Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The signs are pointing up for Rodriquez with the dreaded caveat: if he can stay healthy. While the lefty has started at least 20 games the past four seasons, 24 is his career high, posted in 2017, accruing a career-best 137.1 innings. The optimist insists most of the time lost was from a knee issue surgically repaired last spring. The pessimist notes he lost around six weeks after spraining his ankle in a collision while covering first. The optimist emphasizes he hasn’t had a major arm injury. On the mound, Rodriguez’s strikeout rate has increased each season of his career while his walk rate has dropped the last two, the root of the glass-half-full outlook. Other than staying healthy, Rodriguez needs to be better the third time through the order if he wants to take the next step. Rodriguez enters 2019 entrenched in the Red Sox rotation. His wins and whiffs project to be fantasy friendly. Accept the injury discount and hope his DL visits are over. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $4.3 million contract with the Red Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Picks up 10th win
PBoston Red Sox
July 12, 2019
Rodriguez (10-4) gave up one run on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 in seven innings Friday against the Dodgers. He picked up the win.
ANALYSIS
Rodriguez quietly has a 3.34 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 37.2 innings over his last six starts. He generated a season-high 22 swings and misses in this start, with 11 of those coming off his changeup. Rodriguez will have a favorable matchup in his next start at home against the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .269 329 97 20 80 12 2 14
Since 2017vs Right .240 1272 315 109 276 57 5 37
2019vs Left .287 110 30 5 29 3 0 8
2019vs Right .255 356 86 29 82 17 1 8
2018vs Left .234 104 37 6 22 5 0 3
2018vs Right .238 449 109 39 97 11 3 13
2017vs Left .284 115 30 9 29 4 2 3
2017vs Right .230 467 120 41 97 29 1 16
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.02 1.33 186.0 13 7 0 10.5 3.2 0.9
Since 2017Away 4.25 1.25 190.2 16 9 0 9.2 3.0 1.5
2019Home 3.95 1.19 54.2 4 1 0 10.4 2.8 1.0
2019Away 4.91 1.45 55.0 6 3 0 8.7 2.8 1.6
2018Home 3.70 1.32 73.0 7 4 0 10.2 2.7 0.7
2018Away 3.97 1.20 56.2 6 1 0 10.0 3.7 1.6
2017Home 4.47 1.47 58.1 2 2 0 11.0 4.2 1.1
2017Away 3.99 1.14 79.0 4 5 0 9.0 2.6 1.4
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Stat Review
How does Eduardo Rodriguez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.41
 
K/9
9.5
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
92.8 mph
 
ERA
4.43
 
WHIP
1.32
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
1.43
 
Left On Base
72.6%
 
Exit Velocity
86.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.4%
 
Spin Rate
2173 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.4%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Adam Zdroik prefers a Red Sox stack Friday in a soft matchup against Gregory Soto and the Tigers.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Rodriguez again teased top-of-the-rotation skills, but fell short of a breakout season. Unfortunately, if 2018 is going to be the year, he'll have to overcome a late start as he's out until May or June after undergoing reconstructive surgery on the patellofemoral ligament in his right knee in October. Knee woes are not new to Rodriguez -- he made a 45-day visit to the disabled list after hurting his right knee while warming up for his June 1 start. When he returned, he admittedly altered his mechanics, helping explain a 2.77 ERA and 1.12 WHIP pre-June 1 compared to 5.16/1.39 after. Rodriguez will be just 25 when he returns next season, and his plus changeup is a great weapon against right-handers. He has the stuff to whiff a hitter an inning, so if Rodriguez can shave off a couple walks and do a better job of keeping the ball in the yard, he could pay off handsomely as a stash.
A spring training knee injury kept Rodriguez on the disabled list to start the season, then his recovery took longer than anyone expected. It took him some time to develop confidence in the knee, and once he did, the left-hander was hit hard, wasn't throwing breaking balls, and experienced yet another bout of pitch-tipping. After spending some time at Triple-A Pawtucket mid-summer eliminating the pitch-tipping, Rodriguez was summoned back to Boston after the All-Star break. In 14 second-half starts, he posted a 3.24 ERA and 1.13 WHIP while striking out 9.15 batters per nine innings. While the overall numbers weren't pretty, overcoming the first-half adversity was a real positive. He's expected to open the season in the rotation, though he tweaked his knee during winter ball and will not pitch again until the spring. Make sure to keep tabs on his availability during drafts, as this was the same knee that delayed his debut last season.
Boston's plan to go with a starting rotation that didn't feature a true "ace" was fraught with problems and those problems showed up early. Starters got hit hard, they weren't going deep into games, and relievers were getting taxed. The organization reached into its minor leagues, where they had three prospect left-handers pitching at Triple-A Pawtucket, including Rodriguez. He got a spot start late in May when Boston went to a temporary six-man rotation and he pitched so well, that he stayed in the rotation for the rest of the season. Rodriguez is poised on the mound, and used an above-average three-pitch mix in allowing just one run in his first three starts. In his fourth start, Rodriguez had problems tipping his pitches - something that recurred a few more times during the season, but overall it was a good first season. He finished up allowing just one earned run in five of his last seven starts. He dislocated his kneecap early in camp, and appears unlikely to make his regular season debut until late April, so he should be slightly discounted on draft day.
Rodriguez entered the 2014 season ranked as a top prospect in the Orioles' organization, so expectations were high when he was Double-A Bowie's Opening Day starter. However, the smooth lefty was roughed up early on and he suffered a sprained knee that kept him out until late May. He had some spotty success after his return, but issued too many walks overall and wasn't getting deep into games. His fortunes changed when he was dealt to Boston for left-handed reliever Andrew Miller. Rodriguez credited advice from Double-A Portland's pitching coach, Bob Kipper, for his strong finish. Kipper encouraged Rodriguez to use his changeup and slider to both sides of the plate as well as administering some mechanical adjustments. The end result was a 3-1 record with a microscopic 0.96 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 37.1 innings. The Red Sox may have gotten the steal of the trade deadline, landing a potential ace for a three-month rental on a reliever. Rodriguez should open the 2015 season at Triple-A Pawtucket, where he finished up the 2014 season, pitching one game in the playoffs.
Rodriguez continues to shoot up Baltimore's prospect chart after a year in which he topped out at Double-A as a 20-year-old. He throws three pitches and missed more bats after moving from High-A (7.0 K/9, 2.6 BB/9) to Double-A (8.9 K/9, 3.6 BB/9). The Orioles are stocked with aging pitching prospects and Rodriguez is the only starter who might have a shot of making his MLB debut this season. Look for Rodriguez to begin the season in Double-A Bowie and possibly debut before the end of the season if he continues to pitch well in his ascent through the Orioles' system.
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Gives up one run in five innings
PBoston Red Sox
July 5, 2019
Rodriguez (9-4) got the win Friday against the Tigers, allowing one run on four hits in five innings of work. He struck out four batters while walking just one.
ANALYSIS
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Yields two runs in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
June 30, 2019
Rodriguez allowed two runs on four hits with four walks and five strikeouts across 5.1 innings in a no-decision against the Yankees on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Crushed for five runs
PBoston Red Sox
June 24, 2019
Rodriguez yielded five runs on six hits and two walks in 6.1 innings Monday, striking out four batters and taking the no-decision in the win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine in win
PBoston Red Sox
June 19, 2019
Rodriguez (8-4) recorded nine strikeouts and gave up four runs on eight hits and three walks through seven innings to earn a win over the Twins on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Fires seven stellar innings
PBoston Red Sox
June 14, 2019
Rodriguez (7-4) surrendered one run on six hits and struck out four over seven innings Friday in a win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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