Odubel Herrera
Odubel Herrera
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Herrera hit a career-high 22 homers in 2018, but his season was largely a disappointment. He hit just .255/.310/.420, good for a career-low 97 wRC+, and stole just five bases. It wasn't a completely lost season, but there are reasons to be concerned for the future. He slipped down in the order as the season wore on and also lost playing time to Roman Quinn. Quinn could continue to steal at-bats going forward, or the Phillies could spend money on a big outfield bat. Herrera is still too good to be reduced to a fourth-outfielder role, but he could be something less than an everyday player and remain in the bottom half of the order unless he can get back to his previous form. A reversal of his 55-point BABIP drop could turn things around for Herrera, though it's possible that his .290 BABIP is his new normal as he increased his pull rate by eight points, leaving him vulnerable to shifts, against which he hit just .230 after posting a .345 mark in 2017. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $30.5 million contract extension in December of 2016 that includes club options for 2022 and 2023.
Manning center field
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
March 18, 2019
Herrera (hamstring) will start in center field and bat second in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Herrera made his spring debut in Saturday's 13-5 loss to the Astros, going 1-for-2 with a double and a walk while serving as the Phillies' designated hitter. With Herrera coming out of that contest no worse for the wear, he'll now get the green light to man his normal spot in the outfield, signaling that he's made a full recovery from the left hamstring strain that has sidelined him for most of camp. Herrera should be able to get enough at-bats in before spring training comes to a close, thereby guaranteeing his availability for Opening Day.
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .769 300 36 8 39 2 .288 .323 .446
Since 2017vs Right .748 860 95 28 88 11 .260 .315 .432
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left .740 139 15 4 22 2 .288 .324 .417
2018vs Right .727 458 49 18 49 3 .244 .306 .421
2017vs Left .794 161 21 4 17 0 .288 .323 .471
2017vs Right .771 402 46 10 39 8 .279 .326 .445
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .779 572 77 21 72 6 .274 .320 .459
Since 2017Away .728 588 54 15 55 7 .261 .315 .414
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home .750 282 37 13 40 3 .251 .306 .444
2018Away .713 315 27 9 31 2 .258 .314 .399
2017Home .807 290 40 8 32 3 .297 .334 .473
2017Away .746 273 27 6 24 5 .265 .315 .431
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Stat Review
How does Odubel Herrera compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.31
 
BB Rate
6.4%
 
K Rate
20.4%
 
BABIP
.290
 
ISO
.165
 
AVG
.255
 
OBP
.310
 
SLG
.420
 
OPS
.730
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Odubel Herrera
Spring Training Job Battles: Nearing the Finish Line
Yesterday
Erik Halterman checks in on all of the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball as spring training winds down.
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6 days ago
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Collette Calls: Players Out of Options
7 days ago
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Spring Training Job Battles: Past the Halfway Point
8 days ago
Erik Halterman provides a mid-March update on all the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball.
Top 350 Composite Rankings
13 days ago
Luis Severino's shoulder injury has sent him tumbling in the second installment of the RotoWire Roundtable Rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Since hitting the majors in 2015, Herrera has supplied OPS marks between .765 and .781, but he's been far from the consistent producer that narrow range implies. The outfielder was especially prone to hot and cold spells in 2017, turning in a .256/.292/.393 first-half slash line before rallying with a .323/.378/.551 line after the break. Even amid his big second half, Herrera didn't draw walks at the clip he had a season earlier, resulting in him finishing with a .325 OBP that partially explains his stark downturn in steals. Herrera was able to save face by hitting balls harder and in the air more frequently than ever, but it translated to a huge spike in doubles rather than more home runs. With the Phillies dismissing Pete Mackanin -- who had frequently voiced his displeasure with Herrera's baserunning -- the 26-year-old could resurface as both a power and speed threat, but be prepared to endure crests and troughs with any production he offers.
Herrera entered camp last season with the starting center field job locked down after an impressive rookie season as a Rule 5 pick in 2015. He was an on-base machine early on, walking 22 percent of the time in April and continuing at a solid clip in May and June before seemingly abandoning his newfound patience in July when he walked just 5.9 percent of the time. Herrera also struggled against lefties last season, hitting just .236 with a .599 OPS in 144 at-bats after hitting .293 with a .720 OPS against southpaws in 2015. The downturn is primarily BABIP driven as Herrera had a .402 BABIP against lefties in 2015 and a .321 BABIP in 2016. Despite those warts, Herrera has plenty of fantasy value thanks to his blend of power and speed. If he can rediscover his approach from the first half of 2016, he can be an across the board asset, as he should be hitting in the top third of the lineup. He inked a team-friendly five-year, $30.5 million extension this offseason, ensuring a regular role going forward.
Herrera turned out to be a steal for the Phillies as a Rule 5 pick from the Rangers last offseason. He had never played above Double-A prior to last season, but Phillies scouts had liked what they saw from him in winter ball. He hit .297 with eight home runs and 16 stolen bases while learning the finer points of playing center field in the majors, after having spent the majority of his time at second base throughout his minor league career. His batting average may be a bit of a mirage as his .388 BABIP is likely unsustainable, and his 24.0% strikeout rate is too high for a player whose game should be more focused on getting on base than driving the ball out of the park. Despite those issues, Herrera is an attractive target for stolen bases. He figures to see more at-bats this season and his coaches will no doubt work with him on deciding when to run, which should cut down on his caught stealing totals. His upside is 30 steals if everything comes together.
Herrera was taken by the Phillies from the Rangers during the Rule 5 draft in December. A 23-year-old utility type, most of his opportunities would likely come at second base or in center field, while the Phillies' lack of depth in the outfield could open up playing time if he proves capable of making the leap from Double-A to the big leagues. As a 22-year-old last season, Herrera hit .321/.373/.402 with 12 stolen bases over 96 games with Frisco, but he'd likely begin in the bottom third of the order if he pushed his way into a more prominent role for the Phillies. Herrera earned MVP honors in the Venezuelan Winter League as well, hitting .372 with six home runs and eight steals over 58 games for La Guaira.
More Fantasy News
Enters lineup as DH
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Hamstring
March 16, 2019
Herrera (hamstring) will serve as the Phillies' designated hitter and bat second Saturday in the team's Grapefruit League game against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Remains out Friday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Hamstring
March 15, 2019
Herrera (hamstring) is not in the lineup for Friday's spring game against the Marlins, Matt Breen of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not playing Thursday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Hamstring
March 14, 2019
Herrera (hamstring) isn't included in either of the Phillies' split-squad lineups Thursday for Grapefruit League games against the Pirates and Ray.
ANALYSIS
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Facing live pitching
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Hamstring
March 13, 2019
Herrera (hamstring) is slated to take some at-bats Wednesday in a minor-league game, Matt Breen of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out again Monday
OFPhiladelphia Phillies
Hamstring
March 11, 2019
Herrera (hamstring/illness) is out of Monday's lineup against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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