Teoscar Hernandez

Teoscar Hernandez

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Toronto Blue Jays
2022 Fantasy Outlook
The 2021 Blue Jays had two AL MVP finalists (Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Marcus Semien), the AL Cy Young winner (Robbie Ray) plus another young phenom in Bo Bichette, leaving Hernandez as somewhat of a complementary piece, amazingly. He won't be an afterthought at the draft table for 2022; much to the contrary, Hernandez will be treated as a top-15 outfielder in most fantasy leagues. The exception may be on-base percentage leagues, as Hernandez does lag in that department with a career 7.7 BB% and .320 OBP. He shaved his strikeout rate to a career-low 24.9% in 2021, but the plate discipline is still shaky enough to leave room for some concern as he ages. At age 28, Hernandez was able to make up for it by blistering the baseball, ranking in the top 15% of the league in pretty much every Statcast batted-ball metric. He should have a few years before any real physical decline sets in, and Hernandez showed a greater willingness to run in 2021. The 2022 campaign should be another fruitful one for Hernandez amidst one of the game's best lineups. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a one-year, $4.33 million contract with the Blue Jays in January of 2021.
Steals base, drives in three
OFToronto Blue Jays
October 3, 2021
Hernandez went 3-for-5 with three RBI, one run scored and a steal in Sunday's 12-4 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
Hernandez knocked an RBI single in the first inning and drove in two more in the fourth. He also collected his 12th stolen base of the year. The 28-year-old outfielder improved his slash line to .296/.346/.524 with 116 RBI and 61 extra-base hits through 595 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
56
45
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
18
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+47%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .977 359 58 25 72 5 .301 .365 .612
Since 2019vs Right .793 906 125 49 143 19 .260 .317 .477
2021vs Left 1.151 140 29 12 38 3 .372 .407 .744
2021vs Right .784 455 63 20 78 9 .273 .327 .456
2020vs Left .935 55 9 5 9 0 .275 .327 .608
2020vs Right .913 151 24 11 25 6 .295 .344 .568
2019vs Left .834 164 20 8 25 2 .246 .341 .493
2019vs Right .748 300 38 18 40 4 .222 .287 .462
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+28%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .803 616 82 33 99 12 .262 .321 .481
Since 2019Away .885 649 101 41 116 12 .280 .339 .546
2021Home .763 301 41 12 48 6 .272 .322 .441
2021Away .980 294 51 20 68 6 .321 .371 .609
2020Home .872 84 15 6 17 2 .282 .333 .538
2020Away .951 122 18 10 17 4 .295 .344 .607
2019Home .830 231 26 15 34 4 .240 .316 .514
2019Away .727 233 32 11 31 2 .220 .296 .431
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Stat Review
How does Teoscar Hernandez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
6.1%
 
K Rate
24.9%
 
BABIP
.352
 
ISO
.227
 
AVG
.296
 
OBP
.346
 
SLG
.524
 
OPS
.870
 
wOBA
.377
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.0%
 
Barrels/PA
9.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Teoscar Hernandez
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
105 days ago
Dan Marcus mentions a number of stacks that should do well today.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
105 days ago
Picking a pitcher with plenty to play for today sounds like a solid DFS strategy, and Chris Morgan has offered two of them.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
107 days ago
Mike Barner offers up his picks for Friday night’s games, including Seattle outfielder Mitch Haniger, who’s in a good spot with his matchup with Jose Suarez.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
108 days ago
Mike Barner previews Thursday's DraftKings offering, recommending a Jays stack in a high-stakes series finale against the Yankees.
Bernie on the Scene: Looking at World Series Contenders
111 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff writes about potential World Series champions, starting with Eloy Jimenez and the Chicago White Sox.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
The trio of Vlad Guerrero, Bo Bichette and Cavan Biggio got most of the attention last spring, but it was Hernandez who carried the Blue Jays' offense through most of the short 2020 season. Hernandez had two multi-homer games before the end of July and was still playing at an MVP-caliber level in early September before an oblique strain cropped up. The injury was expected to cost Hernandez serious time, but he returned after the minimum only to hit .227/.227/.386 in his final 11 regular-season games. Despite the cold finish, Hernandez still ranked among the elite in virtually every batted-ball metric, and his sprint speed ranked in the 85th percentile. He displayed big-time growth against right-handed pitching, shaving his strikeout rate against righties from to 34.7% to 28.9%, though it's fair to wonder how much of that growth is real. Hernandez has to get the most out of his limited contact.
Hernandez struggles defensively and has an unsightly 31.8 K% across nearly 1,200 MLB plate appearances. When he manages to put bat to ball, Hernandez does damage, as evidenced by an average exit velocity in the 85th percentile last season. The 27-year-old's sprint speed ranked even higher, in the 94th percentile. Those tools have carried Hernandez to this point in his career, and what's encouraging is that Hernandez has been above league average the past two seasons despite his plate-discipline woes. Hernandez's walk rate improved last season, providing a shred of hope that the batting eye may come along yet. The power is very real, and Toronto's talented young core should provide him with RBI opportunities. If you build up a strong batting-average foundation early, you can safely roll the dice on a player like Hernandez who projects as a BA detriment with 30-homer upside.
Let's get the bad out of the way: Hernandez whiffed a bunch (31.2 K%), gave his manager headaches on defense (minus-5 outs above average) and might struggle with future playing time. However, Hernandez's 2018 issues shouldn't completely erase his former hype. After all, he tied for ninth with a 9.4 Brls/PA mark (after 9.5 in limited 2017 action) and sat among the top 25 in average exit velocity (91.8 mph) and contact distance (201 feet). Toronto appears focused on improving his fielding to justify fitting him in the lineup. The 26-year-old should still see opportunities at designated hitter and left field, and maybe he'll revisit a fraction of the base-stealing that helped him swipe 16 bags in the minors in 2017, if new skipper Carlos Montoyo gives him the green light more often. Those who go back to the well and target him as a depth player could wind up with a high-impact breakout. Just don't get too attached.
Hernandez was a popular late-season pickup in 2017 during his September callup, thanks to his combined .265/.351/.490 line with 18 homers and 16 stolen bases between Triple-A Buffalo and Fresno. Toronto gave him an audition and Hernandez impressed, generating two six-game hit streaks, a pair of two-homer games, and a stretch of six homers in six games. There's more pop in his bat than his 6-foot-2, 198-pound frame suggests, though his flyball-centric profile comes with a lot of swing-and-miss, making him a potential batting average liability, and a player susceptible to lengthy slumps. Still, he boasts a walk rate that could make up for that. The 25-year-old, who has shown 30-steal speed on multiple occasions in the minors, could emerge as a surprise power-speed producer if he's given a starting job for 2018. Even if he's projected for a fourth-outfielder role coming out of spring training, Hernandez has a combination of tools that could force the Jays' hand to an increase in playing time at some point this season.
Hernandez earned his first taste of the big leagues in 2016 after rocketing through the upper levels of the minors. The toolsy 24-year-old outfielder hit a combined .307/.377/.459 with 10 home runs, 53 RBI and 34 stolen bases (on 49 attempts) in 107 games between Double-A and Triple-A, parlaying that success into a promotion to the majors. He appeared in 41 games for the big club, though he was often just used as a pinch hitter against lefties. His power, particularly against lefties, is at least 50-grade, so he has the potential to someday post double-digit steals and homers in a season, but he lacks a true plus tool. In another organization, Hernandez might be poised for everyday duties heading into 2017, but the Astros depth dictates that his best chance of making the big league club out of camp is as the right-handed side of a platoon.
Hernandez emerged as one of the Astros' most exciting prospects in 2014 after putting up huge numbers in the California League, but that excitement faded a bit after his first full season with Double-A Corpus Christi. Hernandez certainly fits the profile for the Astros, combining power and speed with a ton of strikeouts, but he'll need to improve his ability to get on base (6.4-percent walk rate) to take the next step forward in his development. Despite his struggles last season, a jump to Triple-A is likely at some point in 2016.
Signed by the Astros out of the Dominican Republic in 2011, Hernandez emerged as one of the team's most exciting prospects last season. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 180 pounds, the 22-year-old mans center field with a rocket arm (11 outfield assists in 2014) that could eventually warrant a move to right field as he develops. Hernandez also has the power and speed combo that fantasy owners crave, hitting .292/.362/.535 with 37 doubles, nine triples, 21 home runs, 85 RBI and 33 steals in 119 games between High-A Lancaster and Double-A Corpus Christi last season. With exceptional work ethic and five average or better tools, Hernandez is someone to keep an eye on as he reaches the upper levels of the Astros' farm system. A jump to Triple-A is likely at some point in 2015.
More Fantasy News
Mashes 32nd homer
OFToronto Blue Jays
October 2, 2021
Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 10-1 rout of the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Knocks 31st homer
OFToronto Blue Jays
September 25, 2021
Hernandez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an additional run scored in Saturday's 6-1 win over Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
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Launches home run in loss
OFToronto Blue Jays
September 21, 2021
Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Monday's 6-4 loss to the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in win
OFToronto Blue Jays
September 18, 2021
Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a three-run homer in Saturday's 6-2 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Five hits in rout
OFToronto Blue Jays
September 14, 2021
Hernandez went 5-for-5 with a double and two runs scored in Monday's 8-1 win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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