go to Williams.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .682 184 18 4 26 1 .253 .321 .361
Since 2016vs Right .804 607 80 25 79 3 .274 .333 .471
2018vs Left .625 91 9 2 7 1 .232 .308 .317
2018vs Right .780 357 44 15 43 2 .262 .328 .452
2017vs Left .738 93 9 2 19 0 .274 .333 .405
2017vs Right .838 250 36 10 36 1 .293 .340 .498
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+18%
OPS on Road
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .760 395 53 15 46 3 .261 .329 .431
Since 2016Away .791 396 45 14 59 1 .278 .331 .460
2018Home .773 212 30 9 24 3 .260 .330 .443
2018Away .727 236 23 8 26 0 .251 .318 .409
2017Home .746 183 23 6 22 0 .261 .328 .418
2017Away .884 160 22 6 33 1 .318 .350 .534
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Nick Williams compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.29
 
BB Rate
7.1%
 
K Rate
24.8%
 
BABIP
.312
 
ISO
.170
 
AVG
.256
 
OBP
.324
 
SLG
.425
 
OPS
.749
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Phillies Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Williams
Collette Calls: Players Out of Options
4 days ago
Jason Collette looks at the top players out of options and the tough decisions awaiting their teams as the final round of roster cuts approaches.
Spring Training Job Battles: Past the Halfway Point
5 days ago
Erik Halterman provides a mid-March update on all the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball.
Spring Training Job Battles: The Games Begin
21 days ago
Erik Halterman details all the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball at the outset of spring training.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
176 days ago
Jan Levine's final FAAB article of the season spotlights a trio of Mets -- including an emerging Amed Rosario -- who could help in the final fantasy week.
MLB Barometer: Breaking the Bubble
199 days ago
Derek VanRiper looks over the league's biggest risers -- like Colorado's German Marquez -- and fallers with September call-ups looming.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
Williams, one of the more highly regarded members of the prospect cache the Phillies assembled over the last few seasons, hit the big leagues in June and was a quick study. The outfielder, whose poor contact rates in the upper minors founded concerns he might be exposed by major-league pitchers, struck out a manageable 28.3 percent of the time, and parlayed his plus bat speed into ample hard contact (33.6 percent hard-hit rate). More surprising than Williams' steady power output was his .288 batting average over a half season, though a .375 BABIP -- a mark that was high even after factoring in his quick bat and above-average speed -- suggests some regression in the category likely awaits in 2018. In any case, the lefty-hitting Williams' ability to hold his own against both southpaws and right-handers in his first taste of the majors gives him a good chance at holding a full-time role with Philadelphia to begin 2018. The luxury of batting directly in front of or behind rising star Rhys Hoskins, and the addition of Carlos Santana via free agency should prove helpful to Williams' counting numbers.
Williams entered last season with high expectations after taking steps forward in 2015 with his walk rate and cutting back on his strikeouts. Unfortunately, he was unable to build on those improvements at Triple-A last season. Williams saw his walk rate drop from 7.7 percent to 3.6 percent and his strikeout rate balloon from 18.6 percent to 25.8 percent in 2016. Despite those issues, he entered the month of August with a respectable slash line and looked like a lock for a September callup, but then went into a deep funk, hitting just .179/.196/.316 with two homers and 36 strikeouts in 24 games. Two benchings earlier in the year for lack of hustle did not factor into the evaluation for a promotion as Williams' manager at Triple-A indicated he had learned from those mistakes. There is a lot of risk in his profile, but Williams still has plenty of upside thanks to his plus bat speed. He will compete for a roster spot this spring, but may be sent back to Triple-A to begin 2017 as the final step of his development as a prospect.
Williams came over to the Phillies as part of the deal that sent Cole Hamels to the Rangers. He is an aggressive hitter that is prone to striking out, but he showed some signs of improving his approach at the plate last season. His walk rate jumped to seven percent and he cut his strikeout rate to 19 percent. If he can continue that growth while still tapping into his power, then Williams has the potential to be a very valuable fantasy commodity since he can also chip in with double-digit stolen bases. The Phillies will likely start him out at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, but Williams could force his way to the majors later this season with a strong performance in the minors.
If Williams had a good approach, he would be one of the top 10 offensive talents in the minor leagues. His ability to make hard contact on fastballs in and around the zone is elite. Williams possesses the high-end bat speed and athleticism that can wow onlookers on his good days. However, he can look downright lost against pitchers who know how to sequence and offer adequate or better off-speed stuff. He had a 28.7% K% and just a 4.7% BB% in 408 plate appearances at High-A Myrtle Beach, and both of those rates went in the wrong direction in a brief 15-game stint at Double-A Frisco to finish the season. Despite a shoddy approach, he was still able to slash .292/.343/.491 with 45 extra-base hits at Myrtle Beach, but it is reasonable to be skeptical of the 21-year-old outfielder’s ability to continue to thrive when he faces more pitchers at Double-A and Triple-A that can spin a breaking ball.
Williams, a second-round pick by the Rangers in the 2012 draft, spent his first full season of professional baseball at Low-A Hickory in a loaded young lineup. Much like his teammate Lewis Brinson, Williams has outstanding tools that are still in need of refinement. As a 19-year-old, an .879 OPS in the Sally League is ultimately going to make people take notice, but the impressive power and speed are met with plate discipline (15:110 BB:K, 404 plate appearances) that must improve as Williams continues move through the organization. He'll likely spend all of 2014 at High-A Myrtle Beach, but Williams is the type of player capable of making a fast move up top prospect lists if he shows signs of putting everything together.
Agreed to terms after being selected in the third round of the June draft.
More Fantasy News
Remains out Sunday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
September 30, 2018
Williams (shoulder) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Braves, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Thursday's lineup
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
September 27, 2018
Williams (shoulder, hand) is out of Thursday's starting nine against the Rockies, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sits again Wednesday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
September 26, 2018
Williams (shoulder, hand) is out of the lineup against Colorado on Wednesday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out again Tuesday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
September 25, 2018
Williams (shoulder, hand) is not in the lineup Tuesday against the Rockies, Matt Breen of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Remains out Monday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
September 24, 2018
Williams (shoulder, hand) is not in the lineup Monday against the Rockies, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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